• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change assessment

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Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Groundwater Level Behavior in Geum River Basin using SWAT (SWAT을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 금강유역의 지하수위 거동 평가)

  • Lee, Ji Wan;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Da Rae;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.84-84
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    • 2017
  • IPCC 4차 보고서(2007)에 따르면, 미래 기후변화로 인한 가장 취약한 부분으로 강수패턴의 시 공간 변화로 인한 가용 수자원의 변화를 선정하였으며 IPCC 5차 보고서(2014)는 특히 아시아지역은 지역별 대처전략수립, 물 재활용 등 수자원 다양화, 통합형 수자원 관리를 권고하였다. 지하수의 변화와 같이 흐름속도가 느리고 지속적인 요소의 경우에는 지표 기후변화의 영향을 쉽게 인식할 수 없으나 지표변화에 따른 변동이 지하수 환경에서 관측되기 시작하면 그 영향은 지표보다 훨씬 장기적으로 나타남에 따라 미래 기후변화에 따른 수자원의 효율적 관리를 위해서 지하수 거동에 대한 분석이 요구된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 금강유역($9,865km^2$)을 대상으로 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하여 지표수와 지하수의 상호작용에 의한 물수지 분석을 수행하고, 기후변화에 따른 지하수 거동을 평가하였다. 유역의 물수지 분석을 위해 금강유역을 표준유역 단위로 구분하고, 기상자료, 다목적댐(대청댐, 용담댐)과 다기능보(공주보, 백제보, 세종보) 운영자료와, 국가지하수정보센터에서 관측 및 관리하고 있는 지하수위 관측 자료를 수집하였다. SWAT 모형의 신뢰성 있는 유출량 보정을 위해 금강유역 내 위치하는 다목적댐 및 다기능보의 실측 방류량을 이용하여 댐 운영모의를 고려하였고, 실측 지하수위, 토양수분 자료를 이용하여 모형의 보정(2005~2009)과 검증(2010~2015)을 실시하였다. 기후변화에 따른 지하수 거동 분석을 위해 기후변화 시나리오는 기상청의 HadGEM3-RA RCP 4.5와 8.5 시나리오를 적용하였으며, 기준년(1975-2005)년에 대해 2020s(2010-2039), 2050s(2040-2069), 2080s(2070-2099)의 지하수위 거동을 분석하였다.

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Agricultural Drought Assessment and Diagnosis Based on Spatiotemporal Water Supply in Irrigated Area (필지단위 관개용수 공급에 따른 농업가뭄진단 평가)

  • Shin, Ji-Hyeon;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Ha-Young;Mun, Young-Sik;Bang, Na-Kyoung;Lee, Jueng-Chol;Lee, Kwang-Ya
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2021
  • Agricultural drought is a natural phenomenon that is not easy to observe and predict and is difficult to quantify. In South Korea, the amount of agricultural water used is large and the types of use are varied, so even if an agricultural drought occurs due to insufficient precipitation, the drought actually felt in the irrigated area is it can be temporally and spatially different. In order to interpret the general drought in the past, drought disasters were evaluated using single indicators such as drought damage area, precipitation shortage status, and drought index, and a comprehensive drought management system is needed through drought diagnosis survey. Therefore, we intend to conduct research on agricultural drought assessment and diagnosis using re-evaluation of agricultural facilities and irrigation water supply network due to changes in various conditions such as climate change, irrigation canal network, and evaluation of water supply capacity of agricultural facilities. In this study, agricultural drought diagnosis was conducted on two agricultural reservoirs located in Sangju, Gyeongsangbuk-do, with structural or non-structural evaluations to increase spatiotemporal water supply and efficiency in terms of water shortages. The results of the agricultural drought diagnosis evaluation can be used to identify irrigated areas and canal network vulnerable to drought and to prioritize drought response.

Network Analysis of Domestic and Foreign Marine Ecosystem Management Plans (국내외 해양생태계 관리계획의 네트워크 분석)

  • Jeong, Sehwa;Kim, Yeongha;Yeo, Unsang;Sung, Kijune
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2021
  • Many countries have established and implemented marine ecosystem management plans to solve various problems arising from excessive development and use of marine and coastal areas. In this study, network analysis was applied to compare and understand marine ecosystem management's direction and characteristics in Korea and other maritime countries. The results showed that the words 'strengthen,' 'promote,' 'improve,' and 'establish' were the keywords used a lot in domestic and foreign marine ecosystem management plans. Establishing a foundation for marine ecosystem management, establishing international cooperation and partnerships, and strengthening climate change adaptation was commonly included. However, there were some differences in detailed management plans. In foreign countries, it aims to present management measures for certain species and improve the existing institutional foundation. Still, in Korea, it aims to strengthen the comprehensive management of marine life and establish an institutional foundation for marine ecosystems. This study is expected to help understand the direction of domestic and overseas marine ecosystem management and establish a domestic marine ecosystem management plan in the future.

The Selection of Measurement Indicators by Spatial Levels for Ecosystem Services Assessment - Focused on the Provisioning Service - (생태계서비스 평가를 위한 공간 수준별 측정지표 선정 - 공급서비스를 중심으로 -)

  • Jung, Pil-Mo;Kim, Jung-In;Yeo, Inae;Joo, Wooyeong;Lee, Kyungeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 2021
  • Provisioning service, which is one of the ecosystem service functions, means goods and services such as food and fuel that people get from ecosystem. Provisioning functions are closely related to the primary industry, a sector of economy. Excessive demand and use of human society can cause trade-offs among regulation, cultural, and supporting services. Therefore, it is important to perform evaluation ecosystem services periodically and to monitor the time series fluctuations to identify the impact of provisioning services on other ecosystem services (trade-off) and to maintain sustainable provisioning service. When it comes to the precise assessment of provisioning service, it is necessary to get the statistical data and standardize indicators and methods. In this study, indicators and methods, which are applicable to the spatial level of national-local-protected areas, were derived through literature analysis and expert survey. The result of this study implies that provisioning services measurement by spatial level improve the efficiency of the establishment of environmental conservation plans by whose purpose.

Evaluation of Internal through Analysis of Airflow and Ventilation of Coal Storage Shed (옥내저탄장 기류 흐름 및 환기량 분석을 통한 내부 유동 평가)

  • Jo, Hyun-Joung;Lee, Jin-Hong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.334-342
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    • 2022
  • The stringent air environment conservation act forced to build an indoor dome for coal storage. However, it causes some problems due to accumulation of fly ash and harmful substances inside. To solve this problem, this study analyzed the pattern of internal airflow and the amount of ventilation for an indoor coal yard. Overall, the airflow inside the indoor coal yard tended to move to the southwest facing the mountain. In addition, sea-breeze was blowing from the northern louver window facing the sea, where airflow was flowing in. The total flow rate flowing into the indoor coal yard was 918,691 m3/h, and the number of natural ventilation per hour was 0.6 times. Therefore, it is proposed to install a forced ventilation device at the location where internal air flow is concentrated.

Development of flood hazard and risk maps in Bosnia and Herzegovina, key study of the Zujevina River

  • Emina, Hadzic;Giuseppe Tito, Aronica;Hata, Milisic;Suvada, Suvalija;Slobodanka, Kljucanin;Ammar, Saric;Suada, Sulejmanovic;Fehad, Mujic
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.505-524
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    • 2022
  • Floods represent extreme hydrological phenomena that affect populations, environment, social, political, and ecological systems. After the catastrophic floods that have hit Europe and the World in recent decades, the flood problem has become more current. At the EU level, a legal framework has been put in place with the entry into force of Directive 2007/60/EC on Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive). Two years after the entry into force of the Floods Directive, Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), has adopted a Regulation on the types and content of water protection plans, which takes key steps and activities under the Floods Directive. The "Methodology for developing flood hazard and risk maps" (Methodology) was developed for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, following the methodology used in the majority of EU member states, but with certain modifications to the country's characteristics. Accordingly, activities for the preparation of the Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment for each river basin district were completed in 2015 for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Activities on the production of hazard maps and flood risk maps are in progress. The results of probable climate change impact model forecasts should be included in the preparation of the Flood Risk Management Plans, which is the subsequent phase of implementing the Flood Directive. By the foregoing, the paper will give an example of the development of the hydrodynamic model of the Zujevina River, as well as the development of hazard and risk maps. Hazard and risk maps have been prepared for medium probability floods of 1/100 as well as for high probability floods of 1/20. The results of LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) recording were used to create a digital terrain model (DMR). It was noticed that there are big differences between the flood maps obtained by recording LiDAR techniques in relation to the previous flood maps obtained using georeferenced topographic maps. Particular attention is given to explaining the Methodology applied in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Assessment of Irrigation Water Demand Changes Based on CMIP6 Scenario (CMIP6 시나리오 기반 담수호 유역 농업용수 수요량 변화 평가)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang Min;Kim, Seok Hyeon;Lee, Hyunji;Kim, Jaekyoung;Kim, Sinae;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.243-243
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    • 2021
  • 담수호는 방조제 건설 및 담수화를 통해 다양한 용수공급을 위해 개발된 수자원으로서 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수로 활용이 가능하다. 특히 간월호의 경우, 담수호 주변이 주로 농경지로 이루어져 있으며, 담수화된 수자원은 농업용수를 공급하기 위해 활용되고 있다. 따라서 간월호의 수자원 관리를 위한 장기적인 계획 수립을 위해서는 간월호의 주요 용수공급 대상이 되는 농경지 물수요량의 미래 변화에 대한 평가가 우선되어야 한다. 최근 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서는 기존 대표농도경로에 사회·경제 조건을 추가하여 공동 사회-경제 경로 (SSP, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways)라는 개념을 새롭게 제안하였으며, 이를 기반으로 6차 평가보고서 (6th Assessment Report, AR6)를 발간한 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP6 기후변화 자료를 기반으로 한 기후변화 자료를 통해 담수호 유역의 농업용수 수요량 변화를 평가하였으며, Makov chain 모형을 이용한 토지이용변화 자료를 검토하여 기후변화 뿐만 아니라 토지이용변화를 함께 고려한 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화 평가를 수행하였다. 이를 통해 CMIP6 시나리오별 미래 농업용수 수요량 변화를 검토하고, 현재 간월호의 용수공급 능력과 비교를 통해 간월호의 수자원 관리 능력을 평가하는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다.

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Assessment of water supply stability for Boryeong dam using future RCP climate change scenarios (RCP 기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 보령댐의 미래 용수공급 안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Wonjin;Kim, Jinuk;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.43-43
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    • 2020
  • 보령댐은 충남 서부지역 8개 시·군에 생활용수와 공업용수를 공급하고 있는 중요한 수원으로 최근 우리나라에서 발생한 연속적인 가뭄으로 2015년에는 저수율이 7.5 %까지 감소하여 제한급수가 시행되었다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄으로 인한 물 공급 부족에 취약함을 보인 보령댐 유역(297.4 ㎢)을 대상으로 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모델과 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오를 활용하여 극한 기후변화 사상이 반영된 보령댐의 내한능력을 평가하였다. SWAT 모형을 활용하여 보령댐의 물수지를 모의하기 위하여 보령댐의 실측 유출량, 저수량, 방류량으로 보령댐 유입량과 저수량을 보정(2002~2004) 및 검정(2005~2007)하였으며, 실측 저수량을 기반으로 미래 댐 운영을 모의하였다. 검·보정 결과, 댐 유입량과 저수량의 PBIAS(%)는 -0.04, -0.09, NSE(Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency)는 0.52, 0.96, RMSE(Root Mean Square Error)는 1.80 mm/day, 0.67 × 106㎥로 분석되어 신뢰성 있는 모의 결과를 보였다. 보정된 SWAT 모형으로 가뭄 사상이 반영된 기후변화를 모의하기 위하여 APCC의 26개 CMIP5 GCM 시나리오를 SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index)와 연속 이론(Runs theory)으로 분석하여 6개의 극한 가뭄 시나리오 (RCP 4.5, 8.5 CMCC-CM, INM-CM4, IPSL-CM5A-MR)를 선정하였으며, 선정된 시나리오를 모형에 적용하여 가뭄 사상을 반영한 보령댐의 미래 내한능력을 평가하였다. 내한능력평가 및 분석 기간은 Historical(1980~1999; 1990s), Present(2000~2019; 2010s), 그리고 미래 기간 (2020~2039; 2030s, 2040~2059; 2050s, 2060~2079; 2070s, 2080~2099; 2090s)으로 나누었으며, 취약성(Reliability), 회복성(Resilience), 위험성(Vulnerability), 세 가지 지표로 내한능력 평가를 수행하였다. 평가 결과, 미래 취약성은 2050s IPSL-CM5A-MR 시나리오에서 0.803까지 감소하였으며, 회복성과 위험성은 2070s IPSL-CM5A-MR 시나리오에서 0.003, 3,567.6 × 106㎥까지 감소하였다.

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Determination of Flood-limited Water Levels of Agricultural Reservoirs Considering Irrigation and Flood Control (농업용 저수지의 이·치수 기능을 고려한 홍수기 제한수위 설정 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jihye;Kwak, Jihye;Jun, Sang Min;Lee, Sunghack;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we developed a method to determine the flood-limited water levels of agricultural reservoirs, considering both their irrigation and flood control functions. Irrigation safety and flood safety indices were defined to be applied to various reservoirs, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of the irrigation and flood control properties. Seasonal flood-limited water level scenarios were established to represent the temporal characteristics of rainfall and agricultural water supply and the safety indices were analyzed according to these scenarios. The optimal scenarios were derived using a schematic solution based on Pareto front analysis. The method was applied to Obong, Yedang, and Myogok reservoirs, and the results showed that the characteristics of each reservoir were well represented in the safety indices. The irrigation safety of Obong reservoir was found to be significantly influenced by the late-stage flood-limited water level, while those of Yedang and Myogok reservoir were primarily affected by the early and mid-stage flood-limited water levels. The values of irrigation safety and flood safety indices for each scenario were plotted as points on the coordinate plane, and the optimal flood-limited water levels were selected from the Pareto front. The storage ratio of the optimal flood-limited water levels for the early, mid, and late stages were 65-70%, 70%, and 75% for Obong reservoir, 75%, 70-75%, and 65-70% for Yedang reservoir, and 75-80%, 70%, and 50% for Myogok reservoir. We expect that the method developed in this study will facilitate efficient reservoir operations.

Study on Risk Assessment Method of Hydrogen Station using FAHP-HAZOP (FAHP-HAZOP을 적용한 수소충전소의 위험성평가 방법 연구)

  • Yeong Gwang Jo;Sien Ho Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2023
  • To solve the problem of climate change, carbon neutrality has now become a necessity rather than an option. Hydrogen is not only a energy storage that can supplement the intermittent production of renewable energy, but is also considered a good alternative in the field of utilization as it does not emit carbon dioxide after reaction. In order to revitalize hydrogen vehicles, one of the fields of hydrogen utilization, the construction of hydrogen station infrastructure must be preceded. Prioritization of risk factors is necessary for efficient operation and risk assessment of hydrogen stations, but due to the short operation period of domestic hydrogen stations, there is a lack of frequency data on accidents and their reliability is low. In this study, we aim to identify the causes and consequences of deviations in hydrogen stations through HAZOP analysis. Additionally, we intend to analyze them using Fuzzy-AHP. Through this, we intend to derive the decision values for the causes of deviations in hydrogen stations and apply them to hydrogen accident cases and risk assessments to confirm the reliability and utility of the data.