• 제목/요약/키워드: combined method

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Simulation Optimization with Statistical Selection Method

  • Kim, Ju-Mi
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2007
  • I propose new combined randomized methods for global optimization problems. These methods are based on the Nested Partitions(NP) method, a useful method for simulation optimization which guarantees global optimal solution but has several shortcomings. To overcome these shortcomings I hired various statistical selection methods and combined with NP method. I first explain the NP method and statistical selection method. And after that I present a detail description of proposed new combined methods and show the results of an application. As well as, I show how these combined methods can be considered in case of computing budget limit problem.

Soft Set Theory Oriented Forecast Combination Method for Business Failure Prediction

  • Xu, Wei;Xiao, Zhi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.109-128
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a new combined forecasting method that is guided by the soft set theory (CFBSS) to predict business failures with different sample sizes. The proposed method combines both qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to improve forecasting performance. We considered an expert system (ES), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM) as forecasting components whose weights are determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The proposed procedure was applied to real data sets from Chinese listed firms. For performance comparison, single ES, LR, and SVM methods, the combined forecasting method based on equal weights (CFBEWs), the combined forecasting method based on neural networks (CFBNNs), and the combined forecasting method based on rough sets and the D-S theory (CFBRSDS) were also included in the empirical experiment. CFBSS obtains the highest forecasting accuracy and the second-best forecasting stability. The empirical results demonstrate the superior forecasting performance of our method in terms of accuracy and stability.

Motion Analysis of Two Floating Platforms with Mooring and Hawser Lines in Tandem Moored Operation by Combined Matrix Method and Separated Matrix Method

  • KOO BON-JUN;KIM MOO-HYUN
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2005
  • The motion behaviors including hydrodynamic interaction and mechanical coupling effects on multiple-body floating platforms are simulated by using a time domain hull/mooring/riser coupled dynamics analysis program. The objective of this study is to evaluate off-diagonal hydrodynamic interaction effects and mechanical coupling effects on tandem moored FPSO and shuttle taker motions. In the multiple-body floating platforms interaction, hydrodynamic coupling effects with waves and mechanical coupling effects through the connectors should be considered. Thus, in this study, the multiple-body platform motions are calculated by Combined Matrix Method (CMM) as well as Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The advantage of the combined matrix method is that it can include all the 6Nx6N full hydrodynamic and mechanical interaction effects among N bodies. Whereas, due to the larger matrix size, the calculation time of Combined Matrix Method (CMM) is longer than the Separated Matrix Method (SMM). On the other hand, Separated Matrix Method (SMM) cannot include the off-diagonal 6x6 hydrodynamic interaction coefficients although it can fully include mechanical interactions among N bodies. To evaluate hydrodynamic interaction and mechanical coupling effects, tandem moored FPSO and shuttle tanker is simulated by Combined Matrix Method (CMM) and Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The calculation results give a good agreement between Combined Matrix Method (CMM) and Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The results show that the Separated Matrix Method (SMM) is more efficient for tandem moored FPSO and shuttle tanker. In the numerical calculation, the hydrodynamic coefficients are calculated from a 3D diffraction/radiation panel program WAMIT, and wind and current forces are generated by using the respective coefficients given in the OCIMF data sheet.

공간 트러스에 대한 효율적인 비선형 해석 기법 제안 (The Proposition of Efficient Nonlinear Solution Technique for Space Truss)

  • 석창목;권영환
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.481-490
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문의 목적은 공간 트러스 비선형 해석기법에 대한 수치해석적 장단점을 비교하고, 효율적인 해석기법을 제안하는 것이다. 사용된 해석기법은 하중 제어법으로 뉴턴-랩슨법, 수정 뉴턴-랩슨법, 할선-뉴턴법, 하중-변위 제어법으로 호장법, 증분일 제어법, 그리고 본 논문에서 제안한 하중-변위의 복합적 제어법으로 복합 호장법 Ⅰ, 복합 호장법Ⅱ, 복합 증분일 제어법이 있다. 공간 트러스에 대한 해석기법의 효율성 평가를 위하여 해의 정확성, 수렴성, 계산시간 등을 제시된 예에 비교한 결과 본 논문에서 제안한 하중-변위의 복합적 제어법의 신뢰성을 입증하였으며, 기하학적 비선형 해석 및 좌굴후 거동의 추적에 있어서 효율적이었다. 특히, 자유도수가 많은 공간 트러스의 좌굴하중 추척에 있어서는 복합 증분일 제어법이 효율적이었다.

유전알고리즘과 Tabu탐색법에 의한 제진판의 최적설계 (Ooptimum Design Damping Plate by Combined Method of Genetic Algorithm and Random Tabu Search Method)

  • 양보석;전상범;유영훈;최병근
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 1997년도 추계학술대회논문집; 한국과학기술회관; 6 Nov. 1997
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    • pp.184-189
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    • 1997
  • This paper introduces a new combined method by genetic algorithm and random tabu search method as optimization algorithm. Genetic algorithm can search the global optimum and tabu search method is very fast in speed. The optimizing ability of new combined method is identified by comparing other optimizing algorithm and used for optimum design of damping plate.

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컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통한 시스템 파라미터 추정의 효율성 (Simulation Efficiency for Estimation of System Parameters in Computer Simulation)

  • 권치명
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 1993
  • We focus on a way of combining the Monte Calro methods of antithetic variates and control variates to reduce the variance of the estimator of the mean response in a simulation experiment. Combined Method applies antithetic variates (partially) for driving approiate stochastic model components to reduce the vaiance of estimator and utilizes the correlations between the response and control variates. We obtain the variance of the estimator for the response analytically and compare Combined Method with control variates method. We explore the efficiency of this method in reducing the variance of the estimator through the port operations model. Combined Method shows a better performance in reducing the variance of estimator than methods of antithetic variates and control variates in the range from 6% to 8%. The marginal efficiency gain of this method is modest for the example considered. When the effective set of control variates is small, the marginal efficiency gain may increase. Though these results are from the limited experiments, Combined Method could profitably be applied to large-scale simulation models.

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복합하중이 작용하는 원자력 배관의 파단전누설 해석을 위한 개선된 참조응력법의 수치해석적 검증 (Application of Enhanced Reference Stress Method to Nuclear Piping LBB Analysis under Combined Tension and Bending)

  • 허남수;김윤재;김영진
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2001
  • Three dimensional, elastic-plastic finite element(FE) analyses for circumferential through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending are performed using actual tensile data of stainless steel, for two purposes. The first one is to validate the recently-proposed enhanced reference stress (ERS) method to estimate the J-integral and COD for circumferential through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending. The second one is to compare those results with the GE/EPRI estimations. The FE results of the J-integral and the COD, resulting from six cases of proportional and non-proportional combined tension and bending, compare very well with those estimated from the proposed method. Excellent agreements of the proposed method with the detailed FE results provide sufficient confidence in the use of the proposed method to the Leak-Before-Break(LBB) analysis of through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending.

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결합예측 방법을 이용한 인터넷 트래픽 수요 예측 연구 (A Study on Internet Traffic Forecasting by Combined Forecasts)

  • 김삼용
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1235-1243
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    • 2015
  • 최근 들어 ICT 분야의 발달에 따라 데이터 사용량의 급격한 증가로 인터넷 트래픽 사용량 예측은 중요성은 강조되고 있다. 이러한 예측치를 적절한 트래픽 관리와 제어를 위한 계획 수립에 도움을 준다. 본 논문은, 5분 단위의 인터넷 트래픽 자료를 이용하여 결합 예측 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 이에 대하여 시계열의 대표적인 3개 모형인 Seasonal ARIMA, Fractional ARIMA(FARIMA), Taylor의 수정된 Holt-Winters 모형을 적용하였다. 모형 간 결합 예측 방법으로 예측치 간의 SA(Simple Average) 결합 예측 방법과 OLS(Ordinary Least Square)를 이용한 결합방법, ERLS(Equality Restricted Least Squares)를 이용한 결합 예측 방법, Armstrong(2001)이 제안한 MSE 기반 결합 예측 방법을 사용한다. 이에 따른 결과로서 3시간에서의 예측은 Seasonal ARIMA가 선택된 반면, 6시간 이후 예측에서는 결합 예측 방법이 좋은 예측 성능을 보여준다.

A LSTM-based method for intelligent prediction on mechanical response of precast nodular piles

  • Chen, Xiao-Xiao;Zhan, Chang-Sheng;Lu, Sheng-Liang
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.209-219
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    • 2022
  • The determination for bearing capacity of precast nodular piles is conventionally time-consuming and high-cost by using numerous experiments and empirical methods. This study proposes an intelligent method to evaluate the bearing capacity and shaft resistance of the nodular piles with high efficiency based on long short-term memory (LSTM) approach. A series of field tests are first designed to measure the axial force, shaft resistance and displacement of the combined nodular piles under different loadings, in comparison with the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. The test results confirm that the combined nodular piles could provide larger ultimate bearing capacity (more than 100%) than the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. Both the LSTM-based method and empirical methods are used to calculate the shift resistance of the combined nodular piles. The results show that the LSTM-based method has a high-precision estimation on shaft resistance, not only for the ultimate load but also for the working load.

열과 물질 전달을 수반하는 연속휜의 휜효율에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Fin Efficiency of Continuous Fin with Combined Heat and Mass Transfer)

  • 정세환
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.445-450
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    • 1998
  • In the present paper the effects of combined heat and mass transfer on the fin efficiency were calculated. Sector method was used for calculating the fin efficiency of the continuous fin. The parameter Lewis No. and C which describe the combined heat and mass transfer is derived by using the heat and mass transfer analogy and effects of Lewis No. and C on the fin efficiencies were calculated.

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