• Title/Summary/Keyword: bid price

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EVALUATION OF COST-TIME RELATIONSHIPS FOR CONTRACTORS PARTICIPATING IN COST-PLUS-TIME BIDDING

  • Saeed Abdollahi Sean Pour;Hyung Seok David Jeong
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.479-487
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    • 2013
  • State Highway Agencies (SHAs) have started utilizing cost-plus-time bidding (A+B bidding) since Federal Highway Agency (FHWA) declared it operational on May 4, 1995. Although this technique has successfully accelerated many projects by incorporating construction time in the bidding competition, a framework to illustrate the interactions of incentive/disincentive (I/D) rates on the competitiveness of contractors participating in the bid competition is yet to be developed. In a previous research, authors indicated that for each bid competition there is an efficient cap for I/D rates which are dictated by the capabilities of contractors in project acceleration. However, the results of previous study were based on the assumption that there is a statistically significant relationship between cost and time. In this study, the entire cost-plus-time projects implemented by the Oklahoma Department of Transportation (ODOT) were investigated. Then the significance of relationship between cost and time were analyzed for each contractor utilizing Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) technique, and the price-time function of each contractor was determined by regression analysis. The results of the analysis indicate that there is a significant relationship between cost and time for the majority of contractors. However, a quadratic relationship is not always significant and for some contractors a linear price-time relationship is significant. The results of this project can be used not only by ODOT to optimize the incentive/disincentive rates but also by contractors to determine the most competitive strategies of other bid participants.

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Stock Returns and Market Making with Inventory

  • Park, Seyoung;Jang, Bong-Gyu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2012
  • We study optimal trading strategy of a market maker with stock inventory. Following Avellaneda and Stoikov (2008), we assume the stock price follows a normal distribution. However, we take a constant expected rate of the stock return and assume that the stock volatility is an inverse function of the stock price level. We show that the optimal bid-ask spread of the market maker is wider for a higher expected rate of stock returns.

The Theory of Auctions and Competitive Bidding : A Survey (경매 및 경쟁입찰에 관한 이론적 고찰;-문헌연구를 중심으로 -)

  • 정형찬
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 1994
  • This paper is to survey the major results of the game-theoretic models and recent research directions of the literature on auctions and competitive biddings. This paper classifies the auctions and competitive biddings into the following four major types:(i) English auction, (ii) Dutch auction, (iii) the first-price sealed-bid auction, (iv) the second-price sealed-bid auction. In order to survey the major ideas related to auctions and competitive biddings, we use two representative theoretical models developed under the game-theoretic framework : (i) the independent private value model are summarized as follows ; (1) The Dutch auction and the first-price auction are strategically equivalent, and so are the English auction and the second-price auction. (2) At the symmetric equilibria, the expected selling price is the same for all four types of auction. Meanwhile, the major results of the general model are as follows ; (1) When bidders are uncertain about their value extimate, the English and second-price auctions are not equivalent, but the dutch and the first-price auctions are still strategically equivalent. (2) The English auction generates the higher expected prices than the second-price auction. Also, when bidders are risk-neutral, the second-price auction generated higher average prices than the Dutch and the first-price auctions.

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Identifying Factors Causing Bid-dropping in Domestic Public Work Projects and Ways of Ending Its Decline (국내 공공공사 낙찰률 하락의 원인 분석 및 개선 방향)

  • Lee, Bok-Nam;Lee, Young-Hwan;Chang, Chul-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.5 s.27
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2005
  • The contract price of successful bidders in domestic public work projects has dropped significantly under lowest bidding process. Furthermore, compared to the U.S. and Japan, the bids are substantially lower. The increasing trend for domestic construction companies to bid projects without considering markup or expected profit, with the purpose of gaining experience for future similar work, has contributed to the overall dumping in bid prices. The government has implemented controls in hopes of reducing the price dropping trend but these have yet to work in the market. This study determines the level of significance of the contract price of the successful bidder in domestic public works projects and identifies factors that cause bid-dropping by comparing to those of the US and Japan. By mirroring advance countries' rules and regulations to prevent an abnormally low bidder, recommendation are provided to keep unrealistically low bidders from winning the work.

Reserve Price Recommendation Methods for Auction Systems Based on Time Series Analysis (경매 시스템에서 시계열 분석에 기반한 낙찰 예정가 추천 방법)

  • Ko Min Jung;Lee Yong Kyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2005
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory and the moving average of time series analysis. However, one problem of the previous approaches is that the recent trend of auction prices is not well reflected on the generated reserve prices, because it simply provides the bid price of the most similar item or an average price of some similar items using the past auction data. In this paper. in order to overcome the problem. we propose a method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average. the exponential smoothing, and the least square of time series analysis. Through performance experiments. we show that the successful bid rate of the new method can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices compared with the previous methods.

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A Strategy Bayesian Model to Predict Profit of Construction Projects

  • Park, Sung-Hyuk;Kim, Sang-Yong
    • Architectural research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2011
  • Competitive bidding in construction is concerned with contractors making strategic decisions in respect of determination of bid price if contractors opt to bid. This study presents a strategy model for deciding optimum tender price with reflecting appropriate profit in competitive bidding using Bayesian regression analysis (BRA). The purpose of the developed model is to help contractors to secure suitable profitability by predicting the actual profit based on key variables. They may affect construction cost at bidding phase, ultimately which help contractors to secure high quality output. The model was tested empirically by application to a bidding dataset collected from a large South Korea contractor. BRA allows contractors to estimate more accurate actual profit by reflecting not only objective information but also subjective experiences and judgments. Consequently, the model can contribute to improvement of decision-making process for setting an optimum tender price.

A Simulation Study on the Performances of Revenue Management Models for an Air Cargo Network (시뮬레이션을 통한 항공화물 네트워크 수익관리 모형 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ryul;Yoon, Soo-Jeong;Lee, Chul-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2009
  • A discrete event simulation model is developed to evaluate the performances of three different revenue management methods for an air cargo network from Northeast China to North America and Europe. In the first method, a bid price model is applied only to the routes that pass through Incheon. In the second method, the bid price model is applied to all the routes. In third method, bid price and virtual nesting models are applied to the routes that pass through Incheon. The results show that the total revenue significantly increases with the employment of pricing and capacity control. The developed simulation model is a useful research tool to study marketing strategies for air cargo operations.

A Study on the Improvement Method on Calculating the Damages Caused by the Bid Rigging in the Construction Work (건설공사 입찰담합으로 인한 손해액 산정 개선방안 연구)

  • Min, Byeong-Uk;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.1053-1061
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    • 2017
  • The study is concerned with providing the improvement method on making a reasonable and scientific decision on the damages accrued from the bid rigging in the construction work. According to the review on the precedent studies and decision cases on the damages caused by bid rigging, the representative problems include the insufficiency of the classification system on the damage calculation method and the omission of the necessary stage in the damage determination process. First, the improved classification system on calculating the damages caused by bid rigging is presented with the application to the bid rigging in the construction work by adding the ratio factor in addition to the damage calculation parameters such as price and cost. Second, the standard procedures organized with six stages is presented as the process required for determining the damages if the indemnification for bid rigging is claimed. The study becomes the foundation for resolving the problem with the undue burden on a party and for preventing the opportunity loss by resolving a dispute early through the improvement classification system and standard procedures presented in the study.

Technical Proposal based Bidding System Applying the Concept of the Lowest Total Combined Bid Price for Supplying Affordable Housing (최저통합환산가격 개념을 적용한 기술제안 기반 입찰제도)

  • Cho, Gun-Hee;Kang, Seung-Hee;Lee, Jeong-Seok;Sohn, Jeong-Rak;Bang, Jong-Dae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.94-105
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    • 2010
  • Recently, resettlement problems of low income groups in the urban regeneration area have been issued in Korea because they have no capability to purchase (or lease) redeveloped housing (or apartment). There are several approaches for supplying affordable housing and one of these is the bidding system which can reduce construction cost. However, the lowest bidding system has many problems such as dumping and substandard quality. In this context, this study proposed bidding system based on technical proposal applying the concept of the lowest total combined bid price for optimization of bid price, reduction of construction cost and period, and maintenance of suitable quality. This bidding system embraces the best value and cost plus time concept on the basis of an improved lowest price bidding system. It consists of the following components: work unit based, project unit based, and period reducing technical proposals. The proposed bidding system for determining bidders are designed to evaluate the adequacy of each technical proposal in the order of the combined minimum price in an effort to effectively optimize bid prices and reduce the construction periods, as well as to maintain a minimum appropriate quality.

Automatic Reserve Price Generation for an Internet Auction System Using Moving Average (이동 평균을 이용한 인터넷 경매 시스템의 낙찰 예정가 자동생성)

  • 고민정;이용규
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2004
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory. However, one of its drawbacks is that the recent trend of auction prices is not reflected in the generated reserve prices, because it suggests the bid price of the most similar item from the past auction data. In this paper, in order to overcome the problem, we propose a new method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average of time series analysis, in which more weight is provided to the recent bid prices. Through performance experiments, we show that the successful bid rate can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices.

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