• Title/Summary/Keyword: combined method

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Simulation Optimization with Statistical Selection Method

  • Kim, Ju-Mi
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2007
  • I propose new combined randomized methods for global optimization problems. These methods are based on the Nested Partitions(NP) method, a useful method for simulation optimization which guarantees global optimal solution but has several shortcomings. To overcome these shortcomings I hired various statistical selection methods and combined with NP method. I first explain the NP method and statistical selection method. And after that I present a detail description of proposed new combined methods and show the results of an application. As well as, I show how these combined methods can be considered in case of computing budget limit problem.

Soft Set Theory Oriented Forecast Combination Method for Business Failure Prediction

  • Xu, Wei;Xiao, Zhi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.109-128
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a new combined forecasting method that is guided by the soft set theory (CFBSS) to predict business failures with different sample sizes. The proposed method combines both qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to improve forecasting performance. We considered an expert system (ES), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM) as forecasting components whose weights are determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The proposed procedure was applied to real data sets from Chinese listed firms. For performance comparison, single ES, LR, and SVM methods, the combined forecasting method based on equal weights (CFBEWs), the combined forecasting method based on neural networks (CFBNNs), and the combined forecasting method based on rough sets and the D-S theory (CFBRSDS) were also included in the empirical experiment. CFBSS obtains the highest forecasting accuracy and the second-best forecasting stability. The empirical results demonstrate the superior forecasting performance of our method in terms of accuracy and stability.

Motion Analysis of Two Floating Platforms with Mooring and Hawser Lines in Tandem Moored Operation by Combined Matrix Method and Separated Matrix Method

  • KOO BON-JUN;KIM MOO-HYUN
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.5 s.66
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2005
  • The motion behaviors including hydrodynamic interaction and mechanical coupling effects on multiple-body floating platforms are simulated by using a time domain hull/mooring/riser coupled dynamics analysis program. The objective of this study is to evaluate off-diagonal hydrodynamic interaction effects and mechanical coupling effects on tandem moored FPSO and shuttle taker motions. In the multiple-body floating platforms interaction, hydrodynamic coupling effects with waves and mechanical coupling effects through the connectors should be considered. Thus, in this study, the multiple-body platform motions are calculated by Combined Matrix Method (CMM) as well as Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The advantage of the combined matrix method is that it can include all the 6Nx6N full hydrodynamic and mechanical interaction effects among N bodies. Whereas, due to the larger matrix size, the calculation time of Combined Matrix Method (CMM) is longer than the Separated Matrix Method (SMM). On the other hand, Separated Matrix Method (SMM) cannot include the off-diagonal 6x6 hydrodynamic interaction coefficients although it can fully include mechanical interactions among N bodies. To evaluate hydrodynamic interaction and mechanical coupling effects, tandem moored FPSO and shuttle tanker is simulated by Combined Matrix Method (CMM) and Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The calculation results give a good agreement between Combined Matrix Method (CMM) and Separated Matrix Method (SMM). The results show that the Separated Matrix Method (SMM) is more efficient for tandem moored FPSO and shuttle tanker. In the numerical calculation, the hydrodynamic coefficients are calculated from a 3D diffraction/radiation panel program WAMIT, and wind and current forces are generated by using the respective coefficients given in the OCIMF data sheet.

The Proposition of Efficient Nonlinear Solution Technique for Space Truss (공간 트러스에 대한 효율적인 비선형 해석 기법 제안)

  • 석창목;권영환
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.481-490
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the efficiency of various solution techniques and propose new efficient solution techniques for space trusses. Solution techniques used in this study are three load control methods (Newton-Raphson Method, modified Newton-Raphson Method, Secant-Newton Method), two load-displacement control methods(Arc-length Method, Work Increment Control Method) and three combined load-displacement control methods(Combined Arc-length Method I , Combined Arc-length MethodⅡ, Combined Work Increment Control Method). To evaluate the efficiency of these solution techniques, we must examine accuracy of their solutions, convergences and computing times of numerical examples. The combined load-displacement control methods are the most efficient in the geometric nonlinear solution techniques and in tracing post-buckling behavior of space truss. The combined work increment control method is the most efficient in tracing the buckling load of spate trusses with high degrees of freedom.

Ooptimum Design Damping Plate by Combined Method of Genetic Algorithm and Random Tabu Search Method (유전알고리즘과 Tabu탐색법에 의한 제진판의 최적설계)

  • 양보석;전상범;유영훈;최병근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.184-189
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    • 1997
  • This paper introduces a new combined method by genetic algorithm and random tabu search method as optimization algorithm. Genetic algorithm can search the global optimum and tabu search method is very fast in speed. The optimizing ability of new combined method is identified by comparing other optimizing algorithm and used for optimum design of damping plate.

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Simulation Efficiency for Estimation of System Parameters in Computer Simulation (컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통한 시스템 파라미터 추정의 효율성)

  • Kwon, Chi-Myung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 1993
  • We focus on a way of combining the Monte Calro methods of antithetic variates and control variates to reduce the variance of the estimator of the mean response in a simulation experiment. Combined Method applies antithetic variates (partially) for driving approiate stochastic model components to reduce the vaiance of estimator and utilizes the correlations between the response and control variates. We obtain the variance of the estimator for the response analytically and compare Combined Method with control variates method. We explore the efficiency of this method in reducing the variance of the estimator through the port operations model. Combined Method shows a better performance in reducing the variance of estimator than methods of antithetic variates and control variates in the range from 6% to 8%. The marginal efficiency gain of this method is modest for the example considered. When the effective set of control variates is small, the marginal efficiency gain may increase. Though these results are from the limited experiments, Combined Method could profitably be applied to large-scale simulation models.

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Application of Enhanced Reference Stress Method to Nuclear Piping LBB Analysis under Combined Tension and Bending (복합하중이 작용하는 원자력 배관의 파단전누설 해석을 위한 개선된 참조응력법의 수치해석적 검증)

  • Huh, Nam-Su;Kim, Yun-Jae;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2001
  • Three dimensional, elastic-plastic finite element(FE) analyses for circumferential through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending are performed using actual tensile data of stainless steel, for two purposes. The first one is to validate the recently-proposed enhanced reference stress (ERS) method to estimate the J-integral and COD for circumferential through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending. The second one is to compare those results with the GE/EPRI estimations. The FE results of the J-integral and the COD, resulting from six cases of proportional and non-proportional combined tension and bending, compare very well with those estimated from the proposed method. Excellent agreements of the proposed method with the detailed FE results provide sufficient confidence in the use of the proposed method to the Leak-Before-Break(LBB) analysis of through-wall cracked pipes under combined tension and bending.

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A Study on Internet Traffic Forecasting by Combined Forecasts (결합예측 방법을 이용한 인터넷 트래픽 수요 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1235-1243
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    • 2015
  • Increased data volume in the ICT area has increased the importance of forecasting accuracy for internet traffic. Forecasting results may have paper plans for traffic management and control. In this paper, we propose combined forecasts based on several time series models such as Seasonal ARIMA and Taylor's adjusted Holt-Winters and Fractional ARIMA(FARIMA). In combined forecasting methods, we use simple-combined method, MSE based method (Armstrong, 2001), Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method and Equality Restricted Least Squares (ERLS) method. The results show that the Seasonal ARIMA model outperforms in 3 hours ahead forecasts and that combined forecasts outperform in longer periods.

A LSTM-based method for intelligent prediction on mechanical response of precast nodular piles

  • Chen, Xiao-Xiao;Zhan, Chang-Sheng;Lu, Sheng-Liang
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.209-219
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    • 2022
  • The determination for bearing capacity of precast nodular piles is conventionally time-consuming and high-cost by using numerous experiments and empirical methods. This study proposes an intelligent method to evaluate the bearing capacity and shaft resistance of the nodular piles with high efficiency based on long short-term memory (LSTM) approach. A series of field tests are first designed to measure the axial force, shaft resistance and displacement of the combined nodular piles under different loadings, in comparison with the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. The test results confirm that the combined nodular piles could provide larger ultimate bearing capacity (more than 100%) than the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. Both the LSTM-based method and empirical methods are used to calculate the shift resistance of the combined nodular piles. The results show that the LSTM-based method has a high-precision estimation on shaft resistance, not only for the ultimate load but also for the working load.

A Study on the Fin Efficiency of Continuous Fin with Combined Heat and Mass Transfer (열과 물질 전달을 수반하는 연속휜의 휜효율에 관한 연구)

  • 정세환
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.445-450
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    • 1998
  • In the present paper the effects of combined heat and mass transfer on the fin efficiency were calculated. Sector method was used for calculating the fin efficiency of the continuous fin. The parameter Lewis No. and C which describe the combined heat and mass transfer is derived by using the heat and mass transfer analogy and effects of Lewis No. and C on the fin efficiencies were calculated.

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