• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand estimation

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Ground motion selection and scaling for seismic design of RC frames against collapse

  • Bayati, Zeinab;Soltani, Masoud
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.445-459
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    • 2016
  • Quantitative estimation of seismic response of various structural systems at the collapse limit state is one of the most significant objectives in Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE). Assessing the effects of uncertainties, due to variability in ground motion characteristics and random nature of earthquakes, on nonlinear structural response is a pivotal issue regarding collapse safety prediction. Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) and fragility curves are utilized to estimate demand parameters and seismic performance levels of structures. Since producing these curves based on a large number of nonlinear dynamic analyses would be time-consuming, selection of appropriate earthquake ground motion records resulting in reliable responses with sufficient accuracy seems to be quite essential. The aim of this research study is to propose a methodology to assess the seismic behavior of reinforced concrete frames at collapse limit state via accurate estimation of seismic fragility curves for different Engineering Demand Parameters (EDPs) by using a limited number of ground motion records. Research results demonstrate that accurate estimating of structural collapse capacity is feasible through applying the proposed method offering an appropriate suite of limited ground motion records.

A Study on the Development of the Optimal Capacity Estimation Algorithm of Intergrated Energy Facilities Based on Operating Conditions (운용상태를 고려한 집단에너지설비의 최적용량 산정 알고리즘의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang Sik;Song, Myung Ho;Yeom, Jee hoon;Shin, Jungyull
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a method for optimizing heat generation facilities to maximize revenue by investigating their operational status during times of maximum heat demand for district heating. Based on the derived result, this study also proposes a method for determining a given power plant's optimal equipment, such as combined heat and power plant(CHP), peak load boilers (PLB), heat accumulators, and so on, depending on heat demand and facility capacities. It also offers a guide for how to operate facilities more economically by considering the operational status of district heating companies.

Estimation-Based Load-Balancing with Admission Control for Cluster Web Servers

  • Sharifian, Saeed;Motamedi, Seyed Ahmad;Akbari, Mohammad Kazem
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2009
  • The growth of the World Wide Web and web-based applications is creating demand for high performance web servers to offer better throughput and shorter user-perceived latency. This demand leads to widely used cluster-based web servers in the Internet infrastructure. Load balancing algorithms play an important role in boosting the performance of cluster web servers. Previous load balancing algorithms suffer a significant performance drop under dynamic and database-driven workloads. We propose an estimation-based load balancing algorithm with admission control for cluster-based web servers. Because it is difficult to accurately determine the load of web servers, we propose an approximate policy. The algorithm classifies requests based on their service times and tracks the number of outstanding requests from each class in each web server node to dynamically estimate each web server load state. The available capacity of each web server is then computed and used for the load balancing and admission control decisions. The implementation results confirm that the proposed scheme improves both the mean response time and the throughput of clusters compared to rival load balancing algorithms and prevents clusters being overloaded even when request rates are beyond the cluster capacity.

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Re-estimation of Model Parameters in Growth Curves When Adjusting Market Potential and Time of Maximum Sales (성장곡선 예측 모형의 특성치 보정에 따른 매개변수의 재추정)

  • Park, Ju-Seok;Ko, Young-Hyun;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Lee, Jae-Hwan;Hong, Seung-Pyo;Moon, Hyung-Don
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2003
  • Growth curves are widely used in forecasting the market demand. When there are only a few data points available, the estimated model parameters have a low confidence. In this case, if some expert opinions are available, it would be better for predicting future demand to adjust the model parameters using these information. This paper proposes the methodology for re-estimation of model parameters in growth curves when adjusting market potential and/or time of maximum sales. We also provide the detailed procedures for five growth curves including Bass, Logistic, Gompertz, Weibull and Cumulative Lognormal models. Applications to real data are also included.

A new non-iterative procedure to estimate seismic demands of structures

  • Mechaala, Abdelmounaim;Chikh, Benazouz
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.585-595
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    • 2022
  • Using the nonlinear static procedures has become very common in seismic codes to achieve the nonlinear response of the structure during an earthquake. The capacity spectrum method (CSM) adopted in ATC-40 is considered as one of the most known and useful procedures. For this procedure the seismic demand can be approximated from the maximum deformation of an equivalent linear elastic Single-Degree-of-Freedom system (SDOF) that has an equivalent damping ratio and period by using an iterative procedure. Data from the results of this procedure are plotted in acceleration- displacement response spectrum (ADRS) format. Different improvements have been made in order to have more accurate results compared to the Non Linear Time History Analysis (NL-THA). A new procedure is presented in this paper where the iteration process shall not be required. This will be done by estimation the ductility demand response spectrum (DDRS) and the corresponding effective damping of the bilinear system based on a new parameter of control, called normalized yield strength coefficient (η), while retaining the attraction of graphical implementation of the improved procedure of the FEMA-440. The proposed procedure accuracy should be verified with the NL-THA analysis results as a first implementation. The comparison shows that the new procedure provided a good estimation of the nonlinear response of the structure compared with those obtained when using the NL-THA analysis.

Improvement of Agricultural Water Demand Estimation Method: Focusing on Paddy water demand estimation (농업용수 수요량 산정방법의 개선 : 논용수 수요량 산정을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Junshik;Kwon, Youjeong;Seo, Yongwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.64-64
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    • 2020
  • 현재 농업환경 및 식생활 변화 등으로 인하여 농지 수요는 꾸준히 감소하고 있다. 이러한 현상과 맞물려 정부에서는 2019년 6월에 물관리기본법을 제정함으로서 지속가능한 통합 물 관리를 실현하려는 움직임을 보이고 있다. 따라서 효율적인 통합 물 관리를 실현하기 위해서는 61%라는 가장 많은 용수를 사용하고 있는 농업용수에 대한 면밀한 검토가 이루어져야 할 시점이다. 금회 연구에서는 현재 농업용수 사용량 현황을 분석함과 동시에 농업용수 중 67% ~ 87%의 비율을 차지하고 있는 논 용수 산정법을 검토한 후 문제점을 분석하고 문제점 개선을 통한 용수수요 확보를 분석하였다. 논 용수 산정방법의 가장 큰 문제점은 잠재증발산량 산정식에 있다. 현재 사용하고 있는 잠재증발산량 방법은 국제식량기구(FAO)에서 권장하고 있는 Penman-Monteith 식이 아닌 과거부터 사용하고 있으며, 오차율이 높은 수정 Penman 식을 사용하고 있다. 또한 잠재증발산량 산정이 주요 인자인 작물계수의 경우도 23년전의 작물계수를 이용함으로서 현재 기후 및 작물품종 변화를 전혀 반영할 수 없다는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 전주기상청의 자료를 이용하여 Penman 및 Penman-Monteith 식을 비교한 결과 수정 Penman 식이 Penma-Monteith 식에 비하여 2배 이상의 큰 값을 보였다. 작물계수를 적용할 경우 증발산량이 많이 일어나는 5월 하순에서 8월 하순까지의 차이가 크게 발생하였다. 이러한 문제는 논용수 수요량의 과대하게 산정되는 결과를 초래하며, 수자원장기종합계획 및 장기 물관리 계획시 효율적이고 합리적인 계획수립이 어려울 것으로 판단되며, 논 용수 수요량 산정방법에 대한 개선안이 시급히 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단되어진다.

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A Study on the Development of Height Estimation Sensor for Gondola-typed Façade Robot (곤돌라형 외벽 유지보수 로봇의 수직위치 센서 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Jongsu;Kim, Dong Yeop;Park, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2013
  • Demand for high-rising building has arisen. However, its maintenance is usually executed by labour. It could have a severe problem. We proposed a gondola robot to solve it. In this paper, we designed a height estimation sensor for this gondola. It is consist of pan-tilt unit, ARS sensor, and laser sensor. The pan-tilt unit keeps the laser sensor to indicate the gravity direction by referencing the ARS. The laser sensor's range is vertical distance from gondola to ground. However, if there is an obstacle under the gondola, the distance includes its height. To filter it out, we apply a Kalman filter for the height estimation. If the estimated height is changed extremely, the filter decides that there is an obstacle. Then, it remembers the height of obstacle. Other extreme changes of height estimations are reflected. The experimental results using the proposed sensor system show detail flow of the height estimation.

Survey of nonlinear state estimation in aerospace systems with Gaussian priors

  • Coelho, Milca F.;Bousson, Kouamana;Ahmed, Kawser
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.495-516
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    • 2020
  • Nonlinear state estimation is a desirable and required technique for many situations in engineering (e.g., aircraft/spacecraft tracking, space situational awareness, collision warning, radar tracking, etc.). Due to high standards on performance in these applications, in the last few decades, there was an increasing demand for methods that are able to provide more accurate results. However, because of the mathematical complexity introduced by the nonlinearities of the models, the nonlinear state estimation uses techniques that, in practice, are not so well-established which, leads to sub-optimal results. It is important to take into account that each method will have advantages and limitations when facing specific environments. The main objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive overview and interpretation of the most well-known methods for nonlinear state estimation with Gaussian priors. In particular, the Kalman filtering methods: EKF (Extended Kalman Filter), UKF (Unscented Kalman Filter), CKF (Cubature Kalman Filter) and EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter) with an aerospace perspective.

A Development of a Framework Cost Estimation Model for the Digital Document Database Construction Projects (지식정보 구축 대가의 개발 : 국가직무표준(National Competency Standards)과의 통합 방안을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sojung Lucia;Seo, Yong Won;Son, Young-ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.47-65
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    • 2017
  • The reference guide for the cost of establishing the digital documents has been used as a basis for establishing the budget for the construction of the knowledge information resource. However, due to the abolition of the nominal unit price notification in terms of IT projects, it is necessary to conduct research to convert the standard of the current labor force grade standard to the national incompetency standard (NCS). In this study, we investigate and revise the system and contents of the current knowledge information cost estimation model. In specific, i) we conducted gap analysis of cost estimation model and existing NCS model. As the contents conforming for the construction of the knowledge information resource were not adoptable, we define the description of the construction of the knowledge information resource and to identify the core elements of NCS prior to the improvement of the cost model. ⅱ) then we proposed improve the cost model considering integration with newly proposed NCS model for knowledge information construction job. In order to ensure the validity of the application of NCS development and cost estimation model, the experts reviewed relevant contents and made plans for improvement by using experts from supply and demand groups of various fields of national knowledge informatization projects.

Web-system development for the feasibility of national road

  • Park, T.;Shin, E.;Kang, T.;Park, W.;Lee, Y.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.698-699
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    • 2015
  • For last three years, our research team have conducted the project named "Development of construction project management technology based on BIM/GIS platform. "We developed construction cost estimation system as well as 3D modeling engine at the first two year and established a web-system which could estimate the benefits of the project and further analyze the economic and financial feasibility of the project. This paper mainly focused on the functions and specifications of web-system. The system was composed of two modules: economic feasibility estimation module and financial feasibility estimation module. While the economic feasibility estimation module determines economic feasibility of the project based on traffic demand forecasting from the public's perspective, the financial feasibility estimation module determine financial viability of the project using toll fee of the road from private entity's perspective. Compared with traditional feasibility study, the proposed system provide users with better flexibility which can make users easily to validate the project upon the change of project environments. The system was also verified with an already accomplished project. The verification showed that proposed system could provide satisfactory accurate results with reduced time and resources.

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