• 제목/요약/키워드: change point

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Comparison of Change-point Estimators in Hazard Rate Models

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2002
  • When there is one change-point in the hazard rate model, a change-point estimator with the partial score process is suggested and compared with the previously developed estimators. The limiting distribution of the partial score process we used is a function of the Brownian bridge. Simulation study gives the comparison of change-point estimators.

A Detection Procedure of a Parameter Change Point in AR(1) Models by Bayesian Approach

  • Ryu, Gui Yeol;Lee, Yong Gun;Cho, Sinsup
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 1989
  • We investigate a procedure which detects the parameter change point in AR(1) by Bayesian Approach using Jeffrey prior, for example, coefficient change point, variance change point, coefficient and variance change point, etc. And we apply our procedure to the simulated data.

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Using Change-Point Detection Tests to detect the Korea Economic Crisis of 1997

  • 오경주
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2004
  • In this study, we use various change-point detection methods to detects Korea economic crisis of 1997, and then compares their performance. In change-point detection method, there are three major categories: (1) the parametric approach, (2) the nonparametric approach, and (3) the model-based approach. Through the application to Korea foreign exchange rate during her economic crisis, we compare the employed change-point detection methods and, furthermore, determine which of them performs better.

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Comparing Change-Point Detection Methods to Detect the Korea Economic Crisis of 1997

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.585-592
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    • 2004
  • This study detects Korea economic crisis of 1997 using various change-point detection methods and then compares their performance. In change-point detection method, there are three major categories: (1) the parametric approach, (2) the nonparametric approach, and (3) the model-based approach. Through the application to Korea foreign exchange rate during her economic crisis, we compare the employed change-point detection methods and, furthermore, determine which of them performs better.

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CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATION WITH SAMPLE FOURIER COEFFICIENTS

  • 김재희
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we propose a change-point estimator with left and right regressions using the sample Fourier coefficients on the orthonormal bases. The asymptotic properties of the proposed change-point estimator are established. The limiting distribution and the consistency of the estimator are derived.

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정규확률변수 관측치열에 대한 베이지안 변화점 분석 : 서울지역 겨울철 평균기온 자료에의 적용 (Bayesian Change Point Analysis for a Sequence of Normal Observations: Application to the Winter Average Temperature in Seoul)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.281-301
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문에서는 일변량 정규분포를 따르는 확률변수의 관측치열에 대한 변화점 문제(change point problem)를 고찰한다. 변화점의 존재유무, 그리고 만일 변화점이 존재한다면 어떠한 유형으로 발생했는지 즉, 변화점 발생 이후로 평균만 변화, 분산만 변화, 또는 평균과 분산 모두가 변화했는지를 밝힌다. 가능한 여러 유형의 변화모형들 가운데 최적의 모형을 선택하기 위해 베이지안 모형선택 기법을 이용하고, 선택된 모형에 내재된 모수를 추정 하기 위해 메트로폴리스-혜스팅스 알고리 즘을 포함한 깁스샘플링 을 이용한다. 이러한 방법론은 모의실험을 통해 검토되고, 또한 서울지역의 겨울철 평균기온 자료에 적용된다.

Multiple Structural Change-Point Estimation in Linear Regression Models

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in linear regression models. The proposed procedure relies on the local estimation for global change-point estimation. We propose a multiple change-point estimator based on the local least squares estimators for the regression coefficients and the split measure when the number of change-points is unknown. Its statistical properties are shown and its performance is assessed by simulations and real data applications.

A Nonparametric Bootstrap Test and Estimation for Change

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.443-457
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point using nonparametric bootstrap technique. A test statistic using Gombay and Horvath (1990)'s functional form is applied to derive a test statistic and nonparametric change-point estimator with bootstrapping idea. Achieved significance level of the test is calculated for the proposed test to show the evidence against the null hypothesis. MSE and percentiles of the bootstrap change-point estimators are given to show the distribution of the proposed estimator in simulation.

Change-point Estimators Using Rank Average in Location Change Model

  • Kim, Jeahee;Jang, Heeyoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 1999
  • This paper deals with the problem of change-point estimation where there is one level change in location with iid errors. A change-point estimator using rank average is proposed with the proof of its consistency. A comparison study of various change-point estimators is done by simulation on the mean the proportion and the variance when the errors are from the normal and the double exponential distributions.

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위치모수 변화 모형에서 순위함수와 평균함수를 이용한 비모수적 변화점 추정 (Nonparametric Change-point Estimation with Rank and Mean Functions in a Location Parameter Change Model)

  • 김재희;이경원
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2000
  • 위치 모수에 대해 1개의 변화점이 있는 경우 Carlstein(1988)의 변화점 추정량을 순위함수와 평균함수를 이용하여 변형시킨 변화점 추정통계량을 제안하였다. 모의 실험을 통해 Carlstein(1988) 변화점 추정량과 제안하는 변화점 추정량의 평균, 평균제곱오차와 변화점 추정비율을 계산하여 비교하였다.

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