• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change sensitivity

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The Analysis of Status and Trends on Green Management in Korea by the Development and Application of the Evaluation Index (녹색경영평가지수 개발을 통한 우리나라 녹색경영 현황 및 변화 추이 분석)

  • Lee, Seehyung;Lee, Yoon Jung;Lee, Chanwoo;Choi, Kwang-Lim
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.231-248
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    • 2014
  • The goal of this research is to develop an evaluation method applying 'Green Management Index' introduced by Korean government to assess overall Green management level of the industrial sector. The method can help to grasp the present condition of Green management in Korea and analyze changes in trend. For this research, business types are classified into 8 categories and each evaluation method is developed according to each category. Green management evaluation was conducted in 2013, targeting 513 enterprises and the result was analyzed comparing that of 2011 to understand changes in trend. The evaluation shows that 1) 'strategy and system' section is tentatively vulnerable than other sections, 2) industry with higher sensitivity towards regulations has higher score, 3) there is a significant gap conducting green management between conglomerates and SMEs especially in 'system' section. The total score was elevated by 3 points compared to 2011. It is considered that the elevation of score was attributed to tightened regulations such as Target Management Scheme. Controlled Entities scored 4 points higher and 'GHG and environmental pollution' section increased by 10 points. Also, there is a wide disparity in green management evaluation between controlled entities and non-controlled entities from 5 points in 2011 to 10 points in 2013.

A Study on Vulnerability Assessment and Prioritizing Sectors to Support Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change - Case Study of Gangwon Province - (기후변화 적응대책 수립 지원을 위한 취약성 평가 및 부문별 우선순위 선정 방안 연구 - 강원도 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Suhyun;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Yoo, Seongjin;Byun, Jungyeon;Park, Sunmin;Kwak, Hanbin;Cui, Guishan;Kim, Moonil;Jung, Raesun;Nam, Kijun;Shin, Donghee
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.245-257
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    • 2012
  • Vulnerability assessment has been required for establish climate adaptation plan to prevent damage from climate change. In this study we assessed vulnerability with 1 km resolution and determined which sectors have the highest priority in each municipality of Gangwon province based on the result of vulnerability assessment. All sectors of vulnerability assessment are composed of three criteria; sensitivity, exposure and adaptation capacity. And suitable indicators of each sector were selected and spatial data set was prepared using GIS. Priority of vulnerability was classified with the degree of vulnerability in present and variation in vulnerability between present and future. The results of vulnerability assessment were different among municipalities due to the contribution of indicators. Present and future trends in vulnerability showed similar results but high vulnerable area was predicted to expand in the future. In addition increase in temperature led whole area to be more vulnerable generally. The result of prioritizing sectors of vulnerability indicated the most considerable sectors within a municipality. Also, the municipalities which have similar geographic, climatic and social conditions tended to be classified as the same priority class. The method of vulnerability assessment and determining priorities suggested in this study could be used to support decision makers to establish adaptation plan of local area.

Effect of Climate Factors on Tree-Ring Growth of Larix leptolepis Distributed in Korea (기후인자가 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan;Sung, Joo Han;Chun, Jung Hwa;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.1
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    • pp.122-131
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climatic variables on tree-ring growth of Larix leptolepis distributed in Korea by dendroclimatological method. For this, annual tree-ring growth data of Larix leptolepis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. To explain the relationship between tree-ring growth of Larix leptolepis and climatic variables, monthly temperature and precipitation data from 1950 to 2010 were compared with tree-ring growth data for each county. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, six clusters were identified. In addition, index chronology of Larix leptolepis for each cluster was produced through cross-dating and standardization procedures. The adequacy of index chronologies was tested using basic statistics such as mean sensitivity, auto correlation, signal to noise ratio, and expressed population signal of annual tree-ring growth. Response function analysis was finally conducted to reveal the relationship between tree-ring growth and climatic variables for each cluster. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of Larix leptolepis and for predicting changes in tree growth patterns caused by climate change.

A Numerical Simulation for Thermal Environments by the Modification of Land-use in Busan (부산지역 토지이용(land-use) 변화에 의한 열환경 수치모의)

  • 김유근;문윤섭;오인보;임윤규
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.453-463
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    • 2002
  • Prognostic meteorological model, MM5V3 (Mesoscale Model 5 Version 3) was used to assess the effects of the land-use modifications on spatial variations of temperature and wind fields in Busan during the selected period of summer season in 2000. We first examined sensitivity analysis for temperature between MM5V3 predictions and meteorological data observed at 4 AWS (Automatic Weather System) stations in Busan, which exhibited low structural and accurate errors (Mean Bias Error, MBE: 0.73, Root Mean Square Error, RMSE: 1.18 on maximum). The second part of this paper, MMSV3 simulations for the modification of land-use was performed with 1 km resolution in target domain, 46$\times$46 $\textrm{km}^2$ area around city of Busan. It was found that modification result from change of surface land-use in central urban area altered spatial distributions of temperature and wind. In particular, heat island core moved slightly to the seaward at 1300 LST. This results may imply that modification of surface land-use leads to change the thermal environments; in addition, it has a significant effect on local wind circulations and dispersions of air pollutants.

Study on a Scheme to Increase Flood Reduction Effect of Washlands (강변저류지군의 홍수저감효과 개선방안에 대한 연구)

  • Baek, Chun-Woo;Byeon, Chen-Il;Kim, Do-Hyeon;Ahn, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2010
  • Due to climate change and difficulty in construction of large dam, it is on the increase to use small hydraulic facilities such as washland for the flood control purpose. Since there can be many potential locations for washland in a basin, it is important for determination of optimal location to calculate flood reduction effect of washlands substantially and exactly. In this study, a new scheme to increase flood reduction effect of washlands is suggested. Suggested scheme uses sensitivity analysis of flood reduction effect depending on washland characteristics such as storage volume, spillway elevation and spillway width. The characteristics of the washland is determined by results of sensitivity analysis to maximize flood reduction effect at basin outlet and downstream of a washland. The methodology is applied to Anseong river basin to show its applicability and applied result is compared with those of another studies.

Implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter to a Double Gyre Ocean and Sensitivity Test using Twin Experiments (Double Gyre 모형 해양에서 앙상블 칼만필터를 이용한 자료동화와 쌍둥이 실험들을 통한 민감도 시험)

  • Kim, Young-Ho;Lyu, Sang-Jin;Choi, Byoung-Ju;Cho, Yang-Ki;Kim, Young-Gyu
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2008
  • As a preliminary effort to establish a data assimilative ocean forecasting system, we reviewed the theory of the Ensemble Kamlan Filter (EnKF) and developed practical techniques to apply the EnKF algorithm in a real ocean circulation modeling system. To verify the performance of the developed EnKF algorithm, a wind-driven double gyre was established in a rectangular ocean using the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) and the EnKF algorithm was implemented. In the ideal ocean, sea surface temperature and sea surface height were assimilated. The results showed that the multivariate background error covariance is useful in the EnKF system. We also tested the sensitivity of the EnKF algorithm to the localization and inflation of the background error covariance and the number of ensemble members. In the sensitivity tests, the ensemble spread as well as the root-mean square (RMS) error of the ensemble mean was assessed. The EnKF produces the optimal solution as the ensemble spread approaches the RMS error of the ensemble mean because the ensembles are well distributed so that they may include the true state. The localization and inflation of the background error covariance increased the ensemble spread while building up well-distributed ensembles. Without the localization of the background error covariance, the ensemble spread tended to decrease continuously over time. In addition, the ensemble spread is proportional to the number of ensemble members. However, it is difficult to increase the ensemble members because of the computational cost.

A Study on Analysis of Mooring Safety Sensitivity According to the Arrangement of Bitt Against Gust (돌풍 대비용 직주 배치에 따른 계류안전성 민감도 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Seungyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.767-776
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    • 2020
  • Due to the recent climate change caused by global warming, weather changes in a different pattern from the past have occurred, and the increase in seawater temperature has led to an increase in the size and intensity of typhoons. Accordingly, there is an increasing need for bitts that can be used to secure mooring safety of the ship when a sudden gust occurs. Based on 12 scenarios of a mooring safety evaluation program, this study analyzed the criteria for arranging bollard and bitt, and analyzed the sensitivity of mooring safety when using storm bitts. As a result of the evaluation, it was analyzed that the mooring factor value decreased compared to the general mooring line arrangement when the fore and stern breastline were added to the bitts for gusts. The results of this study can be used as basic data for proposing storm bitts arrangements for gusts in consideration of the characteristics of berth ships and ports. From the perspective of ship operators, storm bitts at the pier will be an effective method for securing the ship's mooring safety in case of a gust of wind.

Development of forest carbon optimization program using simulated annealing heuristic algorithm (Simulated Annealing 휴리스틱 기법을 이용한 임분탄소 최적화 프로그램의 개발)

  • Jeon, Eo-Jin;Kim, Young-Hwan;Park, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Man-Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we developed a program of optimizing stand-level carbon stock using a stand-level yield model and the Simulated Annealing (SA) heuristic method to derive a optimized forest treatment solution. The SA is one of the heuristic algorithms that can provide a desirable management solution when dealing with various management purposes. The SA heuristic algorithm applied 'thermal equilibrium test', a thresholds approach to solve the phenomenon that does not find an optimum solution and stays at a local optimum value during the process. We conducted a sensitivity test for the temperature reduction rate, the major parameter of the thermal equilibrium test, to analyze its influence on the objective function value and the total iteration of the optimization process. Using the developed program, three scenarios were compared: a common treatment in forestry (baseline), the optimized solution of maximizing the amount of harvest(alternative 1), and the optimized solution of maximizing the amount of carbon stocks(alternative 2). As the results, we found that the alternative 1 showed provide acceptable solutions for the objectives. From the sensitivity test, we found that the objective function value and the total iteration of the process can be significantly influenced by the temperature reduction rate. The developed program will be practically used for optimizing stand-level carbon stock and developing optimized treatment solutions.

Effect of Carbon Dioxide Concentration, Temperature, and Relative Drought on Growth Responses and Yield in Spring Potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) (이산화탄소와 온도 그리고 한발 영향에 따른 감자의 생육과 수량반응)

  • Lee, Yun-Ho;Cho, Hyeoun-Suk;Kim, Jun-Hwan;Sang, Wan-Gyu;Shin, Pyong;Baek, Jae-Kyeong;Seo, Myung-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2018
  • Agriculture is strongly influenced by climate change such as increased temperature and carbon dioxide ($CO_2$). This study describes the effects of climate change elevated $CO_2$, temperature, and relative drought on growth responses and yield in potato (Solanum tuberosum L.). The assessment was conducted for spring seasons in Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Research (SPAR) chamber at National Institute of Crop Science (NICS). Potatoes exhibit a positive response to $CO_2$ enrichment but water stress primarily reduces potato canopy and tuber yield. Elevated $CO_2$ and temperature increased both dry weight and tuber yield. Elevated $CO_2$ and temperature influenced SPAR 2 plants to a larger, and tuber increased yield up to 28% of than in SPAR 1(30-year average temperature at 450 ppm of $CO_2$). Our study findings indicate that tuber yield increase in potato under high $CO_2$ concentration was due to an increase in the size of individual tubers rather than in the number of the tubers per plant. On other hand, SPAR 3(30-year average temperature $+2.8^{\circ}C$ at 700 ppm of $CO_2$ under water stress) was lower than SPAR 2(30-year average temperature $+2.8^{\circ}C$ at 700 ppm of $CO_2$) nearly 56% of tuber yield due to drought. The results confirm potato drought sensitivity in terms of yield response. The experiment also showed that, in the conditions of climate change, climate change scenarios that improve cropping systems with potato.

Meteorological Field Generation Method for CALPUFF Model

  • Park, Ji-Hoon;Park, Geun-Yeong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.30-38
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    • 2018
  • CALPUFF is one of the recommended air pollution models by EPA with AERMOD. It has been used to simulate the ambient concentration of critical air pollutants as well as non-critical pollutants such as persistent organic matters and the organic materials causing odor. In this model, the air pollutants go through dispersion, transportation, chemical reaction, and deposition process. These mechanisms are significantly influenced by meteorological condition. This study produces the meteorological field in three different methods for the simulation of $SO_2$ using CALPUFF: 1) CALMET model by using both ground-level and aerological observation, 2) CALMET model by using MM5 results with NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed data, 3) CALMET model by using MM5 results in which FDDA is applied with NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed data as well as the meteorological data of Korea Meteorological Administration. As a result of CALPUFF model, the resolved concentration of $SO_2$ showed different behaviors in three cases. For the first case, the fluctuation of SO2 concentration was frequently observed while the fluctuation is reduced in the second and third cases. In addition, the maximum concentration of $SO_2$ in the first case was about 2~3 times higher than the second case, and about 4~6 times higher than the third case. These results can be caused by the accuracy of the resolved meteorological field. It is inferred that the meteorological field of the first case could be less accurate than other two cases. These results show that the use of correct meteorological data can improve the result of dispersion model. Moreover, the contribution of various sources such as point, line, and area sources on the ambient concentration of air pollutant can be roughly estimated from the sensitivity analysis.