• 제목/요약/키워드: climate driver

검색결과 15건 처리시간 0.026초

주거용 건물부문 태양열 기술 보급에 따른 누적 온실가스 감축 효과 분석 (Cumulative GHG Reduction Impact Analysis by the Diffusion of Solar Thermal Energy Concerning Technologies for the Residential Sector)

  • 이동은;김승진;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2014
  • A key driver for climate change caused by global average temperature rise is greenhouse gas cumulative emissions that stay for long term in the atmosphere. Although at the moment there is no GHG emission, global warming will continue owing to GHG cumulative emission. In this study, scenarios are developed based on two types of optimistic and conservative diffusion goal. There were a total of 6 alternatives scenarios. The objective of this study are to compare scenarios in terms of GHG cumulative emissions and alternative fuels. An object of analysis is the residential buildings and time frame of scenarios is set up by 2030. And this study uses the LEAP model that is a bottom-up energy model. In conclusion, It is important to set specific diffusion pathway for mitigating climate change virtually.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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전차병복 착용실태에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Actual Wearing Conditions of Korean Military Tank Driver's Clothing)

  • 권서윤;임채근;신동우;정현미
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.582-589
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate problems of design, fitness, suitability for movement, and comfort in current Korean military tank driver's clothing through analysis of actual wearing condition by questionnaire and field evaluation and. to provide basic data for developing a improved design of Korean military tank driver's clothing. The survey was done for 477 military tank driver and the field evaluation was also done for evaluation. The overall satisfaction for design of military tank driver's clothing(3.25) was higher than that for the easiness in wearing and taking off(2.76). The military tank drivers evaluated that current coverall type of clothing is more suitable than two-piece type of clothing. The overall satisfaction for fitness of clothing was as a whole low(2.82~3.09), Especially, the satisfaction for fitness of from front and back rise length was the lowest one. In the satisfaction for clothing materials, the satisfaction for the breathability of material was the lowest, followed by clothing insulation and air permeability. The satisfaction for movement was low in bending waist and raising forward and aside. The part which surveyors think most dissatisfactory was also front and back rise length. The frequency in use of pocket was the highest in chest pocket, followed by waist and pants pockets. The satisfaction for opening easiness of hips opening part was very low(2.64).

기후변화를 고려한 홍수취약성지표의 개발 (Development of Flood Vulnerability Index Considering Climate Change)

  • 손민우;성진영;정은성;전경수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.231-248
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 기후변화 요소를 반영하여 홍수취약성지표 (Flood Vulnerability Index, FVI)를 개발하였고 이를 북한강 유역의 6개 중권역에 적용하였다. 기후변화 요소를 고려하기 위해 IPCC의 CGCM3 모형의 A1B와 A2 시나리오를 이용하였고 일단위로 축소화하기 위해 SDSM (Statistical Downscaling Model) 모형을 이용하였다. 홍수취약성 인자를 선정하기 위해 지속가능성 평가모형인 추진력-압력-상태-영향-반응 (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response, DPSIR) 모형을 이용하였고 기후변화로 인한 홍수유출의 특성분석은 연속유출모의모형인 HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran)를 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 홍수취약성지수는 유역의 현상태 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인한 잠재적 취약성을 정량적인 하나의 지수로 간결하게 표현할 수 있어서 장기 수자원 및 유역관리 정책수립에 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

2021년 7월 동해에서 발생한 극한 고온현상과 기작 (Record-breaking High Temperature in July 2021 over East Sea and Possible Mechanism)

  • 이강진;권민호;강현우
    • 대기
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2022
  • As climate change due to global warming continues to be accelerated, various extreme events become more intense, more likely to occur and longer-lasting on a much larger scale. Recent studies show that global warming acts as the primary driver of extreme events and that heat-related extreme events should be attributed to anthropogenic global warming. Among them, both terrestrial and marine heat waves are great concerns for human beings as well as ecosystems. Taking place around the world, one of those events appeared over East Sea in July 2021 with record-breaking high temperature. Meanwhile, climate condition around East Sea was favorable for anomalous warming with less total cloud cover, more incoming solar radiation, and shorter period of Changma rainfall. According to the results of wave activity flux analysis, highly activated meridional mode of teleconnection that links western North Pacific to East Asia caused localized warming over East Sea to become stronger.

A New Approach of BLDC Motor Using Unidirectional Current in the Driver Circuit and its Future Prospects

  • Yasuhiro, Komatsu;Zawawi, Syed Abdul Kadir
    • Journal of international Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2012
  • Climate change and other pollutions make a huge demand of environment friendly and high efficient motors especially Brushless DC (BLDC) motors. Generally, bidirectional energized BLDC motors are used widely; however, inverter devices used in the driver put fear of being effected by noise. This paper proposes unidirectional energized BLDC motor which utilizes asymmetrical H-bridge circuit as the driver circuit. The Minato motor is one of the pioneers in unidirectional energized system. The use of bar magnets in the rotor is one of the biggest disadvantages of the motor. We proposed using tabular magnets. The paper compares the power consumption and efficiency of the Minato motor and the proposed motor. During high speed rotation, undesirable armature current is generated that has a deceleration characteristic. This current lowers the motor's efficiency. In this paper, we propose the solutions and show comparison through equations of the copper loss ratio for the Minato and our proposed motors. The third motor, which has the highest efficiency, was discovered during examination of the equations.

기상인자와 비정상성 빈도해석 모형을 이용한 낙동강유역의 계절강수량 전망 (Seasonal Rainfall Outlook of Nakdong River Basin Using Nonstationary Frequency Analysis Model and Climate Information)

  • 권현한;이정주
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.339-350
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 Bayesian 통계기법을 이용한 비정상성 빈도해석모형을 토대로 외부 기상인자에 의한 변동성을 고려할 수 있는 계절강수량 예측모형을 구축하였으며, 낙동강유역내의 10개 관측소에서 관측된 37년간의 강수량 자료를 이용하여 연도별 여름강수량을 추출하고 이들 관측소의 여름강수량에 물리적인 영향을 미치는 기상인자로서 SST(sea surface temperature)와 OLR(outgoing longwave radiation)을 공간상관성을 검토하여 선정하였다. 모형의 적합성을 검토하기 위해 2010년 여름강수량 사후 확률분포의 중앙값과 관측치를 비교하였으며, 그 결과 각각 858.2mm와 888.1mm로, 이는 구축된 모형이 적절하게 여름강수량을 모의하고 있음을 보여준다. 2010년 겨울 SST 관측 값과, 예년 평균값으로 가정한 2011년 6월 OLR을 이용하여 2011년 여름강수량을 예측하였다. 예측된 2011년 여름강수량은 967.7mm로, 확률적으로 예년 여름강수량의 평균인 680mm를 상회할 확률이 92.9% 이상인 것으로 나타났으며, 또한 50년 빈도에 해당하는 여름강수량을 추정한 결과, 50년 빈도 여름강수량 1400mm를 상회할 확률도 약 73.7%인 것으로 분석되었다.

Climate change and resilience of biocontrol agents for mycotoxin control

  • Magan, Naresh;Medina, Angel
    • 한국균학회소식:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국균학회 2018년도 춘계학술대회 및 임시총회
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    • pp.41-41
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    • 2018
  • There has been an impetus in the development of biocontrol agents (BCAs) with the removal of a number of chemical compounds in the market, especially in the European Union. This has been a major driver in the development of Integrated Pest Management systems (IPM) for both pest and disease control. For control of mycotoxigenic fungi, there is interest in both control of colonization and more importantly toxin contamination of staple food commodities. Thus the relative inoculum potential of biocontrol agent vs the toxigenic specie sis important. The major bottlenecks in the production and development of formulations of biocontrol agents are the resilience of the strains, inoculum quality and formulation with effective field efficacy. It was recently been shown for mycotoxigenic fungi such as Aspergillus flavus, under extreme climate change conditions, growth is not affected although there may be a stimulation of aflatoxin production. Thus, the development of resilient biocontrol strains which can may have conserved control efficacy but have the necessary resilience becomes critical form a food security point of view. Indeed, under predicted climate change scenarios the diversity of pests and fungal diseases are expected to have profound impacts on food security. Thus, when examining the identification of potential biocontrol strains, production and formulation it is critical that the resilience to CC environmental factors are included and quantified. The problems in relation to the physiological competence and the relative humidity range over which efficacy can occur, especially pre-harvest may be increase under climate change conditions. We have examined the efficacy of atoxigenic strains of A. flavus and Clanostachys rosea and other candidates for control of A. flavus and aflatoxin contamination of maize, and for Fusarium verticillioides and fumonisin toxin control. We have also examined the potential use of fluidized-bed drying, nanoparticles/nanospheres and encapsulation approaches to enhance the potential for the production of resilient biocontrol formulations. The objective being the delivery of biocontrol efficacy under extreme interacting climatic conditions. The potential impact of climate change factors on the efficacy of biocontrol of fungal diseases and mycotoxins are discussed.

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탄소배출권 EUA와 sCER의 가격 차이 패턴 및 스프레드(Spread) 결정 요인 분석 (Analysis on Price Driver of Spread and Different Patterns of EUA and sCER)

  • 박순철;조용성
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.759-784
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    • 2013
  • 배출권거래제에서는 할당된 배출권과 상쇄배출권을 의무준수에 이용할 수 있으며, 가격차이가 존재하면서 대체가능한 상품의 존재는 의무준수에 수반되는 총 비용을 줄일 수 있는 기회이면서 차익거래의 기회로 작용한다. 본 연구는 EU ETS의 Phase 2 전 기간을 대상으로 할당 배출권인 EUA와 상쇄배출권인 sCER 간의 가격 영향 요인을 각각 살펴보고, 두 유닛간의 차격차이를 의미하는 스프레드의 발생원인 및 결정 요인을 AR-GARCH 모형을 사용해 분석하였다. 분석결과 EUA와 sCER은 EU ETS를 중심으로 공통적인 가격 영향 요인과 상이한 가격 영향요인이 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. EUA와 sCER은 석탄가격(-), 금융위기(-)와 같은 에너지와 경제변수, 제도 운영변수에 대해서는 공통적인 영향을 받지만, 전력가격, CER 사용제한과 같은 정책변수, EUA와 ERU간의 가격차 등에 대해서는 서로 다른 영향을 받는 것으로 분석되었다. 에너지가격이 상승할 경우 탄소배출권 가격의 스프레드가 넓어지는 경향을 나타내었고, 특히 석유 가격과 전력 가격의 변동은 탄소배출권 가격의 변동 폭을 크게 하는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편, EUA와 ERU의 가격 차이가 커질수록 스프레드가 넓어지는 현상을 나타냈는데, 이러한 결과는 EU ETS의 운영상 특징으로 인해 EUA와 ERU의 가격차이가 sCER의 가격과 음(-)의 관계를 갖는 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 EU ETS의 Phase 2를 전 기간을 대상으로 탄소배출권 가격 스프레드의 변동 원인을 실증 분석하여, 2012년도에 EUA와 sCER의 스프레드가 급속히 증가하는 원인을 설명했다는 의의를 갖는다. 아울러 이러한 원인들이 대부분 정책적인 변화라는 측면에서 향후 우리나라에서 도입예정인 ETS에 대해서도 에너지 가격 등의 구조적인 요인들과 함께 정책적인 측면도 가격 변동의 주요 원인이 될 수 있다는 점을 간접적으로 설명하였다.

Maize improvement largely driven by contributions from many loci of small effect

  • Beissinger, Tim
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.6-6
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    • 2017
  • In recent decades, scientists have had great success identifying specific loci that contribute to the variability of agronomically important phenotypes. But, while loci of large-effect remain the simplest and most commonly identified in genomic studies, mounting evidence suggests that a substantial proportion of crop evolution is driven by loci of small effect. In this talk, results demonstrating that large-effect loci are not the primary driver of maize evolution will be presented, along with a new method to test quantitative traits for evidence of past selection. By applying this this method to a maize breeding population, we show that agronomic traits important for breeding are often dictated by loci of small effect. The implications of these results for driving crop improvement will be discussed, including their potential application to breeding protocols that anticipate global climate change.

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