• 제목/요약/키워드: coefficient of determination (R-square)

검색결과 172건 처리시간 0.027초

Optimal earthquake intensity measures for probabilistic seismic demand models of ARP1400 reactor containment building

  • Nguyen, Duy-Duan;Thusa, Bidhek;Azad, Md Samdani;Tran, Viet-Linh;Lee, Tae-Hyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.4179-4188
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    • 2021
  • This study identifies efficient earthquake intensity measures (IMs) for seismic performances and fragility evaluations of the reactor containment building (RCB) in the advanced power reactor 1400 (APR1400) nuclear power plant (NPP). The computational model of RCB is constructed using the beam-truss model (BTM) for nonlinear analyses. A total of 90 ground motion records and 20 different IMs are employed for numerical analyses. A series of nonlinear time-history analyses are performed to monitor maximum floor displacements and accelerations of RCB. Then, probabilistic seismic demand models of RCB are developed for each IM. Statistical parameters including coefficient of determination (R2), dispersion (i.e. standard deviation), practicality, and proficiency are calculated to recognize strongly correlated IMs with the seismic performance of the NPP structure. The numerical results show that the optimal IMs are spectral acceleration, spectral velocity, spectral displacement at the fundamental period, acceleration spectrum intensity, effective peak acceleration, peak ground acceleration, A95, and sustained maximum acceleration. Moreover, weakly related IMs to the seismic performance of RCB are peak ground displacement, root-mean-square of displacement, specific energy density, root-mean-square of velocity, peak ground velocity, Housner intensity, velocity spectrum intensity, and sustained maximum velocity. Finally, a set of fragility curves of RCB are developed for optimal IMs.

육류 신선도 판별을 위한 휴대용 전자코 시스템 설계 및 성능 평가 II - 돈육의 미생물 총균수 예측을 통한 전자코 시스템 성능 검증 (Design and performance evaluation of portable electronic nose systems for freshness evaluation of meats II - Performance analysis of electronic nose systems by prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats)

  • 김재곤;조병관
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.761-767
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to predict total bacteria count of pork meats by using the portable electronic nose systems developed throughout two stages of the prototypes. Total bacteria counts were measured for pork meats stored at $4^{\circ}C$ for 21days and compared with the signals of the electronic nose systems. PLS(Partial least square), PCR (Principal component regression), MLR (Multiple linear regression) models were developed for the prediction of total bacteria count of pork meats. The coefficient of determination ($R_p{^2}$) and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) for the models were 0.789 and 0.784 log CFU/g with the 1st system for the pork loin, 0.796 and 0.597 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork belly, and 0.661 and 0.576 log CFU/g with the 2nd system for the pork loin respectively. The results show that the developed electronic system has potential to predict total bacteria count of pork meats.

능이버섯의 건조 방정식 (Drying Equations of Sarcodon Aspratus)

  • 금동혁;노정근;정태영;홍성렬;박기문;김훈;한재웅
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2004
  • This study was performed to determine drying equations of sarcodon aspratus. Drying tests for sarcodon aspratus were conducted in an experimental dryer equiped with an air conditioning unit. The drying tests were performed at three air temperatures of 30$^{\circ}C$, 40$^{\circ}C$ and 50$^{\circ}C$, and two relative humidities of 30% and 50%. Measured moisture ratio data were fitted with the selected four drying models(Page, Thompson, Lewis and simplified diffusion models) using stepwise multiple regression analysis. When the coefficients of determination and root mean square errors of moisture ratio were evaluated for four drying models, the Page model was found to fit adequately to all the drying test data with coefficient of determination of 0.9996 and RMSE of 0.00523.

가시광 및 근적외선 분광기법을 이용한 방울토마토의 내부품질 예측에 관한 연구 (Study on Prediction of Internal Quality of Cherry Tomato using Vis/NIR Spectroscopy)

  • 김대용;조병관;모창연;김영식
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.450-457
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    • 2010
  • Although cherry tomato is one of major vegetables consumed in fresh vegetable market, the quality grading method is mostly dependant on size measurement using drum shape sorting machines. Using Visible/Near-infrared spectroscopy, apparatus to be able to acquire transmittance spectrum data was made and used to estimate firmness, sugar content, and acidity of cherry tomatoes grown at hydroponic and soil culture. Partial least square (PLS) models were performed to predict firmness, sugar content, and acidity for the acquired transmittance spectra. To enhance accuracy of the PLS models, several preprocessing methods were carried out, such as normalization, multiplicative scatter correction (MSC), standard normal variate (SNV), and derivatives, etc. The coefficient of determination ($R^2_p$) and standard error of prediction (SEP) for the prediction of firmness, sugar, and acidity of cherry tomatoes from green to red ripening stages were 0.859 and 1.899 kgf, with a preprocessing of normalization, 0.790 and $0.434^{\circ}Brix$ with a preprocessing of the 1st derivative of Savitzky Golay, and 0.518 and 0.229% with a preprocessing normalization, respectively.

경년열화를 고려한 전단벽 구조물의 기계학습 기반 지진응답 예측모델 개발 (Development of Machine Learning Based Seismic Response Prediction Model for Shear Wall Structure considering Aging Deteriorations)

  • 김현수;김유경;이소연;장준수
    • 한국공간구조학회논문집
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2024
  • Machine learning is widely applied to various engineering fields. In structural engineering area, machine learning is generally used to predict structural responses of building structures. The aging deterioration of reinforced concrete structure affects its structural behavior. Therefore, the aging deterioration of R.C. structure should be consider to exactly predict seismic responses of the structure. In this study, the machine learning based seismic response prediction model was developed. To this end, four machine learning algorithms were employed and prediction performance of each algorithm was compared. A 3-story coupled shear wall structure was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. Artificial ground motions were generated based on domestic site characteristics. Elastic modulus, damping ratio and density were changed to considering concrete degradation due to chloride penetration and carbonation, etc. Various intensity measures were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks and extreme gradient boosting algorithms present good prediction performance.

Severe acid rain simulation using geotechnical experimental tests with mathematical modeling

  • Raheem, Aram M.;Ali, Shno M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.549-565
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    • 2022
  • Severe acid rains can be a major source for geotechnical and environmental problems in any soil depending on the acid type and concentration. Hence, this study investigates the individual severe effects of sulfuric, hydrochloric and nitric acids on the geotechnical properties of real field soil through a series of experimental laboratory tests. The laboratory program consists of experimental tests such as consistency, compaction, unconfined compression, pH determination, electrical conductivity, total dissolved salts, total suspended solids, gypsum and carbonates contents. The experimental tests have been performed on the untreated soil and individual acid treated soil for acid concentrations range of 0% to 20% by weight. In addition, a unique hyperbolic mathematical model has been used to predict significant geotechnical characteristics for acid treated soil. The plastic and liquid limits and optimum moisture content have been increased under the effect of all the used acids whereas the maximum dry density and unconfined stress-strain behavior have been decreased with increasing the acid concentrations. Moreover, the used hyperbolic mathematical model has predicted all the geotechnical characteristics very well with a very high coefficient of determination (R2) value and lowest root mean square error (RMSE) estimate.

Asia Fluxnet 지점에서 수정된 보완관계법을 기반으로 한 증발산량 추정 (Estimating evaportranspiration based on modified complementary relationship at Aisa Fluxnet sites)

  • 서호철;김지희;김연주
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.228-228
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    • 2016
  • 증발산량은 수자원 부존량 평가, 물수지 분석, 지구의 물순환 및 에너지 순환을 이해하기 위해서 알아야할 수문량이나, 이를 산정하기 위하여 단순한 가정을 하거나 경험식을 사용하는 접근에는 신뢰성에 문제가 생긴다. 본 연구에서는 아시아 지역내의 여러 지점에서 에디공분산 시스템을 활용해 플럭스 자료를 구축해놓은 Asia Fluxnet의 자료를 활용해 보완관계법(Complimentary relationship) 기반으로 제한된 기상자료를 이용해 구한 증발산량을 산정하는 방법론들을 평가하였다. Granger and Gary(GG)는 실제 증발산량은 습윤조건의 증발산량의 2배에 잠재 증발산량간의 차와 같다는 보완관계를 수정하여 일반화하고, 잠재 증발산량을 산정하는 경험식을 제시하였다. 이러한 수정된 보완관계식을 활용한 GG 방법론을 활용하여 산정한 증발산량을 측정된 증발산량과 비교한 정확성을 정량화 하기 위해 Average root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute bias (BIAS), coefficient of determination ($R^2$)과 같은 통계값을 이용하였다. 최종적으로 각 사이트의 기후를 Aridity Index (AI)를 이용하여 분류하였으며 분류된 기후별로 GG 방법론의 적용성을 검토하였다.

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Deep learning 이론을 이용한 증발접시 증발량 모형화 (Pan evaporation modeling using deep learning theory)

  • 서영민;김성원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.392-395
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 일 증발접시 증발량 산정을 위한 딥러닝 (deep learning) 모형의 적용성을 평가하였다. 본 연구에서 적용된 딥러닝 모형은 deep belief network (DBN) 기반 deep neural network (DNN) (DBN-DNN) 모형이다. 모형 적용성 평가를 위하여 부산 관측소에서 측정된 기상자료를 활용하였으며, 증발량과의 상관성이 높은 기상변수들 (일사량, 일조시간, 평균지상온도, 최대기온)의 조합을 고려하여 입력변수집합 (Set 1, Set 2, Set 3)별 모형을 구축하였다. DBN-DNN 모형의 성능은 통계학적 모형성능 평가지표 (coefficient of efficiency, CE; coefficient of determination, $r^2$; root mean square error, RMSE; mean absolute error, MAE)를 이용하여 평가되었으며, 기존의 두가지 형태의 ANN (artificial neural network), 즉 모형학습 시 SGD (stochastic gradient descent) 및 GD (gradient descent)를 각각 적용한 ANN-SGD 및 ANN-GD 모형과 비교하였다. 효과적인 모형학습을 위하여 각 모형의 초매개변수들은 GA (genetic algorithm)를 이용하여 최적화하였다. 그 결과, Set 1에 대하여 ANN-GD1 모형, Set 2에 대하여 DBN-DNN2 모형, Set 3에 대하여 DBN-DNN3 모형이 가장 우수한 모형 성능을 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다. 비록 비교 모형들 사이의 모형성능이 큰 차이를 보이지는 않았으나, 모든 입력집합에 대하여 DBN-DNN3, DBN-DNN2, ANN-SGD3 순으로 모형 효율성이 우수한 것으로 나타났다.

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Estimation of Suitable Methodology for Determining Weibull Parameters for the Vortex Shedding Analysis of Synovial Fluid

  • Singh, Nishant Kumar;Sarkar, A.;Deo, Anandita;Gautam, Kirti;Rai, S.K.
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2016
  • Weibull distribution with two parameters, shape (k) and scale (s) parameters are used to model the fatigue failure analysis due to periodic vortex shedding of the synovial fluid in knee joints. In order to determine the later parameter, a suitable statistical model is required for velocity distribution of synovial fluid flow. Hence, wide applicability of Weibull distribution in life testing and reliability analysis can be applied to describe the probability distribution of synovial fluid flow velocity. In this work, comparisons of three most widely used methods for estimating Weibull parameters are carried out; i.e. the least square estimation method (LSEM), maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and the method of moment (MOM), to study fatigue failure of bone joint due to periodic vortex shedding of synovial fluid. The performances of these methods are compared through the analysis of computer generated synovial fluidflow velocity distribution in the physiological range. Significant values for the (k) and (s) parameters are obtained by comparing these methods. The criterions such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination ($R^2$), maximum error between the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) or Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) and the chi square tests are used for the comparison of the suitability of these methods. The results show that maximum likelihood method performs well for most of the cases studied and hence recommended.

한국 어린이와 청소년의 요중 크레아티닌 농도와 영향요인에 대한 연구 (Factors Associated with the Concentrations of Urinary Creatinine in Korean Children and Adolescents)

  • 이진헌;안령미;강희숙;최석남;홍춘표;김진경
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.291-299
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    • 2012
  • Creatinine-adjustment is an important process in the urinary monitoring of the environmental exposure of children and adolescents. The purpose of this study was to investigate the concentrations of urinary creatinine and factors associated with them among Korean children and adolescents. We recruited 1,025 persons from 128 extracted schools. They were from three to 18 years old and supplied urine samples for measuring creatinine. The concentrations of urinary creatinine were 98.18 mg/dl (SD, 67.67) in arithmetic mean and 72.05 mg/dl (GSD 2.49) in geometric mean, were significantly higher among male children/adolescents than females in all age groups, and higher values appeared following increasing ages, heights and BMIs. The rates of the number who were below the lowest limit recommended by WHO (<30 mg/dl) were 25.57% among three to four year olds, 21.77% among five to six year olds, 20.0% among seven to eight year olds and 14.69% among nine to ten year olds, respectively. The rates of those above the highest limit (>300 mg/dl) were 0.0% among three to twelve year olds. The coefficient of determination R-square of the fitted regression model for urinary creatinine was 27.4% with general characteristic variables of sex, age, BMI and height. The significant variables among these were height (standardized beta = 0.372) and age (standardized beta = 0.129). Another coefficient of determination R-square was 15.3% with dietary habit variables of smoking, drinking, dining area, number of meals and snacks, and intake of milk food, cup-noodles, canned foods, popcorn, nachos, and hamburgers. In conclusion, the concentration of urinary creatinine was significantly lower in children than in adults, and was very significantly associated with the height of children. Therefore, children need the recommended concentrations for urinary creatinine, as distinguished from adults.