• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
• /
• 제9권2호
• /
• pp.179-200
• /
• 2022

This paper proposes a data-driven methodology for online early damage identification under changing environmental conditions. The proposed method relies on two data analysis methods: feature-based method and hybrid principal component analysis (PCA) and kernel PCA to separate damage from environmental influences. First, spectral sub-band features, namely, spectral sub-band centroids (SSCs) and log spectral sub-band energies (LSSEs), are proposed as damage-sensitive features to extract damage information from measured structural responses. Second, hybrid modeling by integrating PCA and kernel PCA is performed on the spectral sub-band feature matrix for data normalization to extract both linear and nonlinear features for nonlinear procedure monitoring. After feature normalization, suppressing environmental effects, the control charts (Hotelling T² and SPE statistics) is implemented to novelty detection and distinguish damage in structures. The hybrid PCA-KPCA technique is compared to KPCA by applying support vector machine (SVM) to evaluate the effectiveness of its performance in detecting damage. The proposed method is verified through numerical and full-scale studies (a Bridge Health Monitoring (BHM) Benchmark Problem and a cable-stayed bridge in China). The results demonstrate that the proposed method can detect the structural damage accurately and reduce false alarms by suppressing the effects and interference of environmental variations.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.237-252
• /
• 2013

보험료 및 보험료 구성요소에 대한 예측모형은 합리적인 보험료 결정에 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 가변수 회귀모형, 독립변수 추가모형, 자기회귀 오차모형, 계절형 ARIMA 모형, 개입모형 등 적정한 자동차 대물 손해보험료 추정에 사용되는 다양한 모형을 소개하였다. 또한 실제 자동차 대물 보험료 자료를 이용하여 각 모형을 이용하여 보험료, 심도, 빈도 등을 추정하였으며, 모형의 추정결과는 추정치와 실제 자료값의 차이에 근거한 RMSE(Root Mean Squared Errors) 값을 통해 비교하였다. 실제 자료 분석 결과, 자기회귀 오차모형이 가장 좋은 성능을 보여주는 것을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
• /
• 제20권7호
• /
• pp.33-44
• /
• 2004

지진시 측정되는 strong motion 데이터와 시설물의 손상의 상관관계를 구하기 위하여 본 연구를 수행하였다. 지진시 측정된 시간 - 지진강도 관계와 측정위치들이 포함된 대규모 지형정보시스템(GIS) 데이터에 대한 분석에 Kriging 공간 통계분석법을 사용함으로써 첨두지반속도(PGV)와 파이프라인 및 건물의 손상정도의 관계를 구할 수 있었으며, 특히, Kriging법은 측정치에 포함된 오차 등 불확실한 요소들을 고려한 $90\%$의 신뢰도에 해당하는 지진강도-손상 관계를 구할 수 있어서 역거리 제곱법 등 다른 공간데이터 분석법에 비하여 우수한 방법이었다.

• 한국환경기술학회지
• /
• 제18권2호
• /
• pp.165-172
• /
• 2017

현 단계에서 자연재해로 인한 피해규모를 정확히 예측하고, 그에 대처하는 것은 어려운 실정이다. 그러나 재해대응 차원에서 피해 규모를 예측할 수 있다면 신속하게 대응하여 피해를 저감할 수 있다고 판단된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 여러 가지 자연재해 중 풍랑에 관한 피해액예측함수를 개발하였다. 동해 및 제주 연안지역을 대상으로 국민안전처에서 발간하는 재해연보(1991~2014)의 풍랑 및 태풍피해 이력을 수집하였으며, 물가상승률을 반영하기 위해 2014년 기준으로 피해액을 환산하였다. 또한, 기상청 및 국립해양조사원 홈페이지에서 파고, 풍속, 조위, 파향, 파주기 등의 기상 자료를 수집하였다. 풍랑피해가 발생했을 때 연안지역의 특성을 반영하기 위해 2015년 국립해양조사연구원에서 발행한 연안재해노출지수(Coastal Disaster Index; CODI), 연안민감도지수(Coastal Sensitivity Index; COSI), 연안재해영향지수(Coastal Potential Impact Index; CPII)를 반영하였다. 피해 발생 시 기상현황, 지역특성을 나타내는 지수, 피해액과의 상관관계를 통해 풍랑피해액예측함수를 개발하였다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제86권4호
• /
• pp.547-571
• /
• 2023

To deeply probe the actual earthquake level and fragility of typical reinforced concrete (RC) structures under multiple intensity grades, considering diachronic measurement building stock samples and actual observations of representative catastrophic earth shocks in China from 1990 to 2010, RC structures were divided into traditional RC structures (TRCs) and bottom reinforced concrete frame seismic wall masonry (BFM) structures, and the empirical damage characteristics and mechanisms were analysed. A great deal of statistics and induction were developed on the historical experience investigation data of 59 typical catastrophic earthquakes in 9 provinces of China. The database and fragility matrix prediction model were established with TRCs of 4,122.5284×104 m² and 5,844 buildings and BFMs of 5,872 buildings as empirical seismic damage samples. By employing the methods of structural damage probability and statistics, nonlinear prediction of seismic vulnerability, and numerical and applied functional analysis, the comparison matrix of actual fragility probability prediction of TRC and BFM in multiple intensity regions under the latest version of China's macrointensity standard was established. A novel nonlinear regression prediction model of seismic vulnerability was proposed, and prediction models considering the seismic damage ratio and transcendental probability parameters were constructed. The time-varying vulnerability comparative model of the sample database was developed according to the different periods of multiple earthquakes. The new calculation method of the average fragility prediction index (AFPI) matrix parameter model has been proposed to predict the seismic fragility of an areal RC structure.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제3권2호
• /
• pp.117-140
• /
• 2012

The proposed research includes a comprehensive study on the seismic vulnerability assessment of typical building types, representative of the structural materials, the seismic codes and the construction techniques of Southern Europe. A damage database is created after the elaboration of the results of the observational data obtained from post-earthquake surveys carried out in the area struck by the September 7, 1999 Athens earthquake, a near field seismic event in an extended urban region. The observational database comprises 180.945 buildings which developed damage of varying degree, type and extent. The dataset is elaborated in order to gather useful information about the structural parameters influence on the seismic vulnerability and their correlation to the type and degree of building damages in near field earthquakes. The damage calibration of the observational data was based on label - damage provided by Earthquake Planning and Protection Organization (EPPO) in Greece and referred to the qualitative characterization for the recording of damage in post-earthquake surveys. Important conclusions are drawn on the parameters that influence the seismic response based on the wide homogeneous database which adds to the reliability of the collected information and reduces the scatter on the produced results.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제25권6호
• /
• pp.1531-1538
• /
• 2014

The causes of cancer are diverse, complex, and only partially understood. Many factors including health behaviors, socioeconomic environments and geographical locations can directly damage genes or combine with existing genetic faults within cells to cause cancerous mutations. Collecting the cancer data and reporting the statistics, therefore, are important to help identify health trends and establish normal health changes in geographical areas. In this article, we analyzed cancer data and demon-strated how spatial patterns of the age-standardized rate and health indicators can be examined visually and simultaneously using linked micromap plots. As a result of data analysis, the age-standardized rate has positive correlativity with thyroid and breast cancer, but the rate has negative correlativity with smoking and drinking. In addition, the regions with high age-standardized rate are located in southwest and the areas of high population density while the standardized mortality ratio is higher in southwest and northeast where there are lots of rural areas.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제18권4호
• /
• pp.507-517
• /
• 2020

This study aims to present new frequency-related seismic intensity parameters (SIPs) based on the Hilbert-Huang Transform (HHT) analysis. The proposed procedure is utilized for the processing of several seismic accelerograms. Thus, the entire evaluated Hilbert Spectrum (HS) of each considered seismic velocity time-history is investigated first, and then, a delimited area of the same HS around a specific frequency is explored, for the proposition of new SIPs. A first application of the suggested new parameters is to reveal the interrelation between them and the structural damage of a reinforced concrete frame structure. The index of Park and Ang describes the structural damage. The fundamental frequency of the structure is considered as the mentioned specific frequency. Two statistical methods, namely correlation analysis and multiple linear regression analysis, are used to identify the relationship between the considered SIPs and the corresponding structural damage. The results confirm that the new proposed HHT-based parameters are effective descriptors of the seismic damage potential and helpful tools for forecasting the seismic damages on buildings.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.21-36
• /
• 2018

The incidence of collision damage models on oil tanker and bulk carrier reliability is investigated considering the IACS deterministic model against GOALDS/IMO database statistics for collision events, substantiating the probabilistic model. Statistical properties of hull girder residual strength are determined by Monte Carlo simulation, based on random generation of damage dimensions and a modified form of incremental-iterative method, to account for neutral axis rotation and equilibrium of horizontal bending moment, due to cross-section asymmetry after collision events. Reliability analysis is performed, to investigate the incidence of collision penetration depth and height statistical properties on hull girder sagging/hogging failure probabilities. Besides, the incidence of corrosion on hull girder residual strength and reliability is also discussed, focussing on gross, hull girder net and local net scantlings, respectively. The ISSC double hull oil tanker and single side bulk carrier, assumed as test cases in the ISSC 2012 report, are taken as reference ships.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제31권2호
• /
• pp.119-126
• /
• 2016

Across the world, the industrialization has increased the frequency of climate anomaly. The size of damage due to recent natural disasters is growing large and fast, and the human damage and economic loss due to disasters are consistently increasing. Urbanization has a structure vulnerable to natural disasters. Therefore, in order to reduce damage from natural disasters, both hardware and software approaches should be utilized. Currently, however, the development of a statistical access process for 'analysis of disaster occurrence factor' and 'prediction of damage costs' for disaster prevention and overall disaster management is inadequate. In case of local governments, overall disaster management system is not established, or even if it is established, unscientific classification system and management lead to low utility of natural statistics of disaster year book. Therefore, in order to minimize disaster damage and for rational disaster management, the disaster damage survey process should be improved. This study selected gale as the focused analysis target among natural disasters recorded in disaster year book such as storm, torrential rain, gale, high seas, and heavy snow, and analyzed disaster survey process. Based on disaster year book, the gale damage size was analyzed and the issues occurring from the correlation of gale and damage amount were examined, so as to suggest an improvement plan for reliable natural disaster information collection and systematic natural disaster damage survey.