• Title/Summary/Keyword: Yield Models

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A Study on Failure Assessment Diagrams for a Solid Propellant (고체추진제의 파손평가선도 작성에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jae-Seok;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Yang, Ho-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2012
  • Failure mechanisms for a solid propellant were discussed, and the stip-yield and the inherent flaw models were applied to them. Then, failure assessment diagram methods were investigated by means of modified two models. Fracture toughness tests using CCT(center-cracked tension) specimens made of a solid propellant were conducted to generate the failure assessment diagrams. The failure assessment diagram of the inherent flaw model was normalized in order to compare with that of the modified strip-yield model. From the comparison of two failure assessment diagrams, it was found that the failure assessment diagram of the modified inherent flaw model more conservatively assesses the failure than that of the modified strip-yield model.

On the effect of GFRP fibers on retrofitting steel shear walls with low yield stress

  • Edalati, S.A.;Yadollahi, Y.;Pakar, I.;Bayat, M.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1453-1461
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    • 2015
  • In this article the non-linear behavior of the shear wall with low yield stress retrofitted with Glass Fiber Reinforced Polymer (GFRP) is investigated under pushover loading. The models used in this study are in ${\frac{1}{2}}$ scale of one story frame and simple steel plates with low yield stress filled the frame span. The models used were simulated and analyzed using finite elements method based on experimental data. After verification of the experimental model, various parameters of the model including the number of GFRP layers, fibers positioning in one or two sides of the wall, GFRP angles in respect to the wall and thickness of the steel plate were studied. The results have shown that adding the GFRP layers, the ultimate shear capacity is increased and the amount of energy absorbed is decreased. Besides, the results showed that using these fibers in low-thickness plates is effective and if the positioning angle of the fibers on the wall is diagonal, its behavior will improve.

A Study on Failure Assessment Diagrams for a Highly Filled Elastomer (고충전 탄성중합체의 파손평가선도 작성에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jae-Seok;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Yang, Ho-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.532-538
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    • 2012
  • Failure mechanisms for a highly filled elastomer were discussed, and the stip-yield and the inherent flaw models were applied to them. Then, failure assessment diagram methods were investigated by means of modified two models. Fracture toughness tests using CCT(center-cracked tension) specimens made of a highly filled elastomer were conducted to generate the failure assessment diagrams. The failure assessment diagram of the inherent flaw model was normalized in order to compare with that of the modified strip-yield model. From the comparison of two failure assessment diagrams, it was found that the failure assessment diagram of the modified inherent flaw model more conservatively assesses the failure than that of the modified strip-yield model.

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Comparing Surplus Production Models for Selecting Effective Stock Assessment Model: Analyzing Potential Yield of East Sea, Republic of Korea (효과적인 자원평가모델 선정을 위한 잉여생산량모델의 비교 분석: 동해 생태계의 잠재생산량 분석을 대상으로)

  • Choi, Min-Je;Kim, Do-Hoon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2019
  • This study sought to find which model is most appropriate for estimating potential yield in the East Sea, Republic of Korea. For comparison purposes, the Process-error model, ASPIC model, Maximum entropy model, Observation-error model, and Bayesian state-space model were applied using data from catch amounts and total efforts of the whole catchable fishes in the East Sea. Results showed that the Bayesian state-space model was estimated to be the most reliable among the models. Potential yield of catchable species was estimated to be 227,858 tons per year. In addition, it was analyzed that the amount of fishery resources in 2016 was about 63% of the biomass that enables a fish stock to deliver the maximum sustainable yield.

Plastic yield behaviour of perforated sheets (천공판재의 항복거동)

  • 백승철;이동녕;오규환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1994.03a
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 1994
  • The sheet perforated with a uniform triangular pattern of round holes and subjected to in-plane stress f arbitrary biaxiality was investigated. The equivalent continuum approach was employed to develop a theoretical model for global analysis, which includes defining a yield criterion and the strain hardening in terms of apparent stresses and apparent strains. Finit element analysis and experiment tension test were performed to examine the validity of proposed yield criterion and strain hardening models of perforated sheets.

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Effect of plate properties on shear strength of bolt group in single plate connection

  • Ashakul, Aphinat;Khampa, Kriangkrai
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.611-637
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    • 2014
  • A single plate shear connection, or shear tab, is a very popular shear connection due to its merit in ease of construction and material economy. However, problems in understanding the connection behavior, both in terms of strength and ductility, have been well-documented. Suggestions or design model for single plate connections in AISC Design Manual have been altered several times, with the latest edition settling down to giving designers pre-calculated design strength tables if the connection details agree with given configurations. Results from many full-scale tests and finite element models in the past suggest that shear strength of a bolt group in single plate shear connections might be affected by yield strength of plate material; therefore, this research was aimed to investigate and clarify effects of plate yield strength and thickness on shear strength of the bolt group in the connections, including the validity of using a plate thickness/bolt diameter ratio ($t_p/d_b$) in design, by using finite element models. More than 20 models have been created by using ABAQUS program with 19.0- and 22.2-mm A325N bolts and A36 and Gr.50 plates with various thicknesses. Results demonstrated that increase of plate thickness or plate yield strength, with the $t_p/d_b$ ratio remained intact, could significantly reduce shear strength of the bolt group in the connection as much as 15 percent. Results also confirmed that the $t_p/d_b$ ratio is a valid indicator to be used for guaranteeing strength sufficiency. Because the actual ratio recommended by AISC Design Manual is $t_p/d_b$ + 1.6 (mm) for connections with a number of bolts less than six and plate yield strength in construction is normally higher than the nominal value used in design, it is proposed that shear strength of a bolt group in single plate connections with a number of bolts equal or greater than seven be reduced by 15 percent and the $t_p/d_b$ ratio be limited to 0.500.

Relationship of dairy heifer reproduction with survival to first calving, milk yield and culling risk in the first lactation

  • Fodor, Istvan;Lang, Zsolt;Ozsvari, Laszlo
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.1360-1368
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The aim of our study was to determine the associations of heifer reproductive performance with survival up to the first calving, first-lactation milk yield, and the probability of being culled within 50 days after first calving. Methods: Data from 33 large Holstein-Friesian commercial dairy herds were gathered from the official milk recording database in Hungary. The data of heifers first inseminated between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2014 were analyzed retrospectively, using Cox proportional hazards models, competing risks models, multivariate linear and logistic mixed-effects models. Results: Heifers (n = 35,128) with younger age at conception were more likely to remain in the herd until calving, and each additional month in age at conception increased culling risk by 5.1%. Season of birth was related to first-lactation milk yield (MY1; n = 19,931), with cows born in autumn having the highest milk production (p<0.001). The highest MY1 was achieved by heifers that first calved between 22.00 and 25.99 months of age. Heifers that calved in autumn had the highest MY1, whereas calving in summer was related to the lowest milk production (p<0.001). The risk of culling within 50 days in milk in first lactation (n = 21,225) increased along with first calving age, e.g. heifers that first calved after 30 months of age were 5.52-times more likely to be culled compared to heifers that calved before 22 months of age (p<0.001). Calving difficulty was related to higher culling risk in early lactation (p<0.001). Heifers that required caesarean section were 24.01-times more likely to leave the herd within 50 days after first calving compared to heifers that needed no assistance (p<0.001). Conclusion: Reproductive performance of replacement heifers is closely linked to longevity and milk production in dairy herds.

Lactation milk yield prediction in primiparous cows on a farm using the seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average model, nonlinear autoregressive exogenous artificial neural networks and Wood's model

  • Grzesiak, Wilhelm;Zaborski, Daniel;Szatkowska, Iwona;Krolaczyk, Katarzyna
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.770-782
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The aim of the present study was to compare the effectiveness of three approaches (the seasonal auto-regressive integrated moving average [SARIMA] model, the nonlinear autoregressive exogenous [NARX] artificial neural networks and Wood's model) to the prediction of milk yield during lactation. Methods: The dataset comprised monthly test-day records from 965 Polish Holstein-Friesian Black-and-White primiparous cows. The milk yields from cows in their first lactation (from 5 to 305 days in milk) were used. Each lactation was divided into ten lactation stages of approximately 30 days. Two age groups and four calving seasons were distinguished. The records collected between 2009 and 2015 were used for model fitting and those from 2016 for the verification of predictive performance. Results: No significant differences between the predicted and the real values were found. The predictions generated by SARIMA were slightly more accurate, although they did not differ significantly from those produced by the NARX and Wood's models. SARIMA had a slightly better performance, especially in the initial periods, whereas the NARX and Wood's models in the later ones. Conclusion: The use of SARIMA was more time-consuming than that of NARX and Wood's model. The application of the SARIMA, NARX and Wood's models (after their implementation in a user-friendly software) may allow farmers to estimate milk yield of cows that begin production for the first time.

A Robust Conjecture on the Relationship among the Expected Profits of Various Newsvendor Models (여러 가지 뉴스벤더모델의 기대값 사이의 관계에 대한 견고한 추측)

  • Won, You-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2012
  • The present study provides some extensions over a recent work in Won (2011) which investigates properties of the static newsvendor problem under a schedule involving progressive multiple discounts under the assumption that demand is given exogenously. Khouja (1995, 1996) formulated the extended versions over the classical newsvendor model with various discount policies including all-units discount and/or multiple discounts and found that the extended newsvendor models with discount schedules yield higher optimal expected profits than the classical newsvendor model with no-discounts. In this study, we establish a robust conjecture as a stronger statement than Khouja's findings with regard to the general relationship among the expected profits of newsvendor models in the sense that the conjecture holds for every order quantity as well as the optimal order quantity. The conjecture encourages the newsvendor facing quantity discounts to safely implement her own discounts policy to customer or accept quantity discounts offered by the supplier even if the optimal order quantity cannot be ordered due to additional restrictions such as budget or warehouse capacity constraints because the newsvendor models with quantity discounts always yield higher expected profit than the classic newsvendor model without quantity discounts regardless of the order quantity. Results from wide experiments with various probability distributions of demand strongly support our conjecture.

Determining Nitrogen Topdressing Rate at Panicle Initiation Stage of Rice based on Vegetation Index and SPAD Reading (유수분화기 식생지수와 SPAD값에 의한 벼 질소 수비 시용량 결정)

  • Kim Min-Ho;Fu Jin-Dong;Lee Byun-Woo
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.386-395
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    • 2006
  • The core questions for determining nitrogen topdress rate (Npi) at panicle initiation stage (PIS) are 'how much nitrogen accumulation during the reproductive stage (PNup) is required for the target rice yield or protein content depending on the growth and nitrogen nutrition status at PIS?' and 'how can we diagnose the growth and nitrogen nutrition status easily at real time basis?'. To address these questions, two years experiments from 2001 to 2002 were done under various rates of basal, tillering, and panicle nitrogen fertilizer by employing a rice cultivar, Hwaseongbyeo. The response of grain yield and milled-rice protein content was quantified in relation to RVIgreen (green ratio vegetation index) and SPAD reading measured around PIS as indirect estimators for growth and nitrogen nutrition status, the regression models were formulated to predict PNup based on the growth and nitrogen nutrition status and Npi at PIS. Grain yield showed quadratic response to PNup, RVIgreen around PIS, and SPAD reading around PIS. The regression models to predict grain yield had a high determination coefficient of above 0.95. PNup for the maximum grain yield was estimated to be 9 to 13.5 kgN/10a within the range of RVIgreen around PIS of this experiment. decreasing with increasing RVIgreen and also to be 10 to 11 kgN/10a regardless of SPAD readings around PIS. At these PNup's the protein content of milled rice was estimated to rise above 9% that might degrade eating quality seriously Milled-rice protein content showed curve-linear increase with the increase of PNup, RVIgreen around PIS, and SPAD reading around PIS. The regression models to predict protein content had a high determination coefficient of above 0.91. PNup to control the milled-rice protein content below 7% was estimated as 6 to 8 kgN/10a within the range of RVIgreen and SPAD reading of this experiment, showing much lower values than those for the maximum grain yield. The recovery of the Npi applied at PIS ranged from 53 to 83%, increasing with the increased growth amount while decreasing with the increasing Npi. The natural nitrogen supply from PIS to harvest ranged from 2.5 to 4 kg/10a, showing quadratic relationship with the shoot dry weight or shoot nitrogen content at PIS. The regression models to estimate PNup was formulated using Npi and anyone of RVIgreen, shoot dry weight, and shoot nitrogen content at PIS as predictor variables. These models showed good fitness with determination coefficients of 0.86 to 0.95 The prescription method based on the above models predicting grain yield, protein content and PNup and its constraints were discussed.