• Title/Summary/Keyword: change

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Measuring the Impact of Change Orders on Project Performances by Building Type

  • Juarez, Marcus;Kim, Joseph J.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 2022
  • The project performances can be measured in terms of meeting the project schedule, budget, and conformance to functional and technical specifications. Numerous studies have been conducted to examine the causes and effects of change orders for both vertical and horizontal construction, respectively. However, these studies mainly focus on a single project type, so this paper examines the impact of change order for cost growth and schedule overruns using four different building types to close the gap in the change order research area. A total of 211 building projects are collected from four building types: healthcare, residential, office, and education. Statistical analyses using ANOVA tests and linear regression models are used to examine the created metric $CO/day on the cost and schedule impacts. The results found that mean $CO/day values were not statistically different among building types, and that the sum of change orders is a statistically significant predictor of $CO/day. The results will help project stakeholders mitigate the negative change orders effects can be a challenge for project managers and researchers alike.

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Did Fluvial Terrace of Mountain Streams in Korea Form in Each Glacial Stage? (우리나라 산지 하천의 하안단구는 매 빙기마다 형성되었는가?)

  • Lee, Gwang-Ryul
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2019
  • This study summarizes domestic and foreign previous works on fluvial terrace with absolute ages to discuss formative process of climatic terrace in Korea. Different from traditional climatic terrace model, approximately three quarters from foreign works have argued that formation of climatic terrace can be attributed to medium- and short-term climatic change or other environmental factors, rather than long-term climatic change of glacial and interglacial cycles. Based on previous works on fluvial terrace in Korea, it can be suggested that fluvial terrace in Korea formed not due to long-term climatic change of 100,000-year cycles related to glacial and interglacial cycles, but due to medium- and short-term climatic change or climatic event of tens of thousands of years related to intensity change in summer monsoon, one of the important factors affecting precipitation in Korea.

A Pragmatic Framework for Predicting Change Prone Files Using Machine Learning Techniques with Java-based Software

  • Loveleen Kaur;Ashutosh Mishra
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.457-496
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to extensively analyze the performance of various Machine Learning (ML) techniques for predicting version to version change-proneness of source code Java files. 17 object-oriented metrics have been utilized in this work for predicting change-prone files using 31 ML techniques and the framework proposed has been implemented on various consecutive releases of two Java-based software projects available as plug-ins. 10-fold and inter-release validation methods have been employed to validate the models and statistical tests provide supplementary information regarding the reliability and significance of the results. The results of experiments conducted in this article indicate that the ML techniques perform differently under the different validation settings. The results also confirm the proficiency of the selected ML techniques in lieu of developing change-proneness prediction models which could aid the software engineers in the initial stages of software development for classifying change-prone Java files of a software, in turn aiding in the trend estimation of change-proneness over future versions.

Coffee Production and Coffee Berry Borer (Hypothenemus hampei) Condition in Indonesia Related to Climate Change Effect

  • Tio Paragon Ritonga;Ohseok Kwon
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2024
  • Effect of climate change on the agricultural sector has been predicted and studied, including its effects on coffee cultivation. Climate change can directly impact coffee production or indirectly influence it through its effects on coffee pests. In Indonesia, coffee is a critical export commodity. Climate change can have a large effect on many farmers if it is not addressed appropriately. This study summarizes several studies and data on how climate change affects coffee production and the coffee berry borer (CBB; Hypothenemus hampei) pest in Indonesia. Adaptation plans that can be employed to mitigate impacts of climate change are also summarized.

Assessing Impacts of Temperature and Carbon Dioxide Based on A1B Climate Change Scenario on Potential Yield of Winter Covered Barley in Korea (A1B 기후변화시나리오에 따른 미래 겉보리 잠재생산성 변화 예측)

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Lee, Deog Bae;Min, Seong Hyeon;Kim, Gun Yeob;Jeong, Hyun Cheol;Lee, Seul Bi;Kang, Ki Keong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.317-331
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    • 2011
  • The CERES-Barley crop simulation model of DSSAT package was used to assess the impacts of climate change on potential yield of winter covered barley in Korea. 56 sites over the southern part of Korean peninsula were selected to compare the climate change impacts in various climatic conditions. The climatological normals (1971~2000) and the three future climatological normals (2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100), based on A1B climate change scenarios of Korea, were used in this study, and the three future climatological normals were simulated under three environmental conditions, where only temperature change, only carbon dioxide change, and both of temperature and carbon dioxide change with future A1B climate change scenarios, respectively. Results: The CERES-Barley model was suitable for predicting climate change impacts on the potential yield of winter covered barley, because of the agreement between observed and simulated outcomes (e.g., the coefficient of determination of grain yield equals 0.84). (1) The only increased temperature effect with the climate change scenarios was mostly negative to the potential yield of winter covered barley and its magnitude ranges from -21% to +1% for the three future normals. (2) The effect of the only elevated carbon dioxide on the potential yield of winter covered barley was positive and its magnitude ranged from 12% to 43% for the three future normals. (3) For increased temperature and elevated carbon dioxide change cases, potential yields increased by 13%, 21%, 19% increase for the 2011~2040, 2041~2070, 2071~2100 normals, respectively.

Tests for Mean Change with the Modified Cusum Statistics

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Na-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2003
  • We deal with the problem of testing a sequence of independent normal random variables with constant, known or unknown, variance for no change in mean versus alternatives with a single change-point. Various tests based on the likelihood ratio and recursive residuals, score statistics and cusums are studied. Proposed tests are modified version of Buckley's cusum statistics. A comparison study of various change-point test statistics is done by Monte Carlo simulation with S-plus software.

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Comparison of Change-point Estimators in Hazard Rate Models

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2002
  • When there is one change-point in the hazard rate model, a change-point estimator with the partial score process is suggested and compared with the previously developed estimators. The limiting distribution of the partial score process we used is a function of the Brownian bridge. Simulation study gives the comparison of change-point estimators.

Estimation of the Number of Change-Points with Local Linear Fit

  • Kim, Jong-Tae;Choi, Hey-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2002
  • The aim of this paper is to consider of detecting the location, the jump size and the number of change-points in regression functions by using the local linear fit which is one of nonparametric regression techniques. It is obtained the asymptotic properties of the change points and the jump sizes. and the correspondin grates of convergence for change-point estimators.

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Combination of Schwarz Information Criteria for Change-Point Analysis

  • Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest a method for detecting the linear regression change-points or variance change-points in regression model by the combination of Schwarz information criteria. The advantage of the suggested method is to detect change-points more detailed when one compares the suggest method with Chen (1998)'s method.

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A Detection Procedure of a Parameter Change Point in AR(1) Models by Bayesian Approach

  • Ryu, Gui Yeol;Lee, Yong Gun;Cho, Sinsup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 1989
  • We investigate a procedure which detects the parameter change point in AR(1) by Bayesian Approach using Jeffrey prior, for example, coefficient change point, variance change point, coefficient and variance change point, etc. And we apply our procedure to the simulated data.

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