• 제목/요약/키워드: cumulative distribution

검색결과 688건 처리시간 0.033초

Condition Assessment for Wind Turbines with Doubly Fed Induction Generators Based on SCADA Data

  • Sun, Peng;Li, Jian;Wang, Caisheng;Yan, Yonglong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.689-700
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents an effective approach for wind turbine (WT) condition assessment based on the data collected from wind farm supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system. Three types of assessment indices are determined based on the monitoring parameters obtained from the SCADA system. Neural Networks (NNs) are used to establish prediction models for the assessment indices that are dependent on environmental conditions such as ambient temperature and wind speed. An abnormal level index (ALI) is defined to quantify the abnormal level of the proposed indices. Prediction errors of the prediction models follow a normal distribution. Thus, the ALIs can be calculated based on the probability density function of normal distribution. For other assessment indices, the ALIs are calculated by the nonparametric estimation based cumulative probability density function. A Back-Propagation NN (BPNN) algorithm is used for the overall WT condition assessment. The inputs to the BPNN are the ALIs of the proposed indices. The network structure and the number of nodes in the hidden layer are carefully chosen when the BPNN model is being trained. The condition assessment method has been used for real 1.5 MW WTs with doubly fed induction generators. Results show that the proposed assessment method could effectively predict the change of operating conditions prior to fault occurrences and provide early alarming of the developing faults of WTs.

가스터빈 블레이드의 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Gas Turbine Engine Blades)

  • 이광주;임성한;황종욱;정용운;양계병
    • 한국항공우주학회지
    • /
    • 제36권12호
    • /
    • pp.1186-1192
    • /
    • 2008
  • 가스터빈 엔진 블레이드의 신뢰성을 해석하였다. 항복강도, 탄성계수, 엔진속도 및 기체온도를 서로 독립적인 확률변수로 가정하였다. 파손확률을 구하기 위하여 사용한 방법들 중에서 Advanced Mean Value Method가 가장 효율적임을 알 수 있었다. 동일한 평균과 표준편차를 갖는 정규, 대수정규 및 Weibull 분포로 확률변수 형상을 가정하였을 경우, 극한상태방정식의 누적분포함수는 확률변수 분포형상에 의하여 큰 영향을 받지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 확률변수의 표준편차에 대한 파손확률의 민감도는 기체온도의 경우에 가장 크다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 확률변수의 평균과 표준편차의 효과를 검토하였다. 기체온도의 평균과 엔진속도의 표준편차의 증가가 파손확률을 가장 크게 증가시킴을 알 수 있었다.

대도시 교통밀집지역 도로변 대기 중 휘발성유기화합물의 농도분포 특성 (Characteristics of Atmospheric Concentrations of Volatile Organic Compounds at a Heavy-Traffic Site in a Large Urban Area)

  • 백성옥;김미현;박상곤
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.113-126
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the temporal (daily, weekly, and seasonal) variations of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) concentrations at a road-side site in a heavy-traffic central area of Metropolitan Taegu. Ambient air sampling was undertaken continuously for 14 consecutive days in each of four seasons from the spring of 1999 to the winter of 2000. The VOC samples were collected using adsorbent tubes, and were determined by thermal desorption coupled with GC/MS analysis. A total of 10 aromatic VOCs of environmental concern were determined, including benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, m+p-xylenes, styrene, o-xylene, 1,3,5-trimethylbenzene, 1,2,4-trimethylbenzene, and naphthalene. Among 10 target VOCs, the most abundant compounds appeared to be toluene (1.5 ∼ 102 ppb) and xylenes (0.1 ∼ 114 ppb), while benzene levels were in the range of 0.3 ∼6 ppb. It was found that the general trends of VOC levels were significantly dependent on traffic conditions at the sampling site since VOC concentrations were at their maximum during rush hours (AM 7∼9 and PM 7 ∼9). However, some VOCs such as toluene, xylenes, and ethylbenzene were likely to be affected by a number of unknown sources other than vehicle exhaust, being attributed to the use of paints, and/or the evaporation of solvents used nearby the sampling site. In some instances, extremely high concentrations were found for these compounds, which can not be explained solely by the impact of vehicle exhaust. The results of this study may be useful for estimating the relative importance of different emission sources in large urban areas. Finally, it was suggested that the median value might be more desirable than the arithmetic mean as a representative value for the VOC data group, since the cumulative probability distribution (n=658) does not follow the normal distribution pattern.

담배나방 발육에 미치는 온도의 영향 (Effect of Temperature on Development of Oriental Tobacco Budworm, Helicoverpa assuta Guenee)

  • 한만위;이준호;이문홍
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
    • /
    • 제32권2호
    • /
    • pp.236-244
    • /
    • 1993
  • 온도가 담배나방 발육에 미치는 영향을 알아보기 위하여 18~$33^{\circ}C$ 사이의 7개 온도조건에서 인공사료를 이용하여 광주기 14:10 조건에서 사육하였다. 알, 유충, 용의 발육기간은 전체 발육기간에 대해서 각각 10, 48, 42% 정도를 점유하였다. 발육영점온도는 알, 유충, 용, 전체발육기간(알에서 성충까지)에 따라 각각 8.62, 12.65, 11.64, $11.89^{\circ}C$였다. 평균발육속도를 Sharpe와 Demichele(1977)이 제시한 비선형모델에 적용한 결과 온도에 따른 발육특성을 잘 설명할 수 있는 것으로 나타났으며 ($r^2$=0.993~0.996), 발육기간분포의 특성을 알기 위하여 정규화한 누적발유기간분포를 Weibull분포에 적용한 결과 높은 적합성을 나타내었다($r^2$=0.987~0.999).

  • PDF

베링공해 명태 트롤어업의 국가별 어획량, CPUE 및 월별 어장 (Analysis on the national catch, CPUE and monthly fishing grounds of walleye pollock, Theragra chalcogramma by the trawl fishery in the high seas of the Bering Sea)

  • 조현수
    • 수산해양기술연구
    • /
    • 제52권2호
    • /
    • pp.141-148
    • /
    • 2016
  • Annual and monthly pollock catches, CPUE and fishing grounds in the high seas of Bering Sea between 1984 and 1992 were analyzed for centroid distribution and bivariate ellipses of trawlers of South Korea, Japan, Poland and China. The catch amount differed by country as 56.1%, 21.7%, 20.4% and 1.8% were caught by Japan, Korea, Poland and China respectively. Japan recorded the highest mean CPUE at 5.7 ton/hour while it was 4.3 ton/hour for Poland, 3.9 ton/hour for Korea and 2.4 ton/hour for China. Cumulative catch varied by month, with the minimum of 137,000 ton in March and the maximum of 848,000 ton in December. Monthly mean of CPUE was the lowest in February (2.0 ton/hour) and the highest in November (6.3 ton/hour). The centroid distribution of monthly fishing ground was located at a southern spot ($56^{\circ}$ 05'N, $178^{\circ}$ 55'E) in January, and it moved anti-clockwise toward $56^{\circ}$ 37'N, $178^{\circ}$ 24'E in December. Fishing grounds were scattered more by the east-west direction than by the south-north direction. The fishing grounds were similar for Korean, Japanese and Polish trawlers, but Chinese trawlers that fished only from July to December showed distinctively different fishing grounds from the others.

환경성 발암물질의 용량-반응모델의 이론적 근거와 응용에 관한 연구 - 음용수 중 chloroform을 중심으로 (Scientific rationale and applicability of dose-response models for environmental carcinogens)

  • 신동천;정용;김종만;이성임;황만식
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.27-41
    • /
    • 1996
  • This study described methods to predict human health risk associated with exposure to environmental carcinogens using animal bioassay data. Also, biological assumption for various dose-response models were reviewed. To illustrate the process of risk estimate using relevant dose-response models such as Log-normal, Mantel-Bryan, Weibull and Multistage model, we used four animal carcinogenesis bioassy data of chloroform and chloroform concentrations of tap water measured in large cities of Korea from 1987 to 1995. As a result, in the case of using average concentration in exposure data and 95% upper boud unit risk of Multistge model, excess cancer risk(RISK I) was about $1.9\times10^{-6}$, in the case of using probability distribution of cumulative exposure data and unit risks, those risks(RISK II) which were simulated by Monte-Carlo analysis were about $2.4\times10^{-6}\;and\;7.9\times10^{-5}$ at 50 and 95 percentile, respectively. Therefore risk estimated by Monte-Carlo analysis using probability distribution of input variables may be more conservative.

  • PDF

기후변화 시나리오 편의보정 기법에 따른 강우-유출 특성 분석 (Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics on Bias Correction Method of Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 금동혁;박윤식;정영훈;신민환;류지철;박지형;양재의;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제31권3호
    • /
    • pp.241-252
    • /
    • 2015
  • Runoff behaviors by five bias correction methods were analyzed, which were Change Factor methods using past observed and estimated data by the estimation scenario with average annual calibration factor (CF_Y) or with average monthly calibration factor (CF_M), Quantile Mapping methods using past observed and estimated data considering cumulative distribution function for entire estimated data period (QM_E) or for dry and rainy season (QM_P), and Integrated method of CF_M+QM_E(CQ). The peak flow by CF_M and QM_P were twice as large as the measured peak flow, it was concluded that QM_P method has large uncertainty in monthly runoff estimation since the maximum precipitation by QM_P provided much difference to the other methods. The CQ method provided the precipitation amount, distribution, and frequency of the smallest differences to the observed data, compared to the other four methods. And the CQ method provided the rainfall-runoff behavior corresponding to the carbon dioxide emission scenario of SRES A1B. Climate change scenario with bias correction still contained uncertainty in accurate climate data generation. Therefore it is required to consider the trend of observed precipitation and the characteristics of bias correction methods so that the generated precipitation can be used properly in water resource management plan establishment.

Review on Rice Flour Manufacturing and Utilization

  • Kim, Myoung Ho
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
    • /
    • 제38권2호
    • /
    • pp.103-112
    • /
    • 2013
  • Background: The Korean government launched a project in 2008, where the amount of rice used as raw ingredient in rice-based foods in 2012 was planned to increase up to 10% (470,000 ton) of the total rice production through developing various new rice-based processed foods and their commercial manufacturing technology. Among the four major rice-based processed foods, rice cakes and noodles need rice flour as their main raw ingredient. Technology in rice flour utilization and manufacturing is far behind than the technology pertinent to wheat flour in many subject areas. Purpose: This review aims to provide information on rice flour utilization and manufacturing with some fundamental subjects in the area of size reduction. Results: A variety of food items including bread, noodle, cake, cookie, muffin, pre-mix, beverage, vinegar, surimi, and artificial meat have found rice flour as their raw ingredient. Rice bread made out of 100% rice flour has been developed and is now sold in retail stores. Various noodle products made from rice flour are also on the market. Issues on product definition and labeling regulation about rice flour content of the products were explored. Generalized grinding equations available in the literature were seldom used in practice; instead, it has been a general practice to develop empirical equations from test milling data. Introductory remarks on three popular particle size measurement methods (sieving, Coulter counter, light diffraction) were explained. Mathematical expressions frequently used to describe particle size distribution and to correlate cumulative quantity of particles with particle size were represented. Milling methods used in producing rice flour were described along with their advantages and disadvantages. Because of their profound effect on functional properties of the rice flour, four rice flour milling equipments used at both laboratory experiments and commercial manufacturing plants were discussed.

수산전해액하에서 양극산화에 의한 무기 UF막의 제조 (Preparation of Inorganic Ultrafiltration Membrane by Anodic Oxidation in Oxalic Acid)

  • 이창우;홍영호;장윤호;함영민
    • 공업화학
    • /
    • 제9권4호
    • /
    • pp.536-541
    • /
    • 1998
  • 본 연구에서는 시판용 99.8% 금속알루미늄을 수산전해액에서 정전류 방식에 의하여 양극산화하여 다공성 알루미나 막을 제조하는 실험을 행하였다. 전기화학 반응은 표면반응으로 양극산화에 앞서 알루미늄판을 열산화, 화학연마 및 전해연마 등의 전처리를 행하였으며, 반응온도, 전기량, 수산전해질 농도 및 전류밀도의 변화에 따라 양극산화를 시행하여 형성된 다공성 알루미나 막의 세공크기와 분포, 세공밀도 및 막와 두께를 조사하였다. 양극산화에 의해 제조된 다공성 알루미나 막의 기하구조는 직선적인 원통형 세공을 가지며, 세공직경이 45~100 nm 범위로 세공분포가 매우 균일하고, 세공밀도가 $10{\sim}30{\times}10^8$개/$cm^2$로 우수한 세라믹막의 특성을 갖는 한외여과막을 제조할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

디지털 이미지 분석을 이용한 지오텍스타일 공극 분포의 정량화 (Quantitative Evaluation of Geotextile Void Structures Using Digital Image Analysis)

  • 김두환
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.51-61
    • /
    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 지오텍스타일 공극 크기 분포를 이미지 분석방법을 이용하여 정량적으로 산출하였다. 연구과정은 실내시험을 통해 지오텍스타일-지오멤브레인 층으로 된 재료를 에폭시 레진으로 포화시킨 후, 양생, 절단하여 그 표면을 디지털 광학현미경으로 관찰하고 정량화함으로 이루어졌다. 여기서는 재료공학에서 주로 사용하는 공간학(stereology)의 개념을 사용하였으며, 지오텍스타일 필라멘트에 의해 둘러싸인 공극의 크기를 최대내접공극크기분포(LIOS)로 표현하였다. 지오텍스타일 내부 축적빈도 50%에 해당하는 공극직경이 압축응력이 10kPa에서 300kPa로 증가함에 따라 $45{\mu}m$가량 감소하였으며, 다시 압축응력을 10kPa로 되돌렸을 경우 초기치의 90%정도 수준으로 회복하였다. 마찰형 지오멤브레인 표면에서 연직응력 100, 300 kPa을 받으며 전단되었을 경우 평균 공극의 크기가 각가 32, 16.5% 감소하였다. 본 논문의 시험 및 분석 결과는 지오텍스타일 내부의 최대내접공극 크기분포가 표면거칠기가 다른 지오멤브레인 표면에서 압축 및 인터페이스 전단됨에 따라 어떻게 변화하는지를 보여준다.