• Title/Summary/Keyword: cost risk management

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A Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Depending on International Project Types (플랜트, 건축, 토목 공종별 해외건설 리스크평가 비교분석)

  • Baek, Seungwon;Han, Seung-Heon;Jung, Wooyong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2019
  • This study investigated checked risk level before bid, actual risk level after award, contingency, and cost growth rate in the 124 international construction projects executed by Korean major companies. This study conducted comparative analysis by product type using rank analysis, ANOVA and correlation analysis. As a result, plant and civil projects have worse risk level than architecture projects not only in before bid but also in after award. Especially, country risk is the worst risk in both plant and civil projects, followed by project risk and capability risk. Also, although plant and civil projects reflect more contingency than architecture projects, contingency is not correlated with the checked risk level before bid. Lastly, the cost growth rate is correlated with the actual risk level in all product types. This study is expected to support in planning better practical risk management for international construction projects.

A Delphi Study on Software Project Risks (소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트의 위험요인 도출에 대한 델파이 연구)

  • Chung Kyung-Soo;Kang Myeong-Hui;Kim Yong
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2004
  • Most of the software development projects bear risks that need analysis and management. Risk management plays a critical role for the success of software project management. In this study, we have used delphi method to delineate critical risk factors. The study pulls out 20 project risk factors from 21 project managers. It is certainly clear that certain features are more risky than others. Our study shows that unrealistic cost estimation and changes in scope and objective are more risky than other features.

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A study on operational risk management of Low Cost Carriers in Korea (국내 저비용 항공사의 경영위험 관리 연구)

  • Kwak, Bong-Hwan;Kang, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2012
  • This study, for the reinvigoration domestic LCCs (Low Cost Carriers) in Asian air market which is in developing stage now, aims to analyze the management risk through the operation cases of domestic and foreign areas and then to derive a risk management plan to reinforce the competency of domestic LCCs. As for the major potential risk factors for LCCs in Asia-pacific market, the first is the absence of growth strategy. Then, the second is the problems in airline route, the typical problem of subsidiary companies of major air lines. The third is the lack of specialists and professional manpowers. In order to cope with such risk factors, rapid growth should be controlled and competition with parent company by entering to parent company's airline route should also be avoided. At the same time, there should be a comprehensive supporting system to foster specialists and professionals in this industry.

Development of A Computerized Risk Management System for International EPCS Projects

  • Yoo, Wi Sung;Kim, Woo-young;Sung, Yookyung
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.614-615
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    • 2015
  • In these days, global construction market is speedily increasing and domestic construction companies have a chance of new contracts. In the meantime, international projects have been increasingly forced to cope with potential risks, which seriously impacted achieving the targeted time and cost. In this study, we introduce a computerized risk management system for international EPCS projects, which is constructed on the needs of practitioners and decision makers as an aid to proactively control the potential risks and to monitor continuously their status and variation. The system is called the Project Risk Management System (PRiMS) is useful for furnishing project managers with warning signals as a project is progressing and helpful for producing the total risk score and tracking risk variation.

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A Study on the process for Managing the Reliability of Conceptual cost estimates in Building Projects (건축 프로젝트 개산견적 신뢰도 관리 프로세스에 관한 연구)

  • An, Sung-Hoon;Kim, Dae-Won;Park, U-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 2010
  • Conceptual cost is estimated with insufficient information at an early stage of a building construction project, resulting in an inevitable gap between conceptual estimated cost and real constructed cost. For a project to be successful, this gap must be managed to be lower than a reliable level. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to propose a structural process for managing the reliability of conceptual cost estimates at an early stage of a building construction project. In researching this study, conceptual cost estimate experts were interviewed,and a risk management process was studied. Reliability assessment and a review process for improving the quality of conceptual cost estimate and the planning strategy of reliability management based on previous similar projects were added to the present estimate process. The proposed reliability management process will improve the chances of a successful project, by helping to decrease the risk of conceptual estimated cost.

Forecasting Project Cost and Time using Fuzzy Set Theory and Contractors' Judgment

  • Alshibani, Adel
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.174-178
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a new method for forecasting construction project cost and time at completion or at any intermediate time horizon of the project duration. The method is designed to overcome identified limitations of current applications of earned value method in forecasting project cost and time. The proposed method usesfuzzy set theory to model uncertainties associated with project performance and it integrates the earned value technique and the contractors' judgement. The fuzzy set theory is applied as an alternative approach to deterministic and probabilistic methods. Using fuzzy set theory allows contractors to: (1) perform risk analysis for different scenarios of project performance indices, and (2) perform different scenarios expressing vagueness and imprecision of forecasted project cost and time using a set of measures and indices. Unlike the current applications of Earned Value Method(EVM), The proposed method has a numberof interesting features: (1) integrating contractors' judgement in forecasting project performance; (2) enabling contractors to evaluate the risk associated with cost overrun in much simpler method comparing with that of simulation, and (3) accounting for uncertainties involved in the forecasting project cost.

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Life Cycle Cost Analysis for Design of Buildings based on the Lifetime Risk (생애 위험도기반 건축물의 설계단계 생애주기비용 분석 방법)

  • Baek, Byung-Hoon;Cho, Choong-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2014
  • Recently, the demand on the practical application of life-cycle cost effectiveness for design and rehabilitation of structure is rapidly growing unprecedently in engineering practice. Accordingly, in the 21st century, it is almost obvious that life-cycle cost together with value engineering will become a new paradigm for all engineering decision problems in practice. However, in spite of impressive progress in the researches on the LCC, the most researches have only focused on the Deterministic or Probabilistic LCC analysis approach (Level-1 LCC Model) at design stage. Thus, the goal of this study is to develop a practical and realistic methodology for the Lifetime risk based Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective optimum decision-making at design stage.

Risk Assessment in the Shipbuilding Industry: Present and the Future

  • Jeong, Byung-Yong;Kim, Woo-Jin;Jeong, Ye-Seul
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to gain an overview of the risk assessment and management system in the shipbuilding industry. Background: The use of risk assessment techniques has grown significantly in recent years. Method: Various references have been reviewed to evaluate risk assessment and management policy. Results: Adapting the risk assessment system has become an important approach not only to prevent industrial accidents but also to enhance the efficiency of works for shipbuilding workers. Conclusion: Risk assessment is an approved technology for operators to address larger hazards, and to ensure risks have been reduced to appropriate levels cost effectively. Application: These results can be used to provide baseline information for risk assessment and management policy.

BIM Utilization Plan for Schedule Risk Management (공정리스크 관리를 위한 BIM 적용 방안)

  • Lee, Gye-Hyun;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.143-144
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    • 2012
  • A number of construction projects tied to the concerns and decision-making is also very complicated. In addition, more than any other industry, is inherent in many risk factors. In the course of the construction project on risk factors that exist in the early stages of project risk factors to predict in advance and prepare a project by shortening the construction period and project cost as you can to maximize performance. In this study, I proposed risk management processes and how they are used in web-based schedule risk in the process of change management system, and between 3D CAD, 4D CAD taking into account the linkages, risk management strategy process in the BIM environment.

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A Study on the Development of an Operation Risk Analysis Model in BTL Projects (BTL사업 운영리스크 분석 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Sun;Lee, Jeong-Hun;Oh, Se-Wook;Yoo, Hyun-Seok;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 2008
  • In BTL project, the operation cost covering upcoming 20 years is usually alloted more than construction cost although its plan is made in short time. Therefore, it is a key issue to forecast and to analyze operation risks in the process of making contract in order to successfully finish the BTL project and to ensure the profitability of business. However, only a few domestic professional management companies are capable to carry out funding and facility management. To manage the potential risks efficiently in BLT project, it's essential to prioritize the risk factors by means of considering economical risk level, non-economical risk level and occurrence frequency. Thus, this study suggests risk analysis model for improving efficiency of BTL project from operation company's perspective by means of survey. The suggested risk analysis model is expected to establish a risk management strategy which can improve the efficiency of management affairs in BTL project.

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