• 제목/요약/키워드: delphi method

검색결과 642건 처리시간 0.029초

델파이 기법을 이용한 초고층 건축시공의 공사비 상승요인 분석방법에 관한 연구 (Analysis of Cost-Increasing Factors in High-rise Building Construction Projects Using Delphi Method)

  • 이병훈;진현수;김경훈;김재준
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
    • /
    • pp.105-109
    • /
    • 2010
  • Nowadays, the construction of high-rise building is rapidly increasing. There are many cost-increasing factors to the management in the high-rise building construction. For large and complex projects like the high-rise building construction, the more systematic methods and tools are needed for cost control. It is important to identify major cost control items and to manage them for effective cost management in the high-rise building construction. This study proposes a method of identifying major cost-increasing factors in the high-rise building construction based on the Delphi method.

  • PDF

델파이방법을 이용한 저탄소 농촌마을 계획기술에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of Planning Technique in Low Carbon Rural Village by Using Delphi Method)

  • 김은자;이창훈;임창수;최진아;이정원
    • 농촌계획
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-45
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to develop planning technique for low carbon rural village planning. planning techniques (169 cases : waterside Technique 87, inland Technique 82) were extracted through a various previous studies and literature. planning techniques of 43 cases for low carbon rural village have been developed by the importance validity evaluation for planning techniques using the Delphi Method. Developed techniques can be utilized to plan low carbon rural village for Sustainable Rural Development. In addition, these techniques will be able to contribute to recognition of the need about low carbon rural village and the development of national green strategy.

산후풍 진단 기준 개정 위한 델파이조사 결과 (A Delphi Survey for the Revision of the Diagnostic Criteria for Sanhupung (Puerperal Wind Disorder, U32.7))

  • 최수지;김동일
    • 대한한방부인과학회지
    • /
    • 제35권2호
    • /
    • pp.42-53
    • /
    • 2022
  • Objectives: The definition of Sanhupung (Puerperal wind disorder) has been varied and there has been a prior study to establish the definition, but no clear conclusion has been reached on diagnostic criteria. Therefore, the aim of this study was to clearly redefine the definition of Sanhupung using the Delphi method. Methods: This study used the Delphi technique. A panel consisting of 13 experts of Korean medicine, particularly in Obstetrics & Gynecology, participated in the Delphi survey that included answering the 3rd round survey. The Delphi survey was conducted by evaluating and correcting the questionnaire using e-mail. Results: Through the Delphi survey, we have reached an agreement regarding the diagnostic criteria of Sanhupung. They are as follows: 1) Sanhupung can be diagnosed based on basic symptoms. If one or more symptoms are expressed in the basic symptom group, it can be diagnosed as Sanhupung. It is diagnosed in detail as a pain type or a sensory impairment type according to the category of basic symptoms. 2) Incidental symptoms are not essential for diagnosis, and are referred to for checking general weakness and autonomic nervous system conditions. 3) In order to meet the diagnostic criteria, the symptoms should occur within 6 months after childbirth or miscarriage, and the cause of the symptoms should not be classified as other diseases. Conclusions: The diagnostic criteria of Sanhupung were suggested based on the Delphi survey among experts in the field. Further research is necessary to improve the reliability and validity of the criteria.

소아 식욕부진의 한의표준임상진료지침 개발을 위한 델파이 연구 (A Delphi Study of Korean Medicine for Anorexia in Children for Clinical Practice Guidelines)

  • 방미란;이선행;장규태
    • 대한한방소아과학회지
    • /
    • 제38권2호
    • /
    • pp.21-31
    • /
    • 2024
  • Objectives This study aimed to develop consensus-based recommendations for establishing standard clinical practice guidelines for pediatric anorexia through the utilization of a Delphi study. Methods We analyzed existing randomized controlled trials for pediatric anorexia treatment using the Delphi method-a structured process for achieving consensus among a panel of experts. A questionnaire was distributed among a select panel of nine specialists in the field. Results The initial Delphi round led to consensus on 30 distinct recommendations; however, consensus was not reached for 19 other recommendations, prompting a second Delphi round. In the subsequent round, adjustments were made based on feedback from the initial round, and deliberations were held on recommendations that previously lacked consensus. Following these adjustments, consensus was achieved on all recommendations. Additionally, a third Delphi iteration was conducted to address three specific queries that required amendment due to a reevaluation of the evidence levels of certain recommendations. In total, three Delphi rounds were carried out to produce informed recommendations related to the diagnosis, treatment, and general management of anorexia. Conclusions This investigation successfully generated evidence-based recommendations for the diagnosis and treatment of pediatric anorexia. The recommendations encompassed various practices, including herbal medicine, acupuncture, moxibustion, cupping, and Chuna manual therapy, which can be integrated into clinical settings.

식초 음료의 품질평가지표 개발에 관한 연구 - 델파이 및 AHP 기법을 중심으로 - (The Development of Quality Evaluation Index of Vinegar Beverage - Using Delphi Method and Analytical Hierarchical Process(AHP) -)

  • 김지형;고재윤;유은이
    • 한국조리학회지
    • /
    • 제22권4호
    • /
    • pp.288-301
    • /
    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 건강 음료로써 식초 음료 시장의 확대에 기여하고자 전문가들을 대상으로 설문하여 델파이와 AHP를 적용하여 식초 음료의 주된 요소들을 유형화, 계층화하였다. 따라서 문헌 연구와 전문가들의 브레인 스토밍을 통해 상위 개념인 원료, 생산방법, 제품특징, 기능성, 패키지 디자인의 5가지에 대해 개방형 설문으로 1차 델파이를 실시하였는데, 그 결과 하위 개념 50개를 도출하였고, 상위 개념으로 마케팅 1개를 추가하였다. 이렇게 1차 델파이에서 도출된 50개의 개념을 폐쇄형 설문으로 2차, 3차 델파이를 실시하였고, 의견의 일치성을 객관적으로 파악하고자 켄달의 W 검증을 실시한 결과, 2차 델파이에서는 11개 항목이 제거되었고, 3차 델파이에서는 16개 항목이 제거되어 총 23개 문항을 도출하였다. 마지막으로 델파이를 통해 도출된 23개 문항의 상대적 중요도를 파악하고자 쌍대 비교를 실시하여 각 항목 간 우선순위를 도출하여 식초 음료의 품질 평가 시, 중요하게 고려해야할 항목을 구성하였다.

AHP기법을 이용한 건설노동생산성 저하요인 분석에 관한 연구 (The Study on the Analysis of Factors Decreasing Construction Labor-Productivity Using AHP Method)

  • 표영민;배수용;유형한;이상범
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건축시공학회 2005년도 춘계 학술기술논문발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.141-147
    • /
    • 2005
  • Usually, processing whole project or a part of frame work delays due to acceleration, changing orders, management, characters of project. overtime, worker crowding, early occupation in the field of construction. Through a whole project, these factors cause decreasing construction labor-productivity which is the most dependent in business of construction. These kind of decreasing of construction labor-productivity cause many negative effects, just as extension of time, increasing cost in project of construction. Regardless of characters of construction or decreasing labor-productivity, extension of time is a incident which needs acceleration, also it cause a high possibility of claim and dispute. The productivity has just a broad meaning in business of construction. That's why it's difficult to apply in the field of construction. Especially, factors increasing or decreasing labor-productivity is defined by analysis of working as qualitative and outlined evaluation. However, study of the each factor decreasing construction labor-productivity analysis has not researched, because of difficulty of systematic measurement and management. The existed studies about management of productivity are just focused on estimation of productivity, not on evaluation of productivity. It was true that I couldn't examine clearly about the analysis of how much important per each the factor which have influence on labor-productivity because of the characteristic as qualitative that the labor productivity have On this study, i tried to get the factors decreasing of labor- productivity with gathering opinions of panels of expert's studies about the factors decreasing of labor-productivity on project of construction through Delphi method and i evaluated the result factors as quantitatively and subjectively about importance of factors decreasing construction labor-productivity Analysis, using AHP Method by Saaty. Also, using Delphi and AHP method, 1 suggest substantiated method qualitative factors are measured by quantitative criteria.

  • PDF

생물자원 전통지식 추출을 위한 델파이조사의 신뢰성 연구 (Reliability of Delphi survey for traditional knowledge on agricultural resources)

  • 이기훈;송미장;김현
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.947-956
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 문헌 및 현장에서 얻은 생물자원지식들의 가치를 평가하기 위해 전문가들을 대상으로 실시한 델파이 조사 (Delphi method)의 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 델파이조사는 전문가들이 다른 사람의 의견과 관계없이 독립적으로 전문성 있는 평가를 내린 다음에 다음 단계에서 다른 전문가들의 의견을 참고하며 자신의 의견을 수정하는 절차를 갖는다. 본 연구에서는 문헌에서 얻은 전통지식 100건, 현장에서 취득한 지식 100건 등, 모두 200건을 우선 선정한 후 전문가 6인을 선정하여 각 지식의 가치에 대하여 두 차례 평가하도록 하였다. 그 결과 두 차례의 평가점수는 연관성이 매우 높으면서 2차에서는 다른 전문가들의 의견을 수용해 어느 정도 자체수정이 발생하여 각 문항에 대한 평가점수의 표준편차가 줄어들었다. 본 조사의 신뢰성 (reliability)을 파악하기 위해 일반적인 신뢰도 계수인 크론바하 알파와 함께 일반화가능도 (generalizability) 계수를 구하였다. 이 두 신뢰도 분석을 통해 2차 평가 후 평가의 신뢰도가 상승하여 전문가에 의한 델파이 조사의 신뢰도가 매우 높다는 사실을 지지하였으나 일반화 가능도 분석 결과를 해석하는 과정에서 다른 결과를 유추할 수 있었다. 신뢰도계수가 증가하였음에도 불구하고 평가자간의 편차는 증가하여 신뢰도가 높아진 것은 평가가 상향되고 평균에 회귀하는 경향으로 잔차변동이 줄어서이지 평가자간의 의견수렴이 이루어진 결과로 볼 수는 없다는 사실이었다. 이러한 결과를 토대로 신뢰도 계수와 함께 평가자 간의 분산을 파악하여 델파이조사의 추가적인 단계 (round)가 필요함을 제시하였다.

항만과 수로의 제한속력 설정 모델 개발에 관한 연구(I) - 제한속력 설정을 위한 고려요소 식별 - (Development of the Speed Limit Model for Harbour and Waterway(I) - Considerations Discrimination for Speed Limit Decision -)

  • 김득봉;정재용;박진수;박영수
    • 해양환경안전학회지
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.171-178
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 제한속력 설정 모델 개발을 위한 1차 연구로서 제한속력 설정 시 고려요소에는 어떤 것이 있으며, 각 요소별 중요도는 얼마나 되는지에 대한 연구의 결과이다. 고려요소 식별과 중요도 산정을 위해 델파이(Delphi)기법과 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)기법을 이용하였다. 델파이 설문은 3차에 걸쳐 수행하였고 3차에 걸친 설문을 통해 5개 상위요소(Level 1)와 23개 하위요소(Level 2)가 식별되었다. 3차 델파이 설문과정에서 내용타당도비율(CVR)값이 0.4~1.0 범위에 있으면 제한속력 설정 시 고려요소로서 반영하였고 0.4 미만의 값은 고려요소에서 제외하였다. 2차 델파이 설문과정에서 33개 고려요소가 식별되었으나 3차 설문을 통해 23개 항목으로 축소되었다. 델파이 3차 분석을 통해 얻은 23개 항목을 대상으로 AHP 설문을 수행하였다. AHP 설문 결과, 5개 상위요소(Level 1)에 대한 중요도는 교통조건이 가장 중요한 요소로 평가되었고, 선박조건, 항로조건, 자연조건, 외부지원 및 기타 조건 순으로 평가되었다. 23개 하위요소 중에서 시정이 가장 중요(1위)하다고 평가되었으며, 선박조종성능, 항로 내 수중장애물, 교통량 및 밀도, 통항선박간 거리, 타효가능속력, 조류 순으로 평가되었다.

근로자 예비 설문과 델파이기법을 활용한 건설현장 안전보건교육 개선 방향 분석 (Investigation of Safety and Health Education Improvement in Construction Sites using Delphi Technique and Workers' Survey)

  • 봉진균;원정훈
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제33권1호
    • /
    • pp.88-94
    • /
    • 2018
  • The improvement of safety and health education method in construction site was investigated through the survey for workers and delphi technique. The results of preliminary survey done for workers were analyzed using the multi variance analyses, and the questionnaires for delphi survey were composed based on the results of preliminary survey. Finally, the participatory safety and health education method was suggested. The result showed that most of workers were very interested in accident prevention and health. On the contrary, they did not actively participate in safety activities in sites including safety and health education. In order to improve workers' levels of safety consciousness and prevent the construction accident, the participatory safety and health education method that construction workers directly examine and give presentations about accident causes and measures was suggested and verified by tests. One-way instructor-led safety and health education used widely and participatory safety and health education with workers were carried out by dividing participants into two groups. After education, the examination is done for two groups. The test results found that the average score of safety consciousness of the worker group that received participatory safety education was higher than that of the work group that received instructor-led safety education. And the Delphi technique utilizing experts was analyzed that participatory safety education has a great effect on improvement of workers' level of safety consciousness.

골관절염 대상자 자기관리를 위한 모바일앱 콘텐츠 개발: 델파이 조사를 활용하여 (Development of Mobile Application Contents for Self-management of Patients with Osteoarthritis: Using Delphi Method)

  • 박주영;손정태
    • 근관절건강학회지
    • /
    • 제26권3호
    • /
    • pp.307-318
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explore the essential contents of mobile application for self-management of patients with osteoarthritis through Delphi survey. Methods: The Delphi survey was conducted with 14 experts to determine the importance of contents in osteoarthritis self-management mobile application. Results: A total of 25 contents were finalized for the osteoarthritis self-management mobile application. The contents consisted of 7 items for daily living management, 8 items for disease information, 3 items for pain management, 6 items for exercise, and 1 item for weight management. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study, self-management mobile application can be developed and used as an interventional tool for patients with osteoarthritis.