• 제목/요약/키워드: climate change adaptation

검색결과 407건 처리시간 0.03초

한반도 기후변화 취약성 지수 산정을 위한 CCGIS의 개발 및 활용 (Development and Application of CCGIS for the Estimation of Vulnerability Index over Korea)

  • 김철희;송창근;홍유덕;유정아;류성현;임광영
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라 지자체별 기후변화적응과 연관된 필요한 기초 자료를 생산하고 관리하는 도구로서 CCGIS(Climate Change Adaptation Toolkit based on GIS)를 개발하였다. CCGIS 개발의 주요 목적은 기후변화적응대책을 위해 필요한 중요한 정보와 데이터들을 제공할 뿐만 아니라, 기후변화적응 대책 마련에 필요한 기후변화 취약성 지수를 산정하는 데 있다. 본 논문에서는 CCGIS에 탑재된 기후 및 대기환경모델로 모의된 2000년과 2020년, 2050년, 2100년의 IPCC SRES(A2, B1, A1B, A1T, A1FI, A1 시나리오) 배출량 시나리오별 현재 및 미래 기후 자료를 생산하고, 이를 토대로 기후변화 적응에 필요한 자료를 제공하고, 표출하는 과정을 기술하였다. 아울러 한반도 지자체를 대상으로 CCGIS를 이용한 기후변화 취약성지수의 특성과 공간 분포, 그리고 그 산출 과정을 설명하고, 그 활용성을 논하였다.

An early warning and decision support system to reduce weather and climate risks in agricultural production

  • Nakagawa, Hiroshi;Ohno, Hiroyuki;Yoshida, Hiroe;Fushimi, Erina;Sasaki, Kaori;Maruyama, Atsushi;Nakano, Satoshi
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.303-303
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    • 2017
  • Japanese agriculture has faced to several threats: aging and decrease of farmer population, global competition, and the risk of climate change as well as harsh and variable weather. On the other hands, the number of large scale farms is increasing, because farm lands have been being aggregated to fewer numbers of farms. Cost cutting, development of efficient ways to manage complicatedly scattered farm lands, maintaining yield and quality under variable weather conditions, are required to adapt to changing environments. Information and communications technology (ICT) would contribute to solve such problems and to create innovative technologies. Thus we have been developing an early warning and decision support system to reduce weather and climate risks for rice, wheat and soybean production in Japan. The concept and prototype of the system will be shown. The system consists of a weather data system (Agro-Meteorological Grid Square Data System, AMGSDS), decision support contents where information is automatically created by crop models and delivers information to users via internet. AMGSDS combines JMA's Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMeDAS) data, numerical weather forecast data and normal values, for all of Japan with about 1km Grid Square throughout years. Our climate-smart system provides information on the prediction of crop phenology, created with weather forecast data and crop phenology models, as an important function. The system also makes recommendations for crop management, such as nitrogen-topdressing, suitable harvest time, water control, pesticide spray. We are also developing methods to perform risk analysis on weather-related damage to crop production. For example, we have developed an algorism to determine the best transplanting date in rice under a given environment, using the results of multi-year simulation, in order to answer the question "when is the best transplanting date to minimize yield loss, to avoid low temperature damage and to avoid high temperature damage?".

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생물다양성 보전을 위한 기후적응지역 설정 연구 -삵의 서식지를 중심으로- (Spatial Planning of Climate Adaptation Zone to Promote Climate Change Adaptation for Endangered Species)

  • 이동근;백경혜;박찬;김호걸
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2011
  • This study attempts to facilitate climate change adaptation in conservation area by spatial planning of climate adaptation zone for endangered species. Spatial area is South Korea and select leopard cat (Prionailurus bengalensis) as a target species of this study. In order to specify the climate adaptation zone, firstly, Maximum entropy method (Maxent) was used to identify suitable habitat, and then core habitat was selected for leopard cat. Secondly, land use resistance index was evaluated and least cost distance was analyzed for target species. In this step we choose dispersal capacity of leopard cat to reflect species ecological characteristic. Finally, climate adaptation zone is described and adaptation measures are suggested. The presented approach could be generalized for application into conservation planning and restoration process. Furthermore, spatial planning of climate adaptation zone could increase heterogeneity of habitat and improve adaptive capacity of species and habitat itself.

보험업의 기후변화 영향과 적응에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effects and Adaptation of Climate Change in Insurance Industry)

  • 남상욱
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to screen for the effects of climate change and climate change adaptation in the insurance industry. There is now a consensus that the climate is changing, with potential risk to the global economy and human health and so on. On the other hand, unknown is the extent to which insurance business pattern have already been affected. But the increase in damage due to climate change is likely to raise insurance company losses. In this regard, I conduct especially an effects of the insurance industry on climate change. And than, I analyzed what insurance companies would do to lessen the impact of climate change. As a result, the impact of climate change on the insurance industry is a huge increases in claims due to disasters and diseases arising from climate change. And another thing is growth in climate change-related legislation, regulations and reporting requirements such as financial soundness regulation and climate change risk disclosure. Therefore, the insurance industry needs to build a climate change adaptation strategies include capital raising, liquidity of assets, faithful debt management and so forth.

기후변화 적응대책 우선순위 선정을 위한 방법론 분석 (Analysis of Methodologies for Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Measures)

  • 채여라;조현주
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.23-44
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    • 2013
  • 기후변화에 효율적으로 대응하기 위해서는 막대한 예산이 소요되는 적응대책에 대한 우선순위를 선정하고 이에 따라 시행하는 일이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구의 목적은 적응대책의 우선순위 평가 방법론을 분석해 현재 가용한 정보의 범위에서 기후변화의 특수성을 반영해 적용 가능한 우선순위 평가 방법론을 제안하는 것이다. 우선순위 결정을 위한 의사결정 방법론은 다기준 분석 등의 정성적 분석법과 비용편익 분석 등의 정량적 평가 방법론이 있다. 각 방법론별로 서로 장점과 단점이 있으며 필요 자료의 수준도 상이하다. 정책평가를 위한 지표는 정책의 효율성, 경제성, 정치성 등을 평가하는 많은 지표가 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 일반 정책평가 지표와 기후변화의 특수성을 고려해 기후변화 적응대책의 우선순위 평가 지표로 크게 기후변화 위험성, 정책성, 효율성을 선정하였다. 기후변화 위험성의 세부 지표로는 피해발생시점, 피해발생 가능성, 피해 강도가 포함되며, 효율성으로는 경제적 효율성, 부수효과, 파급효과로 대표될 수 있다. 정책성의 평가 지표는 형평성, 기존 정책과의 부합성, 민주성으로 구성된다.

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기후변화에 따른 공공기관 건축물의 리스크평가 (Risk Assessment of Public Agencies' Buildings due to Climate Change)

  • 최윤철
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제33권12호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2017
  • Climate change not only has various impacts such as human shoes, economics, the environment, industry, etc. but the damage caused by this is also increasing, it is expected that severe damage will not occur without efforts to respond to climate change ing. Therefore, as the impact of climate change like the extreme weather phenomenon is dailyized and its strength tends to become stronger, as much as the mitigation measures of climate change, as a comparative effort to reduce the negative impact of climate change, adaptation to climate change is necessary. Especially when the damage caused by climate change (intense heat, torrential rain, cold wave and heavy snow etc.) as an institution responsible for the provision of public services such as public institutions, the socio-economic spread to the nation and the people The effect is very large. We confirmed the level of response to climate change for the entire public institution, and selected climate change risk which is relatively important for specific facilities and business establishments of public institutions, climate change adaptation measures We will try to utilize it as basic material of establishment.

동부 르완다 쌀 농업인의 기후변화에 대한 적응 방법 결정 요인 (Determinant Factors of Rice Farmers' Selection of Adaptation Methods to Climate Change in Eastern Rwanda)

  • 부테라 토니;김태균;최세현
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2022
  • The negative impact of climate change on the agricultural sector is rapidly increasing, and it is urgent to prepare policies at the government level to mitigate it. In the case of Rwanda's agricultural sector, which lacks the government's budget and farmers' capital, efficient and effective policy implementation is of paramount importance. To this end, rather than establishing related policies in the public sector from the top down, it is necessary to establish a bottom-up customized policy that is reflected in policy establishment by identifying the characteristics and behaviors of farmers who actually participate in adaptation activities. In this study, the effects of farmers' characteristics and farmers' perception status/adaptation status to climate change on the selection of adaptation methods for climate change were analyzed. 357 rice farmers randomly selected from Eastern Rwanda were surveyed to explore the information related to farmers' perception to climate change and adaptation methods as well as basic information of the farm. Research shows that the probability of selecting a variety of adaptation methods rather than not responding to climate change increases the younger the age, the higher the education level, and the easier access to climate information and credit. As a policy proposals, it is judged that public support such as strengthening agricultural technology support services, including more detailed guidance for elderly and low-educated farmers, and improving access to farm loan services by agricultural financial institutions is needed. In addition, it is necessary to adjust the planting time and cultivation method, provide timely information related to climate change, and provide crop variety improvement services to farmers.

수자원 분야 기후정책의 평가시스템에 관한 연구: 충청남도 기후변화적응대책 세부시행계획을 중심으로 (A study on the evaluation system of climate policy measures in the water resource sector: A case study of Chungcheongnam-do's climate change adaptation implementation plan)

  • 박훈;조아라;최동진
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.421-428
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    • 2019
  • This study developed an evaluation system of adaptation countermeasures for climate change in the water resources sector using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and the assessment procedures were applied to the Second Chungcheongnam-do Climate Change Adaptation Implementation Plan (Chungnam Implementation Plan). Firstly, the evaluation criteria are composed of two levels according to the hierarchical structure, and AHP gives priority to 4 evaluation criteria of the first level and 16 alternative indicators of the second level. Secondly, after the importance of the evaluation criteria or indicators has been determined, the significance of each measure was evaluated by applying it to the water-sector measures of the Chungnam Implementation Plan, and the effectiveness of the evaluation system was validated. The Chungnam case study shows that the evaluation system will be more effective and efficient when it is applied during development phase rather than after the implementation plan is finalized. It is also expected that the evaluation system will be used to evaluate and prioritize climate change adaptation policies in other regions, and then to compare the means of adaptation to climate change in various regions and to select recommendation policies.

기초 및 광역지자체 기후변화 취약성 평가를 위한 웹기반 지원 도구(VESTAP) 개발 (Development of Web-Based Supporting Tool (VESTAP) for Climate Change Vulnerability Assesment in Lower and Municipal-Level Local Governments)

  • 오관영;이명진;한도은
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • 기후변화는 환경 분야에서 가장 주목받는 화두이며, 인류에게 직면한 가장 도적적인 과제이다. 이러한 문제를 해결하는 방법은 다양하지만, 우리나라의 경우 국가 차원의 1~2차 국가기후변화 적응대책을 수립하고, 각 광역 및 기초 지자체의 기후변화 적응 시행대책 수립을 의무화하고 있다. 기후변화 취약성 평가는 기후변화 적응 시행대책을 수립함에 있어 필수적인 역할을 담당한다. 그러나 취약성 평가는 다양한 영향인자의 복합적 연산을 통해 도출됨으로 개별적인 평가를 수행하기에는 어려움이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기초 및 광역 지자체 차원에서 활용 가능한 웹기반 기후변화 취약성 평가 지원도구(VESTAP)를 개발하였다. VESTAP은 크게 지표 DB와 취약성 평가 및 표출 도구로 구성되어 있다. 지표 DB는 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5와 8.5로 모의된 총 455개의 미래 기후자료, 대기 환경자료, 기타 인문사회통계 자료와 그에 따른 메타데이터 정보를 포함한다. 표출 도구는 각 취약성 평가의 결과에 대한 공간분포, 편향성, 도표화 등 다양한 분석 기능을 제공함으로써 편의성을 극대화 하였다. VESTAP를 활용하여 세종특별자치시에 대한 미세먼지에 의한 건강 취약성 평가를 시범적으로 수행하였으며, 부강면이 상대적으로 취약성이 가장 높은 수치를 나타냈다. 개발된 도구를 활용하여 각 지자체는 보다 쉽고, 편리하게, 그리고 과학적 증거에 기반한 기후변화 적응 시행대책을 수립할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

유목문화 기후변화 적응의 역동성과 그 함의 (Dynamic Climate Change Adaptation in Nomadic Lifestyle and its Implications)

  • 최충익
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2013
  • 중앙아시아지역의 기후변화적응 이슈를 유목문화의 역동성 측면에서 접근하고 있으며 이를 통해 중앙아시아 지역의 기후변화특성에 적응하는 개도국 기후변화 정책수립 이슈를 다루고 있다. 건조하면서도 혹한과 혹서가 반복되는 중앙아시아 지역의 기후특성은 지구촌 어떤 곳보다 기후변화로 인해 심각한 영향을 받고 있다는 문제의식에서 출발하고 있다. 기후변화 영향에 적응하는 유목문화적 역동성(dynamics) 요소를 수자원(water resource), 가축(livestock), 초원(pastureland)을 중심으로 살펴보고 있으며 유목민의 문화적, 기후적 특성에 기초한 적응정책을 탐색하고 있다. 아울러 기후변화 영향 및 적응에 있어서 중앙아시아 지역의 유목문화적 특성이 갖는 이중적 의미로, 오랜 기간 잦은 이동과 새로운 환경에 적응해온 유목민들의 라이프 스타일이 기후변화에 있어서도 우수한 적응 잠재 능력을 발휘할 수 있음에도 주목하고 있다.

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