• 제목/요약/키워드: circular-circular regression

검색결과 75건 처리시간 0.022초

순환확률분포를 이용한 교통량 결측자료 보정 모형 (Modelling Missing Traffic Volume Data using Circular Probability Distribution)

  • 김현석;임강원;이영인;남두희
    • 대한교통학회지
    • /
    • 제25권4호
    • /
    • pp.109-121
    • /
    • 2007
  • 자료결측의 심각성은 현실적으로 거의 대부분의 조사에서 발생한다. 비단 교통분야뿐만 아니라 인문사회 분야나 기상학, 생물학, 지구과학 등 모든 분야에서 인력식이든 기계식이든 조사 방식에 관계없이 발생한다. 교통자료 수집장비에서의 자료결측의 발생은 현실적으로 불가피한 현상으로 볼 수 있으며, 이와 같은 자료 수집과정에서 발생하는 결측을 신뢰성있게 추정하여 보정하였던 선행연구의 대부분은 교통량 자료의 결측값 보정시 통계적 검증없이 시간적인 임의의 종속성만 고려함으로서, 보정 성능이 떨어지는 단점을 노출하고 있다. 이들 연구에서 적용했던 기법들 또한, 교통량 자료가 가지고 있는 가장 큰 특징인 주기적 순환성(periodic circularity)이 제대로 반영되지 못함으로서 적용상 한계를 노출하고 있다. 본 연구는 현실적으로 거의 대부분의 조사과정에서 발생하는 자료결측의 심각성에 대한 인식을 토대로 대안으로 순환분포모형을 제안하였다. 이러한 자료결측 현상에 대응하고자 하였던 기존의 ad-hoc 또는 heuristic 보정 기법과 모형 기반 및 알고리즘 기반의 보정 기법에 관한 선행 연구의 고찰을 통하여 이들 기법들의 한계점을 확인하였다.

국내 4지 원형교차로 법규위반별 사고모형 개발 (Development of Accident Model by Traffic Violation Type in Korea 4-legged Circular Intersections)

  • 박병호;김경용
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제30권2호
    • /
    • pp.70-76
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study deals with the traffic accident of circular intersections. The purpose of the study is to develop the accident models by traffic violation type. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attention to analyzing various factors that influence traffic accident and developing such the optimal models as Poisson and Negative binomial regression models. The main results are the followings. First, 4 negative binomial models which were statistically significant were developed. This was because the over-dispersion coefficients had a value greater than 1.96. Second, the common variables in these models were not adopted. The specific variables by model were analyzed to be traffic volume, conflicting ratio, number of circulatory lane, width of circulatory lane, number of traffic island by access road, number of reduction facility, feature of central island and crosswalk.

철근콘크리트 기둥에서 원형전단철근의 유효전단강도 (Effective Shear Strength of Circular Transverse Reinforcement in Reinforced Concrete Columns)

  • 하태훈;홍성걸
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국콘크리트학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.271-276
    • /
    • 2002
  • Existing design equations generally overestimate the shear strength of the circular transverse reinforcement. This is due to the simplification of the discrete distribution of the reinforcement to the continuous one and the inappropriate application of the classical truss model to the circular section, which is different in shear-resisting component from the rectangular section. The present study introduces a new model considering the starting point of the diagonal crack, the number of transverse reinforcing bars crossing the crack and the effective strength component of the transverse resistance. This model leads to a simple design equation which is derived using the linear regression method and is in agreement with the lower bound of exact strength curve.

  • PDF

토지이용과 차종에 근거한 원형교차로 사고분석 및 논의 (Accident Analysis and Discussion of Circular Intersections based on Land Use and Vehicle Type)

  • 이민영;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.75-85
    • /
    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : This study aimed to analyze traffic accidents at circular intersections, and discuss accident reduction strategies based on land use and vehicle type. METHODS : Traffic accident data from 2010 to 2014 were collected from the "traffic accident analysis system" (TAAS) data set of the Road Traffic Authority. To develop the accident rate model, a multiple linear regression model was used. Explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume were used to develop the models. RESULTS : The main results of the study are as follows. First, it was found that the null hypotheses that land use and vehicle type do not affect the accident rate should be rejected. Second, 16 accident rate models, which are statistically significant (with high $R^2$ values), were developed. Finally, the area of the central island, number of speed humps, entry lane width, circulatory roadway width, bus stops, and pedestrian crossings were analyzed to determine their effect on accidents according to the type of land use and vehicle. CONCLUSIONS : Through the developed accident rate models, it was revealed that the accident factors at circular intersections changed depending on land use and vehicle type. Thus, selecting the appropriate location of bus stops for trucks, widening entry lanes for cars, and installing splitter islands and optimal lighting for motorcycles were determined to be important for reducing the accident rate. Additionally, the evaluation showed that commercial and mixed land use had a weaker effect on accidents than residential land use.

Prediction of ultimate load capacity of concrete-filled steel tube columns using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS)

  • Avci-Karatas, Cigdem
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • 제33권4호
    • /
    • pp.583-594
    • /
    • 2019
  • In the areas highly exposed to earthquakes, concrete-filled steel tube columns (CFSTCs) are known to provide superior structural aspects such as (i) high strength for good seismic performance (ii) high ductility (iii) enhanced energy absorption (iv) confining pressure to concrete, (v) high section modulus, etc. Numerous studies were reported on behavior of CFSTCs under axial compression loadings. This paper presents an analytical model to predict ultimate load capacity of CFSTCs with circular sections under axial load by using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). MARS is a nonlinear and non-parametric regression methodology. After careful study of literature, 150 comprehensive experimental data presented in the previous studies were examined to prepare a data set and the dependent variables such as geometrical and mechanical properties of circular CFST system have been identified. Basically, MARS model establishes a relation between predictors and dependent variables. Separate regression lines can be formed through the concept of divide and conquers strategy. About 70% of the consolidated data has been used for development of model and the rest of the data has been used for validation of the model. Proper care has been taken such that the input data consists of all ranges of variables. From the studies, it is noted that the predicted ultimate axial load capacity of CFSTCs is found to match with the corresponding experimental observations of literature.

철근콘크리트 기둥에서 원형전단철근에 의한 전단강도 산정 (Evaluation of the Shear Strength Component by Circular Transverse Reinforcement in Reinforced Concrete Columns)

  • 하태훈;홍성걸
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
    • /
    • 제14권6호
    • /
    • pp.982-988
    • /
    • 2002
  • 철근콘크리트 기둥에서 원형 전단철근에 의한 전단강도 성분을 산정하는 기존의 기준식들은 일반적으로 그 강도를 과대평가하는 경향이 있다. 그 이유는 불연속분포로 이루어진 철근의 배근을 단순한 연속분포로 가정하는 데에서 기인하며, 또 다른 한편으로는 단면이 직사각형인 부재에 사용되는 설계식을 원형 단면에 그대로 적용함으로써 발생한다. 전단철근은 부재에 대각선균열이 발생하면서 그 역할이 시작된다고 할 수 있는데, 원형 단면은 직사각형 단면과는 달리 균열을 가로지르는 지점에 따라 전단력에 저항하는 성분이 달라지기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 원형 전단철근에 대하여 대각선 균열의 시작점과 그 균열을 가로지르는 전단철근의 개수, 그리고 원형단면 상에서의 저항성분의 변화를 고려한 새로운 강도모델을 제안하고자 하였다. 제안된 모델의 수학적인 해석에 따르면 균열을 가로지르는 철근의 개수가 적을수록 균열의 시작점 및 균열의 수직투영거리가 철근의 배근 간격과 이루는 배율이 철근의 전단저항에 미치는 영향이 크다는 사실을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과로 도출된 불연속 모델을 설계에 이용될 수 있는 식으로 단순화시키기 위해 선형회귀법이 이용되었으며, 이렇게 유도된 설계방정식은 수학적 정해의 하한계 값에 부합하는 결과를 가져왔다.

Simplified stress-strain model for circular steel tube confined UHPC and UHPFRC columns

  • Le, An H.;Ekkehard, Fehling;Thai, Duc-Kien;Nguyen, Chau V.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.125-138
    • /
    • 2018
  • The research on the confinement behavior of ultra high performance concrete without and with the use of steel fibers (UHPC and UHPFRC) has been extremely limited. In previous studies, authors experimentally investigated the axially compressive behavior of circular steel tube confined concrete (STCC) short and intermediate columns with the employment of UHPC and UHPFRC. Under loading on only the concrete core, the confinement effect induced by the steel tube was shown to significantly enhance the utimate stress and its corresponding strain of the concrete core. Therefore, this paper develops a simplified stress - strain model for circular STCC columns using UHPC and UHPFRC with compressive strength ranging between 150 MPa and 200 MPa. Based on the regression analysis of previous test results, formulae for predicting peak confined stress and its corresponding strain are proposed. These proposed formulae are subsequently compared against some previous empirical formulae available in the literature to assess their accuracy. Finally, the simplified stress - strain model is verified by comparison with the test results.

Numerical analysis of circular steel tube confined UHPC stub columns

  • Hoang, An Le;Fehlinga, Ekkehard
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.263-273
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, a finite element model (FEM) in ATENA-3D software was constructed to investigate the behavior of circular ultra high performance concrete (UHPC) filled steel tube stub columns (UHPC-FSTCs) under concentric loading on concrete core. The "CC3DNonLinCementitious2User" material type for concrete in ATENA-3D software with some modifications of material laws, was adopted to model for UHPC core with consideration the confinement effect. The experimental results obtained from Schneider (2006) were then employed to verify the accuracy of FEM. Extensive parametric analysis was also conducted to examine the influence of concrete compressive strength, steel tube thickness and steel yield strength on the compressive behavior of short circular UHPC-FSTCs. It can be observed that the columns with thicker steel tube show better strength and ductility, the sudden drop of load after initial peak load can be prevented. Based on the regression analysis of the results from parametric study, simplified formulae for predicting ultimate loads and strains were proposed and verified by comparing with previous analytical models, design codes and experimental results.

Experimental shear strength evaluation of perfobond shear connector with various hole shapes

  • Zheng, Shuangjie;Zhao, Chen;Liu, Yuqing
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제67권2호
    • /
    • pp.131-142
    • /
    • 2018
  • The perfobond connector, composed of a steel plate with a number of holes, serves as a certain type of shear connector in steel and concrete composite structures. Depending on limits in hole distances and rib heights, various hole shapes including circular-hole and long-hole are alternatives for perfobond connectors. This study presented the results of tests performed on 72 push-out specimens with perfobond connectors. The purpose was to evaluate the shear strength of perfobond connectors with circular-hole and long-hole. The effects of various parameters were investigated, including the hole diameter, the hole length, the hole height, the concrete strength, the existence, diameter and strength of rebar in the hole, the thickness, height and distance of perfobond ribs, and the thickness of concrete slabs. On the basis of 132 push-out test results in references and in this study, an analytical model was proposed by regression analysis to predict the shear strength of perfobond connectors. The proposed equation agreed reasonably well with the experimental results of perfobond connectors with different hole shapes.

Esophagojejunal Anastomosis after Laparoscopic Total Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer: Circular versus Linear Stapling

  • Park, Ki Bum;Kim, Eun Young;Song, Kyo Young
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.344-354
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: No standard technique has been established for esophagojejunal anastomosis during laparoscopic total gastrectomy (LTG) for gastric cancer owing to the technical difficulty and high complication rate of this procedure. This study was performed to compare the short-term outcomes of circular and linear stapling methods after LTG. Materials and Methods: A total of 106 patients treated between July 2010 and July 2018 were divided into 2 groups according to the following anastomosis procedures: hemi-double-stapling technique (HDST; circular stapling method; group C, n=77) or overlap method (linear stapling method; group L, n= 29). The clinicopathological features and postoperative outcomes, including complications, were analyzed. Multivariate analysis was performed using a logistic regression model to identify the independent risk factors for anastomotic complications. Results: The incidence of anastomotic complications was significantly higher in group C than in group L (28.0% vs. 6.9%, P=0.031). The incidence of anastomosis leakage did not differ between the groups (6.5% vs. 6.9%, P=1.000). However, anastomosis stricture occurred only in group C (13% vs. 0%, P=0.018). Multivariate analysis showed that the anastomosis type was significantly related to the risk of anastomotic complications (P=0.045). Conclusions: The overlap method was superior to the HDST with respect to anastomotic complications, especially anastomosis stricture.