• Title/Summary/Keyword: cross-validation test

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Application of Time-series Cross Validation in Hyperparameter Tuning of a Predictive Model for 2,3-BDO Distillation Process (시계열 교차검증을 적용한 2,3-BDO 분리공정 온도예측 모델의 초매개변수 최적화)

  • An, Nahyeon;Choi, Yeongryeol;Cho, Hyungtae;Kim, Junghwan
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.59 no.4
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    • pp.532-541
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    • 2021
  • Recently, research on the application of artificial intelligence in the chemical process has been increasing rapidly. However, overfitting is a significant problem that prevents the model from being generalized well to predict unseen data on test data, as well as observed training data. Cross validation is one of the ways to solve the overfitting problem. In this study, the time-series cross validation method was applied to optimize the number of batch and epoch in the hyperparameters of the prediction model for the 2,3-BDO distillation process, and it compared with K-fold cross validation generally used. As a result, the RMSE of the model with time-series cross validation was lower by 9.06%, and the MAPE was higher by 0.61% than the model with K-fold cross validation. Also, the calculation time was 198.29 sec less than the K-fold cross validation method.

Finding Unexpected Test Accuracy by Cross Validation in Machine Learning

  • Yoon, Hoijin
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.12spc
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    • pp.549-555
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    • 2021
  • Machine Learning(ML) splits data into 3 parts, which are usually 60% for training, 20% for validation, and 20% for testing. It just splits quantitatively instead of selecting each set of data by a criterion, which is very important concept for the adequacy of test data. ML measures a model's accuracy by applying a set of validation data, and revises the model until the validation accuracy reaches on a certain level. After the validation process, the complete model is tested with the set of test data, which are not seen by the model yet. If the set of test data covers the model's attributes well, the test accuracy will be close to the validation accuracy of the model. To make sure that ML's set of test data works adequately, we design an experiment and see if the test accuracy of model is always close to its validation adequacy as expected. The experiment builds 100 different SVM models for each of six data sets published in UCI ML repository. From the test accuracy and its validation accuracy of 600 cases, we find some unexpected cases, where the test accuracy is very different from its validation accuracy. Consequently, it is not always true that ML's set of test data is adequate to assure a model's quality.

Traffic Classification Using Machine Learning Algorithms in Practical Network Monitoring Environments (실제 네트워크 모니터링 환경에서의 ML 알고리즘을 이용한 트래픽 분류)

  • Jung, Kwang-Bon;Choi, Mi-Jung;Kim, Myung-Sup;Won, Young-J.;Hong, James W.
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.8B
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 2008
  • The methodology of classifying traffics is changing from payload based or port based to machine learning based in order to overcome the dynamic changes of application's characteristics. However, current state of traffic classification using machine learning (ML) algorithms is ongoing under the offline environment. Specifically, most of the current works provide results of traffic classification using cross validation as a test method. Also, they show classification results based on traffic flows. However, these traffic classification results are not useful for practical environments of the network traffic monitoring. This paper compares the classification results using cross validation with those of using split validation as the test method. Also, this paper compares the classification results based on flow to those based on bytes. We classify network traffics by using various feature sets and machine learning algorithms such as J48, REPTree, RBFNetwork, Multilayer perceptron, BayesNet, and NaiveBayes. In this paper, we find the best feature sets and the best ML algorithm for classifying traffics using the split validation.

Estimating Prediction Errors in Binary Classification Problem: Cross-Validation versus Bootstrap

  • Kim Ji-Hyun;Cha Eun-Song
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2006
  • It is important to estimate the true misclassification rate of a given classifier when an independent set of test data is not available. Cross-validation and bootstrap are two possible approaches in this case. In related literature bootstrap estimators of the true misclassification rate were asserted to have better performance for small samples than cross-validation estimators. We compare the two estimators empirically when the classification rule is so adaptive to training data that its apparent misclassification rate is close to zero. We confirm that bootstrap estimators have better performance for small samples because of small variance, and we have found a new fact that their bias tends to be significant even for moderate to large samples, in which case cross-validation estimators have better performance with less computation.

Cross-cultural Validation of Instruments Measuring Health Beliefs about Colorectal Cancer Screening among Korean Americans

  • Lee, Shin-Young;Lee, Eunice E.
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to report the instrument modification and validation processes to make existing health belief model scales culturally appropriate for Korean Americans (KAs) regarding colorectal cancer (CRC) screening utilization. Methods: Instrument translation, individual interviews using cognitive interviewing, and expert reviews were conducted during the instrument modification phase, and a pilot test and a cross-sectional survey were conducted during the instrument validation phase. Data analyses of the cross-sectional survey included internal consistency and construct validity using exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis. Results: The main issues identified during the instrument modification phase were (a) cultural and linguistic translation issues and (b) newly developed items reflecting Korean cultural barriers. Cross-sectional survey analyses during the instrument validation phase revealed that all scales demonstrate good internal consistency reliability (Cronbach's alpha=.72~.88). Exploratory factor analysis showed that susceptibility and severity loaded on the same factor, which may indicate a threat variable. Items with low factor loadings in the confirmatory factor analysis may relate to (a) lack of knowledge about fecal occult blood testing and (b) multiple dimensions of the subscales. Conclusion: Methodological, sequential processes of instrument modification and validation, including translation, individual interviews, expert reviews, pilot testing and a cross-sectional survey, were provided in this study. The findings indicate that existing instruments need to be examined for CRC screening research involving KAs.

A Study on Time Series Cross-Validation Techniques for Enhancing the Accuracy of Reservoir Water Level Prediction Using Automated Machine Learning TPOT (자동기계학습 TPOT 기반 저수위 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 시계열 교차검증 기법 연구)

  • Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Woon-Ji;Lee, Seoro;Park, Tae-Seon;Park, Sang-Bin;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • This study assessed the efficacy of improving the accuracy of reservoir water level prediction models by employing automated machine learning models and efficient cross-validation methods for time-series data. Considering the inherent complexity and non-linearity of time-series data related to reservoir water levels, we proposed an optimized approach for model selection and training. The performance of twelve models was evaluated for the Obong Reservoir in Gangneung, Gangwon Province, using the TPOT (Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool) and four cross-validation methods, which led to the determination of the optimal pipeline model. The pipeline model consisting of Extra Tree, Stacking Ridge Regression, and Simple Ridge Regression showed outstanding predictive performance for both training and test data, with an R2 (Coefficient of determination) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) exceeding 0.93. On the other hand, for predictions of water levels 12 hours later, the pipeline model selected through time-series split cross-validation accurately captured the change pattern of time-series water level data during the test period, with an NSE exceeding 0.99. The methodology proposed in this study is expected to greatly contribute to the efficient generation of reservoir water level predictions in regions with high rainfall variability.

A Cross-Validation of SeismicVulnerability Assessment Model: Application to Earthquake of 9.12 Gyeongju and 2017 Pohang (지진 취약성 평가 모델 교차검증: 경주(2016)와 포항(2017) 지진을 대상으로)

  • Han, Jihye;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.649-655
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    • 2021
  • This study purposes to cross-validate its performance by applying the optimal seismic vulnerability assessment model based on previous studies conducted in Gyeongju to other regions. The test area was Pohang City, the occurrence site for the 2017 Pohang Earthquake, and the dataset was built the same influencing factors and earthquake-damaged buildings as in the previous studies. The validation dataset was built via random sampling, and the prediction accuracy was derived by applying it to a model based on a random forest (RF) of Gyeongju. The accuracy of the model success and prediction in Gyeongju was 100% and 94.9%, respectively, and as a result of confirming the prediction accuracy by applying the Pohang validation dataset, it appeared as 70.4%.

A Study on the Land Cover Classification and Cross Validation of AI-based Aerial Photograph

  • Lee, Seong-Hyeok;Myeong, Soojeong;Yoon, Donghyeon;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.395-409
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the classification performance and applicability when land cover datasets constructed for AI training are cross validation to other areas. For study areas, Gyeongsang-do and Jeolla-do in South Korea were selected as cross validation areas, and training datasets were obtained from AI-Hub. The obtained datasets were applied to the U-Net algorithm, a semantic segmentation algorithm, for each region, and the accuracy was evaluated by applying them to the same and other test areas. There was a difference of about 13-15% in overall classification accuracy between the same and other areas. For rice field, fields and buildings, higher accuracy was shown in the Jeolla-do test areas. For roads, higher accuracy was shown in the Gyeongsang-do test areas. In terms of the difference in accuracy by weight, the result of applying the weights of Gyeongsang-do showed high accuracy for forests, while that of applying the weights of Jeolla-do showed high accuracy for dry fields. The result of land cover classification, it was found that there is a difference in classification performance of existing datasets depending on area. When constructing land cover map for AI training, it is expected that higher quality datasets can be constructed by reflecting the characteristics of various areas. This study is highly scalable from two perspectives. First, it is to apply satellite images to AI study and to the field of land cover. Second, it is expanded based on satellite images and it is possible to use a large scale area and difficult to access.

An Error Assessment of the Kriging Based Approximation Model Using a Mean Square Error (평균제곱오차를 이용한 크리깅 근사모델의 오차 평가)

  • Ju Byeong-Hyeon;Cho Tae-Min;Jung Do-Hyun;Lee Byung-Chai
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.8 s.251
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    • pp.923-930
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    • 2006
  • A Kriging model is a sort of approximation model and used as a deterministic model of a computationally expensive analysis or simulation. Although it has various advantages, it is difficult to assess the accuracy of the approximated model. It is generally known that a mean square error (MSE) obtained from the kriging model can't calculate statistically exact error bounds contrary to a response surface method, and a cross validation is mainly used. But the cross validation also has many uncertainties. Moreover, the cross validation can't be used when a maximum error is required in the given region. For solving this problem, we first proposed a modified mean square error which can consider relative errors. Using the modified mean square error, we developed the strategy of adding a new sample to the place that the MSE has the maximum when the MSE is used for the assessment of the kriging model. Finally, we offer guidelines for the use of the MSE which is obtained from the kriging model. Four test problems show that the proposed strategy is a proper method which can assess the accuracy of the kriging model. Based on the results of four test problems, a convergence coefficient of 0.01 is recommended for an exact function approximation.

An Availability of Low Cost Sensors for Machine Fault Diagnosis

  • SON, JONG-DUK
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.394-399
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    • 2012
  • In recent years, MEMS sensors show huge attraction in machine condition monitoring, which have advantages in power, size, cost, mobility and flexibility. They can integrate with smart sensors and MEMS sensors are batch product. So the prices are cheap. And the suitability of it for condition monitoring is researched by experimental study. This paper presents a comparative study and performance test of classification of MEMS sensors in target machine fault classification by 3 intelligent classifiers. We attempt to signal validation of MEMS sensor accuracy and reliability and performance comparisons of classifiers are conducted. MEMS accelerometer and MEMS current sensors are employed for experiment test. In addition, a simple feature extraction and cross validation methods were applied to make sure MEMS sensors availabilities. The result of application is good for using fault classification.

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