• 제목/요약/키워드: decision-making in forest management

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Development of a Site Productivity Index and Yield Prediction Model for a Tilia amurensis Stand (피나무의 임지생산력지수 및 임분수확모델 개발)

  • Sora Kim;Jongsu Yim;Sunjung Lee;Jungeun Song;Hyelim Lee;Yeongmo Son
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.2
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to use national forest inventory data to develop a forest productivity index and yield prediction model of a Tilia amurensis stand. The site index displaying the forest productivity of the Tilia amurensis stand was developed as a Schumacher model, and the site index classification curve was generated from the model results; its distribution growth in Korea ranged from 8-16. The growth model using age as an independent variable for breast height and height diameter estimation was derived from the Chapman-Richards and Weibull model. The Fitness Indices of the estimation models were 0.32 and 0.11, respectively, which were generally low values, but the estimation-equation residuals were evenly distributed around 0, so we judged that there would be no issue in applying the equation. The stand basal area and site index of the Tilia amurensis stand had the greatest effect on the stand-volume change. These two factors were used to derive the Tilia amurensis stand yield model, and the model's determination coefficient was approximately 94%. After verifying the residual normality of the equation and autocorrelation of the growth factors in the yield model, no particular problems were observed. Finally, the growth and yield models of the Tilia amurensis stand were used to produce the makeshift stand yield table. According to this table, when the Tilia amurensis stand is 70 years old, the estimated stand-volume per hectare would be approximately 208 m3 . It is expected that these study results will be helpful for decision-making of Tilia amurensis stands management, which have high value as a forest resource for honey and timber.

Assessment of Expansion Characteristics and Classification of Distribution Types for Bamboo Forests Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 대나무류 분포 유형 구분 및 확산 특성 평가)

  • YOO, Byung-Oh;PARK, Joon-Hyung;PARK, Yong-Bae;JUNG, Su-Young;LEE, Kwang-Soo;KIM, Choon-Sig
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2017
  • In order to assess the spatial and dynamic changes in bamboo forests, this study used the national-level spatial data between 1980 and 2010 to extract spatial information of bamboo forests through GIS technology. The results showed that the distribution types were mainly expansion, normal, mixed, damage, and separation. In case of mixed bamboo forest in the Sacheon region, the expansion characteristics were: area 2.5 ha, velocity 0.08 ha/yr, and distance 1.1 m/yr. The Phyllostachys pubescens forest in the Geojae region showed the following characteristics: area 1.9 ha, velocity 0.06 ha/yr, and distance 0.9 m/yr with where along from valley to ridge. This approach could provide a valuable tool for decision-making and implementations such as the bamboo forest management plan, environmental impact assessment for a preventing the bamboo expansion, and sustainable managing the bamboo resources.

Considering Households' Occupation and Their View towards Forest Conservation (가구 생업과 그에 따른 삼림보호 인식에 관한 고찰)

  • Panta, Menaka;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Lee, Chol-Young
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2009
  • 100 households' survey was carried out in 2007 in Chitwan to foresee the people's livelihood and their insight into the forest conservation. This analysis revealed that households' was mainly survived with multiple livelihood categories where 98% citizens belong to food crops and 92% to livestock husbandry. The households' income shared by agriculture (crop and livestock), forest and remittance was 37% and 20% respectively. Results further showed that income distribution was somehow equal with Gini coefficient 0.25 than with the 0.37 of landholdings size. But, average per capita income of households was lower than the national standard with 33% of households below the poverty thresholds and 0.0945 poverty gap index. Similarly, 85% respondents assured for the current degraded status of forest and 83% of households for not participated in forest management activities due to low awareness in 82% households. These findings shows the forest assets could be unduly degraded in the past and forest availability which is extracting from the remaining forest is also decreasing in the area. Thus, tendency of forest dependency has been shifting to the small scale farming, other livelihood sources such as local business and services. This information could be useful in planning and decision-making process in searching of better alternative for the local livelihood as well as sustainable forest conservation strategy.

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Real-time prediction on the slurry concentration of cutter suction dredgers using an ensemble learning algorithm

  • Han, Shuai;Li, Mingchao;Li, Heng;Tian, Huijing;Qin, Liang;Li, Jinfeng
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2020.12a
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    • pp.463-481
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    • 2020
  • Cutter suction dredgers (CSDs) are widely used in various dredging constructions such as channel excavation, wharf construction, and reef construction. During a CSD construction, the main operation is to control the swing speed of cutter to keep the slurry concentration in a proper range. However, the slurry concentration cannot be monitored in real-time, i.e., there is a "time-lag effect" in the log of slurry concentration, making it difficult for operators to make the optimal decision on controlling. Concerning this issue, a solution scheme that using real-time monitored indicators to predict current slurry concentration is proposed in this research. The characteristics of the CSD monitoring data are first studied, and a set of preprocessing methods are presented. Then we put forward the concept of "index class" to select the important indices. Finally, an ensemble learning algorithm is set up to fit the relationship between the slurry concentration and the indices of the index classes. In the experiment, log data over seven days of a practical dredging construction is collected. For comparison, the Deep Neural Network (DNN), Long Short Time Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and the Bayesian Ridge algorithm are tried. The results show that our method has the best performance with an R2 of 0.886 and a mean square error (MSE) of 5.538. This research provides an effective way for real-time predicting the slurry concentration of CSDs and can help to improve the stationarity and production efficiency of dredging construction.

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Estimation of Stand Growth and CO2 Removals for Juglans mandshurica Plantations in ChungJu, Chungcheongbuk-do in Korea (충북 충주지역 가래나무의 임목생장량 및 이산화탄소 흡수량 추정)

  • Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Rae Hyun;Kim, Young Hwan;Lee, Kyeong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.6
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    • pp.646-651
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    • 2009
  • In this study, it was intended to prepare a stem volume table (with or without bark) and a stand yield table for Juglans mandshurica, plantations in Chungju, located in Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea. For the calculation of stem volume, we applied Kozak's growth model, which showed the best fitness index (97%). With this model, it was able to prepare the first yield table for Juglans mandshurica in Korea. Site index model, an indicator of forest productivity, was derived by using the Chapman-Richard model, in which the basic stand age was set to 30 years. The resulted site index ranged between 16 and 22. Based on the yield table of Juglans mandshurica resulted from this study, the volume for a 70-year-old stand with a midium site index class was estimated to be $238m^3/ha$, which is $100m^3/ha$ higher than the volume estimated from the yield table of Quercus acutissima. The yield table of oak trees has been used in the estimation of most broadleaf stands in Korea. However, the result of this study indicated that it is necessary to generate a stand yield table for each broadleaf species. The annual $CO_2$ removals of 30-year-old Juglans mandshurica plantations in the ChungJu region was estimated to be $5.84tCO_2/ha$. The stem volume and stand yield table of Juglans mandshurica plantation resulted from this study would provide a good information in decision making for forest management in ChungJu region.

Analysis of influential factors of cyanobacteria in the mainstream of Nakdong river using random forest (랜덤포레스트를 이용한 낙동강 본류의 남조류 발생 영향인자 분석)

  • Jung, Woo Suk;Kim, Sung Eun;Kim, Young Do
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the main influencing factors of the occurrence of cyanobacteria at each of the eight Multifunctional weirs were derived using a random forest, and a categorical prediction model based on a Algal bloom warning system was developed. As a result of examining the importance of variables in the random forest, it was found that the upstream points were directly affected by weir operation during the occurrence of cyanobacteria. This means that cyanobacteria can be managed through efficient security management. DO and E.C were indicated as major influencers in midstream. The midstream section is a section where large-scale industrial complexes such as Gumi and Gimcheon are concentrated as well as the emissions of basic environmental facilities have a great influence. During the period of heatwave and drought, E.C increases along with the discharge of environmental facilities discharged from the basin, which promotes the outbreak of cyanobacteria. Those monitoring sites located in the middle and lower streams are areas that are most affected by heat waves and droughts, and therefore require preemptive management in preparation for the outbreak of cyanobacteria caused by drought in summer. Through this study, the characteristics of cyanobacteria at each point were analyzed. It can provide basic data for policy decision-making for customized cyanobacteria management.

Modeling the Effects of Forest Management Scenarios on Aboveground Biomass and Wood Production: A Study in Mt. Gariwang, South Korea (산림경영활동에 따른 수종별 지상부생물량 및 목재생산량 변화 모델링: 가리왕산 모델숲을 대상으로)

  • Wonhee Cho;Wontaek Lim;Won Il Choi;Hee Moon Yang;Dongwook W. Ko
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.2
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    • pp.173-187
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    • 2023
  • The forest protection policies implemented in South Korea have resulted in the significant accumulation of forest. Moreover, the associated public interest has also been closely evaluated. As forests mature, there arises a need for forest management (FM) practices, such as thinning and harvesting. It is therefore essential to perform a scientific analysis of the long-term effects of FM. In this study, conducted in Mt. Gariwang, the effect of FM on forest succession and wood production (WP) were evaluated based on changes in aboveground biomass (AGB) using the LANDIS-II model. The FM consists of three scenarios (Selection, Shelterwood, and Two-stories), characterized based on the harvest intensity, frequency, and period. The model was applied to changes in the forest over 200 years. All scenarios show that the total AGB decreased immediately after thinning and harvesting. However, AGB recovery time differed among scenarios, with recovery to preharvest level occurring from 15 to 50 years after harvest; further, after 200 years, harvested forests had a greater total AGB than forests without FMs In particular, the changes in AGB of each species was different depending on its shade tolerance. The AGB of currently dominant shade-intolerant and mid-tolerant species decreased dramatically after harvesting. However, shade-tolerant species, dominant in the understory, continued to grow but were not harvested due to their small size. The cumulative WP for each scenario was estimated at 545.6, 141.6, and 299.9 tons/ha in Selection, Shelterwood, and Two-stories, respectively. The composition of WP differed according to harvest intensity and period. Most WP originated from shade-intolerant and mid-tolerant species in the early period. Later, most WP was from shade-tolerant species, which became dominant. The modeling approach used in this study is capable of analyzing the long-term effects of FM on changes in forests and WP. This study can contribute to decision making to guide FM methods for a variety of purposes, including WP and controlling forest composition and structure.

Taper Equations and Stem Volume Table of Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium Plantations in Indonesia (인도네시아 유칼립투스 및 아카시아 조림지의 수간곡선식 및 수간재적표 조제)

  • Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Hoon;Lee, Ho Young;Kim, Cheol Min;Kim, Cheol Sang;Kim, Jae Weon;Joo, Rin Won;Lee, Kyeong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.6
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    • pp.633-638
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to develop stem taper equations and stem volume tables for Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations in Kalimantan, Indonesia. To derive a most adequate taper equation for the plantations, three models - Max & Burkhart, Kozak, and Lee models - were applied and their fitness were statistically analyzed by using fitness index, bias, and standard error of bias. The result showed that there is no significant difference between the three models, but the fitness index was slightly higher in the Kozak model. Therefore, the Kozak model was chosen for generating stem taper equations and stem volume tables for the Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations. The resulted stem volume table was compared to the local volume table used in Kalimantan regions, but no significant difference was found in the stem volume estimation. It is expected that the results of this study would provide a good information about the tree growth in abroad plantations and support a reliable decision-making for their management.

Nature-based Solutions for Climate-Adaptive Water Management: Conceptual Approaches and Challenges (기후변화대응 물관리를 위한 자연기반해법의 개념적 체계와 정책적 과제)

  • Park, Yujin;Oh, Jeill
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.177-189
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    • 2022
  • Nature-based Solutions (NbS) are defined as practical and technical approaches to restoring functioning ecosystems and biodiversity as a means to address socio-environmental challenges and provide human-nature co-benefits. This study reviews NbS-related literature to identify its key characteristics, techniques, and challenges for its application in climate-adaptive water management. The review finds that NbS has been commonly used as an umbrella term incorporating a wide range of existing ecosystem-based approaches such as low-impact development (LID), best management practices (BMP), forest landscape restoration (FLR), and blue-green infrastructure (BGI), rather than being a uniquely-situated practice. Its technical form and operation can vary significantly depending on the spatial scale (small versus large), objective (mitigation, adaptation, naturalization), and problem (water supply, quality, flooding). Commonly cited techniques include green spaces, permeable surfaces, wetlands, infiltration ponds, and riparian buffers in urban sites, while afforestation, floodplain restoration, and reed beds appear common in non- and less-urban settings. There is a greater lack of operational clarity for large-scale NbS than for small-scale NbS in urban areas. NbS can be a powerful tool that enables an integrated and coordinated action embracing not only water management, but also microclimate moderation, ecosystem conservation, and emissions reduction. This study points out the importance of developing decision-making guidelines that can inform practitioners of the selection, operation, and evaluation of NbS for specific sites. The absence of this framework is one of the obstacles to mainstreaming NbS for water management. More case studies are needed for empirical assessment of NbS.

Basic Research for the Efficient Management and Operation of Biosphere Reserves -: A Case Study of the Gwangneung Forest Biosphere Reserve - (생물권보전지역의 효율적 관리·운영방안 마련을 위한 기초연구 -광릉숲 생물권보전지역 사례로)

  • Chan-Young Park;Sung-Jin Yeom
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.453-464
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    • 2023
  • To this day, conflicts have intensified between managers who want to preserve biosphere reserves and citizen who want to develop them. Based on this problem, this study seeks to investigate the establishment of a forum for communication between various stakeholders and to promote the economic development of local communities while preserving biodiversity. First, in terms of conservation, the results indicated that Gyeonggi Province and Namyangju City highly valued direct conservation activities in biosphere reserves, whereas Pocheon and Uijeongbu City highly valued indirect conservation functions through management or monitoring. Second, in terms of development, it was found that there were differences in the roles, perceptions and responsibilities with respect to biosphere reserves among the different layers of government: the central government agency, the Cultural Heritage Administration, the metropolitan government, Gyeonggi-do, and the local governments, Pocheon, Namyangju, and Uijeongbu. Third, in terms of logistical support, which serves as a function for communication and practical participation among management entities, the results suggested that it was necessary to establish a comprehensive decision-making organization for efficient management and operation and to provide opportunities for active participation. The study can be utilized as a basic reference for developing efficient communication by management entities in protected areas with similar challenges.