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A Bayesian Approach to Gumbel Mixture Distribution for the Estimation of Parameter and its use to the Rainfall Frequency Analysis (Bayesian 기법을 이용한 혼합 Gumbel 분포 매개변수 추정 및 강우빈도해석 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Hong-Geun;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.249-259
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    • 2018
  • More than half of annual rainfall occurs in summer season in Korea due to its climate condition and geographical location. A frequency analysis is mostly adopted for designing hydraulic structure under the such concentrated rainfall condition. Among the various distributions, univariate Gumbel distribution has been routinely used for rainfall frequency analysis in Korea. However, the distributional changes in extreme rainfall have been globally observed including Korea. More specifically, the univariate Gumbel distribution based rainfall frequency analysis is often fail to describe multimodal behaviors which are mainly influenced by distinct climate conditions during the wet season. In this context, we purposed a Gumbel mixture distribution based rainfall frequency analysis with a Bayesian framework, and further the results were compared to that of the univariate. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in describing underlying distributions, leading to the lower Bayesian information criterion (BIC) values. The mixed Gumbel distribution was more robust for describing the upper tail of the distribution which playes a crucial role in estimating more reliable estimates of design rainfall uncertainty occurred by peak of upper tail than single Gumbel distribution. Therefore, it can be concluded that the mixed Gumbel distribution is more compatible for extreme frequency analysis rainfall data with two or more peaks on its distribution.

A Study on the Korea Distribution Promotion Policy and Adjustment Policy (국내 유통진흥정책과 유통조정정책에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Dae-Yun;Kwon, Sung-Ku
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to systematically review the background of the Korean distribution promotion policy and distribution adjustment policies along with related regulations and policies. Research design, data, and methodology - Domestic distribution policy and relevant laws were examined through a review of existing research literature. The results of the development process of the domestic distribution policy, promotion policies, and adjustment policies are summarized below. Results - The results are summarized as follows. First, the purpose of the development of the domestic distribution promotion policy was to strengthen the competitiveness of the small and medium business industry through structural advancement of the small and medium industry. By expanding the managerial base for the small and medium industry, a new balance could be created in the national economy. There was a requirement for an early assistance policy for small and medium businesses as a base of these businesses in the distribution industry developed from their original model of catering to a traditional market of retail shops. Since 1996, there was a need for this early assistance policy due to the expansion and rapid growth of large scale stores causing a change in the consumption pattern for distribution markets and the decline of large enterprises. Second, the government supports small and medium business distribution through distribution promotion policies by supporting an organization promoting small business and supporting innovation in the distribution system. Third, in 1961 a business mediation system was established to protect small and medium industries. The Small and Medium Business Administration advises conglomerates to postpone acquisitions, restrain expansion of the business, or to reduce business scale if small businesses undergo an adverse effect such as decreasing demand because large companies are expanding into their areas. Fourth, the Distribution Adjustment Policy managed large-scale store regulation as follows: ① limitation on construction by urban planning ordinance, ② limitation on location based on traffic impact assessments, ③ regulation based on business guidelines by chiefs of autonomous bodies, ④ regulation on mandatory holidays and limitation of business hours. This large-scale store regulation is a policy introduced by authority to increase competitiveness of small and medium business distribution by the government. Conclusions - As discussed in this study, the distribution promotion policy and distribution adjustment policy are government distribution policies focused on the protection of the small and medium distribution businesses. This study is timely, since it was planned when the strengthening of the revisions of the Distribution Industry Development Act, aimed to protect small and medium retailers and merchants, was under discussion. The significance of this study is that it offers insights for the development of new policies in the future and an opportunity to consider the background of the distribution policy by the government.

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Subnet Generation Scheme based on Deep Learing for Healthcare Information Gathering (헬스케어 정보 수집을 위한 딥 러닝 기반의 서브넷 구축 기법)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Su
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2017
  • With the recent development of IoT technology, medical services using IoT technology are increasing in many medical institutions providing health care services. However, as the number of IoT sensors attached to the user body increases, the healthcare information transmitted to the server becomes complicated, thereby increasing the time required for analyzing the user's healthcare information in the server. In this paper, we propose a deep learning based health care information management method to collect and process healthcare information in a server for a large amount of healthcare information delivered through a user - attached IoT device. The proposed scheme constructs a subnet according to the attribute value by assigning an attribute value to the healthcare information transmitted to the server, and extracts the association information between the subnets as a seed and groups them into a hierarchical structure. The server extracts optimized information that can improve the observation speed and accuracy of user's treatment and prescription by using deep running of grouped healthcare information. As a result of the performance evaluation, the proposed method shows that the processing speed of the medical service operated in the healthcare service model is improved by 14.1% on average and the server overhead is 6.7% lower than the conventional technique. The accuracy of healthcare information extraction was 10.1% higher than the conventional method.

An Analysis on the Efficiency and Productivity for Major Mutual Financing Cooperatives in Korea (우리나라 상호금융조합의 효율성 및 생산성 분석)

  • Bae, Se-Young;Kim, Hee-Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.235-247
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    • 2020
  • The Mutual Financial Cooperatives(MFCs) in Korea need to make efforts to increase efficiency and productivity in order to secure stable and sustainable growth and competitiveness. Therefore, this study analyzes the efficiency and productivity of MFCs from 2012 to 2018 and suggests some implications. The methodology employed is a Dynamic-Network Slacks-Based Measure(DNSBM) Model. The findings from an empirical study include that first, on average efficiency scores of the institutions, NH(0.225) showed the highest overall efficiency, and followed by SH(0.128) and MG(0.126). After 2015, most of the MFCs' efficiency scores had risen until to 2018. Second, in divisional analysis, the inefficiency in creating the high profitability-stage had been greater than establishing-funds-stage. Third, in projection analysis of Division 2, the inefficiency of the output factors such as interest income and operating income was severe. Fourth, the results from the Malmquist Productivity Index analysis of Division 1 of the fist-stage illustrate that all three MFCs showed minus catch-up effects. Also, a soundness from reducing bad loans and expansion of loans in combination with generating various ways of creating profits besides the interest income is urgently needed for Korean MFCs.

Time-dependent Analysis of Reinforced and Prestressed Concrete Structures Incorporating Creep Recovery Function (크리프 회복 거동을 고려한 철근콘크리트 및 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 부재의 장기거동해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Se-Hoon;Oh, Byung-Hwan
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 1999
  • The creep of concrete structures caused by variable stresses is generally calculated by step-by-step method based on the superposition of creep function. Although most practical application is carried out by this linear assumption. significant deviations between predictions and experiments have been observed when unloading takes place, that is. stress is reduced. This shows that the superposition of creep function does not describe accurately the effect of sustained compressive preload. The main purpose of this study is to propose a creep analysis model which is expressed with both creep function and creep recovery function where increase or decrease of stress is repeated. In these two function method, the creep behavior is modelled by using linear creep law for loading and creep recovery law for unloading. To apply two function method to time analysis of concrete structures, the calculation method of creep strain increment under varying stress is proposed. The calculation results based on the present method correlates very well with test data, but the conventional superposition method exhibits large deviation from test results. This paper provides a more accurate method for the time dependent analysis of concrete structures subjected to varying stress, i.e. increasing or decreasing stress. The present method may be efficiently employed in the revision of future concrete codes.

Estimation of Carbon Sequestration and Its Profit Analysis with Different Application Rates of Biochar during Corn Cultivation Periods (옥수수 재배기간 동안 바이오차 시용 수준에 따른 탄소 격리량 산정 및 이익 분석)

  • Shin, JoungDu;Choi, Yong-Su;Lee, SunIl
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2016
  • Despite the ability of biochar to enhance soil fertility and to mitigate greenhouse gas, its carbon sequestration and profit analysis with arable land application have been a few evaluated. This study was conducted to estimate carbon sequestration and to evaluate profit of greenhouse gas mitigation during corn cultivation periods. For the experiment, the biochar application rates were consisted of pig compost(non application), 2,600(0.2%), 13,000(1%), and 26,000(2%) kg/ha based on pig compost application. For predicting soil carbon sequestration of biochar application, it was appeared to be linear model of Y = 0.5523X - 742.57 ($r^2=0.939^{**}$). Based on this equation, soil carbon sequestration by 0.2, 1 and 2% biochar application was estimated to be 1,235, 3,978, and 14,794 kg/ha, and their mitigations of $CO_2$-eq. emissions were estimated to be 4.5, 14.6, and 54.2 ton/ha, respectively. Their profits were estimated at $14.6 for lowest and $452 for highest. In Korea Climate Exchange, it was estimated that the market price of $CO_2$ in corn cultivation periods with 0.2, 1 and 2% biochar application was $35.6, $115.3 and $428.2 per hectare, respectively. For the plant growth response, it was observed that plant height and fresh ear yield were not significantly different among the treatments. Therefore, these experimental results might be fundamental data for assuming a carbon trading mechanism exists for biochar soil application in agricultural practices.

Effects of Bispectral Index Monitoring Based Sedative Administration on Conscious Sedation, Physiological Stability and Recovery Time in Patients Receiving Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection (이중분광계수 모니터기반 진정제 투여가 내시경 점막하 박리술 환자의 의식하 진정상태, 생리적 안정성 및 회복시간에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Mi Jeong;Hwang, Moon Sook;Lim, Hyun Sook;Park, Mi Ok;Huh, Ji Won;Kang, Ki Joo;Kim, Jae Jun;Cho, Myung Sook
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.284-295
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to clarify effects of bispectral index monitoring sedative administration, compared to MOAA/S (Modified Observer's Assessment of Alertness and Sedation), on conscious sedation, physiological stability and recovery time for patients undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection. Methods: Participants In this study were patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection because of early gastric cancer. Participants were assigned randomly to an experimental group receiving sedatives based on bispectral index monitoring or to a control group with the MOAA/S instrument. Movements, belching, memory, pain, discomfort, physiological stability (MBP, PR, $SpO_2$), and recovery time were measured during the treatment and recovery. Data were analyzed using Spearman partial correlation coefficient analysis, Mixed model and Wilcoxon rank sum test to determine differences in the parameters. Results: There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups for conscious sedation(movement, belching, memory, pain, or discomfort), physiological stability and recovery time. Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that no differences were found between the two types of monitoring. Thus, use of a bispectral index monitor in clinical practice enabling medical staff to readily assess the conscious sedation of for these patients is expected to be increasingly used as an objective assessment tool for conscious sedation for patient safety.

Estimation of Road-Network Performance and Resilience According to the Strength of a Disaster (재난 강도에 따른 도로 네트워크의 성능 및 회복력 산정 방안)

  • Jung, Hoyong;Choi, Seunghyun;Do, Myungsik
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : This study examines the performance changes of road networks according to the strength of a disaster, and proposes a method for estimating the quantitative resilience according to the road-network performance changes and damage scale. This study also selected high-influence road sections, according to disasters targeting the road network, and aimed to analyze their hazard resilience from the network aspect through a scenario analysis of the damage recovery after a disaster occurred. METHODS : The analysis was conducted targeting Sejong City in South Korea. The disaster situation was set up using the TransCAD and VISSIM traffic-simulation software. First, the study analyzed how road-network damage changed the user's travel pattern and travel time, and how it affected the complete network. Secondly, the functional aspects of the road networks were analyzed using quantitative resilience. Finally, based on the road-network performance change and resilience, priority-management road sections were selected. RESULTS : According to the analysis results, when a road section has relatively low connectivity and low traffic, its effect on the complete network is insignificant. Moreover, certain road sections with relatively high importance can suffer a performance loss from major damage, for e.g., sections where bridges, tunnels, or underground roads are located, roads where no bypasses exist or they exist far from the concerned road, including entrances and exits to suburban areas. Relatively important roads have the potential to significantly degrade the network performance when a disaster occurs. Because of the high risk of delays or isolation, they may lead to secondary damage. Thus, it is necessary to manage the roads to maintain their performance. CONCLUSIONS : As a baseline study to establish measures for traffic prevention, this study considered the performance of a road network, selected high-influence road sections within the road network, and analyzed the quantitative resilience of the road network according to scenarios. The road users' passage-pattern changes were analyzed through simulation analysis using the User Equilibrium model. Based on the analysis results, the resilience in each scenario was examined and compared. Sections where a road's performance loss had a significant influence on the network were targeted. The study results were judged to become basic research data for establishing response plans to restore the original functions and performance of the destroyed and damage road networks, and for selecting maintenance priorities.

A Study on Spatial Data Model Standardization for Location Based Service (위치기반서비스를 위한 공간데이터 모델 표준화 연구)

  • Lee, Nack-Hun;Kim, Won-Tae;Ahn, Byung-Ik;Mun, Jae-Hyoung;Si, Jong-Yik
    • 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.03a
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2002
  • 최근 들어 무선인터넷 및 모바일 컴퓨팅 기술의 급속한 발전과 함께 향후 그 수요가 증대될 것으로 예상되는 분야가 위치기반 서비스(LBS: Location Based Service) 기술이다. 위치기반 서비스는 이동 통신을 통하여 사람 및 사물의 위치를 파악하고 이를 활용한 부가 응용 서비스로 국가 정보기술 인프라의 주요 영역을 점유하고 있는 GIS의 차세대 핵심 기술로 발전이 예상되는 분야이다[3][4]. 현재 3GPP나 3GPP2, OGC, LIF와 같은 여러 표준화 기구 및 산업체에서 위치기반 서비스와 이를 위한 시스템에 대한 연구가 진행중이며 위치기반 서비스를 위한 데이터 모델 표준화 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않고 있는 상황이다. 위치기반 서비스를 위한 데이터 표준화 모델은 이미 구축된 공간 데이터베이스의 재사용과 위치기반 서비스들간의 상호 운용성을 지원할 수 있어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 위치기반 서비스들 간의 상호 호환 및 통합을 가능하게 하고, 기존 공간데이터베이스와 연계하여 이 데이터를 위치기반 서비스에 활용하기 위한 공간 데이터 표준화 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위해 위치기반 서비스 표준화 사례를 조사하고, 위치기반 서비스를 위한 공간 데이터 모델을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 OpenLS의 위치기반 서비스를 기본서비스로 하고, OpenGIS의 공간 데이터 모델을 기반으로 네 가지 기본 위치 데이터 타입과 모델의 요구 사항을 포함하는 공간 데이터 표준모델을 개발하였다. 위치기반 공간 데이터 표준 모델은 위치기반 서비스와 데이터들과의 연계를 쉽게 하고, 위치기반 서비스들 간의 상호 운용성을 높이며, 기존 사용자 시스템의 수정 없이 인터페이스만을 추가함으로써 표준을 수용할 수 있다.\pm}153.2,\;116.1{\pm}94,\;29.4{\pm}30.3,\;45.1{\pm}44$로 Mel 10군과 Mel 30군이 유의적인 감소를 보였으나(p<0.05) 이들 두 군 간의 차이는 나타나지 않았다. 이상의 결과로, 랫트에서 복강수술 후 melatonin 10mg/kg투여가 복강 내 유착 방지에 효과적이라고 생각된다.-1}{\cdot}yr^{-1}$로서 두 생태계에 축적되었다.여한 3,5,7군에서 PUFA 함량이 증가한 반면, SFA 함량은 감소하여 P/S 비율, n-3P/n-6P 비율은 증가하는 경향이었으며 이는 간장의 인지질, 콜레스테롤 에스테르, 총 지질의 지방산조성에서도 같은 경향을 볼 수 있었다.X>$(C_{18:2})$와 n-3계 linolenic acid$(C_{18:3})$가 대부분을 차지하였다. 야생 돌복숭아 과육 중의 지방산 조성은 포화지방산이 16.74%, 단불포화지방산 17.51% 및 다불포화지방산이 65.73%의 함유 비율을 보였는데, 이 중 다불포화지방산인 n-6계 linoleic acid$(C_{18:2})$와 n-3계 linolenic acid$(C_{18:3})$가 지질 구성 총 지방산의 대부분을 차지하는 함유 비율을 나타내었다.했다. 하강하는 약 4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월

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Associations of Eating Habits with Obesity and Nutrition Knowledge for Middle and High School Adolescents in Shanghai and Heze China (중국 상하이·허쩌 중·고등학생의 식습관과 비만도 및 영양지식과의 관련성 연구)

  • Song, Yang;Ahn, Hyo-Jin;Choi, Ji-Hye;Oh, Se-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.648-658
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between eating habits and health among adolescents in Shanghai and Heze, China. A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2013 on 2,089 adolescents; 1,089 students were from Shanghai and 999 students from Heze region. Eating habits, weight, height, and nutritional knowledge were assessed using a self-administered questionnaire. Eating habits score was classified into two categories: healthy eating habits and unhealthy eating habits, based on "Korean Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey", for statistical data analysis. Associations between eating habits, BMI, and nutritional knowledge were examined using a general linear model with adjustment of potential confounding factors such as region, gender, age, parents' education level, and pocket money. Statistical analyses were performed using the SAS (version 9.3) program. Proportions of healthy eating habits group were 90.0% for breakfast (3-7 times/wk), 29.1% for fruit (${\geq}once/d$), 12.5% for vegetable (${\geq}3times/d$), 7.3% for milk (${\geq}2times/d$), 90.0% for fast food (<3 times/wk) consumption, respectively. The average BMI score was 20.1 (Shanghai 20.5 Heze 19.6), which is in the range of normal weight. Rates of obesity and overweight were 16.5% and 8.3% in Shanghai and Heze, respectively. There were significant negative correlations between intake frequencies of breakfast, fast food, biscuits, sugar, chocolate, and BMI score. Eating habits and nutritional knowledge score showed a significant positive correlation. These results showed better eating habits regarding eating regularity and consumption of fruits and soft drinks in Chinese adolescents compared with Korean adolescents, although cultural differences were not fully considered. This study demonstrated significant associations of BMI and nutritional knowledge with dietary behavior in Chinese adolescents in two regions of China. Further studies on Chinese adolescents from other regions in China should be considered.