• Title/Summary/Keyword: change-point

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Comparison of Change-point Estimators in Hazard Rate Models

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2002
  • When there is one change-point in the hazard rate model, a change-point estimator with the partial score process is suggested and compared with the previously developed estimators. The limiting distribution of the partial score process we used is a function of the Brownian bridge. Simulation study gives the comparison of change-point estimators.

A Detection Procedure of a Parameter Change Point in AR(1) Models by Bayesian Approach

  • Ryu, Gui Yeol;Lee, Yong Gun;Cho, Sinsup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 1989
  • We investigate a procedure which detects the parameter change point in AR(1) by Bayesian Approach using Jeffrey prior, for example, coefficient change point, variance change point, coefficient and variance change point, etc. And we apply our procedure to the simulated data.

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Using Change-Point Detection Tests to detect the Korea Economic Crisis of 1997

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2004
  • In this study, we use various change-point detection methods to detects Korea economic crisis of 1997, and then compares their performance. In change-point detection method, there are three major categories: (1) the parametric approach, (2) the nonparametric approach, and (3) the model-based approach. Through the application to Korea foreign exchange rate during her economic crisis, we compare the employed change-point detection methods and, furthermore, determine which of them performs better.

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Comparing Change-Point Detection Methods to Detect the Korea Economic Crisis of 1997

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.585-592
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    • 2004
  • This study detects Korea economic crisis of 1997 using various change-point detection methods and then compares their performance. In change-point detection method, there are three major categories: (1) the parametric approach, (2) the nonparametric approach, and (3) the model-based approach. Through the application to Korea foreign exchange rate during her economic crisis, we compare the employed change-point detection methods and, furthermore, determine which of them performs better.

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CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATION WITH SAMPLE FOURIER COEFFICIENTS

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we propose a change-point estimator with left and right regressions using the sample Fourier coefficients on the orthonormal bases. The asymptotic properties of the proposed change-point estimator are established. The limiting distribution and the consistency of the estimator are derived.

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Bayesian Change Point Analysis for a Sequence of Normal Observations: Application to the Winter Average Temperature in Seoul (정규확률변수 관측치열에 대한 베이지안 변화점 분석 : 서울지역 겨울철 평균기온 자료에의 적용)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.281-301
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we consider the change point problem in a sequence of univariate normal observations. We want to know whether there is any change point or not. In case a change point exists, we will identify its change type. Namely, it can be a mean change, a variance change, or both the mean and variance change. The intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998) are used to find the type of optimal change model. The Gibbs sampling including the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is used to estimate all the parameters in the change model. These methods are checked via simulation and applied to the winter average temperature data in Seoul.

Multiple Structural Change-Point Estimation in Linear Regression Models

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in linear regression models. The proposed procedure relies on the local estimation for global change-point estimation. We propose a multiple change-point estimator based on the local least squares estimators for the regression coefficients and the split measure when the number of change-points is unknown. Its statistical properties are shown and its performance is assessed by simulations and real data applications.

A Nonparametric Bootstrap Test and Estimation for Change

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.443-457
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point using nonparametric bootstrap technique. A test statistic using Gombay and Horvath (1990)'s functional form is applied to derive a test statistic and nonparametric change-point estimator with bootstrapping idea. Achieved significance level of the test is calculated for the proposed test to show the evidence against the null hypothesis. MSE and percentiles of the bootstrap change-point estimators are given to show the distribution of the proposed estimator in simulation.

Change-point Estimators Using Rank Average in Location Change Model

  • Kim, Jeahee;Jang, Heeyoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 1999
  • This paper deals with the problem of change-point estimation where there is one level change in location with iid errors. A change-point estimator using rank average is proposed with the proof of its consistency. A comparison study of various change-point estimators is done by simulation on the mean the proportion and the variance when the errors are from the normal and the double exponential distributions.

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Nonparametric Change-point Estimation with Rank and Mean Functions in a Location Parameter Change Model (위치모수 변화 모형에서 순위함수와 평균함수를 이용한 비모수적 변화점 추정)

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Lee, Kyoung-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2000
  • This article suggests two change-point estimators which are modifications of Carlstein(1988) change-point estimators with rank functions and mean functions where there is one change-point in a mean function. A comparison study of Carlstein(1988) estimators and proposed estimators is done by simulation on the mean, the MSE, and the proportion of matching true change-point.

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