• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change assessment

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Development of Meteorologic Data Retrieval Program for Vulnerability Assessment to Natural Hazards (재해 취약성 평가를 위한 기상자료 처리 프로그램 MetSystem 개발)

  • Jang, Min-Won;Kim, Sang-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2013
  • Climate change is the most direct threatening factors in sustaining agricultural productivity. It is necessary to reduce the damages from the natural hazards such as flood, drought, typhoons, and snowstorms caused by climate change. Through the vulnerability assessment to adapt the climate change, it is possible to analyze the priority, feasibility, effect of the reduction policy. For the vulnerability assessment, broad amount of weather data for each meterological station are required. Making the database management system for the meteorologic data could troubleshoot of the difficulties lie in handling and processing the weather data. In this study, we generated the meteorologic data retrieval system (MetSystem) for climate change vulnerability assessment. The user interface of MetSystem was implemented in the web-browser so as to access to a database server at any time and place, and it provides different query executions according to the criteria of meteorologic stations, temporal range, meteorologic items, statistics, and range of values, as well as the function of exporting to Excel format (*.xls). The developed system is expected that it will make it easier to try different analyses of vulnerability to natural hazards by the simple access to meteorologic database and the extensive search functions.

Analysis about CO Diffusion Change Caused by Climate Change Using CALPUFF (CALPUFF 모델을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 일산화탄소의 대기오염 영향 분석)

  • Ha, Minjin;Lee, Taekyeong;Lee, Im Hack;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2017
  • In this study CALPUFF was used to estimate the influence of temperature rise, according to the observation value of temperature rise based RCP scenario, on meteorological elements (wind direction, wind speed, mixing height) and the change of pollutant diffusion. According to the result. applying estimated value of year 2050 temperature rise, the mixing height is increased as per the temperature rise, so the range of atmospheric diffusion is widened. In summer case, by applying temperature rise of $4^{\circ}C$ and comparing with before applying temperature rise, there was change of diffusion range as per the change of temperature between 10 AM to 11 PM. And the range of diffusion was wider than that of before temperature rise. In winter case, by applying estimated value of temperature rise, $2.3^{\circ}C$, diffusion range has been changed between 8 AM to 4 PM, showing different diffusion aspect from summer. Also, according to the result of air pollution level assessment with temperature rise, it was proved that the ratio of area with increasing air pollution level has been getting higher by increase of temperature.

The Characteristics and Improvement Directions of Regional Climate Change Adaptation Policies in accordance with Damage Cases (지자체 기후변화 적응 대책 특성 및 개선 방향)

  • Ahn, Yoonjung;Kang, Youngeun;Park, Chang Sug;Kim, Ho Gul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.296-306
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    • 2016
  • There is a growing interest in establishing a regional climate change adaptation policy as the climate change impact in the region and local scale increases. This study focused on the analysis of 32 regions on its characteristics of local climate change adaptation plans. First, statistic program R was used for conducting cluster analysis based on the frequency and budgets of adaptation plan. Further, we analyzed damage frequency from newspapers regarding climate change impacts in eight categories which were caused by extreme weather events on 2,565 cases for 24 years. Lastly, the characteristics of climate change adaptation plan was compared with damage frequency patterns for evaluating the adequacy of climate change adaptation plan on each cluster. Four different clusters were created by cluster analysis. Most clusters clearly have their own characteristics on certain sectors. There was a high frequency of damage in 'disaster' and 'health' sectors. Climate change adaptation plan and budget also invested a lot on those sectors. However, when comparing the relative rate among regional governments, there was a difference between types of damage and climate change adaptation plan. We assumed that the difference could come from that each region established their adaptation plans based on not only the frequency of damage, but vulnerability assessment, and expert opinions as well. The result of study could contribute to policy making of climate change adaptation plan.

Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries of Korea under the RCP Scenarios: for the South Coast Region (RCP 시나리오를 적용한 한국 연근해어업의 기후변화 취약성 평가: 남해안 지역을 대상으로)

  • Kim, Bong-Tae;Lee, Joon-Soo;Suh, Young-Sang
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the climate change vulnerability of coastal and offshore fisheries in the South Sea of Korea using the RCP scenarios. Based on the vulnerability defined by IPCC, the indicator-based method was applied. Exposure indicator was calculated through weighted sum of the sea temperature and salinity forecasted by National Institute of Fisheries Science, and the weights were obtained from the time-space distribution of each fisheries. Sensitivity indicator was determined by applying the catch proportion of fisheries to the sensitivity of fish species. The adaptive capacity was measured by survey of fisheries which represent the ability of the fishermen well. As a result of summarizing the above indicators, vulnerability of coastal fisheries is higher than offshore fisheries. This shows that measures against coastal fisheries are needed. In addition, the results of each scenario are somewhat different, so it is considered that accurate prediction of climate change is important for adaptation measures.

Evaluation of Furrow Mulching Methods for Controlling Non-Point Source Pollution Load from a Sloped Upland (경사밭 고랑멀칭 방법에 따른 비점오염 저감효과 평가)

  • Yeob, So-Jin;Kim, Min-Kyeong;Kim, Myung-Hyun;Bang, Jeong-Hwan;Choi, Soon-Kun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.3
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2022
  • South Korea's agricultural nitrogen balance and phosphorus balance rank first and second, respectively, among OECD countries, and proper nutrient management is required to preserve the water quality of rivers and lakes. This study evaluates the effects of furrow mulching on the reduction of non-point source pollution (NPS) load from a sloped upland. The study site was Wanju-gun, Jeollabuk-do, and the survey period was from 2018 to 2019. The slope of the testbed was 13%, and the soil type was sandy loam. The cropping system consisted of maize-autumn Chinese cabbage rotation. The testbed was composed of bare soil (bare), control (Cont.), furrow vegetation mulching (FVM), and furrow nonwoven fabric mulching (FFM) plots. Runoff was collected for each rainfall event with a 1/100 sampler, and the NPS load was calculated by measuring the concentrations of SS, T-N, and T-P. The NPS load was then analyzed for the entire monitoring and crop cultivation periods. During the monitoring period, the effect of reducing the NPS load was 1.5%~44.5% for FVM and 13.1%~55.2% for FFM. During the crop cultivation period, it was 1.2%~80.5% for FVM and 27.0%~65.1% for FFM, indicating that FFM was more effective than FVM. As the NPS load was fairly high during the crop conversion period, an appropriate management method needs to be implemented during this period.

The Proposal of Evaluation Method for Local Government Infrastructure Vulnerability Relating to Climate Change Driven Flood (기후변화에 따른 홍수에 대한 지자체 기반시설 취약성 평가 방법 제시)

  • Han, Woo Suk;Sim, Ou Bae;Lee, Byoung Jae;Yoo, Jae Hwan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2012
  • This research proposes the direction for the assessment of local government infrastructure vulnerabilities relating to climate change driven flood and analyzes the assessment result. In this research, the local government infrastructures are evaluated by three indices such as exposure, infrastructure sensitivity, adaptive capacity and each index is calculated by selected alternative variable. Climate change scenario(A1B) developed on National Institute of Environmental Research is used to calculate present and future(2020, 2050, 2100s) exposure. As the result of infrastructure vulnerability assessment on present, the infrastructures in Seoul, Northern Gyeonggi-do, Gangwon-do, coastal area of Gyeongsangnam-do are vulnerable to flooding. For future, although the spatial pattern of flooding vulnerable infrastructure are similar, the flooding vulnerabilities of infrastructure in Gyeonggido and Ganwon-do would be increased as close to 2100s. It is expected that this research can be utilized as the preliminary analysis for climate change adaptation in local government infrastructure because this research propose the method for the assessment of local government infrastructure vulnerability relating to climate change driven flood and the result such as a trend of infrastructure vulnerability to flooding and the level of contribution of each index and alternative variable.

The Advanced Bias Correction Method based on Quantile Mapping for Long-Range Ensemble Climate Prediction for Improved Applicability in the Agriculture Field (농업적 활용성 제고를 위한 분위사상법 기반의 앙상블 장기기후예측자료 보정방법 개선연구)

  • Jo, Sera;Lee, Joonlee;Shim, Kyo Moon;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hur, Jina;Kim, Yong Seok;Choi, Won Jun;Kang, Mingu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2022
  • The optimization of long-range ensemble climate prediction for rice phenology model with advanced bias correction method is conducted. The daily long-range forecast(6-month) of mean/ minimum/maximum temperature and observation of January to October during 1991-2021 is collected for rice phenology prediction. In this study, the concept of "buffer period" is newly introduced to reduce the problem after bias correction by quantile mapping with constructing the transfer function by month, which evokes the discontinuity at the borders of each month. The four experiments with different lengths of buffer periods(5, 10, 15, 20 days) are implemented, and the best combinations of buffer periods are selected per month and variable. As a result, it is found that root mean square error(RMSE) of temperatures decreases in the range of 4.51 to 15.37%. Furthermore, this improvement of climatic variables quality is linked to the performance of the rice phenology model, thereby reducing RMSE in every rice phenology step at more than 75~100% of Automated Synoptic Observing System stations. Our results indicate the possibility and added values of interdisciplinary study between atmospheric and agriculture sciences.

Corporation's Adaptation to Climate Change Related Natural Disasters : Embedding Resiliency in Supply Chain - A Study on Climate Change Related Natural Disaster Adaptation for Corporations -

  • Pak, Myong Sop;Kim, In Sun
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.64
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    • pp.239-264
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    • 2014
  • Two types of responses to climate change exist. First is climate mitigation which includes efforts of reducing CO2 and GHG emissions. Second response is climate adaptation process which is establishing climate resilience in the supply chain. The two are inherently different since mitigation strategy focus on eliminating the source of climate change and is long term in nature but adaptation strategy is moderating the impact of potential or current climate change. In order to embed climate resilience in the supply chain, mitigation strategies and adaption strategies must be implemented simultaneously. Corporation's adaptation to climate change related natural disaster can be seen as a response that includes mitigation and adaptation strategies simultaneously. A comprehensive climate change resilience supply chain approach has to be developed. This paper illustrated guidelines and adaptation process framework businesses can utilize in order to build climate resilience. Screening process before the actual assessment of risk was introduced as well as the whole adaptation process of establishing information system and strengthening climate-related operational flexibility.

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Characteristics of GHG emission according to socio-economic by the type of local governments, REPUBLIC OF KOREA (지자체 유형별 사회경제적 특성에 따른 온실가스 배출특성 분석)

  • Park, Chan;Kim, Dai-Gon;Seong, Mi-Ae;Seo, Jeonghyeon;Seol, Sunghee;Hong, You-Deog;Lee, Dong-Kun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2013
  • Local governments are establishing their own greenhouse gas reduction goal and are playing a important role to respond to climatic changes. However, there are difficulties in quantitative analyses such as estimation of future greenhouse gas emission and computation of reduction potential, which are procedures required to establish mid to long term strategies to realize of low carbon society by each local governments. Also, reduction measures must reflect characteristics of each local government, since the reduction power of each local government can differ according to characteristics of each. In order to establish strategies that reflect characteristics of local governments, types of greenhouse gas emission from cities were classified largely into residential city, commercial city, residential commercial city, agriculture and fishery city, convergence city, and industrial city. As a result of analyzing basic unit of greenhouse gas emission by local government during 2007 in terms of per population, household and GRDP based on the type classification, significant results were deduced for each type. To manage the amount of the national greenhouse gas, reduction measures should be focused on the local governments that emits more than the average of each type's GHG emission.

Global Assessment of Climate Change-Associated Drought Risk

  • Kim, Heey Jin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.397-397
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    • 2019
  • With the consequences of climate change becoming more evident, research on climate-associated risks has become a basis for climate adaptation and mitigation. Amongst the different sectors and natural resources considered in assessing such risks, drought is one impact to our environment that experiences stress from climate change but is often overlooked and has the potential to bring severe consequences when drought occurs. For example, when temperatures are higher, water demand increases and water supply decreases; when precipitation patterns fluctuate immensely, floods and droughts occur more frequently at greater magnitudes, putting stress on ecosystems. Hence, it is important for us to evaluate drought risk to observe how different climate change and socioeconomic scenarios can affect this vital life resource. In this study, we review the context of drought risk on the basis of climate change impacts and socioeconomic indicators. As underlined in the IPCC AR5 report, the risks are identified by understanding the vulnerability, exposure, and hazards of drought. This study analyzed drought risk on a global scale with different RCP scenarios projected until the year 2099 with a focus on the variables population, precipitation, water resources, and temperature.

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