• Title/Summary/Keyword: appropriate distribution

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순별증발량 자료의 적정 확률분포형 선정 (Selection of Appropriate Probability Distribution Types for Ten Days Evaporation Data)

  • 김선주;박재흥;강상진
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1998년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1998
  • This study is to select appropriate probability distributions for ten days evaporation data for the purpose of representing statistical characteristics of real evaporation data in Korea. Nine probability distribution functions were assumed to be underlying distributions for ten days evaporation data of 20 stations with the duration of 20 years. The parameter of each probability distribution function were estimated by the maximum likelihood approach, and appropriate probability distributions were selected from the goodness of fit test. Log Pearson type III model was selected as an appropriate probability distribution for ten days evaporation data in Korea.

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Power Distribution System Planning with Demand Uncertainty Consideration

  • Wattanasophon, Sirichai;Eua-arporn, Bundhit
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes a method for solving distribution system planning problems taking into account demand uncertainty and geographical information. The proposed method can automatically select appropriate location and size of a substation, routing of feeders, and appropriate sizes of conductors while satisfying constraints, e.g. voltage drop and thermal limit. The demand uncertainty representing load growth is modeled by fuzzy numbers. Feeder routing is determined with consideration of existing infrastructure, e.g. streets and canals. The method integrates planner's experience and process optimization to achieve an appropriate practical solution. The proposed method has been tested with an actual distribution system, from which the results indicate that it can provide satisfactory plans.

상수도 관망 유량관측 자료의 주성분 분석을 위한 분석기간의 설정 (Identifying an Appropriate Analysis Duration for the Principal Component Analysis of Water Pipe Flow Data)

  • 박수완;전대훈;정소연;김주환;이두진
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2013
  • In this study the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to flow data in a water distribution pipe system to analyze the relevance between the flow observation dates, which have the outliers of observed night flows, and the maintenance records. The data was obtained from four small size water distribution blocks to which 13 maintenance records such as pipe leak and water meter leak belong. The flow data during four months were used for the analysis. The analysis was carried out to identify an appropriate analysis period for a PCA model for a water distribution block. To facilitate the analyses a computational algorithm was developed. MATLAB was utilized to realize the algorithm as a computer program. As a result, an appropriate PCA period for each of the case study small size water distribution blocks was identified.

3변수 확률분포에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (Estimation of Design Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;류경식
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.595-598
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

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3변수 확률분포형에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석 (Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 김병준;맹승진;류경식;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

열화된 증기 터빈블레이드의 피로강도에 대한 확률론적 해석 (A Stochastic Analysis in Fatigue Strength of Degraded Steam Turbine Blade Steel)

  • 김철수;정화영;김정규
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집A
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    • pp.262-267
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the Reliability of degraded steam turbine blade was evaluated using the limited fatigue data. The statistical estimation of limited fatigue data implies that some unknown uncertainties which may be involved in fatigue reliability analysis. Therefore, an appropriate distribution in the fatigue strength was determined by the characteristic distribution - linear correlation coefficient, fatigue physics, error parameter. 3-parameter Weibull distribution is the most appropriate distribution to assume for infinite region. The load applied on the blade is mainly tensile. The maximum Von-Mises stress is 219.4 MPa at the steady state service condition. The failure probability($F_p$) derived from the strength-stress interference model using Monte carlo simulation under variable service condition is 0.25% at the 99.99% confidence level.

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배전계통 사고복구 문제에 갠선된 유전 알고리즘 적용 (An Application of Enhanced Genetic Algorithm to solve the Distribution System Restoration Problem)

  • 이정관;문경준;황기현;서정일;이화석;박준호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1123-1125
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    • 1999
  • This paper proposes an optimization technique using Genetic Algorithm(GA) for service restoration in the distribution system. Restoration planning problem can be treated as a combinatorial optimization problem. So GA is appropriate to solve the service restoration problem in the distribution network. But searching capabilities of the GA can be enhanced by developing relevant repairing operation and modifying GA operations. In this paper, we aimed at finding appropriate open sectionalizing switch position for the restoration of distribution networks after disturbances using enhanced GA with repairing operation and modified mutation. Simulation results show that proposed method found the open sectionalizing switches with less out of service area and minimize transmission line losses and voltage drop.

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전산유체해석과 다구찌 및 미니탭 방법을 활용한 하수처리장 분배조 웨어 최적화 (Optimization of Distribution Basin Weirs at a Sewage Treatment Plant Based on Computational Fluid Analysis Using the Taguchi and Minitab Method)

  • 정용준;박해식;조영만
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.983-991
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    • 2021
  • The role of the distribution basin role is to apportion incoming raw water to the primary sedimentation basin as part of the water treatment process. The purpose of this study was to calculate the amount of water in the distribution basin using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis and to find a way to improve any non-uniformity. We used the Taguchi method and the minitab tool as optimization methods. The results of the CFD calculation showed that the distribution flow had a deviation of 5% at the minimum inflow, 10% at the average inflow, and 22% at the maximum inflow. At maximum flow, the appropriate heights of the 7 weirs(C, D, A, B, E, F, G) were 40 mm, 20 mm, 20 mm, 0, 0, 0, and 20 mm, respectively, according to the Taguchi optimization tool. Here, the maximum deviation of the distribution amount was 9% and the standard deviation was 23.7. The appropriate heights of the 7 weirs, according to the Minitab tool, were 40 mm, 20 mm, 20 mm, 0, 0, 0, and 20 mm, respectively, for weirs C, D, A, B, E, F, and G. Therefore, the maximum deviation of the distribution amount was 8% and the standard deviation was 17.1, which was slightly improved compared to the Taguchi method.

우리나라의 확률적설량 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Probable Snowfall Depth in Korea)

  • 이재준;정영훈;이상원
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제7권2호통권25호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2007
  • 국내의 경우 매년 발생하는 홍수에 대해서는 많은 분석과 대비를 하고 있지만, 겨울철 폭설에 대한 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 산하 52개 관측지점의 30년 이상의 최심신적설량 자료를 수집하고 각 지점별 적설량의 최적분포형을 결정하여 확률적설량을 산정하였으며, 지역별 확률적설량의 분포를 파악하기 쉽게 재현기간별 확률적설량도를 작성 제시하였다. 지점별 최심신적설량의 적정분포형으로는 2모수 gamma분포가 우세하였고, 과거 주요폭설기록의 재현기간은 약 500년 내외를 보인 2005년, 재현기간 약 200년 정도를 보인 2004년의 확률적 규모를 볼 때 설하중에 대한 설계기준의 확립이 긴요하다. 우리나라의 확률적설량은 남부지방인 영 호남 지역 보다 중부지방으로 올라 갈수록 증가하고 있으며, 특히 태백산맥과 소백산맥을 경계로 서쪽과 동쪽의 편차가 뚜렷한 차이를 보이고 있다.