• 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국항해항만학회 2015년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.199-201
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• 2015

Nowadays, the issue of maritime safety is an extremely important issue in the maritime industry and Human' Stress is one of the biggest causes of maritime accidents. The purpose of this study was to research and compare the risk marine accidents analysis methods and find the methods which used to analysis data of the human' stress and obtained the relationship between it and the risk of maritime accidents.

• 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.453-467
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 쉴드 TBM 시공 시 발생 가능한 사건 및 원인의 규명, 리스크 발생의 인과관계 규명, 리스크의 위험도 판별, 리스크의 저감대책 제시를 통한 쉴드 TBM의 전반적인 시공 리스크 관리에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해서 쉴드 TBM의 사고 사례에 대한 문헌조사, 설계 및 시공 전문가 인터뷰를 수행하였다. 리스크 사건은 절삭량 저하, 막장면 붕괴, 지반 침하, 지반 융기, 이수 분출, 배토 불능, 굴착 불가, 지하수 누수의 8개의 그룹으로 나뉘어졌다. 리스크의 원인은 지질 원인, 설계 원인, 시공관리 원인의 3가지 그룹으로 나뉘어졌다. 리스크 원인과 사건간의 인과관계를 체계적으로 분석하기 위하여 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 도식적인 관계도를 작성하였다. 리스크의 위험도를 산정하기 위하여 리스크가 발생하였을 때 이를 복구하기 위한 다운타임 및 비용을 기준으로 전문가를 대상으로 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)를 수행하였으며, 위험도 결과에 기반하여 리스크 대응단계를 제시하고 이를 실제 리스크 발생사례와 비교하여 검증하였다. 또한 발생 가능한 리스크에 대응하기 위하여 설계 및 시공단계에서의 리스크 저감대책을 제안하였다. 제안된 연구는 TBM 설계자 및 시공자가 현장의 조건을 고려하여 리스크 원인을 선정하고 이로 인해 발생 가능한 리스크를 체계적으로 분석하여 파악할 수 있게 해주며, 리스크의 위험도의 판별 및 그에 대한 설계 및 시공단계에서의 저감대책을 통해 체계적인 쉴드 TBM 리스크 관리에 도움을 줄 수 있다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.467-505
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• 2018

We propose a simple identification scheme for the causes of the violations of uncovered interest parity. Our method uses the serial dependence patterns of excess returns as a criterion for judging performance of economic models. We show that a mean reverting component in excess returns, representing a violation of uncovered interest parity, mainly contributes to generating different serial dependence patterns of excess returns: rational expectations risk premium models tend to generate negative serial dependence of excess returns, while expectational errors models tend to generate positive serial dependence.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.496-504
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• 2021

Background: With the increasing demand for industrial robots and the "noncontact" trend, it is an appropriate point in time to examine whether risk assessments conducted for robot operations are performed effectively to identify and eliminate the risks of injury or harm to operators. This study discusses why robot accidents resulting in harm to operators occur repetitively despite implementing control measures and proposes corrective actions for risk assessments. Methods: This study collected 369 operator-injured robot accidents in Korea over the last decade and reconstructed them into the mechanism of injury, work being undertaken, and bodily location of the injury. Then, through the techniques of Systematic Cause Analysis Technique (SCAT) and Root Cause Analysis (RCA), this study analyzed the root and direct causes of robot accidents that had occurred. Causes identified included physical hazards and complex combinations of hazards, such as psychological, organizational, and systematic errors. The requirements of risk assessments regarding robot operations were examined, and three case studies of robot-involved tasks were investigated. The three assessments presented were: camera module processing, electrical discharge machining, and a panel-flipping robot installation. Results: After conducting RCA and comparing the three assessments, it was found that two-thirds of injury-occurring from robot accidents, causative factors included psychological and personal traits of robot operators. However, there were no evaluations of the identifications of personal aspects in the three assessment cases. Conclusion: Therefore, it was concluded that personal factors of operators, which had been overlooked in risk assessments so far, need to be included in future risk assessments on robot operations.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.33-40
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• 2003

본 연구에서는 위험을 등급화하여 검사대상 및 주기를 결정하여 투자비용기 효용성을 높이는 기술의 접근방법을 도입하여, 위험의 정도뿐만 아니라 위험의 양(손실비용)을 평가 할 수 있는 활용 방법을 제시하였다. 위험의 정량화를 위해 가스배관의 손상확률과 영향을 예측하는 방법이 필요한데 손상확률의 경우 사고원인을 굴착공사, 외부부식, 지반침하 및 장치손상으로 구분하였고, 그 각각의 원인에 대해 사고발생빈도를 구하는 방법을 제시하였으며 영향을 예측하기 위하여 가스의 누출시 주로 피해를 유발하는 화제에 대해 사망, 화상 및 건물에 피해를 줄 수 있는 경우 그 피해범위를 산정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 또한, 이 확률과 영향을 결합하여 위험비용을 예측하는 방법과 그 결과를 예시하였는데 이 기술은 경제적인 측면을 고려한 종합적 안전관리 기술로서 위험관리가 중요한 도시가스업계에 적용된다면, 위험을 줄일 수 있는 최적의 위험감소 전략 수립에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1176-1182
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• 2009

Due to recession in real estate market, interest of risk analysis is increasing. Feasibility study in the first stage takes a great role in a project. There are not objectified tools which are able to cope with uncertainty of project, and feasibility study based on selected method of determinism does not include liquidity of weight risk. Also, shortage of consideration for subjective and atypical external factors causes inappropriate results. Therefore, this study proposes feasibility study model focused on risk factor influences in construction cost and sales cost. Considering effective level of cost based on objective risk factors and probable weight of risk by this model, real workers are able to bring correct and scientific decisions better than former method based on selective analysis of real estate development.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.302-310
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• 2018

Despite the accident rate for fishing vessels accounts for 70% of all maritime accidents, few studies on such accidents have been done and most of the them mainly focus on causes and mitigation policies to reduce that accident rate. Thus, this risk analysis on sea accidents is the first to be performed for the successful and efficient implementation of accident reducing measures. In risk analysis, risk is calculated based on the combination of frequency and the consequence of an accident, and is usually expressed as a single number. However, there exists uncertainty in the risk calculation process if one uses a limited number of data for analysis. Therefore, in the study we propose a probabilistic simulation method to forecast risk not as a single number, but in a range of possible risk values. For the capability of the proposed method, using the criteria with the ALARP region, we show the possible risk values spanning across the different risk regions, whereas the single risk value calculated from the existing method lies in one of the risk regions. Therefore, a decision maker could employ appropriate risk mitigation options to handle the risks lying in different regions. For this study, we used fishing vessel accident data from 1988 to 2016.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.139-150
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• 2019

우리나라 해역에서 발생하는 해양사고 중 어선사고가 약 70 %를 차지하고 있음에도 불구하고, 대부분의 연구는 해양사고 전체를 대상으로 하고 있으며 단순히 사고 발생률에 대한 분석과 사고 발생 빈도를 줄이기 위한 대책 마련에 중점을 두고 있다. 그러나 효과적인 사고 저감 대책의 수립과 이를 실행하기 위해서는 정량적인 사고 위험도 예측 및 평가가 반드시 선행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 해양안전심판원의 최근 5년간의 어선사고 통계에 근거하여 9가지 사고유형에 대한 위험도를 연도별로 비교하였다. 또한 현재 우리나라의 경우 객관적인 위험도 평가기준이 없다는 점을 고려하여 이에 대한 대안으로 사고 유형별 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 조합을 4사분면 상에 표시하는 2차원 사고 빈도-피해 매트릭스를 제안하고 이를 이용하여 사고 빈도와 사고 피해의 영향을 쉽게 확인할 수 있도록 하였다. 이러한 과정을 통한 위험도 평가 결과는 저감대책을 수립하고 안전대책을 마련하는 정책 제안자로 하여금 보다 다양하고 현실적인 사고 저감 대책을 마련하는데 도움을 줄 것이다. 또한 위험도 평가 매트릭스를 이용하여 각 사고유형에 대한 인적오류를 포함한 사고 원인의 상대적인 빈도 및 결과를 비교함으로써 사고 유형별로 원인에 따른 차별화된 위험 저감 대책을 수립할 수 있다.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2016

The study performs a risk analysis on container ship accidents using accident data collected over the six years from 2006 to 2011, presents the resulting risk level, and suggests three risk mitigation measures to reduce the overall risk, for the safer operation of container ships. More specifically, starting from the initial accident of collision, we developed 13 different accident scenarios using event tree analysis based on which the overall risk level was obtained and presented as a FN curve. Since diverse human factors are the main cause of most of the ship accidents, our study focuses on the effect of reducing human causes on the resulting risk level. For the research we considered the injuries for the calculation of fatality with the help of MAIS. The results show that collision was the main type of accident, accounting for 62 % of all accidents, and the measures employed were proven to be effective in the sense that the risk level was much lowered and the average number of fatalities was also reduced. With more data accumulated, more precise risk level will be calculated with which the practical risk mitigating measures will be also developed. For future study, economic loss and environmental damage as consequences need to be considered.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1093-1096
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• 2012

Background: Cervical cancer is common among women worldwide. A multitude of risk factors aggravate the disease. This study was conducted to: (1) determine the prevalence and (2) make a comparative analysis of the socio-demographic and behavioural risk factors of cervical cancer and knowledge, attitude and practice between rural and urban women of North Bengal, India. Study Design: Community-based cross-sectional study. Methods: A survey (first in North Bengal) was conducted among 133 women in a rural area (Kawakhali) and 88 women in an urban slum (Shaktigarh) using predesigned semi-structured questionnaires. The respondents were informed of the causes (including HPV), signs and symptoms, prevention of cervical cancer and treatment, and the procedure of the PAP test and HPV vaccination. Results: The prevalence of risk factors like multiparity, early age of marriage, use of cloth during menstruation, use of condom and OCP, early age of first intercourse was 37.2%, 82%, 83.3%, 5.4%, 15.8% and 65.6% respectively. Awareness about the cause, signs and symptoms, prevention of cervical cancer, PAP test and HPV vaccination was 3.6%, 6.3%, 3.6%, 9.5% and 14.5% respectively. Chi-square testing revealed that in the study population, significant differential at 5% exists between rural and urban residents with respect to number of children, use of cloth/sanitary napkins, family history of cancer and awareness regarding causes of cervical cancer. Regarding KAP, again using chi-square tests, surprisingly, level of education is found to be significant for each element of KAP in urban areas in contrast to complete absence of association between education and elements of KAP in rural areas. Conclusions: A large number of risk factors were present in both areas, the prevalence being higher in the rural areas. The level of awareness and role of education appears to be insignificant determinants in rural compared to urban areas. This pilot study needs to be followed up by large scale programmes to re-orient awareness campaigns, especially in rural areas.