• 제목/요약/키워드: Yule-Walker equation

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A Formula for Computing the Autocorrelations of the AR Process

  • Cho, Sung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • 제15권2E호
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    • pp.4-7
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose a formula to compute the exact autocorrelations of the autoregressive (AR) process. For an arbitrary value of N, we first review the Yule-Walker equation and some basic properties of the AR model. We then modify the Yule-Walker equation to construct a new system of N+1 linear equations that can be used to solve for the N+1 autocorrelation coefficients for lags 0, 1, …, N, provided that the AR parameters of order N and the power of the white noise of the AR process are given.

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수산 관련 시계열 자료를 이용한 통계학적 분석에서의 자기상관에 대한 고찰 (Autocorrelation in Statistical Analyses of Fisheries Time Series Data)

  • 박영철;히야마 요시아끼
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2002
  • 시계열자료가 가진 자기상관은 추정된 상관관계를 왜곡시키는 요인들 중의 하나로 작용한다. 회귀모형의 잔차항에 자기상관이 있는 지를 검정하기 위해 Durbin-Watson 통계량이 흔히 쓰인다. 잔차항에 자기상관을 가진 회귀모형의 효율성을 향상시키기 위해 yule-Walker 법, 비선형최소제곱법, 최우추정법 및 사전백색화법이 사용되어 왔다. 본 연구는 자기상관으로 인한 상관관계의 왜곡을 방지하기 위한 이들 방법들에 대해 고찰하였다. 사전백색화법을 제외한 앞의 3가지 방법을 20년간의 실제 시계열 자료에 적용하였으며 몬테카를로법을 이용하여 각 방법의 오차변이를 조사하였다. 각 방법의 평균잔차제곱분포의 경우, 최우추정법으로 추정된 평균잔차제곱이 가장 작았으며 분포 범위도 가장 작았으나 각 추정방법 사이에 유의한 차이가 발견되지는 않았다.

순환 근사 과결정 ARMA 스펙트럼 추정 (Recursive approximate overdetermined ARMA spectral estimation)

  • 이철희;이석원;양흥석
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1987년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국과학기술대학, 충남; 16-17 Oct. 1987
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    • pp.446-450
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    • 1987
  • In this paper, overdetermined method is used for high resolution spectral estimation in case of short data record length. To reduce the computational effort and to obtain recursive form of estimation algorithm, we modify data matrix to have near-Toeplitz structure. Then, new recursive algorithm is derived in the form of fast Kalman algorithm. Two stage procedure is used for the estimation of ARMA parameters. First AR parameters are estimated by using overdetermined modified Yule-walker equation, and then MA parameters are implicitly estimated by estimating numerator spectral coefficients(NS).

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On a Multiple Data Handling Method under Online Parameter Estimation

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Amemiya, Takashi;Iino, Katsuhiro;Masuda, Shiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2002
  • In the field of plant maintenance, data that are gathered by sensors on multiple machines are handled and analyzed. Online or pseudo online data handling is required on such fields. When the data occurrence speed exceeds the data handling speed, multiple data should be handled at a time (batch data handling or pseudo online data handling). If l amount of data are received at one time following N amount of data, how to estimate the new parameters effectively is a great concern. A new simplified calculation method, which calculates the N data's weights, is introduced. Numerical examples show that this new method has a fairly god estimation accuracy and the calculation time is less than 1/10 compared with the case when the whole data are re-calculated. Even under the restriction calculation ability in the apparatus is limited, this proposed method makes the failure detection of equipments possible in early stages with a few new coming data. This method would be applicable in many data handling fields.