• Title/Summary/Keyword: curve estimation

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Estimation of Curve Number Using Asymptotic Regression Method in Small Watersheds of Han Rive (점근 회귀방정식을 이용한 한강 권역 소유역의 유출곡선지수 산정)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tea-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.215-215
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    • 2017
  • NRCS-CN 방법은 총 강우량으로부터 유출량을 계산하는 방법으로, 국내에서는 설계홍수량 산정 시 NRCS-CN 방법의 사용을 권장하고 있다. CN값은 토지이용 및 피복, 토양특성, 수문학적 조건(AMC)에 따른 함수로 결정할 수 있으나, 보통의 경우 미국의 National Engineering Handbook (NEH-4)에서 제시한 표를 활용한다. 그러나, 우리나라의 토지피복 및 토지이용 현황은 미국과 다르기 때문에 현실 조건을 반영한 조정이 필요함에도 불구하고, 충분한 관측 자료가 확보되지 않아 이러한 조정이 어려운 실정이다. NRCS-CN 방법에서는 결과 값이 총 강수량보다 CN에 크게 의존적이기 때문에 부정확한 CN 값의 산정은 큰 오차를 야기할 수 있다. 또한 소유역에서는 초기손실량이 설계홍수량 산정에 큰 영향을 미치지만 우리나라는 초기손실률을 20%의 고정된 값을 일괄적으로 적용하고 있으며, 이는 제주도와 같은 특수한 투수성 지층에서는 적합하지 않다는 지적을 받아왔다. 여러 선행연구에서 강수량과 CN 사이에는 특정 관계식이 존재하며, 고정된 CN 값이 아닌 강수량에 따라 변화하는 값을 적용하는 것이 기존의 NRCS-CN 방법보다 더 정확한 결과를 나타낸다는 것이 확인된 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 NRCS-CN 방법의 CN 값과 초기손실률을 유역에 적합하게 개선하기 위해서 기존의 NRCS-CN 모형에 점근 유출곡선지수방법(Asymptotic CN Regression Method)을 통해 산정된 CN값과 각기 다른 초기손실률(0.01, 0.05, 0.10, 0.20, 0.40)을 적용하여 개선된 총 8개의 모형을 한강 권역 소유역에 적용하였다. RMSE, MAE 및 R-square 등의 지표를 이용하여 모형 검정을 수행하였으며, 최적의 모형 및 미개변수를 선정하였다. 그 결과 기존의 NRCS-CN 방법보다 점근 유출곡선지수방법을 적용했을 때 더 작은 오차를 나타내는 것을 확인하였으며, 대부분의 유역에서 0.01 또는 0.05 등 기존보다 더 작은 초기손실률을 채택 시 실측값과 가장 적은 오차를 나타냈다.

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The Applicability for Estimating MFFn by SWMM in The Trunk Road (간선도로에서 MFFn 산정 시 SWMM의 적용성 평가)

  • Kwon, Hun-Gak;Lee, Jae-Woon;Yi, Youn-Jeong;Yoon, Young-Sam;Lee, Chun-Sik;Lee, Jae-Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2011
  • The first flush phenomenon and the Mass First Flush (MFFn) were analyzed for various rainy events in trunk road. Applicability for estimate MFFn using SWMM was evaluated by comparision with observed MFFn. First flush phenomenon was investigated by normalized cumulated (NCL) curve of every pollutant based on ten times of rainfall events monitoring data from 2008 to 2009. As a result, magnitude of first flush phenomenon varied with the pollutants and rainfall events. First flush phenomenon was detected highly in the trunk road. MFFn was estimated by varying n-value from 10 to 90% on the rainfall events. The n-value increases, MFFn is closed to '1'. As time passed, the rainfall runoff was getting similar to ratio of pollutants accumulation. The result of a measure of the strength of the linear relationship between observed data and expected data under model was good ($R^2$=0.956). As the final outcome, we have good reliability, estimation and application of MFFn using model seem statistically possible.

Estimation of CN-based Infiltration and Baseflow for Effective Watershed Management (효과적인 유역관리를 위한 CN기법 기반의 침투량 산정 및 기저유출량 분석)

  • Kim, Heewon;Sin, Yeonju;Choi, Jungheon;Kang, Hyunwoo;Ryu, Jichul;Lim, Kyoungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.405-412
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    • 2011
  • Increased Non-permeable areas which have resulted from civilization reduce the volume of groundwater infiltration that is one of the important factors causing water shortage during a dry season. Thus, seeking the efficient method to analyze the volume of groundwater in accurate should be needed to solve water shortage problems. In this study, two different watersheds were selected and precipitation, soil group, and land use were surveyed in a particular year in order to figure out the accuracy of estimated infiltration recharge ratio compared to Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT). The volume of groundwater was estimated considering Antecedent soil Moisture Condition (AMC) and Curve Number (CN) using Long Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model. The results of this study showed that in the case of Kyoung-an watershed, the volume of both infiltration and baseflow seperated from WHAT was 46.99% in 2006 and 33.68% in 2007 each and in Do-am watershed the volume of both infiltration and baseflow was 33.48% in 2004 and 23.65% in 2005 respectively. L-THIA requires only simple data (i.e., land uses, soils, and precipitation) to simulate the accurate volume of groundwater. Therefore, with convenient way of L-THIA, researchers can manage watershed more effectively than doing it with other models. L-THIA has limitations that it neglects the contributions of snowfall to precipitation. So, to estimate more accurate assessment of the long term hydrological impacts including groundwater with L-THIA, further researches about snowfall data in winter should be considered.

The Estimation of Collision Speed at the Intersection using Simulation (시뮬레이션을 통한 교차로 충돌 속도 추정)

  • Han, Chang-Pyoung;Cheon, Jeong-Hwan;Choi, Hong Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.514-521
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    • 2021
  • When calculating an intersection collision speed using a formula, it is very difficult to grasp the degree of deceleration of a vehicle after the collision unless there is road surface trace in the entire section where each vehicle moved from the point of collision to their final positions after the collision. A vehicle's motion trajectory shows an irregular curve after a collision due to the effects of inertia based on the driving characteristics of the vehicle, the eccentric force according to the collision site, and the collision speed. Therefore, it is very important to set the appropriate departure angle after a collision for accurate collision speed analysis. In this study, based on experimental collision data using a computer simulation (PC-Crash), the correlation between an appropriate vehicle departure angle and the post-collision speed was analyzed, and then, a regression analysis model was derived. Through this, we propose a method to calculate collision speed by applying only the vehicle departure angle in some types of collisions for traffic accidents at intersections.

Estimation of Compressive Strength for Cemented River Sand (고결된 하상모래의 압축강도 추정)

  • Jeong, Woo-Seob;Yoon, Gil-Lim;Kim, Byung-Tak
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2008
  • In this study, artificial cemented sand made of a few portland cement and Nak-Dong river sand was researched closely to investigate cementing effect quantitatively through unconfined tests and triaxial tests. The peak strength and elastic modulus increased and dilation of cemented sand was restricted by the cementation, but after breakage of the cementation, dilation and negative excess pore water pressure increased. In stress-strain curve, strain-softening behavior appeared in drained condition but strain-hardening behavior was appeared in undrained condition as a result of the increase of effective stress. The test was quantitatively analyzed by multiple regression models, correlating each response variable with input variable. The equations are valid only over the range investigated. Its adjusted coefficient of determination was $0.81{\sim}0.91$, and dry density is important factor for estimating strength of cemented sand.

Doppler shift frequency estimation and compensation in underwater acoustic communication using triangle spread carrier technique (Triangle spread carrier 기법을 이용한 수중음향통신에서 도플러 천이 주파수 추정 및 보상 )

  • Chang-hyun Youn;Hyung-in Ra;Kyung-one Lee;Ki-man Kim
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.169-180
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    • 2023
  • The performance of underwater acoustic communication is greatly affected by multipath propagation and Doppler spread. This paper proposes a new communication technique, the Triangle Spread Carrier (TSC) technique, by modifying the existing Sweep Spread Carrier (SSC) technique that is strong in a multipath propagation environment. The proposed TSC technique is a form in which the up-chirp and down-chirp signals have repeated carriers, and each correlation function characteristic is used to estimate and correct the Doppler shift frequency of the receiving signal. To demonstrate the performance of the proposed TSC technique, we present the results of simulations using underwater channel simulators and sea trial conducted in the East Sea. When demodulating using only the estimated Doppler shift frequency as a result of the sea trial, the uncoded bit error rate was up to 0.194, but when the proposed method was applied, the uncoded bit error rate was reduced to 0.001.

Numerical Model for Cerebrovascular Hemodynamics with Indocyanine Green Fluorescence Videoangiography

  • Hwayeong Cheon;Young-Je Son;Sung Bae Park;Pyoung-Seop Shim;Joo-Hiuk Son;Hee-Jin Yang
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.382-392
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    • 2023
  • Objective : The use of indocyanine green videoangiography (ICG-VA) to assess blood flow in the brain during cerebrovascular surgery has been increasing. Clinical studies on ICG-VA have predominantly focused on qualitative analysis. However, quantitative analysis numerical modelling for time profiling enables a more accurate evaluation of blood flow kinetics. In this study, we established a multiple exponential modified Gaussian (multi-EMG) model for quantitative ICG-VA to understand accurately the status of cerebral hemodynamics. Methods : We obtained clinical data of cerebral blood flow acquired the quantitative analysis ICG-VA during cerebrovascular surgery. Varied asymmetric peak functions were compared to find the most matching function form with clinical data by using a nonlinear regression algorithm. To verify the result of the nonlinear regression, the mode function was applied to various types of data. Results : The proposed multi-EMG model is well fitted to the clinical data. Because the primary parameters-growth and decay rates, and peak center and heights-of the model are characteristics of model function, they provide accurate reference values for assessing cerebral hemodynamics in various conditions. In addition, the primary parameters can be estimated on the curves with partially missed data. The accuracy of the model estimation was verified by a repeated curve fitting method using manipulation of missing data. Conclusion : The multi-EMG model can possibly serve as a universal model for cerebral hemodynamics in a comparison with other asymmetric peak functions. According to the results, the model can be helpful for clinical research assessment of cerebrovascular hemodynamics in a clinical setting.

Derived I-D-F Curve in Seoul Using Bivariate Precipitation Frequency Analysis (이변량 강우 빈도해석을 이용한 서울지역 I-D-F 곡선 유도)

  • Kwon, Young-Moon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2009
  • Univariate frequency analyses are widely used in practical hydrologic design. However, a storm event is usually characterized by amount, intensity, and duration of the storm. To fully understand these characteristics and to use them appropriately in hydrologic design, a multivariate statistical approach is necessary. This study applied a Gumbel mixed model to a bivariate storm frequency analysis using hourly rainfall data collected for 46 years at the Seoul rainfall gauge station in Korea. This study estimated bivariate return periods of a storm such as joint return periods and conditional return periods based on the estimation of joint cumulative distribution functions of storm characteristics. These information on statistical behaviors of a storm can be of great usefulness in the analysis and assessment of the risk associated with hydrologic design problems.

Research for the Method of Design Consistency Evaluation Using Individual Driving Behavior (개별차량의 주행행태를 이용한 설계일관성 평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Young Tae;Kim, Chul Ki
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6D
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    • pp.767-774
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    • 2008
  • This study has been developed the way that evaluates the road safety using the speed of individual vehicles at curve sections in 2-lane rural highways. For this study, we developed variation of operational speed for the individual vehicle using the speed of vehicles in 96points of selected roads. Drawing out of variation of operational speed for the individual vehicle, estimation models for speed variation of individual vehicles considering horizontal alignments and vertical alignments of the roads have been developed. These models presents the way to evaluate road safety out of the operational speed and acceleration of individual vehicles. Considering safety and based on the results of these study above, some regular spots are ranked by "good", "fair", "bad". The results that this study showed in this paper could be useful to derive some particular spots that needs to be improve in terms of safety.

Estimation of Size-Specific Mortality of Common Squid Todarodes pacificus Winter Cohort in the Western North Pacific (북서태평양 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 겨울계군의 크기에 따른 사망률 추정)

  • Damin Lee;Seonggil Go;Sukgeun Jung
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2024
  • We have proposed a method for estimating the size-dependent mortality (M) of short-lived semelparous cephalopod species. To estimate the size-dependent mortality of a winter cohort of the common squid Todarodes pacificus, a commercially important cephalopod species in the North Pacific, we used the data and results of previous studies. On the basis of the bigger-is-better the steady-state hypothesis, we derived a theoretical mortality curve by assuming M as an inverse function of mantle length (ML). The derived constant for size-specific instantaneous mortality (q), assuming an embryonic survival rate of 86.6%, was 0.413 day-1 mm in ML. Estimates of life-stage-specific M ranged from 0.0280 to 0.435 day-1 for paralarvae, 0.00278 to 0.0269 day-1 for juveniles, 0.00197 to 0.00275 day-1 for pre-spawning adults, and 0.0913 to 0.0920 day-1 for post-spawning adults. Sensitivity analyses showed that the derived size-dependent M did not significantly change with varying embryonic survival rates, from 48%, the lowest reported value, to 100%. Additionally, comparison of the length frequencies derived from our simulations with those derived from catch data did not show a significant difference, suggesting that our approach and procedures are reliable for stock assessment and management of the common squid.