• Title/Summary/Keyword: change-point estimation

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Estimation of Change Point in Process State on CUSUM ($\bar{x}$, s) Control Chart

  • Takemoto, Yasuhiko;Arizono, Ikuo
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2009
  • Control charts are used to distinguish between chance and assignable causes in the variability of quality characteristics. When a control chart signals that an assignable cause is present, process engineers must initiate a search for the assignable cause of the process disturbance. Identifying the time of a process change could lead to simplifying the search for the assignable cause and less process down time, as well as help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the assignable cause. The change point estimation by likelihood theory and the built-in change point estimation in a control chart have been discussed until now. In this article, we discuss two kinds of process change point estimation when the CUSUM ($\bar{x}$, s) control chart for monitoring process mean and variance simultaneously is operated. Throughout some numerical experiments about the performance of the change point estimation, the change point estimation techniques in the CUSUM ($\bar{x}$, s) control chart are considered.

Multiple Structural Change-Point Estimation in Linear Regression Models

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in linear regression models. The proposed procedure relies on the local estimation for global change-point estimation. We propose a multiple change-point estimator based on the local least squares estimators for the regression coefficients and the split measure when the number of change-points is unknown. Its statistical properties are shown and its performance is assessed by simulations and real data applications.

NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF THE VARIANCE FUNCTION WITH A CHANGE POINT

  • Kang Kee-Hoon;Huh Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2006
  • In this paper we consider an estimation of the discontinuous variance function in nonparametric heteroscedastic random design regression model. We first propose estimators of the change point in the variance function and then construct an estimator of the entire variance function. We examine the rates of convergence of these estimators and give results for their asymptotics. Numerical work reveals that using the proposed change point analysis in the variance function estimation is quite effective.

Change-point Estimation with Loess of Means

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.349-357
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    • 2005
  • We suggest a functional technique with loess smoothing for estimating the change-point when there is one change-point in the mean model. The proposed change-point estimator is consistent. Simulation study shows a good performance of the proposed change-point estimator in comparison with other parametric or nonparametric change-point estimators.

Change-Point Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Regions in Weibull Distribution

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-370
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    • 1999
  • We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

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Test and Estimation for Normal Mean Change

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Ryu, Jong-Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.607-619
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    • 2006
  • We consider the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point when the data are from the normal distribution. A change-point estimator using the likelihood ratio test statistic, Gombay and Horvath (1990) test statistic, and nonparametric change-point estimator using Carlstein (1988) empirical distribution are studied when there exists one change-point in the mean. A power study is done to compare the change test statistics. And a comparison study of change-point estimators for estimation capability is done via simulations with S-plus software.

Multiple change-point estimation in spectral representation

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.127-150
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    • 2022
  • We discuss multiple change-point estimation as edge detection in piecewise smooth functions with finitely many jump discontinuities. In this paper we propose change-point estimators using concentration kernels with Fourier coefficients. The change-points can be located via the signal based on Fourier transformation system. This method yields location and amplitude of the change-points with refinement via concentration kernels. We prove that, in an appropriate asymptotic framework, this method provides consistent estimators of change-points with an almost optimal rate. In a simulation study the proposed change-point estimators are compared and discussed. Applications of the proposed methods are provided with Nile flow data and daily won-dollar exchange rate data.

Comparison of Change-point Estimators with Scores

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Seo, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating the change-point in mean change model with the one change-point. Lombard (1987) suggested change-point estimation based on score functions. Gombay and Huskova (1998) derived a class of change-point estimators with the score function of rank. Various change-point estimators with the log score functions of ranks are suggested and compared via simulation.

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Nonparametric Estimation of Discontinuous Variance Function in Regression Model

  • Kang, Kee-Hoon;Huh, Jib
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2002
  • We consider an estimation of discontinuous variance function in nonparametric heteroscedastic random design regression model. We first propose estimators of a change point and jump size in variance function and then construct an estimator of entire variance function. We examine the rates of convergence of these estimators and give results on their asymptotics. Numerical work reveals that the effectiveness of change point analysis in variance function estimation is quite significant.

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CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATION WITH SAMPLE FOURIER COEFFICIENTS

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we propose a change-point estimator with left and right regressions using the sample Fourier coefficients on the orthonormal bases. The asymptotic properties of the proposed change-point estimator are established. The limiting distribution and the consistency of the estimator are derived.

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