• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional distribution

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Estimation of Gini-Simpson index for SNP data

  • Kang, Joonsung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1557-1564
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    • 2017
  • We take genomic sequences of high-dimensional low sample size (HDLSS) without ordering of response categories into account. When constructing an appropriate test statistics in this model, the classical multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) approach might not be useful owing to very large number of parameters and very small sample size. For these reasons, we present a pseudo marginal model based upon the Gini-Simpson index estimated via Bayesian approach. In view of small sample size, we consider the permutation distribution by every possible n! (equally likely) permutation of the joined sample observations across G groups of (sizes $n_1,{\ldots}n_G$). We simulate data and apply false discovery rate (FDR) and positive false discovery rate (pFDR) with associated proposed test statistics to the data. And we also analyze real SARS data and compute FDR and pFDR. FDR and pFDR procedure along with the associated test statistics for each gene control the FDR and pFDR respectively at any level ${\alpha}$ for the set of p-values by using the exact conditional permutation theory.

A M-TYPE RISK MODEL WITH MARKOV-MODULATED PREMIUM RATE

  • Yu, Wen-Guang
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.5_6
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    • pp.1033-1047
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we consider a m-type risk model with Markov-modulated premium rate. A integral equation for the conditional ruin probability is obtained. A recursive inequality for the ruin probability with the stationary initial distribution and the upper bound for the ruin probability with no initial reserve are given. A system of Laplace transforms of non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, is established from a system of integro-differential equations. In the two-state model, explicit formulas for non-ruin probabilities are obtained when the initial reserve is zero or when both claim size distributions belong to the $K_n$-family, n $\in$ $N^+$ One example is given with claim sizes that have exponential distributions.

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Some Partial Orderings of Life Distributions

  • Jeen-Kap Choi;Kil-Ho Cho;Sang-Lyong Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 1995
  • The concept of positive ageing describes the adverse effects of age on the lifetime of units. Various aspects of this concept are described in terms of conditional probability distribution of residual life times, failure rates, equilibrium distributions, etc. In this paper, we will consider some partial ordering relations of life distributions under residual life functions and equilibrium distributions. Under residual life distributions, we study the relationships of IFR, NBU and NBUFR classes and that of DMRL and NBUE classes, By using WLR ordering comparison between F and its equilibrium $H_F$, we can decide if F belongs to NBUFR class.

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GEOSTATISTICAL UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN SEDIMENT GRAIN SIZE MAPPING WITH HIGH-RESOLUTION REMOTE SENSING IMAGERY

  • Park, No-Wook;Chi, Kwang-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a geostatistical methodology to model local uncertainty in spatial estimation of sediment grain size with high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, the IKONOS imagery is used as local means both to estimate the grain size values and to model local uncertainty at unsample locations. A conditional cumulative distribution function (ccdf) at any locations is defined by mean and variance values which can be estimated by multi-Gaussian kriging with local means. Two ccdf statistics including condition variance and interquartile range are used here as measures of local uncertainty and are compared through a cross validation analysis. In addition to local uncertainty measures, the probabilities of not exceeding or exceeding any grain size value at any locations are retrieved and mapped from the local ccdf models. A case study of Baramarae beach, Korea is carried out to illustrate the potential of geostatistical uncertainty modeling.

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Goodness-of-fit test for mean and variance functions

  • Jung, Sin-Ho;Lee, Kee-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 1997
  • Using regression methods based on quasi-likelihood equation, one only needs to specify the conditional mean and variance functions for the response variable in the analysis. In this paper, an omnibus lack-of-fit test is proposed to test the validity of these two functions. Our test is consistent against the alternative under which either the mean or the variance is not the one specified in the null hypothesis. The large-sample null distribution of our test statistics can be approximated through simulations. Extensive numerical studies are performed to demonstrate that the new test preserves the prescribed type I error probability. Power comparisons are conducted to show the advantage of the new proposal.

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Bayesian estimation of ordered parameters (순서화 모수에 대한 베이지안 추정)

  • 정광모;정윤식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 1996
  • We discussed estimation of parameters using Gibbs sampler under order restriction on the parameters. Two well-knwon probability models, ordered exponential family and binomial distribution, are considered. We derived full conditional distributions(FCD) and also used one-for-one sampling algorithm to sample from the FCD's under order restrictions. Finally through two real data sets we compared three kinds of estimators; isotonic regression estimator, isotonic Bayesian estimator and the estimator using Gibbs sampler.

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An Economic Design of a Screening and Process Monitoring Procedure for a Normal Model (정규모형하에서의 선별검사 및 공정감시 절차의 경제적 설계)

  • Kwon, Hyuck-Moo;Hong, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Min-Koo;Kim, Sang-Boo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.200-205
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    • 2000
  • An economic process monitoring procedure is presented using a surrogate variable for the case where performance variable is dichotomous. Every item is inspected with a surrogate variable and determined whether it should be accepted or rejected. When an item is rejected, the previous number of consecutively accepted items is compared with a predetermined number r to decide whether there is a shift in fraction nonconforming or not. The conditional distribution of the surrogate variable given the performance variable is assumed to be normal. A cost model is constructed which includes costs of inspection, misclassification, illegal signal, undetected out-of-control state, and correction. Methods of finding the optimum number r and screening limit are provided. Numerical studies on the effects of cost coefficients are also performed.

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REMARKS ON A PAPER OF LEE AND LIM

  • Hamedani, G.G.;Slattery, M.C.
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.475-477
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    • 2014
  • Lee and Lim (2009) state three characterizations of Loamax, exponential and power function distributions, the proofs of which, are based on the solutions of certain second order non-linear differential equations. For these characterizations, they make the following statement : "Therefore there exists a unique solution of the differential equation that satisfies the given initial conditions". Although the general solution of their first differential equation is easily obtainable, they do not obtain the general solutions of the other two differential equations to ensure their claim via initial conditions. In this very short report, we present the general solutions of these equations and show that the particular solutions satisfying the initial conditions are uniquely determined to be Lomax, exponential and power function distributions respectively.

Generating and Validating Synthetic Training Data for Predicting Bankruptcy of Individual Businesses

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Baik, Cheol
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.228-233
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we analyze the credit information (loan, delinquency information, etc.) of individual business owners to generate voluminous training data to establish a bankruptcy prediction model through a partial synthetic training technique. Furthermore, we evaluate the prediction performance of the newly generated data compared to the actual data. When using conditional tabular generative adversarial networks (CTGAN)-based training data generated by the experimental results (a logistic regression task), the recall is improved by 1.75 times compared to that obtained using the actual data. The probability that both the actual and generated data are sampled over an identical distribution is verified to be much higher than 80%. Providing artificial intelligence training data through data synthesis in the fields of credit rating and default risk prediction of individual businesses, which have not been relatively active in research, promotes further in-depth research efforts focused on utilizing such methods.

Predicting depth value of the future depth-based multivariate record

  • Samaneh Tata;Mohammad Reza Faridrohani
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.453-465
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    • 2023
  • The prediction problem of univariate records, though not addressed in multivariate records, has been discussed by many authors based on records values. There are various definitions for multivariate records among which depth-based records have been selected for the aim of this paper. In this paper, by means of the maximum likelihood and conditional median methods, point and interval predictions of depth values which are related to the future depth-based multivariate records are considered on the basis of the observed ones. The observations derived from some elements of the elliptical distributions are the main reason of studying this problem. Finally, the satisfactory performance of the prediction methods is illustrated via some simulation studies and a real dataset about Kermanshah city drought.