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Effect of Climate Factors on Tree-Ring Growth of Larix leptolepis Distributed in Korea

기후인자가 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석

  • Lim, Jong Hwan (Center for Forest and Climate Change, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Sung, Joo Han (Forest Practice Research Center, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Chun, Jung Hwa (Division of Forest Ecology, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Shin, Man Yong (Department of Forest, Environment, and System, Kookmin University)
  • 임종환 (국립산림과학원 기후변화센터) ;
  • 성주한 (국립산림과학원 산림생산기술연구소) ;
  • 천정화 (국립산림과학원 산림생태연구과) ;
  • 신만용 (국민대학교 산림환경시스템학과)
  • Received : 2015.05.01
  • Accepted : 2015.09.10
  • Published : 2016.03.31

Abstract

This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climatic variables on tree-ring growth of Larix leptolepis distributed in Korea by dendroclimatological method. For this, annual tree-ring growth data of Larix leptolepis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. To explain the relationship between tree-ring growth of Larix leptolepis and climatic variables, monthly temperature and precipitation data from 1950 to 2010 were compared with tree-ring growth data for each county. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, six clusters were identified. In addition, index chronology of Larix leptolepis for each cluster was produced through cross-dating and standardization procedures. The adequacy of index chronologies was tested using basic statistics such as mean sensitivity, auto correlation, signal to noise ratio, and expressed population signal of annual tree-ring growth. Response function analysis was finally conducted to reveal the relationship between tree-ring growth and climatic variables for each cluster. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of Larix leptolepis and for predicting changes in tree growth patterns caused by climate change.

본 연구는 연륜기후학적 방법에 의해 기후인자가 우리나라에 분포하는 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향을 구명하기 위해 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 먼저 일본잎갈나무의 연도별 생장특성을 분석하기 위해 제5차 국가산림자원자료에서 수집된 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장 자료를 정리하였다. 한편 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장과 기후변수와의 관계를 구명하기 위해 1950년부터 2010년까지 정리된 월평균 기온과 월강수량 자료를 시군 단위로 정리하였다. 기후조건의 유사성에 근거하여 일본잎갈나무의 시군별 연륜생장 자료를 군집분석한 결과 6 개의 기후 군집으로 구분할 수 있었다. 이와 함께 연륜생장 자료에 대한 크로스데이팅과 표준화 절차를 통해 각 군집별 지표연대기를 제작하였다. 각 군집별 지표연대기의 적합성은 연륜생장의 평균민감도, 자기상관계수, 신호 대 잡음비, 신호강도와 같은 기초통계량 분석을 통해 점검하였다. 최종적으로 각 군집별 일본잎갈나무의 연륜생장과 기후변수 간의 관계를 구명하기 위해 반응함수 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구에서 얻어진 결과는 일본잎갈나무의 지역별 생장특성의 추정뿐만 아니라 기후변화에 따른 생장패턴의 변화 예측에 필요한 유용한 정보로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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