• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.5-20
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• 2006

In the advent of ubiquitous information technology (u-IT) as a new emerging horizon of information society, inflated expectations regarding u-IT are growing very fast and higher than those made in the past, which would perhaps result in serious bust after boom and incur tremendous amount of social costs. This paper thus investigates a dynamic mechanism underlying the coevolution between information technology and society by applying systems thinking, particularly, with a focus on the typical phenomenon, 'hype curve' which shows how new technologies initially grow too fast for their own good, crashing from a peak of inflated expectations into a trough of disillusionment before stabilizing on a plateau of productivity. Three basic questions are explored to answer by investigating the mechanisms underlying the 'boom-bust' phenomenon: First, why hype curve appears in the process of technology and society coevolution. Second, how to enhance the stabilization level. Third, when is the right time for the policy intervention.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.5-30
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• 2015

This study analyses the inter-relationships between Safety Cultural Elements by System Dynamics approach. Base Frame for Safety Culture, which is originated from IAEA, NRC and INPO's Safety Culture Documents, helps to elaborate the Causal Loop Diagram of Safety Culture in Nuclear Power Plant(NPP). Also, the simulation results show that ownership of employees is degraded continually and adherence of technical standards is violated because workloads of the employees cannot be minimized and stress and time pressure maintains a high level in NPP.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제14권 제2호
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• pp.568-571
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• 2004

In this study, we propose an efficient expert system (ES) construction mechanism by using dynamic knowledge map (DKM) and database management systems (DBMS). Generally, traditional ES and ES developing tools has some limitations such as, 1) a lot of time to extend the knowledge base (KB), 2) too difficult to change the inference path, 3) inflexible use of inference functions and operators. First, to overcome these limitations, we use DKM in extracting the complex relationships and causal rules from human expert and other knowledge resources. Then, elation database (RDB) and its management systems will help to transform the relationships from diagram to relational table. Therefore, our mechanism can help the ES or KBS (Knowledge-Based Systems) developers in several ways efficiently. In the experiment section, we used medical data to show the efficiency of our mechanism. Experimental results with various disease show that the mechanism is superior in terms of extension ability and flexible inference.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.101-107
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• 2006

In this research, we propose a hybrid inference architecture for medical diagnosis based on dynamic knowledge map (DKM) and relational database (RDB). Conventional expert systems (ES) and developing tools of ES has some limitations such as, 1) time consumption to extend the knowledge base (KB), 2) difficulty to change the inference path, 3) inflexible use of inference functions and operators. To overcome these Limitations, we use DKM in extracting the complex relationships and causal rules from human expert and other knowledge resources. The DKM also can help the knowledge engineers to change the inference path rapidly and easily. Then, RDB and its management systems help us to transform the relationships from diagram to relational table.

• Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.399-405
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• 2016

Poor subsistence farmers who live in a semi-arid area of northern Ethiopia build irrigation systems to overcome water shortages. However, there is a high risk of malaria transmission when increased standing water provides more favorable habitats for mosquito breeding. This is a serious problem because there are many barriers to malaria control measures and health care systems in the area. Using a causal loop diagram and computer simulations, the author attempted to visually illustrate positive and negative feedbacks between mosquito and human populations in the context of Simret, which is a small village located in northern Ethiopia and is generally considered a malaria-free area. The simulation results show that the number of infectious mosquitos increases to 17,215 at its peak, accounting for 3.5% of potentially dangerous mosquitos. At the same time, the number of sick people increases to 574 at its peak, accounting for 15% of local population. The malaria outbreak is controlled largely because of a fixed number of vulnerable people or local population that acts as an intermediate host.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.29-60
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• 2014

As every commentators has noted, bureaucratic corruption, which has complicated causes, is prevalent phenomenon in Korean society. Especially, most people realize that systemic corruption has a strong negative effect on society; however, only few studies reflect on the nature of 'systemic corruption' and it seems that no established theory explains the phenomenon. Thus, this study suggest that we look more carefully into the nature and mechanisms of 'systemic corruption'. Interdisciplinary approach based on the integrated model of structure-behavior to analyse the nature of bureaucratic corruption. The system dynamics method can test the mechanisms of 'systemic corruption'. With this way, the factors generating systemic corruption represent the relationships reinforcing and balancing within system dynamics model. This paper also consider 'isomorphism' and 'dominance' as control mechanisms to systemic corruption. From the CLD(Causal Loop Diagram), three main areas(rent in organization, networking, control mechanisms) are overlapped and it indicates dynamic relationships of systemic corruption in organizations.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.39-57
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• 2011

This paper is the result of simulation modeling concerning high-level radioactive waste repository(HLRWR) and people's mind for the facility. We describe a procedure of simulation modeling for resident's policy acceptance and perceived risk of HLRWR facility by using System Dynamics approach. To Complete some complicated works, we made the 20 pieces of stock-flow diagrams based on the causal loop diagram that is a blue print of whole variables and relations. The simulation outputs clearly show that cental government efforts to siting the HLRWR will be failed if nothing to give for the region's residents. On the contrary, a monetary incentive and a regional development program help to turn this gloomy situation into a desirable and acceptable condition dramatically. Government has to prepare the schemes considering the HLRWR acceptance and total supporting program including the cash and local development programs.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.59-74
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• 2011

This article deals with an economic evalutation of the 'Pasture Project of Kum River', which is the farming plan of mitten crabs in a stream of it. An augmented model of social capital is based on the past ecological-economic system dynamics model and elaborated further with suggestions of social capital literature. During the modeling process a chain diagram of causal relations and its relevant mathematical equations are presented for simulating the project performance, and the simulation results are provided to contrast the dynamic behaviors of the former ecological-economic model with ones of the new model incorporating social capital. The results indicate that an increase in the economic benefit of the project could happen in case of considering the process of social capital accumulation around the case area, which can be regarded as a remarkable trial to approve the common confidence in the role of social capital to enhance an economic achievement.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.73-91
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• 2012

This study aims to comprehensively understand the dynamics between the factors related to service quality, satisfaction and reuse intention. The contents of the study are as follows. First, it draws the limitations of the existing studies by reviewing the literature related to the relationships between service quality, satisfaction and reuse intention. Second, it highlights the characteristics of System Dynamics as a means of overcoming their shortcomings as well as examining the dynamic mechanism of the relevant factors. Third, it explores the feedback loops of the relevant key variables and the feedback structure of the system. Lastly, it concludes with the suggestions and implications of the key research findings. This study is expected to emphasize the importance of the feedback mechanism operating around the service quality, satisfaction, and reuse intention. Further, the causal loop diagram developed can be a basic material for the diverse levels of governments as well as service providers to refer to for improving the service quality of Community Social Service Investment Program.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2010

Establishing a framework, to explain the path to safety accidents considering major safety management factors such as physical conditions including on-site activities and workplace, as well as human factors as to labor, supervisors, or managers, would be effective as the basis to control project's risks by preventing disasters. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify the mechanism in safety management and disaster occurrence. In order to accomplish the purpose, it identified and classified the factors related to accidents, reviewed the causal relationships among them, and suggested the influence diagram. The results of this research are expected to contribute to reinforcing the preventive management, and facilitating the development of integrated site control system based on safety risks.