• Title/Summary/Keyword: causal diagram

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Systems Thinking for the Land Use and Landscape Value of Coastal Dune (해안사구의 토지이용과 경관가치에 대한 시스템 사고)

  • Seok, Youngsun;Song, Kihwan;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.81-104
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to suggest the directions for the landscape protection of Sindu-ri coastal dune based on its ecological system. The study investigated ecological systems of the coastal dune followed by damage causes of coastal dune according to the land use change, and landscape value of coastal dune in the study area. In order to construct causal-effect feedback loop, systems thinking was performed. Result of this study showed that the area of coastal dune and the amount of sand are maintained by the interaction with sand beach while they are affected by wind direction, wind speed, and dune plants. It was also found that the changes of land use pattern, increasing commercial area, and planted windbreak forest damaged to the coastal dune. In addition, size of coastal dune and growing number of dune plants increased landscape value of coastal dune and tourist draw. However increasing tourists have constantly affected land use changes and have damaged to coastal dune area. In sum, planning for land use regulation, rest-year system areas, promotion and education for coastal dune, dune plants protection, and windbreak management should be taken into account for landscape protection in coastal dune.

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System Thinking in the Resilience of the Ecosystem and Ecotourism of Mt. Gariwang Based on the Controversy around the Venue Construction for PyeongChang 2018 Olympic (가리왕산 스키장 건설을 둘러싼 논쟁과 생태관광의 회복력(resilience)에 대한 시스템 사고)

  • Jeon, Dae Uk;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with system thinking in the resilience of the SES (Social-Ecological Systems) around Mt. Gariwang, located in Jeongseon County, Gangwon Province, in particular with the disturbance that a new ski slope is planned to be built for the PyeongChang 2018 Winter Olympic. It first performs a literature survey and newspaper article search to summarize the controversy with regards to credible environmental and socio-economical impacts of the plan, and then elaborates a series of CLDs (Causal Loop Diagrams) to infer the dynamics of the impacts. The results imply that the natural restoration seems to be hard because the development activities can cause a great deal of damage to the ecosystem mainly due to soil degradation and the mitigation of icy valley effects with water exploitation for making artificial snow and so on. Moreover most of the households near the planned site seem to leave with land compensation, thus more policy efforts are needed to enhance the resilience of the ecosystem and the nearby society based on ecotourism.

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On the Likelihood of Peace and War on the Korean Peninsula: A Causal Loop Analysis

  • Kim, Gang-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 2009
  • Since the end of the 1950-1953 Korean War, many scholars and policymakers have expressed concern about the possibility of another conflict on the peninsula. In certain respects, the post-1953 North-South Korea relationship resembles the Cold War that existed between the United States and the Soviet Union, 1945-1990. Although a "hot" never occurred, peace was never guaranteed. By looking at international theories (i.e., realism and liberal theory) and by utilizing casual-loop diagram analysis, the main purpose of this research is to explore on the likelihood of peace and war on the Korean peninsula. First, several factors (e.g., economic stagnation of North Korea, unstable political systems, and so on) emphasized by realism perspectives are significantly related to the likelihood of conflict between North and South Korea. Conversely, several determinants (e.g., economic assistance to North Korea, inter-dialogue between two Koreas, cultural and social exchange, and so on) emphasized by liberal approaches are significantly related to likelihood of peace on the Korean peninsula. Given the two different interpretations about the likelihood of conflict or peace, it can be argued that a second military action might occur on the Korean peninsula if realism theories are true. However, if practical factors exist on the Korean peninsula, the two Korean can optimistically expect a peaceful reunification in the future, without interference from other countries.

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Examining Malicious Online Comments from the Bystander Effect Perspective

  • Sodam Kim;Sumeet Gupta;So-Hyun Lee;Hee-Woong Kim
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2021
  • Cyberbullying has become a social problem as malicious text messages and online comments among teenagers have increased in the late 2000s. Some serious reporting has attempted to impress on us the need to pay more attention to reducing malicious online content as a typical type of cyberbullying. Meanwhile, despite environmental changes that have made it easier to report perpetrators of such messages, it is often the case that the crime occurs in a public place and is tolerated. However, there is a growing tendency for people to exhibit the bystander effect, the problem of personal indifference to witnessing or knowing about crimes, but individuals do not offer any means of help to a victim when other people are present. This effect is rampant in the case of cybercrimes. This study aims to extract the motivations behind posting malicious comments through in-depth interviews and to suggest recommendations for relative issues by demonstrating how the bystander effect can be reduced using causal relationship diagrams of the system dynamics methodology. Hopefully, this work will contribute to a better understanding of factors that could cause a decrease in malicious online comments.

A System Simulation for Investigation of IT and Society Co-evolution Dynamics and Its Policy Implications (시스템 시뮬레이션을 통한 기술과 사회 공진화의 동태성 고찰)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Jung, Jae-Lim
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.171-197
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    • 2008
  • By applying Systems Simulation technique, this paper aims to investigates the dynamics underlying the coevolution of IT(information technology) and the society. Particularly, a series of basic questions are explored to answer by developing a simulation model for the mechanisms underlying the 'hype curve' ever occurring in the course of technology diffusion into society: First, why hype curve appears in the process of technology and society coevolution. Second, how to enhance the tapering level at the final stage of coevolution. Third, what are the key policy leverages and when is the right time for the policy intervention. As now, inflated expectations regarding ubiquitous information technology (u-IT) are growing very fast and higher than those for the previous technologies, which would result in overshoot followed by collapse of visibility and thus incur tremendous amount of social costs. In this regard implications drawn from this study perhaps give some insights not necessarily to the academics but also to the practitioners and policy makers facing the advent of u-IT as a new emerging horizon of information society.

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An Exploratory Study on the Cloud Computing Services: Issues and Suggestion for The Success

  • Lee, Jong Un;Seo, Kyung Jin;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.473-491
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    • 2014
  • There is a growing interest for 'Cloud computing' to cut costs, and help the users focus on their core business instead of being impeded by IT obstacles. As it became IT version 3.0 which represents the era of cloud services and the dominance of a new kind of IT service provider, cloud service providers (CSPs)' role is more critical as a trusted IT advisor to include cloud migration and integration expertise. However, previous literatures related to cloud computing service have mainly analyzed from customers, although it is hard for customers to totally understand the complex and diverse cloud ecosystem. Therefore, it is an urgent task to mitigate the inhibitory factors in providing the cloud services for activating cloud industry. This study, an exploratory research based on interviews, has derived factors of promoting and hindering the activation of cloud computing from the provider's perspective, and has analyzed a sequence of cause and effect for each factor. For this, the casual loop diagram was developed to deduce key issues, and propose an alternative. The results of this study are expected to help activate 'Cloud computing' in Korea by minimizing the potential negative effects of activating 'Cloud computing' industry.

A Study on the Application of System Dynamics to Overcome BSC Limitations (BSC의 한계 극복을 위한 시스템다이내믹스의 활용)

  • Jo, Hyun-Woong;Yeon, Seung-Joon;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2007
  • Like the saying "You can't manage what you can't measure," performance measurement is considered as one of the most important management activities for the organizations in either private or public sector. Performance measurement, however, has thus far relied too much on financial statements. Realizing the importance of a more scientific and comprehensive performance measurement, many organizations have adopted several different systems in order to objectively estimate their balanced performance results. The Balanced Scorecard (BSC) has become a popular means to measure performance. But the BSC has also received some criticisms. In this paper four limitations in the use of the BSC are discussed : BSCs focus on unidirectional causality, are unable to distinguish delays between actions and their impacts on performance, integrate insufficiently strategy with operational measures, and lead to internal biases. We propose a system dynamics approach with causal loop diagram(CLD) to develop a Dynamic BSC in order to overcome these limitations. The results suggest that developing a BSC with system dynamics is a promising approach to supplement existing BSC frameworks.

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Analysis of Mega Event effect using System Dynamics : Application in Millennial Anniversary of the Tripitaka Koreana (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 메가이벤트 개최 효과 분석: 대장경문화축전에의 적용)

  • Park, Gyung-Yeol;Choi, Seung-Dam;Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to explain the impact of hosting mega event using the system dynamics and to establish the model for analysis of the impact of hosting mega event. The results are as follows. First, the growth of inbound tourists have influenced long term effect. Second, the export has increased for a limited period only after the hosting mega event, but the increase in export returned to the previous state in terms of economic impact of mega event. Third, nation brand has been improved for a limited period only such as the economical impact in terms of socio-cultural impact of mega event. Last, citizenship consciousness has been improved after hosting mega event. Further researches have to be carried out to modify and reinforce the model.

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LCD 산업의 경쟁력 향상을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 응용

  • Jang, Hyeon-Ju;Kim, Do-Hun
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.585-589
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    • 2008
  • LCD (Liquid Crystal Display)는 디지털 기기의 주요 구성 요소이며, 모든 크기의 FPD (Flat Panel Display) 시장에서 지배적인 시장점유율을 보인다. 그러나 많은 전문가들은 LCD 산업이 수년 내에 OLED (Organic Light Emitting Diodes), 3차원 디스플레이, 플렉서블 디스플레이와 같은 차세대 디스플레이 기술의 강력한 도전에 직면할 것이라고 예상한다. 이러한 경쟁환경에서 LCD 산업이 살아남기 위한 방안으로 본 연구에서는 LCD 산업의 경쟁력의 원천을 밝혀내고, 이를 극대화하는 전략적 방향을 제시한다. 이를 위해 먼저 LCD 산업구조와 가치사슬을 분석하여 LCD 산업의 경쟁력을 제고하기 위한 기본적인 전략적 대안을 개발한다. 이 단계에서 얻어진 통찰력을 바탕으로, 인과지도(causal loop diagram)와 시스템 다이나믹스 (system dynamics) 방법론을 활용하여 기존의 LCD 산업구조에서 판매량, 시장점유율 및 이익 등의 핵심 지표에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 구조적 특징을 규명한다. 또한, 여기서의 다이나믹스 모형을 바탕으로, LCD 제조업자의 관점에서 프로세스 역량을 극대화할 수 있는 전략적 대안을 모색한다.

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A Study on Dynamic Models for Ports and Regional Economy (항만과 지역경제간의 동태적 모델에 관한 연구)

  • 오세용;여기태;이철영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2000
  • If a system such as a port and regional economy has a large boundary and complexity, the system's substance is considered as a black box, forecast accuracy will be very low. Futhermore various components in a port and regional economy exert significant influence on each other. To copy with these problem the form of structure models were introduced by using SD model. This study has the issue of simplifying the regional economic effects of the port as contributing to raising the regional income. The regional economic effects of port have various indirect ones except for this. So, SD(System Dynamics) was presented, and applied to simulate port and regional economy.

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