• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident costs

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Cost-benefit analysis of public investment on aircraft design assurance infrastructure (중형항공기 설계검증·인프라구축과 인증기개발의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Yi, Jae-Kyung;Kim, Myeong-Kyun;Kim, Yong-Min;Lee, Tae-Hee;Kim, Do-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.38 no.9
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    • pp.900-906
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    • 2010
  • We analyse benefits and costs of investment on the assurance of aircraft design and development of related infrastructure. Although the discounted cash flow from the sales of aircrafts is found to be smaller than the amount of required investment, the net present value considering the effects of export increase, import substitution, and the accident cost reduction is very high. This justifies governmental investment, for the effects are not easily appropriated by private investors.

Electricity Pricing Policy Alternatives to Control Rapid Electrification in Korea

  • Kim, Changseob;Shin, Jungwoo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.285-299
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    • 2016
  • Although South Korea experienced a rolling blackout in 2011, the possibility of a blackout in South Korea continues to increase due to rapid electrification. This study examines the problems of energy taxation and price distortions as possible reasons for the rapid electrification in South Korea, which is occurring at a faster rate than in Japan, Europe, and other developed countries. Further, we suggest new energy taxation and price systems designed to normalize electricity prices. In order to do so, we consider two possible scenarios: the first imposes a tax on bituminous coal for electricity generation and the second levies a tax to provide compensation for the potential damages from a nuclear accident. Based on these scenarios, we analyze the effects of a new energy system on electricity price and demand. The results show that a new energy system could guarantee the power generation costs and balance the relative prices between energy sources, and could also help prevent rapid electrification. Therefore, the suggested new energy system is expected to be utilized as a basis for energy policy to decrease the speed of electrification, thus preventing a blackout, and to induce the rational consumption of energy in South Korea.

Investigating the Economic Effects of Aviation Safety Technology Development (항공안전기술개발이 미치는 경제적 파급효과에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Seo, Hae-Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.769-772
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    • 2007
  • This research was conducted to investigate the economoic effects of aviation safety technology development. The important subjects of aviation safety technology development, aviation accident prevention and damage reduction technique, aircraft safety certification development, BASA promotion in an aircraft class, were included to investigate the economic effects. The survey technique using Benefit-Cost Anlysis was performed and the results showed that aviation safety technology development brought scientific technique effect, industrial and economic effect, and the rest effects. Also, the benefits from aviation safety technology development were much greater than the costs.

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Feasibility Analysis of Alternative Electricity Systems by 2030 in the Post-Fukushima Era

  • Park, Nyun-Bae;Lee, Sanghoon;Han, Jin-Yi;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2014
  • The Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011 had an extensive impact on the national electricity plans. This paper outlines alternative electricity scenarios that meet the goals of nuclear phase-out and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction. This paper also analyzes the results of each scenario in respect to the electricity mix, GHG emissions, costs and employment effects. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) model was used to simulate the annual electricity demand and supply system from 2011 to 2030. The reference year was 2009. Scenarios are reference (where existing plans are continued), A1, A2, B1, B2, and C2 (where the levels of demand management and nuclear phase-out are different). The share of renewable energy in the electricity mix in 2030 for each scenario will be increased from about 1% in 2009 to 8% in the reference scenario and from 11% to 31% in five alternative scenarios. Total cumulative cost increases up to 14% more than the reference scenario by replacing nuclear power plants with renewable energy in alternative scenarios could be affordable. Deploying enough renewable energy to meet such targets requires a roadmap for electricity price realization, expansion of research, development and deployment for renewable energy technologies, establishment of an organization dedicated to renewable energy, and ambitious targets for renewable energy.

The Feasibility Study of Aviation Safety Technology Development (항공안전기술개발의 사업타당성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hur, Hee-Young;Park, Jin-Woo;Seo, Hae-Jong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2008
  • This research was conducted to investigate the feasibility of aviation safety technology development. The important subjects of aviation safety technology development, aviation accident prevention and damage reduction technique, aircraft safety certification development, BASA promotion in an aircraft class, were included to investigate the the feasibility of aviation safety technology development. The survey technique using Benefit-Cost Anlysis was performed and the results showed that aviation safety technology development brought scientific technique effect, industrial and economic effect, and the rest effects. Also, the benefits from aviation safety technology development were much greater than the costs.

Assessment of Vehicle Safety Standard Requirements for New Micro-mobility Vehicle (초소형자동차의 자동차안전기준에 대한 효과분석)

  • Jang, Jeong Ah;Sim, Sojung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.190-200
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    • 2017
  • In general, an assessment of the benefits and costs with regard to vehicle safety standards are validated before regulations are implemented. This paper performs this validation for the mandatory automobile safety devices requirement for new micro-mobility. The reviewed car safety standards involved the installation of seat belts, airbags, ABS, crash speed standards, and pedestrian warning system. The benefit was estimated as the cost of accident reduction due to the installation of vehicle safety standards. As a result, the safety belt showed a B / C of 4.0 or higher, and it was found that the seat belt should be installed from 2017. After the seatbelt regulation in 2017, the results of the scenarios with the airbag, ABS, crash speed of 40 km/h, and the pedestrian warning system showed B / C of 1.0 or more according to the year of regulation. This study can be useful as a tool in the decision-making process with regard to the timing and type of vehicle safety standards requirement of micro-mobility in the future.

A Probabilistic Analysis on the Repair and Replacement Cost of Educational Facilities (교육시설물의 수선교체비용에 대한 확률론적 분석 연구)

  • Yu, Yeong-jin;Son, Kiyoung;Kim, Ji-Myong;Kim, Taihui
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2018
  • Educational facilities are more uncertain about maintenance costs due to their comprehensive and long life-cycle compared to commercial buildings. In addition, maintenance of the existing post management system can not maintain the original function of education facilities continuously and economically. In order to overcome this problem, it is necessary to analyze the repair and replacement cost for the uncertainty factor in maintenance. This study propose a model to determine repair and maintenance cost and cycle of educational facility based on probabilistic estimation concept. For the analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, a probabilistic analysis method, was applied based on the repair and maintenance history data of the educational facilities in Florida. The results of this study can be used as a guideline for quantitative facility management and facility management research.

A Forecasting and Decision Model that Incorporates Accident Risks (사고 위험성을 고려한 운행중지 결정 모형)

  • Yang Hee-Joong;Lee Keun-Boo;Oh Se-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2004
  • For a given plant design, improved decisions on when to shutdown an existing plant may be obtained by making better predictions of failure rates, by exerting efforts to collect more relevant information or by improving decision making models which put that information to best use. It is important that the models include the value of possible loss of lives and fear along with cleanup, decommissioning, relocation if the decisions derived from the model are to be useful. The decision model we have described enables us to investigate a class of optimal decisions on whether to shutdown or continue operating one period of time. The analysis and decision process is repeated at the end of each period with additional information about new costs and risks.

Verification on Separation Distance Criteria when Transporting Dangerous Goods in Korea Railroad (국내 철도 위험물 운송 시 격리차 운영기준 안전성 검증)

  • Lee, Byeongwoo;Park, Dasung;Kang, Taesun;Jung, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2019
  • After the Tianjin Port explosion on 2015, it is highlighted that securing safety for dangerous goods in Korea and try to establish safety standards for railroad dangerous substances transport. In Korea, the regulation for the transport of dangerous goods is stipulated to need 3 buffer cars. However, It is inefficient that 3 buffer cars. because 3 buffer cars, increase transportation too much costs in transit and it is too strict compared to other country rules. The purpose of this study was to improve transportation efficiency by mitigating the criteria for isolated railroads through rational safety assessment. In order to verify this, we used a risk assessment software which is PHAST 7.2 developed by DNV GL. We calculated safety distances that could prevent ignitions setting up scenarios when relief system work installed on a train loaded with propylene, nonane. As a result, we confirmed that buffer cars can be reduced from three to one. This result would be implemented in the application of Korail.

The game of safety behaviors among different departments of the nuclear power plants

  • Yuan, Da;Wang, Hanqing;Wu, Jian
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.909-916
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    • 2022
  • To study the developments and variations of unsafe behaviors in nuclear power plants thus reduce the possibility of human-related accidents, this paper, based on the Game Theory, focused on the changes in benefits of the Department of Management, Operational and Emergency in a nuclear power plant, and established the expected revenue functions of these departments. Additionally, the preventive measures of unsafe behaviors in nuclear power plants were also presented in terms of these 3 departments. Results showed that the violations of the Operation Department (OD) and the Emergency Department (ED) were not only relevant with the factors such as their own risks, costs, and the responsibility-sharing due to accidents, but also affected by the safety investments from the Management Department (MD). Furthermore, results also showed that the accident-induced responsibility-sharing of both the OD and the ED would rise, if the MD increased the investments in safety. As a result, the probability of violation behaviors of these 3 departments would be attenuated consciously, which would reduce the unsafe behaviors in the nuclear power plants significantly.