• 제목/요약/키워드: daily minimum temperature

검색결과 287건 처리시간 0.029초

우리나라에서 최근 50년 (1958-2007)간 열대야 발생 특성 및 변화 경향 (Characteristics and Trends of Tropical Night Occurrence in South Korea for Recent 50 Years (1958-2007))

  • 박우선;서명석
    • 대기
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.361-371
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    • 2011
  • In this study, characteristics and trends of tropical night (TN) are investigated by using the KMA 14 observation data for the recent 50 years (1958-2007) over South Korea. The TN is defined as a day with a daily minimum temperature exceeds the absolute threshold temperature ($25^{\circ}C$), and the relative deviation from normal temperature, 95th percentile of all observed daily minimum temperature. Although the spatial distribution of TN occurrence depends on the choice of the definitions, the frequency of TN shows strong spatial and interannual variations with the minimum at high land area (Chupungnyeong and wet years) and maximum at southern coastal area and large city area (Jeju, Busan, Seoul, Daegu). Most of TN occurs in August (56%) and July (41%), and the duration date of TN is proportional to the frequency of TN without regard to the definition method. In general, increasing trends are found in the TN time series without regard to the analysis method, but the trends are clearly depending on the analysis period and geographic locations. Decreasing trends are prominent during the most of analysis period, especially until the mid of 1990, whereas strong increasing trends are found during recent 30 years (1988-2007), especially at Jeju, Ulsan, Daegu and Pohang. Also the severity of TN is significantly increased in recent years.

동계 시각별 외기온의 변동 특성에 관한 연구 (Variation Characteristics of Hourly Atmospheric Temperature Throughout a Winter)

  • 이승언;손장열
    • 태양에너지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1992
  • 본 연구는 동계 외기온 데이타의 시각별 변동특성을 파악하기 위하여 연변동 성분 및 기간변동 성분을 제거한 일변동 성분의 매 시각별 외기온 데이타에 대해서 일교차의 발생요인에 대해서 분석하였다. 또한 동계시각별 외기온의 주파수 특성에 대해서 검토하였으며 외기온 데이타의 수식화의 가능성을 제시하였다.

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신평년(1991~2020년)에 기반한 우리나라 최근 기후특성과 변화에 관한 연구 (The Recent Climatic Characteristic and Change in the Republic of Korea based on the New Normals (1991~2020))

  • 최홍준;김정용;최영은;허인혜;이태민;김소정;민숙주;이도영;최다솜;성현민;권재일
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.477-492
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    • 2023
  • Based on the new climate normals (1991~2020), annual mean, maximum and minimum temperature is 12.5℃, 18.2℃, and 7.7℃, respectively while annual precipitation is 1,331.7 mm, the annual mean wind speed is 2.0 m s-1, and the relative humidity is 67.8% in the Republic of Korea. Compared to 1981~2010 normal, annual mean temperature increased by 0.2℃, maximum and minimum temperatures increased by 0.3℃, while the amount of precipitation (0.7%) and relative humidity (1.1%) decreased. There was no distinct change in annual mean wind speed. The spatial range of the annual mean temperature in the new normals is large from 7.1 to 16.9℃. Annual precipitation showed a high regional variability, ranging from 787.3 to 2,030.0 mm. The annual mean relative humidity decreased at most weather stations due to the rise in temperature, and the annual mean wind speed did not show any distinct difference between the new and old normals. With the addition of a warmer decade (2011~2020), temperatures all increased consistently and in particular, the increase in the maximum temperature, which had not significantly changed in previous decades, was evident. The increasing trend of annual and summer precipitation by the 2010s has disappeared in the new normals. Among extreme climate indices, MxT30 (Daily maximum temperature ≥ 33℃ days), MnT25 (Daily minimum temperature ≥ 25℃ days), and PH30 (1 hour maximum precipitation ≥ 30 mm days) increased while MnT-10 (Daily minimum temperature < -10℃ days) and W13.9 (Daily maximum wind speed ≥ 13.9 m/s days) decreased at a statistically significant level. It is thought that a detailed study on the different trends of climate elements and extreme climate indices by region should be conducted in the future.

일 최저기온 공간내삽을 위한 지형기후학적 최적 공간규모 (An Optimum Scale for Topoclimatic Interpolation of Daily Minimum Temperature in Complex Terrain)

  • 정유란;서희철;윤진일;이광회
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.261-265
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    • 2003
  • 복잡지형상의 일 최저기온 공간내삽 과정에서 유용한 설명변수로 등장한 찬 공기 유입량은 적용면적, 즉 공간규모에 따라 그 값이 크게 변하므로, 지형기후학적 최저기온 내삽모형의 실용화를 위해서는 최적규모를 파악해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 동질적인 중규모 기후구역을 대표하는 기준 관측값에 대한, 같은 구역 내 여러 지점의 기온편차를 계산하고, 이를 다양한 반경의 주변지역 찬 공기 유입량에 회귀시켜 일 최저기온에 미치는 지형의 최적 영향권을 도출하고자 하였다. 경남 하동의 배 과원지대에 1 ${\times}$ 1 km 구역을 설정하고 8개 지점에서 2002년 9월부터 2003년 2월까지 10분 간격으로 기온을 측정하였다. 동일 구역 내 기상청 자동기상관측자료를 기준으로 삼아 복사냉각일의 최저기온 편차를 8개 지점별로 얻었다. 연구지역의 고도를 10 m 해상도의 수치고도모형으로 표현하고 이를 토대로 8개 지점의 냉기 유입량을 계산하였다. 이 때 10 m 단위로 100 m까지 반경을 증가시키면서 유입량의 평활화 평균값을 계산하여 최저기온 편차를 회귀시켰다. 그 결과 복사냉각일의 국지적인 최저기온 결정에는 반경 50 m 범위 (약 1 ha) 주변지역 지형이 가장 유효함을 알 수 있었다.

고온건강경보시스템 기준 설정에 관한 연구 ( II ) - 설정 기준 개선 - (Study on the Establishment of Threshold Criteria for Heat Health Watch Warning System in Korea; Part II: Improvement of Criteria)

  • 정우식;박종길;김은별;송정희
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.781-796
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    • 2009
  • The current standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System consider both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index(HI), but current standard could not consider daily maximum HI due to the difficulties in forecasting when we consider both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum HI and no considering HI because relative humidity could not observed for some regions. So, Newly established standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System is based on daily maximum temperature exceeding $30^{\circ}C$ for two consecutive days or daily minimum temperature exceeding $25^{\circ}C$ and daily maximum temperature exceeding $30^{\circ}C$. These days are called "extreme heat days". On extreme heat days, the standard of extreme heat advisory is based on daily maximum temperature among exceeding $32.7^{\circ}C$ and not exceeding $34.8^{\circ}C$, and extreme heat warning is based on daily maximum temperature exceeding $34.8^{\circ}C$. ANOVA analysis was carried out using the data of Seoul Metropolitan City in 1994 to check the robustness of the new standard level of Heat Health Watch Warning System from this study, in particular for mortality variable. The results reveal that the new standard specifies excess mortality well, showing significance level of 0.05 in the difference of excess mortality for each phase.

온도를 변수로 갖는 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델 도입 (Introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting including Temperature Variable)

  • 이경훈;이윤호;김진오
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 A
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    • pp.184-186
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes the introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily maximum or minimum temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in lower regime and a positive slope in upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. In this paper, daily peak load was forecasted by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

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한반도의 날씨 스트레스 지수 NET(Net Effective Temperature) 분포의 특성 (The Spatial and temporal distributions of NET(Net Effective Temperature) with a Function of Temperature, Humidity and Wind Speed in Korea)

  • 허인혜;최영은;권원태
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 상대적 날씨 스트레스 지수로 NET의 적용 가능성을 파악하고자 하였다. 기상청에서 예보하고 있는 기온, 습도, 바람 자료를 이용하여 NET 값의 시공간적 분포 특성을 분석하였다. 여름철 스트레스 지수인 일 최고 NET의 지역별 스트레스 기준값은 바람과 습도보다는 기온의 영향을 받으므로 일 최고 기온의 분포와 유사하다. 겨울철 스트레스 지수인 일 최저 NET의 스트레스 기준값은 산지 지역과 서울 이북 지역에서는 낮은 기온의 영향을. 해안 지역에서는 강한 바람의 영향으로 기준값이 여름철에 비하여 다양하게 나타난다. 스트레스가 강한 날의 발생 빈도는 여름철은 뚜렷한 연변화가 나타나지 않지만, 겨울철에는 1990년대 중반 이후 뚜렷한 증가 경향을 보인다.

지형기후모형에 근거한 서리경보시스템 구축 (Site - Specific Frost Warning Based on Topoclimatic Estimation of Daily Minimum Temperature)

  • 정유란;서희철;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.164-169
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    • 2004
  • A spatial interpolation scheme incorporating local geographic potential for cold air accumulation (TOPSIM) was used to test the feasibility of operational frost warning in Chatancheon basin in Yeoncheon County, where the introduction of new crops including temperate zone fruits is planned. Air temperature from April to June 2003 was measured at one-minute intervals at four locations within the basin. Cold-air accumulation potentials (CAP) at 4 sites were calculated for 3 different catchment scales: a rectangular area of 65 x 55 km which covers the whole county, the KOWACO (Korea Water Corporation) hydrologic unit which includes all 4 sites, and the sub-basins delineated by a stream network analysis of the digital elevation model. Daily minimum temperatures at 4 sites were calculated by interpolating the perfect prognosis (i.e., synoptic observations at KMA Dongducheon station) based on TOPSIM with 3 different CAPs. Mean error, mean absolute error, and root mean square error were calculated for 45 days with no precipitation to test the model performance. For the 3 flat locations, little difference was detected in model performance among 3 catchment areas, but the best performance was found with the CAPs calculated for sub-basins at one site (Oksan) on complex terrain. When TOPSIM loaded with sub-basin CAPs was applied to Oksan to predict frost events during the fruit flowering period in 2004, the goodness of fit was sufficient for making an operational frost warning system for mountainous areas.

겨울철 도시지역과 교외지역의 기온변화 특성 (Characteristics of Temperature Variation in Urban and Suburban Areas During Winter)

  • 권성일;김진수;박종화;오광영;송철민
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2008
  • We investigated characteristics of temperature variation in urban and suburban areas(e.g., paddy field, upland, park, residential area) and urban heat island(UHI) during winter(December 2005 to February 2006). The daily maximum air temperature was not significantly different between suburban and urban areas, whereas the daily minimum air temperatures were significantly lower in the suburban areas than that in the residential area. The wind speed in the urban park(0.3 m/s) was much lower than that in the paddy fields(2.3 m/s), likely due to an urban canopy layer formed by high buildings. The UHI intensity was represented by differences in daily minimum temperatures between urban residential and paddy field areas. The UHI intensity($4.1^{\circ}C$) in winter was larger than that($2.6^{\circ}C$) in summer. This may be because a stable boundary layer develops in the winter, and thereby this inhibits diffusion of heat from surface.

천리안 위성 자료를 활용한 한반도의 일별 지면 온도 산정을 위한 적정 관측시간 설정 연구 (A Study on Establishment of Appropriate Observation Time for Estimation of Daily Land Surface Temperature using COMS in Korea Peninsula)

  • 이용관;정충길;이지완;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제58권4호
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2016
  • This study is to estimate COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) daily land surface temperature (LST) of Korea Peninsula from 15 minutes interval COMS LST (COMS LST-15) satellite data. Using daily observed LST data of Automated Agriculture Observing System (AAOS) 11 stations from January 2013 to May 2015, the COMS daily LST was compared and validated. For the representative time for daily mean LST value from COMS LST-15, the time of 23 : 45 and 0:00 showed minimum deviations with AAOS daily LST. The time zone from 23 : 45 to 1:15 and from 7 : 30 to 9 : 45 showed high determination coefficient (R2) of 0.88 and 0.90 respectively. The daily COMS LST by averaging COMS LST-15 of the day showed R2 of 0.83. From the 5 cases of results, the COMS daily LST could be extracted from the average LST by using 15 minutes data from 7 : 30 to 9 : 45.