• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change sensitivity

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Vulnerability Assessments of Climate Change on Flood Damage (기후변화에 따른 홍수피해 취약성 평가)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Lee, Byong-Ju;Kim, Kwang-Cheon;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.289-293
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    • 2008
  • 현재 기후변화는 점점 가속화되고 있으며, 이로 인해 향후 홍수피해는 더욱 증가될 가능성이 높은 것으로 알려져 있다. 장기적이 측면에서 이러한 홍수피해에 대비하기 위해서는 유역별 홍수에 대한 취약성을 평가하고, 기후변화의 영향을 고려하여 유연한 적응 정책을 마련하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 국내유역의 홍수 취약성을 평가하는 방법으로 지표를 이용한 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 기후변화에 따른 홍수 취약성을 민감도(sensitivity), 노출(exposure), 적응능력(adaptation)의 함수로 정의하고, 각 유역별 지표들을 이용하여 상대적인 취약성 정도를 평가하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 유역의 민감도와 노출정도가 클수록 기후변화에 대한 홍수피해에 취약하고, 적응능력이 클수록 취약성이 낮다고 판단하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 방법으로 국내 139개 유역에 대해 상대적인 홍수피해 취약성을 평가한 결과 과거 유역별 홍수 피해액의 분포와 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, A2 시나리오를 이용하여 미래 기후변화 상황에서의 홍수피해 취약성에 대해 평가한 결과 국내 유역의 홍수피해는 증가될 가능성이 있는 것으로 전망되었으나 유역별 공간적인 취약성은 크게 변화지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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Changes in the Attributable Burden of High Temperatures on Deaths (하절기 기온상승으로 인한 사망의 기여부담 변화)

  • Ha, Jongsik
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.460-471
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: Due to global warming resulting from climate change, there has been increasing interest in the relationship between temperature and mortality. These temperature-related deaths depend on diverse conditions related to a given place and person, as well as on time. This study examined changes in the impact of high temperatures on death in summer, using the effect and burden of elevated temperatures on deaths in Seoul and Daegu. Methods: A Poisson regression model was used to estimate short-term temperature effects on mortality. Temperature-related risks were divided into three time periods of equal length (1996-2000, 2001-2005, and 2006-2010). In addition, in order to compare the impact of high temperatures on deaths, this study calculated the proportion of attributable deaths to population, which simultaneously considers the threshold and the slope above the threshold. Results: The effect and burden of high temperatures on deaths is high in Daegu. However, the impact (i.e. the effect and burden) of elevated summer temperatures on deaths has declined over the past 15 years. Sensitivity analyses using alternative thresholds show the robustness of these findings. Conclusion: This study suggests that the attributable burden of high temperatures on deaths to be more plausible than relative risk or threshold for comparing the health impact of high temperatures across populations. Moreover, these results contain important implications for the development or the adjustment of present and future strategies and policies for controlling the temperature-related health burden on populations.

A Review of Detection Methods for the Plant Viruses

  • Jeong, Joo-Jin;Ju, Ho-Jong;Noh, Jaejong
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2014
  • The early and accurate detection of plant viruses is an essential component to control those. Because the globalization of trade by free trade agreement (FTA) and the rapid climate change promote the country-to-country transfer of viruses and their hosts and vectors, diagnosis of viral diseases is getting more important. Because symptoms of viral diseases are not distinct with great variety and are confused with those of abiotic stresses, symptomatic diagnosis may not be appropriate. From the last three decades, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs), developed based on serological principle, have been widely used. However, ELISAs to detect plant viruses decrease due to some limitations such as availability of antibody for target virus, cost to produce antibody, requirement of large volume of sample, and time to complete ELISAs. Many advanced techniques allow overcoming demerits of ELISAs. Since the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) developed as a technique to amplify target DNA, PCR evolved to many variants with greater sensitivity than ELISAs. Many systems of plant virus detection are reviewed here, which includes immunological-based detection system, PCR techniques, and hybridization-based methods such as microarray. Some of techniques have been used in practical, while some are still under developing to get the level of confidence for actual use.

Variation of Hydro-Meteorological Variables in Korea

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2014
  • The variability and temporal trends of the annual and seasonal minimum and maximum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine hours, and runoff were analyzed for 5 major rivers in Korea from 1960 to 2010. A simple regression and non-parametric methods (Mann-Kendall test and Sen's estimator) were used in this study. The analysis results show that the minimum temperature ($T_{min}$) had a higher increasing trend than the maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), and the average temperature increased by about $0.03^{\circ}C\;yr.^{-1}$. The relative humidity and wind speed decreased by $0.02%\;yr^{-1}$ and $0.01m\;s^{-1}yr^{-1}$, respectively. With the exception of the Han River basin, the regression analysis and Mann-Kendall and Sen results failed to detect trends for the runoff and rainfall over the study period. Rapid land use changes were linked to the increase in the runoff in the Han River basin. The sensitivity of the evapotranspiration and ultimately the runoff to the meteorological variables was in the order of relative humidity > sunshine duration > wind speed > $T_{max}$ > $T_{min}$. Future studies should investigate the interaction of the variables analyzed herein, and their relative contributions to the runoff trends.

Evaluation on Drought Risk of the Korean peninsula considering climate change and future water supply stability (기후변화와 미래 용수공급 안정성을 고려한 한반도 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Na, Byeong-Chan;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Sur, Chanyang;Choi, Si-Jung;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.122-122
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    • 2019
  • 가뭄위험도(Drought Risk)는 위해성(Hazard), 취약성(Vulnerability), 민감도(Sensitivity) 및 적응능력(Adaptive Capacity) 등 여러 가지의 지표를 활용하여 평가가 가능하다. 가용한 자료와 분석기법에 따라서 위해성과 취약성만으로도 평가가 가능하며, 유역내의 가용한 수자원인프라에 의한 적응능력을 포함하여 평가할 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 미래 가뭄위험도를 평가하기 위하여 기후학적 인자인 가뭄 위해성과 사회 경제적 인자인 취약성 인자 그리고 유역내의 수자원 인프라시설(용수공급 시설)에 의한 적응능력과 관련된 지표를 조합하였다. 특히, 물수요와 공급가능량을 고려한 물수지분석을 통하여 미래 용수공급 안정성을 평가하였으며 다양한 기후변화 시나리오 기반 가뭄 위해성 인자를 Rating 기법을 활용하여 산정하였으며, 취약성의 경우 인구밀도, 농경지 면적 등의 민감도와 적응능력을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 용수 부족량을 시나리오별로 산정하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 도출된 한반도의 미래 가뭄위험도 평가 결과는 유역별 가뭄대책을 수립하기 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Nuclear energy consumption, nuclear fusion reactors and environmental quality: The case of G7 countries

  • Cakar, Nigar Demircan;Erdogan, Seyfettin;Gedikli, Ayfer;Oncu, Mehmet Akif
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.1301-1311
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    • 2022
  • Global climate change brings environmental quality sensitivity, especially in developed countries. Developed countries use non-renewable energy sources intensively both in their own countries and in other countries, they make productions that cause an enormous rate of increase in CO2 emissions and unsustainable environmental costs. This has increased the interest in environmentally friendly alternative energy sources. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of nuclear energy consumption and technological innovation on environmental quality in G7 countries using annual data over the period 1970-2015. The Panel Threshold Regression Model was used for the analysis. Empirical findings have indicated that the relationship between nuclear energy consumption and carbon emissions differs according to innovation for nuclear power plants. It was also concluded that nuclear energy consumption reduces carbon emissions more after a certain level of innovation. This result shows that the increase in innovative technologies for nuclear power plants not only increases energy efficiency but also contributes positively to environmental quality.

Estimating carbon dioxide uptake in wetland ecosystems of Tumen River Basin using eddy covariance flux data (에디 공분산 기반의 플럭스 타워 관측자료를 이용한 두만강 유역 습지 생태계 CO2 흡수량 분석)

  • Chen, Pengshen;Zhao, Shuqing;Cui, Guishan;Lee, Dongkun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2024
  • In the context of rapid temperature rise in mid-to-high latitude regions, cold region wetlands have become a hotspot for current wetland carbon cycle research due to their high sensitivity to climate change. Strengthening the monitoring of CO2 fluxes in wetland ecosystems is of great practical significance for clarifying the carbon balance of wetlands and maintaining the ecological balance of wetland ecosystems in China's high latitude regions. In this study, the carbon flux (NEE, Net ecosystem exchange; GPP, Gross Primary Production; RECO, Ecosystem response) of Jingxin Wetland was monitored by eddy correlation method from August 2021 to March 2024.2022-2023 shows CO2 sinks, absorbing 349.4 g C·m-2·yr-1 annually. The correlation analysis showed that Ta, VPD and PPFD were the main environmental factors affecting CO2 flux in Jingxin wetland.

Estimation of Heat Exchange Rate of Standing Column Well for Sustainable Groundwater Curtain for Greenhouse Heating (순환식 지하수 수막시스템 그린하우스 난방을 위한 스탠딩컬럼웰 열교환율 산정)

  • Byoung Ohan Shim;Seung Gyun Baek;Seonghoon Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2024
  • In order to design a standing column well (SCW) for a sustainable groundwater curtain system for greenhouse heating, we conducted parameter sensitivity tests. These tests simulated the outlet temperature changes of the SCW in a groundwater recirculating greenhouse cultivation system. Our modeling considered ground thermal conductivity and hydrogeological conditions. Specifically, we examined several factors, including SCW length, enhanced thermal conductivity of the ground, and groundwater circulation rate. The simulation results indicated that there was not a significant difference in the heat exchange rate based on the characteristics of enhanced thermal conductivity. However, we anticipate a substantial difference in the case of varying SCW lengths. Therefore, we conclude that the simulation results are primarily influenced by conductive heat exchange values, as the circulating water remains at a constant groundwater level.

Effect of Soil Respiration on Light Fraction-C and N Availability in Soil Applied with Organic Matter

  • Ko, Byong-Gu;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Kim, Myung-Sook;Kim, Gun-Yeob;Park, Seong-Jin;Yun, Sun-Gang
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.510-516
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    • 2016
  • Soil respiration has been recognized as a key factor of the change of organic matter and fertility due to the carbon and nitrogen mineralization. In this study, we evaluated the effect of soil respiration on the light fraction-C and inorganic N content depending on temperature in soil applied with organic matter. Soil respiration was calculated by using total $CO_2$ flux released from soil applied with $2Mg\;ha^{-1}$ of rice straw compost and rye for 8 weeks incubation at 15, 25, $35^{\circ}C$ under incubation test. After incubation test, light fraction and inorganic N content were investigated. Rye application dramatically increased soil respiration with increasing temperature. $Q_{10}$ value of rye application was 1.69, which was higher 27% than that of rice straw compost application. Light-C and $NO_3-N$ contents were negatively correlated to soil respiration. Light-C in rye application more decreased than that in rice straw compost with temperature levels. These results indicate that temperature sensitivity of soil respiration could affect soil organic mater content and N availability in soil due to carbon availability. Also, light fraction would be useful indicator to evaluate decomposition rate of organic matter in soil under a short-term test.

Analysis of Risk Classification on the Urban Flood Damage in Changwon city (창원시 용도지역별 침수 피해에 따른 위험등급화 분석)

  • Park, Ki-Yong;Jeong, Jin-Ho;Jeon, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.685-693
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to effectively respond to urban local rainstorms by classifying the risk against flood damage for each use district. The risk classification is based on sensitivity analysis of the socio-economic damage caused by local rainstorms in Changwon city, Korea by a Fuzzy model using data, such as the districts that provide institutional bases for land use, land prices, which estimate the property values, and floor area ratios, which measures the density and areas of flood damage. The analysis result indicated that flood damage in five districts of Changwon (Masan happo-gu, Masan Hoewon-gu, Sungsan-gu, Euichang-gu, and Jinhae-gu) is highest in the order of commercial areas, residential areas, industrial areas, and forests, which was attributed to high land price and floor area ratio of commercial areas. On the other hand, specific analysis in Masan Hoewon-gu and Sungsan-gu was different from the previous result, indicating that the risk against flood damage may vary according to the districts depending on their local conditions. The analysis from this study can be applied to future urban planning and be used as a guideline to estimate the potential flood damage. Overall, this study is meaningful in that it proposes an effective management of land use as a new resolution to mitigate of urban flood damage within a broader perspective of climate change and urbanization.