• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.24-35
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• 2022

For water quality management, it is necessary to continuously improve the forecasting by analyzing the past water quality, and a Data-driven model is emerging as an alternative. Because the Data-driven model is built based on a wide range of data, it is essential to apply the correlation analysis method for the combination of input variables to obtain more reliable results. In this study, the Gamma Test was applied as a preceding step to build a faster and more accurate data-driven water quality prediction model. First, a physical-based model (HSPF, EFDC) was operated to produce daily water quality reflecting the complexity of the watershed according to various hydrological conditions for Paldang Dam. The Gamma Test was performed on the water quality at the water quality prediction site (Paldangdam2) and major rivers flowing into the Paldang Dam, and the method of selecting the optimal input data combination was presented through the analysis results (Gamma, Gradient, Standar Error, V-Ratio). As a result of the study, the selection criteria for a more efficient combination of input data that can save time by omitting trial and error when building a data-driven model are presented.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.341-351
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• 2008

Since the damage from the torrential rain increases recently due to climate change and global warming, the significance of flood forecasting and warning becomes important in medium and small streams as well as large river. Through the preprocess and main processes for estimating runoff, diverse errors occur and are accumulated, so that the outcome contains the errors in the existing flood forecasting and warning method. And estimating the parameters needed for runoff models requires a lot of data and the processes contain various uncertainty. In order to overcome the difficulties of the existing flood forecasting and warning system and the uncertainty problem, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) technique has been presented in this study. ANFIS, a data driven model using the fuzzy inference theory with neural network, can forecast stream level only by using the precipitation and stream level data in catchment without using a lot of physical data that are necessary in existing physical model. Time series data for precipitation and stream level are used as input, and stream levels for t+1, t+2, and t+3 are forecasted with this model. The applicability and the appropriateness of the model is examined by actual rainfall and stream level data from 2003 to 2005 in the Tancheon catchment area. The results of applying ANFIS to the Tancheon catchment area for the actual data show that the stream level can be simulated without large error.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.132-136
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• 2007

최근 지구온난화로 인한 이상기후의 영향으로 강우일수는 줄고 있으나 강수량은 예년과 비슷한 수준을 보이고 있다. 이로 인해 갈수기의 용수부족 현상은 더욱 심해지고. 장마철의 홍수피해와 게릴라성 집중호우로 인한 피해가 커지는 등 해가 갈수록 홍수 예경보의 중요성은 더욱 높아지고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 현재 홍수 예경보 체계는 몇 가지 문제를 가지고 있다. 기존 예경보 체계의 경우 한 번의 예측을 수행하기 위해 수반되는 전처리과정과 주계산과정을 거치는 동안 각 과정에서 발생한 오차들이 반복, 누적되어 최종 결과물(예측된 유출량) 속에 모두 포함된다. 또한 기존 체계에서는 유출모형을 적용하기 위해서 토양형. 피복상태 등에 관련된 매개변수들이 필요한데. 이러한 매개변수의 결정에 어려움이 있고. 불확실성을 갖고 있다. 본 연구에서는 불확실성을 적극적으로 인정하고 수학적으로 해석하려는 fuzzy 이론을 신경망 이론에 도입하여 홍수 예경보 시스템의 운영과정에서 발생하는 불확실성의 문제를 해결하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)은 data driven model(자료에 기반을 둔 모형)의 하나로 다음과 같은 장점을 가진다. 우선 data driven model은 유역의 물리적, 지형적 특성을 고려하지 않고(매개변수설정에서 발생하는 문제 해결 가능), 입력자료와 출력자료만을 고려하여 구축되는 모형이므로, 유역의 물리적 자료나 지형 자료와 같은 방대한 양의 자료 수집이 필요 없고, 일단 모형이 구축되면 자료의 입력만으로도 신뢰성 높은 결과를 단시간 내에 효율적으로 획득할 수 있다. 그리고 유역 내의 상황이 변화하더라도, 이들의 영향을 고려하여 쉽게 모형을 갱신할 수 있다. 마지막으로 모형의 구축 과정이 물리적 모형에 비해 비교적 간편하다는 장점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 ANFIS를 통해 탄천유역의 강수량 자료와 대곡교의 수위자료를 입력자료로 사용하여 대곡교의 수위를 예측하였다. 입력 자료는 시간차 계열의 강우량과 수위 자료를 사용하였으며 모형을 통하여 t+1, t+2, t+3 시간 후의 수위를 예측하였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.1413-1424
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• 2013

Recently, the frequency of severe storms increases in Korea. Severe storms occurring in a short time cause huge losses of both life and property. A considerable research has been performed for the flood control system development based on an accurate stream discharge prediction. A physical model is mainly used for flood forecasting and warning. Physical rainfall-runoff models used for the conventional flood forecasting process require extensive information and data, and include uncertainties which can possibly accumulate errors during modelling processes. ANFIS, a data driven model combining neural network and fuzzy technique, can decrease the amount of physical data required for the construction of a conventional physical models and easily construct and evaluate a flood forecasting model by utilizing only rainfall and water level data. A data driven model, however, has a disadvantage that it does not provide the mathematical and physical correlations between input and output data of the model. The characteristics of a data driven model according to functional options and input data such as the change of clustering radius and training data length used in the ANFIS model were analyzed in this study. In addition, the applicability of ANFIS was evaluated through comparison with the results of HEC-HMS which is widely used for rainfall-runoff model in Korea. The neuro-fuzzy technique was applied to a Cheongmicheon Basin in the South Han River using the observed precipitation and stream level data from 2007 to 2011.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.27-36
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• 1998

A three-dimensional numerical model of water circulation has been developed. The model employs the equations on $\sigma$-coordinate and the finite element method for numerical integration. To verify accuracy of the model, a series of numerical experiments have been conducted. The experiments include wind-driven currents in an one-dimensional channel, wind-driven currents in a square lake, and tidal current distributions in Masan-Jinhae Bay. The simulation results showed good agreements with the analytic solutions for wind-driven current and the field data sets in Masan-Jinhae Bay. The model can be used widely for modeling of water circulation in the waters with a complex geometry.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.226-233
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• 1994

The present paper considers the method to estimate the bottom friction driven by waves and current on rough turbulent flow. Parameter adjusting technique is suggested for the computation of bed shear stress driven by uni-directional flow. and the value of parameter is determined by comparing the computational results against Bijker's laboratory data. For the computation of combined flow bottom shear stress, two methods are presented; one is the modified Bijker approach (BYO Model) and the other is the modified Fredsoe approach (FY Model). both of which are refined by the present writer. Both models are again refined in two aspects, and tested against the Bijker's laboratory data.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.173-182
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• 2024

In recent, there has been a trend toward primarily utilizing data-driven models employing artificial intelligence technologies, such as machine learning, for flood prediction. These data-driven models offer the advantage of utilizing pre-training results, significantly reducing the required simulation time. However, it remains that a considerable amount of flood data is necessary for the pre-training in data-driven models, while the available observed data for application is often insufficient. As an alternative, validated simulation results from physically-based models are being employed as pre-training data alongside observed data. In this context, we developed a flood mapping accelerator to generate flood maps for pre-training. The proposed accelerator automates the entire process of flood mapping, i.e., estimating flood discharge using HEC-1, calculating water surface levels using HEC-RAS, simulating channel overflow and generating flood maps using RAS Mapper. With the accelerator, users can easily prepare a database for pre-training of data-driven models from hundreds to tens of thousands of rainfall scenarios. It includes various convenient menus containing a Graphic User Interface(GUI), and its practical applicability has been validated across 26 test-beds.

• Water for future
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• v.51 no.11
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• pp.13-19
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• 2018

• Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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• v.40 no.6
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• pp.657-670
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• 2020

The knowledge-information-processing competency is the most essential competency in a knowledge-information-based society and is the most fundamental competency in the new problem-solving ability. Data-driven science inquiry, which emphasizes how to find and solve problems using vast amounts of data and information, is a way to cultivate the problem-solving ability in a knowledge-information-based society. Therefore, this study aims to develop a teaching-learning model and strategy for data-driven science inquiry and to verify the validity of the model in terms of knowledge information processing competency. This study is developmental research. Based on literature, the initial model and strategy were developed, and the final model and teaching strategy were completed by securing external validity through on-site application and internal validity through expert advice. The development principle of the inquiry model is the literature study on science inquiry, data science, and a statistical problem-solving model based on resource-based learning theory, which is known to be effective for the knowledge-information-processing competency and critical thinking. This model is titled "Exploratory Scientific Data Analysis" The model consisted of selecting tools, collecting and analyzing data, finding problems and exploring problems. The teaching strategy is composed of seven principles necessary for each stage of the model, and is divided into instructional strategies and guidelines for environment composition. The development of the ESDA inquiry model and teaching strategy is not easy to generalize to the whole school level because the sample was not large, and research was qualitative. While this study has a limitation that a quantitative study over large number of students could not be carried out, it has significance that practical model and strategy was developed by approaching the knowledge-information-processing competency with respect of science inquiry.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2003.04a
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• pp.1814-1820
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• 2003

Nonlinear relationship between Reynolds stresses and the rate of strain of nonlinear ${\kappa}-{\epsilon}$ models is evaluated theoretically by using the boundary layer assumptions against the turbulence-driven secondary flows in noncircular ducts and then their prediction performance is validated numerically through the application to the fully developed turbulent flow in a square duct. Typical predicted quantities such as mean axial and secondary velocities, turbulent kinetic energy and Reynolds stresses are compared with available experimental data. The nonlinear model adopted in a commercial code is found to be unable to predict accurately duct flows with the prediction level of secondary flows one order less than that of the experiment.