• 제목/요약/키워드: bias error

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Application of Finite Mixture to Characterise Degraded Gmelina arborea Roxb Plantation in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria

  • Ogana, Friday Nwabueze
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2018
  • The use of single component distribution to describe the irregular stand structure of degraded forest often lead to bias. Such biasness can be overcome by the application of finite mixture distribution. Therefore, in this study, finite mixture distribution was used to characterise the irregular stand structure of the Gmelina arborea plantation in Omo forest reserve. Thirty plots, ten each from the three stands established in 1984, 1990 and 2005 were used. The data were pooled per stand and fitted. Four finite mixture distributions including normal mixture, lognormal mixture, gamma mixture and Weibull mixture were considered. The method of maximum likelihood was used to fit the finite mixture distributions to the data. Model assessment was based on negative loglikelihood value ($-{\Lambda}{\Lambda}$), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and root mean square error (RMSE). The results showed that the mixture distributions provide accurate and precise characterisation of the irregular diameter distribution of the degraded Gmelina arborea stands. The $-{\Lambda}{\Lambda}$, AIC, BIC and RMSE values ranged from -715.233 to -348.375, 703.926 to 1433.588, 718.598 to 1451.334 and 3.003 to 7.492, respectively. Their performances were relatively the same. This approach can be used to describe other irregular forest stand structures, especially the multi-species forest.

Modeling the growth of Listeria monocytogenes during refrigerated storage of un-packaging mixed press ham at household

  • Lee, Seong-Jun;Park, Myoung-Su;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Journal of Preventive Veterinary Medicine
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2018
  • The present study aimed to develop growth prediction models of Listeria monocytogenes in processed meat products, such as mixed pressed hams, to perform accurate microbial risk assessments. Considering cold storage temperatures and the amount of time in the stages of consumption after opening, the growth of L. monocytogenes was determined as a function of temperature at 0, 5, 10, and $15^{\circ}C$, and time at 0, 1, 3, 6, 8, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 days. Based on the results of these measurements, a Baranyi model using the primary model was developed. The input parameters of the Baranyi equation in the variable temperature for polynomial regression as a secondary model were developed: $SGR=0.1715+0.0199T+0.0012T^2$, $LT=5.5730-0.3215T+0.0051T^2$ with $R^2$ values 0.9972 and 0.9772, respectively. The RMSE (Root mean squared error), $B_f$ (bias factor), and $A_f$ (accuracy factor) on the growth prediction model were determined to be 0.30, 0.72, and 1.50 in SGR (specific growth rate), and 0.10, 0.84, and 1.35 in LT (lag time), respectively. Therefore, the model developed in this study can be used to determine microorganism growth in the stages of consumption of mixed pressed hams and has potential in microbial risk assessments (MRAs).

Herding Behavior Model in Investment Decision on Emerging Markets: Experimental in Indonesia

  • RAHAYU, Sri;ROHMAN, Abdul;HARTO, Puji
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2021
  • This research aims to examine the model of investor herding behavior in making investment decisions in the Indonesian capital market, which is influenced by social and information impacting on the value of the Book Value Per Share (BVPS). The latest stock market conditions show that most investors make the same error pattern in making investment decisions that result in losses. The experiment involves two independent variables, namely, information about BVPS and social influence. This study used a 2×2 factorial design laboratory experimental method. Data collection was carried out through treatment of a sample of 100 individual investors listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Univariate Two-Way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) statistical tool was used to test the independent variable on the dependent variable. Research results showed that the social influence originating from expert investors is more influential than the Book Value Per Share (BVPS) information on the behavior of herding investors in making investment decisions. These findings suggest that investors know their psychological factors, thereby increasing self-control and investment analysis skills. Further research can use psychological bias and other indicators of accounting relevant information such as Earning Per Share (EPS) to test herding behavior in investment decision making in the capital market.

Tri-training algorithm based on cross entropy and K-nearest neighbors for network intrusion detection

  • Zhao, Jia;Li, Song;Wu, Runxiu;Zhang, Yiying;Zhang, Bo;Han, Longzhe
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.3889-3903
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    • 2022
  • To address the problem of low detection accuracy due to training noise caused by mislabeling when Tri-training for network intrusion detection (NID), we propose a Tri-training algorithm based on cross entropy and K-nearest neighbors (TCK) for network intrusion detection. The proposed algorithm uses cross-entropy to replace the classification error rate to better identify the difference between the practical and predicted distributions of the model and reduce the prediction bias of mislabeled data to unlabeled data; K-nearest neighbors are used to remove the mislabeled data and reduce the number of mislabeled data. In order to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm proposed in this paper, experiments were conducted on 12 UCI datasets and NSL-KDD network intrusion datasets, and four indexes including accuracy, recall, F-measure and precision were used for comparison. The experimental results revealed that the TCK has superior performance than the conventional Tri-training algorithms and the Tri-training algorithms using only cross-entropy or K-nearest neighbor strategy.

토양수분량 자료의 품질관리를 위한 Savitzky-Golay 필터링 적용결과 비교 (Comparison of Savitzky-Golay filtering results for quality control of soil moisture data)

  • 이용준;김기영
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.268-268
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    • 2020
  • 토양수분량은 수문연구에 있어 중요한 인자 중의 하나이며, 그 필요성이 점차 강조되고 있다. 국내에서도 최근 새로운 관측기기의 도입이나 수자원위성의 개발 등에 관한 연구가 점차 활발하게 이뤄지고 있으나, 토양수분량 자료의 생산, 품질관리 및 배포 시스템에 관한 연구 및 개발이 부족한 실정이다. 반면에 해외에서는 International Soil Moisture Network(ISMN)을 통해 토양수분량 자료의 품질관리 및 배포가 활발하게 이루어지고 있는데, ISMN에서는 토양특성, 강우에 대한 반응, 토양온도, 시계열특성을 이용해 토양수분량 관측 자료를 품질관리 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 ISMN의 spike 검출 알고리즘에서 그래프 평활화(smoothing)를 위해 이용되는 Savitzky-Golay 필터의 window size와 polynomial order(filter order)를 다양하게 변화시키고, 이를 설마천 관측소에서 측정한 토양수분량 원시자료에 적용하여 window size와 polynomial order별로 편의(bias), 변동(variation), 평균 제곱근 오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 산정하였다. 통계산정 결과 원시자료와의 bias는 window size가 3이고 polynomial order가 2인 필터를 적용했을 때 가장 작은 것으로 나타났으며, variance는 window size가 3이고 polynomial order가 2인 필터를 이용했을 때가 원시자료와 가장 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, RMSE는 window size가 5이고 polynomial order가 3일 때 가장 작은 것으로 나타났다. 이는 추후 토양수분량 품질관리를 수행하기 위해 적절한 필터 계수 값을 제시할 수 있는 논문으로 사료된다.

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통계적 공간상세화 기법의 시공간적 강우분포 재현성 비교평가 (Comparative Evaluation of Reproducibility for Spatio-temporal Rainfall Distribution Downscaled Using Different Statistical Methods)

  • 정임국;황세운;조재필
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.

자기상관 오차항을 고려한 수정된 확산모형: CT-스캐너와 FPD TV에의 응용 (A Modified Diffusion Model Considering Autocorrelated Disturbances: Applications on CT Scanners and FPD TVs)

  • 차경천;김상훈
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2009
  • 시계열 확산 데이터를 활용하여 Bass 확산모형을 최소자승법(OLS)으로 추정하면, 초기에는 과다 추정하고 변곡점을 지나서는 수요를 낮게 추정하는 경향이 있다. 또한 확산모형에서 필요한 변수가 모형에서 빠짐으로 인해 발생하는 설정오류는 잔차의 자기상관을 발생시킬 수 있다. 자기상관이 오차항에 있을 경우, 추정된 모형의 모수들은 불편추정치이나 비효율적 추정치가 된다. 따라서 이러한 문제를 해결하는 확산모형의 개발이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 자기상관 오차항을 고려한 수정된 확산모형을 제안하였다. 모형의 검증을 위해 미국의 CT-스캐너와 우리나라의 FPD TV 판매량를 제안된 모형에 응용하였다. 분석결과, 제안된 모형이 기존 모형에 비해 적합도와 모형의 주요 추정 통계량에서 우수함을 보였다.

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IMPROVING SOCIAL MEDIA DATA QUALITY FOR EFFECTIVE ANALYTICS: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION BASED ON E-BDMS

  • B. KARTHICK;T. MEYYAPPAN
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.1129-1143
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    • 2023
  • Social media platforms have become an integral part of our daily lives, and they generate vast amounts of data that can be analyzed for various purposes. However, the quality of the data obtained from social media is often questionable due to factors such as noise, bias, and incompleteness. Enhancing data quality is crucial to ensure the reliability and validity of the results obtained from such data. This paper proposes an enhanced decision-making framework based on Business Decision Management Systems (BDMS) that addresses these challenges by incorporating a data quality enhancement component. The framework includes a backtracking method to improve plan failures and risk-taking abilities and a steep optimized strategy to enhance training plan and resource management, all of which contribute to improving the quality of the data. We examine the efficacy of the proposed framework through research data, which provides evidence of its ability to increase the level of effectiveness and performance by enhancing data quality. Additionally, we demonstrate the reliability of the proposed framework through simulation analysis, which includes true positive analysis, performance analysis, error analysis, and accuracy analysis. This research contributes to the field of business intelligence by providing a framework that addresses critical data quality challenges faced by organizations in decision-making environments.

iPhone의 LiDAR와 Camera를 이용한 실내 공간 안내를 위한 시스템 설계 (Design of Indoor Space Guidance System Using LiDAR and Camera on iPhone)

  • 장준석;성광제
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2024
  • In indoor environments, since global positioning system (GPS) signals can be blocked by obstacles, such as building structure. the performance of GPS-based positioning methods can be degraded because of the loss of GPS signals. To solve this problem, various localization schemes using inertial measurement unit (IMU) sensors, such as gyroscope, accelerometer, and magnetometer, have been proposed to enhance the positioning accuracy in indoor environments. IMU-based positioning methods can estimate the location of the user by calculating the velocity and heading angle of the user without the help of GPS. However, low-cost MEMS IMUs may lead to drift error and large bias. In addition, positioning errors in IMU-based positioning approaches can be caused by the irrelevant motion of the pedestrian. In this study, we propose an enhanced indoor positioning method that provides more reliable localization results by using the camera, light detection and right (LiDAR), and ARKit framework on the iPhone. Through reliable positioning results and augmented reality (AR) experiences, our indoor positioning system can provide indoor space guidance services.

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6 시그마와 총 오차 허용범위의 개발에 대한 연구 (A Study of Six Sigma and Total Error Allowable in Chematology Laboratory)

  • 장상우;김남용;최호성;김영환;추경복;정혜진;박병옥
    • 대한임상검사과학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2005
  • Those specifications of the CLIA analytical tolerance limits are consistent with the performance goals in Six Sigma Quality Management. Six sigma analysis determines performance quality from bias and precision statistics. It also shows if the method meets the criteria for the six sigma performance. Performance standards calculates allowable total error from several different criteria. Six sigma means six standard deviations from the target value or mean value and about 3.4 failures per million opportunities for failure. Sigma Quality Level is an indicator of process centering and process variation total error allowable. Tolerance specification is replaced by a Total Error specification, which is a common form of a quality specification for a laboratory test. The CLIA criteria for acceptable performance in proficiency testing events are given in the form of an allowable total error, TEa. Thus there is a published list of TEa specifications for regulated analytes. In terms of TEa, Six Sigma Quality Management sets a precision goal of TEa/6 and an accuracy goal of 1.5 (TEa/6). This concept is based on the proficiency testing specification of target value +/-3s, TEa from reference intervals, biological variation, and peer group median mean surveys. We have found rules to calculate as a fraction of a reference interval and peer group median mean surveys. We studied to develop total error allowable from peer group survey results and CLIA 88 rules in US on 19 items TP, ALB, T.B, ALP, AST, ALT, CL, LD, K, Na, CRE, BUN, T.C, GLU, GGT, CA, phosphorus, UA, TG tests in chematology were follows. Sigma level versus TEa from peer group median mean CV of each item by group mean were assessed by process performance, fitting within six sigma tolerance limits were TP ($6.1{\delta}$/9.3%), ALB ($6.9{\delta}$/11.3%), T.B ($3.4{\delta}$/25.6%), ALP ($6.8{\delta}$/31.5%), AST ($4.5{\delta}$/16.8%), ALT ($1.6{\delta}$/19.3%), CL ($4.6{\delta}$/8.4%), LD ($11.5{\delta}$/20.07%), K ($2.5{\delta}$/0.39mmol/L), Na ($3.6{\delta}$/6.87mmol/L), CRE ($9.9{\delta}$/21.8%), BUN ($4.3{\delta}$/13.3%), UA ($5.9{\delta}$/11.5%), T.C ($2.2{\delta}$/10.7%), GLU ($4.8{\delta}$/10.2%), GGT ($7.5{\delta}$/27.3%), CA ($5.5{\delta}$/0.87mmol/L), IP ($8.5{\delta}$/13.17%), TG ($9.6{\delta}$/17.7%). Peer group survey median CV in Korean External Assessment greater than CLIA criteria were CL (8.45%/5%), BUN (13.3%/9%), CRE (21.8%/15%), T.B (25.6%/20%), and Na (6.87mmol/L/4mmol/L). Peer group survey median CV less than it were as TP (9.3%/10%), AST (16.8%/20%), ALT (19.3%/20%), K (0.39mmol/L/0.5mmol/L), UA (11.5%/17%), Ca (0.87mg/dL1mg/L), TG (17.7%/25%). TEa in 17 items were same one in 14 items with 82.35%. We found out the truth on increasing sigma level due to increased total error allowable, and were sure that the goal of setting total error allowable would affect the evaluation of sigma metrics in the process, if sustaining the same process.

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