• Title/Summary/Keyword: cost prediction

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Multiple Behavior s Learning and Prediction in Unknown Environment

  • Song, Wei;Cho, Kyung-Eun;Um, Ky-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.1820-1831
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    • 2010
  • When interacting with unknown environments, an autonomous agent needs to decide which action or action order can result in a good state and determine the transition probability based on the current state and the action taken. The traditional multiple sequential learning model requires predefined probability of the states' transition. This paper proposes a multiple sequential learning and prediction system with definition of autonomous states to enhance the automatic performance of existing AI algorithms. In sequence learning process, the sensed states are classified into several group by a set of proposed motivation filters to reduce the learning computation. In prediction process, the learning agent makes a decision based on the estimation of each state's cost to get a high payoff from the given environment. The proposed learning and prediction algorithms heightens the automatic planning of the autonomous agent for interacting with the dynamic unknown environment. This model was tested in a virtual library.

Predictions of Local Circulation and Dispersion with Microscale Numerical Model (수치모의를 통한 미세규모 순환과 확산에 대한 예측)

  • 안광득;이용희;장동언;조천호
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2003
  • The prediction of wind field is very important fact in the radioactive and chemical warfare. In spite of advanced numerical weather prediction modelling and computing technology, the high resolution prediction of wind field is limited by the very high integration costs. In this study we coupled the mesoscale numerical model and microscale diagnostic numerical model with minimized integration costs. This coupled model has not only the ability of prediction of high resolution wind field including complex building but also microscale pollutant diffusion fields. For military operation this system can help making a practical and cost-effective decision in a battle field.

Utility of Structural Information to Predict Drug Clearance from in Vitro Data

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Dong-Sup
    • Interdisciplinary Bio Central
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.3.1-3.4
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    • 2010
  • In the present research, we assessed the utility of the structural information of drugs for predicting human in vivo intrinsic clearance from in vitro intrinsic clearance data obtained by human hepatic microsome experiment. To compare with the observed intrinsic clearance, human intrinsic clearance values for 51 drugs were estimated by the classical methods using in vivo-in vitro scale-up and by the new methods using the in vitro experimental data and selected molecular descriptors of drugs by the forward selection technique together. The results showed that taking consideration of molecular descriptors into prediction from in vitro experimental data could improve the prediction accuracy. The in vitro experiment is very useful when the data can estimate in vivo data accurately since it can reduce the cost of drug development. Improvement of prediction accuracy in the present approach can enhance the utility of in vitro data.

Protein Disorder Prediction Using Multilayer Perceptrons

  • Oh, Sang-Hoon
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.11-15
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    • 2013
  • "Protein Folding Problem" is considered to be one of the "Great Challenges of Computer Science" and prediction of disordered protein is an important part of the protein folding problem. Machine learning models can predict the disordered structure of protein based on its characteristic of "learning from examples". Among many machine learning models, we investigate the possibility of multilayer perceptron (MLP) as the predictor of protein disorder. The investigation includes a single hidden layer MLP, multi hidden layer MLP and the hierarchical structure of MLP. Also, the target node cost function which deals with imbalanced data is used as training criteria of MLPs. Based on the investigation results, we insist that MLP should have deep architectures for performance improvement of protein disorder prediction.

A trajectory prediction of human reach (Reach 동작예측 모델의 개발)

  • 최재호;정의승
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 1995
  • A man model is a useful design tool for the evaluation of man machine systems and products. An arm reach trajectory prediction for such a model will be specifically useful to present human activities and, consequently, could increase the accuracy and reality of the evaluation. In this study, a three-dimensional reach trajectory prediction model was developed using an inverse kinematics technique. The upper body was modeled as a four link open kinematic chain with seven degrees of freedom. The Resolved Motion Method used for the robot kinematics problem was used to predict the joint movements. The cost function of the perceived discomfort developed using the central composite design was also used as a performance function. This model predicts the posture by moving the joints to minimize the discomfort on the constraint of the end effector velocity directed to a target point. The results of the pairwise t-test showed that all the joint coordinates except the shoulder joint's showed statistically no differences at .alpha. = 0.01. The reach trajectory prediction model developed in this study was found to accurately simulate human arm reach trajectory and the model will help understand the human arm reach movement.

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A Study on High Speed Railway Track Deterioration Prediction (고속선 궤도틀림진전예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shim, Yun-Seop;Kim, Ki-Dong;Lee, Sung-Uk;Woo, Byoung-Koo;Lee, Ki-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2010
  • Present maintenance of a high speed railway is after the fack maintenance that executes a task when measured value goes over threshold value except some planned maintenance. It is difficult from efficient management of maintenance human resource and equipment commitment because it is difficult to predict quantity of maintenance targets. Corrective maintenance is pushed back on the repair priority of other target to need repair and it is exceeded repair cost potentially. For safety and dependable track management because track deterioration prediction is linked directly with track's life and safety of train service, it is very important that track management be based on preventive maintenance. In this study, we propose statistics model of track quality to use track inspection data and forecast model for track deterioration prediction.

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Input Constrained Receding Horizon $H_{\infty}$ Control : Quadratic Programming Approach

  • Lee, Young-Il
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.49 no.9
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2000
  • A receding horizon $H_{\infty}$ predictive control method is derived by solving a min-max problem in non-recursive forms. The min-max cost index is converted to a quadratic form which for systems with input saturation can be minimized using QP. Through the use of closed-loop prediction the prediction of states the use of closed-loop prediction the prediction of states in the presence of disturbances are made non-conservative and it become possible to get a tighter $H_{\infty}$ norm bound. Stability conditions and $H_{\infty}$ norm bounds on disturbance rejection are obtained in infinite horizon sence. Polyhedral types of feasible sets for sets and disturbances are adopted to deal with the input constraints. The weight selection procedures are given in terms of LMIs and the algorithm is formulated so that it can be solved via QP. This work is a modified version of an earlier work which was based on ellipsoidal type feasible sets[15].

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A dynamic selection of advanced prediction mode in H.263 encoder using error distribution of motion estimation (움직임 추정 오차 분포를 이용한 H.263 부호화기의 진보 예측 모드의 동적 선택)

  • 허태원;이근영
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.35S no.5
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we proposed a dynamic selection scheme of advnaced prediction mode(DAPM), which reduces computational cost and improves coding efficiency. We can select the mode between default prediction mode (DPM) and advanced prediction mode (APM) according to motion componenets in a frame dynamically. For this purpose, we defined error distribution of motion estimation (EDME) as sum of absolute difference(SAD) for each searching points. This distribution region is divided to four subregions. We calculate minimum values in each subregions and then, we determine whether block motion estimation is performed or not depending on the results. As a result, we reduced computational complexity to 30% without degradation of image quality compared to fixed APM(FAPM) by selecting DPM for linear movement.

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Decision of Optimum Grinding Condition by Pass Schedule Change (열간압연 스케줄변경에 따른 최적연삭조건 결정)

  • Bae, Yong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2008
  • It is important to prevent roll failure in hot rolling process for reducing maintenance cost and production loss. The relationship between rolling pass schedule and the work roll wear profile will be presented. The roll wear pattern is related with roll catastrophic failure. The irregular and deep roll wear pattern should be removed by On-line Roll Grinder(ORG) for roll failure prevention. In this study, a computer roll wear prediction model under real process working condition is developed and evaluated with hot rolling pass schedule. The method of building wear calculation functions for center portion abrasion and marginal abrasion respectively was used to develop a work roll wear prediction mathematical model. The three type rolling schedule are evaluated by wear prediction model. The optimum roll grinding methods is suggested for schedule tree rolling technique.

A Proposal of BIL for Reasonable Cost Estimation of Mechanical Contracts and Construction in Design Phases (설계단계에서 적정 기계설비 공사비 산정을 위한 BIM 정보표현수준(BIL) 개선안)

  • Park, Bo Sung;Kim, Sean Hay
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.29 no.12
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    • pp.663-672
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    • 2017
  • Building information modeling (BIM) technology based on 3D modeling has been applied to the entire domestic construction industry since 2010. It can calculate quantity take-off considering construction productivity at design phase. Based on this, it is possible to improve the reliability of construction cost prediction of design phase in the process of cost estimation. However, Building Information Level (BIL) defined by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport and Public Procurement Service does not seem to offer doable environment due to the lack of detailed application items. By calculating construction cost that meets Construction Cost Estimate Accuracy by American Association of Cost Engineers (AACE) through quantity take-off and cost estimation based on 3D modeling of BIM technology, a BIL improvement proposal at design phase for Mechanical Contracts and Construction is provided here. Results showed that properties including outline and minimum specification of the main equipment, internal main piping, and internal main duct should be defined from the intermediate design phase to have reliable cost estimation.