• 제목/요약/키워드: demand estimation

검색결과 828건 처리시간 0.022초

A Study on the Forecasting of Employment Demand in Kenya Logistics Industry

  • Shin, Yong-John;Kim, Hyun-Duk;Lee, Sung-Yhun;Han, Hee-Jung;Pai, Hoo-Seok
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2015
  • This study focused on the alternative to estimate the demand of employment in Kenya logistics. First of all, it investigated the importance and necessity of search about the present circumstance of the country's industry. Next, it reviewed respectively the concept and limitation of several previous models for employment, including Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA; ROA, Netherlands; IER (Institute for Employment Research), UK; and IAB, Germany. In regard to the demand forecasting of employers in logistics, it could anticipate more realistically the future demand by the time-lag approach. According to the findings, if value of output record 733,080 KSH million in 2015 and 970,640 in 2020, compared to 655,222 in 2013, demand on wage employment in logistics industry would be reached up to 95,860 in 2015 and 104,329 in 2020, compared to about 89,600 in 2012. To conclude, this study showed the more rational numbers about the demand forecasting of employment than the previous researches and displayed the systematic approach to estimate industry manpower in logistics.

Study on the Method of Analyzing Effective Demand for Housing Using RIR

  • Youngwoo KIM;SunJu KIM
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to enhance the accuracy of effective demand analysis for publicly supported private rental housing by integrating the RIR into the traditional Mankiw-Weil (MW) model. Traditional models like the M-W model, which account for household income, housing costs, and household size, often fall short in estimating demand driven by large-scale development projects. By integrating the RIR factor, this study introduces a more accurate and practical approach to analyzing effective housing demand. Findings show that the modified M-W model incorporating RIR predicts effective demand with greater precision than traditional methods. This advancement allows developers to plan projects more efficiently and aids governments and local authorities in implementing more effective housing policies. Furthermore, the study assesses the real housing cost burden on households, elucidating their capacity to pay housing costs based on household size and income quintile. This information enables policymakers to design targeted housing support policies for specific demographic groups. Additionally, the research provides comprehensive policy recommendations tailored to various regions and housing types. Overall, this study lays a vital groundwork for the long-term analysis of the effects of economic changes and housing market trends on effective demand.

Electricity Energy Savings Evaluation of Inverter DSM Program based on the Measurement and Estimation

  • Kim, Hoi-Cheol;Kim, In-Soo;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제11A권4호
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2001
  • The impact evaluation of a DSM program is a very important issue since the results are used to determine the sustainability of a program. In general. to estimate the impacts of a DSM program it is required to measure the electricity usage changes before and after a program. Since the measurement-based approaches cost highly, most of the conventional evaluations are based on the average figures. However estimation of the average-based impacts can lead to both distorted results of over/under estimation of kW and kWh savings and non-optimal DSM planning. In this paper, we have developed a new multi-point measurement approach which can evaluate kW and kWh savings of a DSM program more exactly. To do this, the saving rate and operating rate are defined and set as the function of load factor of a customer, and these rates are incorporated with the conventional diffusion function of Bass to project the future impacts of a DSM program. The case study is performed on the inverter program of Korea by using the suggested approach.

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Seismic response estimation of steel plate shear walls using nonlinear static methods

  • Dhar, Moon Moon;Bhowmick, Anjan K.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.777-799
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    • 2016
  • One of the major components for performance based seismic design is accurate estimation of critical seismic demand parameters. While nonlinear seismic analysis is the most appropriate analysis method for estimation of seismic demand parameters, this method is very time consuming and complex. Single mode pushover analysis method, N2 method and multi-mode pushover analysis method, modal pushover analysis (MPA) are two nonlinear static methods that have recently been used for seismic performance evaluation of few lateral load-resisting systems. This paper further investigates the applicability of N2 and MPA methods for estimating the seismic demands of ductile unstiffened steel plate shear walls (SPSWs). Three different unstiffened SPSWs (4-, 8-, and 15-storey) designed according to capacity design approach were analysed under artificial and real ground motions for Vancouver. A comparison of seismic response quantities such as, height-wise distribution of floor displacements, storey drifts estimated using N2 and MPA methods with more accurate nonlinear seismic analysis indicates that both N2 and MPA procedures can reasonably estimates the peak top displacements for low-rise SPSW buildings. In addition, MPA procedure provides better predictions of inter-storey drifts for taller SPSW. The MPA procedure has been extended to provide better estimate of base shear of SPSW.

변형된 비용 함수를 이용한 움직임 추정 기법 (Motion Estimation Using Modified Cost Functions)

  • 조한욱;서정욱;정제창
    • 방송공학회논문지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.100-109
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    • 1998
  • 최근 HDTV나 화상회의 시스템, VOD(video on demand) 서비스 등에서 쓰이는 영상 신호의 부호화가 주요한 관심사가 되고 있다. 동영상 압축 알고리즘에서 움직임 추정기법은 매우 중요한 역할을 담당하는 반면, 수행시간이나 하드웨어 구현에 어려움이 많아 이를 개선하기 위한 많은 알고리즘들이 개발되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 적절한 화소 분류를 통해 우수한 화질과 적은 계산량, 간단히 하드웨어 구조를 가지는 효율적인 움직임 추정기법을 제안한다. 기존의 1-비트 화소 분류 방법에서 변형된 새로운 비용 함수를 이용한 2-비트, 3-비트 호소 분류 방법과 2차 비용함수를 이용한 화소 분류 방법을 제안하였다. 또한 여러 고속 움직임 추정 알고리즘과도 쉽게 연결하여 사용할 수 있으며 우수한 성능을 나타내는 것을 모의 실험을 통해 보였다.

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전력수요관리 보조금 지원조건을 고려한 고효율기기의 확산모형 연구 (A Study on Diffusion Model of High-Efficient Appliance Considering DSM Rebate Program's Conditions)

  • 김회철;이정규;신중린;박종배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제51권12호
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    • pp.630-637
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposed a new diffusion model considering DSM rebate program's support conditions. The proposed method used some aspects of the rebate program such as support qualifications, annual support volume, and support level per appliance as following : The support qualifications were limited as the consumer which can get the rebate program's benefit, the annual support volume was constrained as the fixing budget and the support level per appliance was considered by high-efficient appliance actuality price. This paper also proposed a new method that used neural network as its parameter estimation moth[,4 for the diffusion model. The diffusion model and its parameter estimation method are expected to be able to analyze the diffusion characteristics of high-efficient appliance through the rebate program and the effects of rebate program's support conditions. Also, these will be able to evaluate the impacts and to analyze the cost-effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Demand-Side Management(EEDSM) resources. The case study is performed on the high-efficient lighting appliance rebate program of Korea by using the suggested diffusion model and estimation method and thus verified its validity.

하천수내 TOC 농도 추정을 위한 단순회귀모형과 다중회귀모형의 개발과 평가 (Development and Evaluation of Simple Regression Model and Multiple Regression Model for TOC Contentation Estimation in Stream Flow)

  • 정재운;조소현;최진희;김갑순;정수정;임병진
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.625-629
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate simple and multiple regression models for Total Organic Carbon (TOC) concentration estimation in stream flow. For development (using water quality data in 2012) and evaluation (using water quality data in 2011) of regression models, we used water quality data from downstream of Yeongsan river basin during 2011 and 2012, and correlation analysis between TOC and water quality parameters was conducted. The concentrations of TOC were positively correlated with Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), TN (Total Nitrogen), Water Temperature (WT) and Electric Conductivity (EC). From these results, simple and multiple regression models for TOC estimation were developed as follows : $TOC=0.5809{\times}BOD+3.1557$, $TOC=0.4365{\times}COD+1.3731$. As a result of the application evaluation of the developed regression models, the multiple regression model was found to estimate TOC better than simple regression models.

Robust 2D human upper-body pose estimation with fully convolutional network

  • Lee, Seunghee;Koo, Jungmo;Kim, Jinki;Myung, Hyun
    • Advances in robotics research
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2018
  • With the increasing demand for the development of human pose estimation, such as human-computer interaction and human activity recognition, there have been numerous approaches to detect the 2D poses of people in images more efficiently. Despite many years of human pose estimation research, the estimation of human poses with images remains difficult to produce satisfactory results. In this study, we propose a robust 2D human body pose estimation method using an RGB camera sensor. Our pose estimation method is efficient and cost-effective since the use of RGB camera sensor is economically beneficial compared to more commonly used high-priced sensors. For the estimation of upper-body joint positions, semantic segmentation with a fully convolutional network was exploited. From acquired RGB images, joint heatmaps accurately estimate the coordinates of the location of each joint. The network architecture was designed to learn and detect the locations of joints via the sequential prediction processing method. Our proposed method was tested and validated for efficient estimation of the human upper-body pose. The obtained results reveal the potential of a simple RGB camera sensor for human pose estimation applications.

설문조사를 통한 신규 통신서비스의 수요예측 방안

  • 김지표;홍정식;안재경;강원철;이병철;한권훈
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1998년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.245-248
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, as a forecasting method, the market survey for forecasting demand is introduced for the estimation of subscriber line demand in the optical access networks. The market survey method for the new multimedia services is attempted to collect information directly from customers using the questionnaires for home-users and business-users in local loops. Analysis rationale of questionnaires is suggested to estimate the number of subscriber lines. Also, two measures are presented to quantify the credibility on survey responses; one is the probability that the customer will use the multimedia services and the other is the rate that the subscriber line demand will be actually realized. The former measure is calculated based on the information on customers and the Logit analysis. The latter is obtained by the degree of customer's knowledge about specific services and the customer's willingness to use the services. Based on the values of two measures, the number of subscriber line demand can be developed for installing the optical access networks.

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