• Title/Summary/Keyword: cloudiness

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A LSTM Based Method for Photovoltaic Power Prediction in Peak Times Without Future Meteorological Information (미래 기상정보를 사용하지 않는 LSTM 기반의 피크시간 태양광 발전량 예측 기법)

  • Lee, Donghun;Kim, Kwanho
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the importance prediction of photovoltaic power (PV) is considered as an essential function for scheduling adjustments, deciding on storage size, and overall planning for stable operation of PV facility systems. In particular, since most of PV power is generated in peak time, PV power prediction in a peak time is required for the PV system operators that enable to maximize revenue and sustainable electricity quantity. Moreover, Prediction of the PV power output in peak time without meteorological information such as solar radiation, cloudiness, the temperature is considered a challenging problem because it has limitations that the PV power was predicted by using predicted uncertain meteorological information in a wide range of areas in previous studies. Therefore, this paper proposes the LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) based the PV power prediction model only using the meteorological, seasonal, and the before the obtained PV power before peak time. In this paper, the experiment results based on the proposed model using the real-world data shows the superior performance, which showed a positive impact on improving the PV power in a peak time forecast performance targeted in this study.

Development of Cloud Detection Method with Geostationary Ocean Color Imagery for Land Applications (GOCI 영상의 육상 활용을 위한 구름 탐지 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Hwa-Seon;Lee, Kyu-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2015
  • Although GOCI has potential for land surface monitoring, there have been only a few cases for land applications. It might be due to the lack of reliable land products derived from GOCI data for end-users. To use for land applications, it is often essential to provide cloud-free composite over land surfaces. In this study, we proposed a cloud detection method that was very important to make cloud-free composite of GOCI reflectance and vegetation index. Since GOCI does not have SWIR and TIR spectral bands, which are very effective to separate clouds from other land cover types, we developed a multi-temporal approach to detect cloud. The proposed cloud detection method consists of three sequential steps of spectral tests. Firstly, band 1 reflectance threshold was applied to separate confident clear pixels. In second step, thick cloud was detected by the ratio (b1/b8) of band 1 and band 8 reflectance. In third step, average of b1/b8 ratio values during three consecutive days was used to detect thin cloud having mixed spectral characteristics of both cloud and land surfaces. The proposed method provides four classes of cloudiness (thick cloud, thin cloud, probably clear, confident clear). The cloud detection method was validated by the MODIS cloud mask products obtained during the same time as the GOCI data acquisition. The percentages of cloudy and cloud-free pixels between GOCI and MODIS are about the same with less than 10% RMSE. The spatial distributions of clouds detected from the GOCI images were also similar to the MODIS cloud mask products.

A comparative study for reconstructing a high-quality NDVI time series data derived from MODIS surface reflectance (MODIS 지표 분광반사도 자료를 이용한 고품질 NDVI 시계열 자료 생성의 기법 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Jihye;Kang, Sinkyu;Jang, Keunchang;Hong, Suk Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 2015
  • A comparative study was conducted for alternative consecutive procedures of detection of cloud-contaminated pixels and gap-filling and smoothing of time-series data to produce high-quality gapless satellite vegetation index (i.e. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI). Performances of five alternative methods for detecting cloud contaminations were tested with ground-observed cloudiness data. The data gap was filled with a simple linear interpolation and then, it was applied two alternative smoothing methods (i.e. Savitzky-Golay and Wavelet transform). Moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) data were used in this study. Among the alternative cloud detection methods, a criterion of MODIS Band 3 reflectance over 10% showed best accuracy with an agreement rate of 85%, which was followed by criteria of MODIS Quality assessment (82%) and Band 3 reflectance over 20% (81%), respectively. In smoothing process, the Savitzky-Golay filter was better performed to retain original NDVI patterns than the wavelet transform. This study demonstrated an operational framework of gapdetection, filling, and smoothing to produce high-quality satellite vegetation index.

3D Modeling of Turbid Density Flow Induced into Daecheong Reservoir with ELCOM-CAEDYM (ELCOM-CAEDYM을 이용한 대청댐 유입탁수의 3차원 모델링)

  • Chung, Se-Woong;Lee, Heung-Soo;Ryoo, Jae-Il;Ryu, In-Gu;Oh, Dong-Geun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.12
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    • pp.1187-1198
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    • 2008
  • Many reservoirs in Korea and their downstream environments are under increased pressure for water utilization and ecosystem management from longer discharge of turbid flood runoff compared to a natural river system. Turbidity($C_T$) is an indirect measurement of water 'cloudiness' and has been widely used as an important indicator of water quality and environmental "health". However, $C_T$ modeling studies have been rare due to lack of experimental data that are necessary for model validation. The objective of this study is to validate a coupled three-dimensional(3D) hydrodynamic and particle dynamics model (ELCOM-CAEDYM) for the simulation of turbid density flows in stratified Daecheong Reservoir using extensive field data. Three different groups of suspended solids (SS) classified by the particle size were used as model state variables, and their site-specific SS-$C_T$ relationships were used for the conversion between field measurements ($C_T$) and state variables (SS). The simulation results were validated by comparing vertical profiles of temperature and turbidity measured at monitoring stations of Haenam(R3) and Dam(R4) in 2004. The model showed good performance in reproducing the reservoir thermal structure and propagation of stream density flow, and the magnitude and distribution of turbidity in the reservoir were consistent with the field data. The 3D model and turbidity modeling framework suggested in this study can be used as a supportive tool for the best management of turbidity flow in other reservoirs that have similar turbidity problems.

Characteristics and Prediction of Total Ozone and UV-B Irradiance in East Asia Including the Korean Peninsula (한반도를 포함한 동아시아 영역에서 오존전량과 유해자외선의 특성과 예측)

  • Moon, Yun-Seob;Seok, Min-Woo;Kim, Yoo-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.701-718
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    • 2006
  • The average ratio of the daily UV-B to total solar (75) irradiance at Busan (35.23$^{\circ}$N, 129.07$^{\circ}$E) in Korea is found as 0.11%. There is also a high exponential relationship between hourly UV-B and total solar irradiance: UV-B=exp (a$\times$(75-b))(R$^2$=0.93). The daily variation of total ozone is compared with the UV-B irradiance at Pohang (36.03$^{\circ}$N, 129.40$^{\circ}$E) in Korea using the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data during the period of May to July in 2005. The total ozone (TO) has been maintained to a decreasing trend since 1979, which leading to a negative correlation with the ground-level UV-B irradiance doting the given period of cloudless day: UV-B=239.23-0.056 TO (R$^2$=0.52). The statistical predictions of daily total ozone are analyzed by using the data of the Brewer spectrophotometer and TOMS in East Asia including the Korean peninsula. The long-term monthly averages of total ozone using the multiplicative seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model are used to predict the hourly mean UV-B irradiance by interpolating the daily mean total ozone far the predicting period. We also can predict the next day's total ozone by using regression models based on the present day's total ozone by TOMS and the next day's predicted maximum air temperature by the Meteorological Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5). These predicted and observed total ozone amounts are used to input data of the parameterization model (PM) of hourly UV-B irradiance. The PM of UV-B irradiance is based on the main parameters such as cloudiness, solar zenith angle, total ozone, opacity of aerosols, altitude, and surface albedo. The input data for the model requires daily total ozone, hourly amount and type of cloud, visibility and air pressure. To simplify cloud effects in the model, the constant cloud transmittance are used. For example, the correlation coefficient of the PM using these cloud transmissivities is shown high in more than 0.91 for cloudy days in Busan, and the relative mean bias error (RMBE) and the relative root mean square error (RRMSE) are less than 21% and 27%, respectively. In this study, the daily variations of calculated and predicted UV-B irradiance are presented in high correlation coefficients of more than 0.86 at each monitoring site of the Korean peninsula as well as East Asia. The RMBE is within 10% of the mean measured hourly irradiance, and the RRMSE is within 15% for hourly irradiance, respectively. Although errors are present in cloud amounts and total ozone, the results are still acceptable.

A study on a term of "Jung Pung 中風" in 'Jae-Byoung-Won-Hu-Ron 諸病源候論' (제병원후론(諸病源候論)의 중풍(中風)에 관한 고찰(考察))

  • Kim, sunyoung;Jeong, sunghyun;Lim, seongwoo;Shin, giljo;Lee, wonchul
    • The Journal of Dong Guk Oriental Medicine
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    • v.5
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    • pp.209-229
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the recognition of "Jung Pung(中風)" mentioned in "Jae-Byoung-Won-Hu-Ron(諸病源候論)" The conclusion would be summerized as follows. 1. "Pung Byoung(風病)" is a symptom that man was damaged by "Pung Chi(風氣)", which is a wide meaning inclusive of cloudiness of conscious, apasia and the limbs disorder of "Jung Pung(中風)", "Bi 痺symptom", "Yeuk Jeil Pung(歷節風)", the skin disease, psychopathy and leprosy. 2. In cause of "Jung Pung(中風)", this book was received the theory of invasion of "Pung Sa (風邪)" from outside claimed in "Nae Kyoung(內經)", "Kum Gaeu Yo Rak(金?要略)", but in a viewpoint of "Hyel Chi(血氣)", "Young Yui(營衛)" and "Bi Yui Heo Sil(脾胃虛實)", especially, insists on the weakness of "Bi Yui(脾胃)" function. 3. In the pathology of "Jung Pung(中風)", there was a recognition that symptoms appear following each "Jang Bu(臟腑)" invaided and changed by a way of "Kyoung Rak Jang Bu(經絡臟腑)", because "Pung Sa(風邪)" invades the space of the skin, disturbs the circulation of "Hyel Chi(血氣)" in a inner and isn't given out in a outer. 4. Thereare, , , , , in the symptoms of "Jung Pung(中風)" and ", , , , , , in the similar symptoms of "Jung Pung(中風)". 5. The principle of treatement is "getting sweating, helping the insufficent energy and diminishing the sufficent energy", but the presciption isn't mentioned and "Do-in Method(導引法)" was recorded after each symptom because of taking a serious view of "Bo-Yang-Sun-Do(補養宣導)" 6. The prognosis of "Jung Pung(中風)"is suggested in a view of pulse diganosis, symptoms and is bad in case of appearance of no sweating, rigidity, vomitting a bubble and apasia.

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Effects of Additives on the Characteristics of Sodium Borosilicate Thin Film Fabricated by AFD Method (첨가제가 AFD법에 의해 제조된 광소자용 Sodium Borosilicate 박막의 물성에 미치는 영향)

  • Chung, Hyung-Gon;Chun, Young-Yun;Mun, Jong-Ha;Chung, Suck-Jong;Lee, Hyung-Jong
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.693-698
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    • 1998
  • The effects of $AI_{2}$$O_{3}$ and the ratio of $Na_2O/B_2O_3$ on the phase separation and optical properties of sodium borosilicate glass film fabricated by AFD(Aerosol Flame Deposition) were investigated. When AI,O, of 6wt% was added to $66SiO_2-27B_2O_3-7Na_2O$ the clear glass film without any crystallization was produced under air-quenching condition after consolidation. As the amount of $AI_{2}$$O_{3}$ increased from 1.5 to 6.0 wt% the refractive index linearly increased from 1.4610 to 1.4701, and the difference of TE and TM mode causing by residual stress in film increased gradually. However, the difference of TE and TM mode to reveal birefringence could be minimized by annealing below the glass transition temperature after consolidation and air quenching. On the other hand. as the ratio of $Na_2O/B_2O_3$ increased the refractive index and birefringence of glass film tended to increase, but the measurement of their values were not available at over the critical ratio of $Na_2O/B_2O_3$, because of the cloudiness due to crystallization. The phase separation was greatly accelerated with increasing the ratio of $Na_2O/B_2O_3$.

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Study on the Growth Environment of 'Gangwha-mugwort' Through the Climatological Characteristic Analysis of Gangwha Region (강화지역의 기후특성 분석을 통한 '강화약쑥'의 생육 환경 연구)

  • Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hur, Ji-Na;Jung, Hae-Gon;Park, Jong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2012
  • Eupatilin, one of representative medical components of mugwort, can be efficiently extracted from the 'Gangwha Sajabalssuk'. The Eupatilin content may depend on environmental factors such as soil and regional climate in addition to a genetic factor and Gangwha region has a profitable environmental condition for the mugwort growth. In this study, the climatological characteristics of Gangwha was analyzed in order to find the environmental condition of mugwort containing high Eupatilin in term of atmospheric, oceanographic and land variables. The climate of Gangwha is characterized by the relatively low daily temperature and large diurnal variation with plenty of solar radiation, long sunshine duration and less cloudiness. According to our correlation analysis, the long sunshine duration and the large diurnal temperature variation are highly correlated with the Eupatilin contents. The result implies that Gangwha has the favorable conditions for the cultivation and the habitat of the high-Eupatilin concentrated mugwort. Because of the sea surrounding Gangwha Island with low salinity and moderate wind, the salt contained in sea breeze is relatively low compared to other regions. Furthermore, Gangwha has clean atmospheric environment compared to other regions because the concentrations of toxic gases harmful to crop growth such as nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$), sulfite gas ($SO_2$) and fine dust (PM-10) are lower in the air. The ozone ($O_3$) concentration is moderate and within the level of natural production. It is also found that moderately coarse texture or fine loamy soils known as good for water drainage and for the growth and cultivation of the 'Gangwha-mugwort' are distributed throughout the areas around mountainous districts in Gangwha, coinciding with those of mugwort habitat.

Evaluation and Intercomparisons of the Estimated TOVS Precipitable Waters for the Tropical Plume (Tropical Plume 에 대한 TOVS 추정 가강수량의 평가와 상호비교)

  • 정효상;신동인
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.51-69
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    • 1993
  • Precipitable Water(PW) are retrieved over the tropical and subtropical Pacific Ocean from TOVS infrared and microwave channel brightness temperature and OLR observations by means of stepwise linear regression. The retrieved TOVS PW fields generated by PW$_{sfc}$(71.1 % of the variance and 0.62 g cm$^{-2}$ standard error over the surface) and PW$_{700500}$(71.7 % and 0.17 g cm$^{-2}$ over the 700 - 500 hPa layer) revealed more evolving synoptic signals over the tropical and subtropical Pacific Ocean. The PW$_{sfc}$ dose not show significantly the TP feature because of the representation of the lower PW for high-level clouds not associated with deep convection. There exists some elusion to trace the TP on the PW$_{sfc}$ field if any supplementary information does not provide. But ECMWF analysis has a general tendency of drying the subtropics and moistening the ITCZ (InterTropical Convergence Zone) and SPCZ(South Pacific Convergence Zone). However, although ECMWF analysis is fairly successful in capturing mean patterms, it is unsuccessful in following active synoptic signal like a tropical plume. Similarly, SMMR-PW does not represent the TP well which consists of the highand middle-level clouds, but PW$_{sfc}$ shows underestimated moistness of TP and does not depict significant signal of TP. In the PW field derived from microwave observations, the TP can not be recognized well. Furthermore, the signature of PW$_{sfc}$ was different from OLR for the TP, which implies the presence of high- and middle-layer thin clouds, but in a closer agreement for deep and active convection areas which contain thick middle- and lower-layer clouds; though OLR represented the cloudiness in the tropics well. In synoptically active regions, it differed from OLR analysis, primarily bacause of actual differences in water vapor and cloud features. The signature of PW$_{sfc}$ was different from OLR for the TP.

On the characteristics of the 1993/1994 east Asian summer monsoon convective activities using GMS high cloud amount

  • ;;Moon, Sung-Euii;Sohn, Seoung-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1995
  • The characteristics of the Asian summer monsoon have been investigated for the periods of 1993/1994, the contrasting years in a view of the summer monsoon precipitation. In order to investigate the monsoon features over the eastern Asian monsoon region, the cloudiness(using the extensive data derived by the geostationary meteorological satellite), the condition of underlying surface including sea-surface temperature, and the summer rainfall are analyzed and some comparisons with 1993 and 1994 are also made and the characteristic differences are discussed. An analysis of the 2-degree latitude-longitude gridded 5-day mean high cloud amount data shows the detailed movement and persistence of the convective activities. In order to describe the spatial and temporal structures of the intraseasonal oscillation for the movement and evolution of the monsoon cloud, the extended empirical orthogonal fnction analysis with the twenty-day window size is used for the each year. Also, in order to find out the periodicity of the equatorial convective cluster, Fourier harmonic analysis is applied to the each year. The most prevailing intraseasonal oscillations of high cloud amount are 61 day mode and 15day mode in the equatorial and the subtropical oceans. However it was found that the most prevailing modes over the equatorial western Pacific and Indian Ocean were different for each year, hence raising the possibillity that the contrasting monsoon presipitation may be more fundamentally related to the interaction of intraseasonal oscillations and seasonal variation of convective activities over the lower latitude ocean.