• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision criteria

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A Study on the Budget Allocation to Public Health Programs Using Matrix Delphi Technique (매트릭스 구성 델파이법을 이용한 공공보건사업 예산배분 연구)

  • 장원기;정경래
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2000
  • This study was conducted to get a resonable set of budget allocation to public health programs. Matrix Delphi technique was used to obtain the logic of study results and eventually to form a human model which could predict opinion of professionals on budget allocation. Thirty-two professionals in academic and governmental area responded to Delphi survey. Questionnaire was developed using matrix formation, and the matrix was formed by 6 decision criteria on budget allocation and 26 public health programs. The decision criteria are as following: size of problem(morbidity), severity of problem, social equity, importance of prevention, technical feasibility and efficiency of programs. Severity of problem dropped out of the model because it had significant correlation with the size of problem. A total score of each program was obtained by weighting the relative importance of each criteria which also were given by survey respondents. These total scores indicate that the most important public health program is vaccination for infants and children in terms of budget allocation. Monitoring communicable diseases, mental health program, and anti-smoking program are the next. In addition, respondents were asked of the desirable budget size of each program. The result was rearranged by multiple regression model using the scores of each decision criteria. In this process, the current budget size of central government was provided to the respondents, and included in the model. h set of desirable budgets modified using tile model was obtained. Considering the current size of budget, tile results of the model is very different from that of the total score. Managing dementia is ranked the first. Health promotion program for the elderly, rehabilitation of the disabled and monitoring communicable diseases are the next. The need to increase the budget of vaccination for the infants and children was not found as so high. The matrix structure in Delphi survey gave us the precise basis to make optimal decision, and made it possible to develop an opinion predicting model. However the plentifulness and diversity of professional opinions were not fully obtained due to the limited number of decision criteria.

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Decision-making Reliability Estimation Model based on Building Construction Project Participants' Experience

  • Kim, Chang-Won;Kim, Baek-Joong;Yoo, Wisung;Cho, Hunhee;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.148-158
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    • 2013
  • Generally, building construction projects have a complex decision-making process because of the participation of various agents. In this situation, a final decision is arrived at by relying on subjective judgments based on the experience of project participants. For this reason, a method of assessing the objectivity of opinions is needed. In previous studies, the multi-criteria decision making method was applied to arrive at a final decision objectively, but this method has a limitation, in that the experience of each decision maker is not considered differently in the decision making process. Therefore, this study proposed a theoretical model using the S-shaped growth curve and regression analysis by building construction project type to quantitatively estimate decision-making reliability according to the experience of individual project participant`s. The developed model could be added to the Multi-criteria decision making method, and secure the objectivity and reliability of project participants' final opinion.

Reliable monitoring of embankment dams with optimal selection of geotechnical instruments

  • Masoumi, Isa;Ahangari, Kaveh;Noorzad, Ali
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.85-105
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    • 2017
  • Monitoring is the most important part of the construction and operation of the embankment dams. Applied instruments in these dams should be determined based on dam requirements and specifications. Instruments selection considered as one of the most important steps of monitoring plan. Competent instruments selection for dams is very important, as inappropriate selection causes irreparable loss in critical condition. Lack of a systematic method for determining instruments has been considered as a problem for creating an efficient selection. Nowadays, decision making methods have been used widely in different sciences for optimal determination and selection. In this study, the Multi-Attribute Decision Making is applied by considering 9 criteria and categorisation of 8 groups of geotechnical instruments. Therefore, the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Multi-Criteria Optimisation and Compromise Solution methods are employed in order to determine the attributes' importance weights and to prioritise of instruments for embankment dams, respectively. This framework was applied for a rock fill with clay core dam. The results indicated that group decision making optimizes the selection and prioritisation of monitoring instruments for embankment dams, and selected instruments are reliable based on the dam specifications.

Dominance, Potential Optimality, and Strict Preference Information in Multiple Criteria Decision Making

  • Park, Kyung-Sam;Shin, Dong-Eun
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.63-84
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    • 2011
  • The ordinary multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) approach requires two types of input, alternative values and criterion weights, and employs two schemes of alternative prioritization, dominance and potential optimality. This paper allows for incomplete information on both types of input and gives rise to the dominance relationships and potential optimality of alternatives. Unlike the earlier studies, we emphasize that incomplete information frequently takes the form of strict inequalities, such as strict orders and strict bounds, rather than weak inequalities. Then the issues of rising importance include: (1) The standard mathematical programming approach to prioritize alternatives cannot be used directly, because the feasible region for the permissible decision parameters becomes an open set. (2) We show that the earlier methods replacing the strict inequalities with weak ones, by employing a small positive number or zeroes, which closes the feasible set, may cause a serious problem and yield unacceptable prioritization results. Therefore, we address these important issues and develop a useful and simple method, without selecting any small value for the strict preference information. Given strict information on both types of decision parameters, we first construct a nonlinear program, transform it into a linear programming equivalent, and finally solve it via a two-stage method. An application is also demonstrated herein.

A Study on the Evaluation & Selection of Multimedia Authoring Tools using the AHP (AHP 기법을 이용한 멀티미디어 저작도구 평가 및 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Sim Sang-Chun;Kim Yong-Kyeom
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.191-213
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    • 2004
  • This study addresses the evaluation criteria of multimedia authoring tools(MATs), the way which decision-maker can exclude outlier matrix from group using the concept of the compatibility index, and how AHP can be applied to the selection of MATs in a group decision-making environment. The AHP technique allows an evaluator to quantify the relative importance of elements at each hierarchy and to calculate the composite relative weights for each product(i.e. MATs). This decision process allows setting to priority of the MATs based on the AHP. The results indicated that technical ability of MATs was the most significant factor in affecting their decision, trailed by managerial efficiency and vendor support. To the experts, multimedia data support was the less important than development interface. Also, the results indicated that product A(0.510) was their first choice, trailed by product C(0.286) and B(0.204). Assessing the composite relative weights revealed that expert group's members were consistent with the rankings of decision variables(evaluation criteria variables) statistically in selecting their MATs. Therefore, we believed that expert group's members have achieved sufficient agreement to permit the use of geometric mean to average the group's preference without obscuring the differences of individual opinions.

Multi-Criteria Group Decision Making under Imprecise Preference Judgments: Using Fuzzy Logic with Linguistic Quantifier

  • Choi, Duke-Hyun;Ahn, Byeong-Seok;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.557-567
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    • 2005
  • The increasing complexity of the socio-economic environments makes it less and less possible for single decision-maker to consider all relevant aspects of problem. Therefore are, many organizations employ groups in decision making. In this paper, we present a multiperson decision making method using fuzzy logic with linguistic quantifier when each of group members specifies imprecise judgments possibly both on performance evaluations of alternatives with respect to the multiperson criteria and on the criteria. Inexact or vague preferences have appeared in the decision making literatures with a view to relaxing the burdens of preference specifications imposed to the decision-makers and thus taking into account the vagueness of human judgments. Allowing for the types of imprecise judgments in the model, however, makes more difficult a clear selection of alternative(s) that a group wants to make. So, further interactions with the decision-makers may proceed to the extent to compensate for the initial comforts of preference specifications. These interaction may not however guarantee the selection of the best alternative to implement. To circumvent this deadlock situation, we present a procedure for obtaining a satisfying solution by the use of linguistic quantifier guided aggregation which implies fuzzy majority. This is an approach to combine a prescriptive decision method via a mathematical programming and a well-established approximate solution method to aggregate multiple objects.

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Comparative Evaluation of Multipurpose Reservoir Operating Rules Using Multicriterion Decision Analysis Techniques (다기준 의사 분석 기법에 의한 다목적 저수지의 운영율 평가)

  • Go, Seok-Gu;Lee, Gwang-Man;Go, Ik-Hwan
    • Water for future
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 1992
  • Selection of the best operation rule among a set of alternatives for a multipurpose reservoir system operation requires to evaluate many minor criteria I n addition to the major objectives assessed to the system, These problems are sufficiently complex and difficult that they are beyond heuristic decision rules and experiences in case several noncommensurable multiple criteria are included in the evaluation. With the assistance of multicriterion decision analysis techniques, it is possible to select the best one among various alternatives by systematically comparing and ranking the alternatives with respect to the criteria of choice. Evaluation criteria for multipurpose reservoir system operating rules were identified and defined, and the multicriterion decision analysis techniques were applied to evaluate the fore developed operating rules of the existing Chungju multipurpose project according to the identified nine multiple criteria. The application result shows that the methodology is very efficient to select the best operation alternative among a finite number of operating rules with many evaluation criteria for a large scale reservoir system operation.

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A Study on the Decision Making for Evaluating the Outworn Facility Replacement in Shipbuilding (조선 노후설비교체 타당성 분석을 위한 의사결정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Min-Woo;Ko, Dong-Chan;Park, Ju-Chull
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.310-317
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate and to develop a decision support system for supporting the outworn facility replacement analysis in shipbuilding. This paper also provides an information system which can be effectively applied to various criteria in decision making. The modelbase of decision support system uses the concepts of the analytic hierarchy process along with an appropriate scoring methods. The AHP represents an improvement over other well-known scoring approaches since the criteria weights of priorities established by the AHP are not based on arbitrary scales, but use a ratio scale for human judgements. The proposed methodology in this research enables the decision maker to evaluate the investment alternatives based on qualitative data and quantitative data in a systematic way.

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A study of constitution diagnosis using decision tree method (의사결정나무법을 이용한 체질진단에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Seop;Park, Seong-Sik;Park, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2001
  • By the increasing concern about Sasang Constitution Medicine, its practical use is considered very important in disease prevention and medical treatment. However, the method of constitution classification is depending on the doctor's clinical trials because of the lack of the objective test criteria. This study is trying to improve the objectiveness of diagnosis using a new statistical method, decision tree. Decision tree method-a classification technique in the statistical analysis- was used to analyze the result of QSCCII instead of using discriminant analysis. As a result, 16 among 121 QSCCII questions was selected as important questions and 21 terminal nodes was built to classify the constitution. Using only 16 questions shown in the result of decision tree, we can diagnose and interpret the constitution easily and effectively.

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Selecting optimized mix proportion of bagasse ash blended high performance concrete using analytical hierarchy process (AHP)

  • Praveenkumar, S.;Sankarasubramanian, G.;Sindhu, S.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.459-470
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    • 2019
  • Apart from strength properties, durability, toughness and workability are also important criteria in defining the performance of a concrete structure. Hence "High Performance Concrete (HPC)" is introduced. It is different from high strength concrete and can have various applications. In this paper, the properties (Mechanical and Durability) of High Performance Concrete blended with bagasse ash at 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% are studied. However, it is difficult to analyze the performance based on different properties obtained from different experiments. Hence it is necessary to combine all the criteria/properties into a single value to obtain a result by a technique called Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP).It is an effective tool for dealing with complex decision making, and may aid the decision maker to set priorities and make the best decision. In addition, the AHP incorporates a useful technique for checking the consistency of the decision maker?s evaluations, thus reducing the bias in the decision making process.