• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand for electricity

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Feasibility Analysis of Alternative Electricity Systems by 2030 in the Post-Fukushima Era

  • Park, Nyun-Bae;Lee, Sanghoon;Han, Jin-Yi;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2014
  • The Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011 had an extensive impact on the national electricity plans. This paper outlines alternative electricity scenarios that meet the goals of nuclear phase-out and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction. This paper also analyzes the results of each scenario in respect to the electricity mix, GHG emissions, costs and employment effects. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) model was used to simulate the annual electricity demand and supply system from 2011 to 2030. The reference year was 2009. Scenarios are reference (where existing plans are continued), A1, A2, B1, B2, and C2 (where the levels of demand management and nuclear phase-out are different). The share of renewable energy in the electricity mix in 2030 for each scenario will be increased from about 1% in 2009 to 8% in the reference scenario and from 11% to 31% in five alternative scenarios. Total cumulative cost increases up to 14% more than the reference scenario by replacing nuclear power plants with renewable energy in alternative scenarios could be affordable. Deploying enough renewable energy to meet such targets requires a roadmap for electricity price realization, expansion of research, development and deployment for renewable energy technologies, establishment of an organization dedicated to renewable energy, and ambitious targets for renewable energy.

Development of Energy Demand Models for Hospitals (병원 건물의 에너지 부하모델 개발)

  • Park, Hwa-Choon;Chung, Mo
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.636-642
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    • 2009
  • Energy consumption data are surveyed and measured to develop energy demand models for hospital buildings as part of a complete package. Daily consumption profiles for electricity, heating, cooling and hot water are surveyed for 14 carefully chosen hospitals to establish energy demand patterns for a time span of a year. Then the hourly demand patterns of the 4 loads are field-measured for different seasons and statistically analyzed to provide higher resolution models. Used in conjunction with energy demand models for other types of buildings, the high resolution of 8760 hour energy demand models for a hospital for a typical year will serve as building blocks for the comprehensive model that allows the estimation of the combined loads for arbitrary mixtures of buildings.

Stochastic Gradient Descent Optimization Model for Demand Response in a Connected Microgrid

  • Sivanantham, Geetha;Gopalakrishnan, Srivatsun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2022
  • Smart power grid is a user friendly system that transforms the traditional electric grid to the one that operates in a co-operative and reliable manner. Demand Response (DR) is one of the important components of the smart grid. The DR programs enable the end user participation by which they can communicate with the electricity service provider and shape their daily energy consumption patterns and reduce their consumption costs. The increasing demands of electricity owing to growing population stresses the need for optimal usage of electricity and also to look out alternative and cheap renewable sources of electricity. The solar and wind energy are the promising sources of alternative energy at present because of renewable nature and low cost implementation. The proposed work models a smart home with renewable energy units. The random nature of the renewable sources like wind and solar energy brings an uncertainty to the model developed. A stochastic dual descent optimization method is used to bring optimality to the developed model. The proposed work is validated using the simulation results. From the results it is concluded that proposed work brings a balanced usage of the grid power and the renewable energy units. The work also optimizes the daily consumption pattern thereby reducing the consumption cost for the end users of electricity.

고령화가 가정부문 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향 분석: 전력수요를 중심으로

  • Won, Du-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-369
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    • 2012
  • Population aging has been one of the serious problems in Korea. Aging can affect social and economic features including energy consumption. This paper analyzed how population aging makes an effect on residential electricity demand. Yearly data from 1965 to 2010 were collected. The long and short-run demands for residential electricity were estimated with respect to Korean aging index. The results show that population aging reduces residential electricity demands in the short run significantly, but the effect decreases in the long run. However, population aging still negatively affects residential electricity consumption in long run. If population keep aging as Korean government expected, then the residential electricity demand per capita will grow less than 3%.

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A New Economic Evaluation for Demand-Side Resource using Lighting Dimming Control for the Electricity Suppliers in Competitive Electricity Markets (조광제어를 활용한 전력판매회사 관점의 수요관리자원에 대한 새로운 가치평가 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Kim, Seong-Cheol;Nom, Young-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a new demand-side evaluation for the technical potential of lighting dimming control and its applications in electricity markets have been presented. The California standard practice test has been widely used to estimate the economic value of demand-side resources. However, as the advent of deregulation and restructuring of power industry, the California test has been facing some limitations to adopt in the new market environments. In particular the conventional DC test is appropriate for the traditional vertically integrated utility, not for the restructured unbundled utility. Thus, this paper presents a new method to evaluate the economic value of demand-side resource, especially of controllable lighting dimming resource in terms of the energy service provider in market environments. We, therefore, first estimate the technical potential of the lighting dimming control and evaluate the value of the lighting dimming control based on the Korean electricity market data in 2006. The study result shows that the lighting dimming control is a cost effective option for the energy service provider.

hydraulic-power generation of electricity plan of multi-Purpose dam in electric Power system (전력계통에서의 다목적댐 수력발전계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Hyo;Ko, Young-Hoan;Hwang, In-Kwang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1248-1252
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    • 1999
  • To provide electricity power of good quality, it is essential to establish generation of electricity plan in electric power system based on accurate power-demand prediction and cope with changes of power-need fluctuating constantly. The role of hydraulic-power generation of electricity in electric power system is of importance because responding to electric power-demand counts or reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity which is designed for additional load in electric power system. So hydraulic-power generation of electricity must have fast start reserve. But the amount of water, resources of reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity is restricted and multi-used, so the scheduling of management by exact forecasting the amount of water is critical. That is why efficient hydraulic-power generation of electricity makes a main role on pumping up the utility of energy and water resource. This thesis introduced the example of optimal generation of electricity plan establishment which is used in managing reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity.

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A Study on the Estimation of Electricity Demand for Heating and Cooling using Cross Temperature Response Function (교차기온반응함수로 추정한 전력수요의 냉난방 수요 변화 추정)

  • Park, Sung Keun;Hong, Soon Dong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.287-313
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    • 2018
  • This paper measures and analyzes cooling and heating demand in Korean electricity demand using time-varying temperature response functions and cooling and heating temperature effects. We fit the model to Korean data for residential and commercial sector over 1999:01~2016:12 and the estimation results show that the growth rate of heating demand is much higher than that of base and cooling demand, and especially the growth rate of heating demand in commercial sector is much higher. And we define the temperature-normalized demand conditioning that monthly temperatures are assumed as average monthly temperatures. The growth rate of heating demand in the estimated temperature-normalized demand is higher than that in the real demand. Our results are expected to be a base data for Winter Demand Management and short-term electricity demand forecasting.

Electricity forecasting model using specific time zone (특정 시간대 전력수요예측 시계열모형)

  • Shin, YiRe;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.275-284
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    • 2016
  • Accurate electricity demand forecasts is essential in reducing energy spend and preventing imbalance of the power supply. In forcasting electricity demand, we considered double seasonal Holt-Winters model and TBATS model with sliding window. We selected a specific time zone as the reference line of daily electric demand because it is least likely to be influenced by external factors. The forecasting performance have been evaluated in terms of RMSE and MAPE criteria. We used the observations ranging January 4, 2009 to December 31 for testing data. For validation data, the records has been used between January 1, 2012 and December 29, 2012.

RPSMDSM: Residential Power Scheduling and Modelling for Demand Side Management

  • Ahmed, Sheeraz;Raza, Ali;Shafique, Shahryar;Ahmad, Mukhtar;Khan, Muhammad Yousaf Ali;Nawaz, Asif;Tariq, Rohi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.2398-2421
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    • 2020
  • In third world countries like Pakistan, the production of electricity has been quickly reduced in past years due to rely on the fossil fuel. According to a survey conducted in 2017, the overall electrical energy capacity was 22,797MW, since the electrical grids have gone too old, therefore the efficiency of grids, goes down to nearly 17000MW. Significant addition of fossil fuel, hydro and nuclear is 64.2%, 29% and 5.8% respectively in the total electricity production in Pakistan. In 2018, the demand crossed 20,223MW, compared to peak generation of 15,400 to 15,700MW as by the Ministry of Water and Power. Country faces a deficit of almost 4000MW to 5000MW for the duration of 2019 hot summer term. Focus on one aspect considering Demand Side Management (DSM) cannot oversea the reduction of gap between power demand and customer supply, which eventually leads to the issue of load shedding. Hence, a scheduling scheme is proposed in this paper called RPSMDSM that is based on selection of those appliances that need to be only Turned-On, on priority during peak hours consuming minimum energy. The Home Energy Management (HEM) system is integrated between consumer and utility and bidirectional flow is presented in the scheme. During peak hours of electricity, the RPSMDSM is capable to persuade less power consumption and accomplish productivity in load management. Simulations show that RPSMDSM scheme helps in scheduling the electricity loads from peak price to off-peak price hours. As a result, minimization in electricity cost as well as (Peak-to-Average Ratio) PAR are accomplished with sensible waiting time.

Study on Optimal Control Algorithm of Electricity Use in a Single Family House Model Reflecting PV Power Generation and Cooling Demand (단독주택 태양광 발전과 냉방수요를 반영한 전력 최적운용 전략 연구)

  • Seo, Jeong-Ah;Shin, Younggy;Lee, Kyoung-ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.381-386
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    • 2016
  • An optimization algorithm is developed based on a simulation case of a single family house model equipped with PV arrays. To increase the nationwide use of PV power generation facilities, a market-competitive electricity price needs to be introduced, which is determined based on the time of use. In this study, quadratic programming optimization was applied to minimize the electricity bill while maintaining the indoor temperature within allowable error bounds. For optimization, it is assumed that the weather and electricity demand are predicted. An EnergyPlus-based house model was approximated by using an equivalent RC circuit model for application as a linear constraint to the optimization. Based on the RC model, model predictive control was applied to the management of the cooling load and electricity for the first week of August. The result shows that more than 25% of electricity consumed for cooling can be saved by allowing excursions of temperature error within an affordable range. In addition, profit can be made by reselling electricity to the main grid energy supplier during peak hours.