• 제목/요약/키워드: Worst case

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여천지역 누출사고 시나리오에 따른 인근 지역 피해 분석 (Offsite Consequence Analysis for Accidental Release Scenarios of Toxic Substances in the Yochon Area)

  • 김영성
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 1999
  • Offsite consequences resulting form worst-case scenarios involving release of toxic substances in the Yochon area were estimated using the ALOHA(Areal Locations of Hazardous Atmospheres) model. Eight toxic substances, including NH3, were considered; five were toxic gases and three were toxic liquids at ambient temperature. For toxic gases, the entire quantity was assumed to be released at a constant rate during a 10-minute period. For toxic liquids, the entire quantity stored in the tank was assumed to be spilled and spread and spread instantaneously to form a pool with a depth of 1cm, and then evaporated over some period of time. Except for phosgene and toluene 2,4-diisocyanate, for which concentration levels corresponding to human health effects are very low, average distances of the area at risk of adverse health effects for a 1- tom release were predicted to be $2.3{\pm}1.1 km$ for the worst-case meteorological conditions and $0.93{\pm}0.69km$ under typical meteorological conditions of the Yochon are. Because a large number of people were predicted to be affected in the current analysis, refined analyses considering both realistic accident scenarios and topographic effects were warranted.

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CAN기반 분산 제어시스템의 종단 간 지연시간 분석과 협조 스케줄링 알고리즘 개발 (Development of Coordinated Scheduling Algorithm and End-to-end Delay Analysis for CAN-based Distributed Control Systems)

  • 이희배;김홍열;김대원
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.501-508
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a coordinated scheduling algorithm is proposed to reduce end-to-end delay in distributed control of systems. For the algorithm, the analysis of practical end-to-end delay in the worst case is performed priory with considering implementation of the systems. The end-to-end delay is composed of the delay caused by multi-task scheduling of operating systems, the delay caused by network communications, and the delay caused by asynchronous timing between operating systems and network communications. Through some simulation tests based on CAN(Controller Area Network), the proposed worst case end-to-end delay analysis is validated. Through the simulation tests, it is also shown that a real-time distributed control system designed to existing worst case delay cannot guarantee end-to-end time constraints. With the analysis, a coordinated scheduling algorithm is proposed here. The coordinated scheduling algorithm is focused on the reduction of the delay caused by asynchronous timing between operating systems and network communications. Online deadline assignment strategy is proposed for the scheduling. The performance enhancement of the distributed control systems by the scheduling algorithm is shown through simulation tests.

석유화학공장의 소화설비에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Firefighting Equipment in Petrochemical Plants)

  • 김봉훈;최재욱;임우섭
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 2014
  • 석유화학공장에서 화재 폭발사고는 매년 반복되고 있으나 화재 방호시스템에 관한 국내 법규는 최악의 화재 시나리오에 대응하기에는 미흡한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 석유화학공장에서 국내외 화재 방호시스템의 기준을 비교 분석하고 울산국가산업단지 석유화학공장 32개소의 소화설비 현황을 조사하였다. 결론적으로 석유화학공장에서 소화용수는 최악의 화재 시나리오를 기반으로 하여 설계하고 고정식 물분무 설비, 고가 모니터 노즐, 워터커튼 설비, 대용량 포모니터 설비와 같은 소화설비가 최악의 화재 시나리오에 대비하여 설치되어야 할 것으로 나타났다.

건축물의 화재 시 피난안전성 평가 개선을 위한 시뮬레이션 분석 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Simulation for Improvement Evacuation Safety Assessment of Building in Fire)

  • 김혜원;김윤성;이병흔;진승현;구인혁;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2020년도 가을 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.107-108
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    • 2020
  • There is a need to analyze various factors in evacuation safety assessment of building in fire. In the current performance based design, evacuation safety assessment in case of fire is being conducted through the simulation as FDS and Pathfinder. However, the location and size of the door, the location of evacuation in the event of a fire are not considered when design. Accordingly, it is difficult to determine the worst case scenario considering the actual fire. Therefore in this study, in this study, we will propose an appropriate evaluation plan through simulation considering the worst-case scenario that may occur in case of fire.

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A DECISION-MAKER CONFIDENCE LEVEL BASED MULTI-CHOICE BEST-WORST METHOD: AN MCDM APPROACH

  • SEEMA BANO;MD. GULZARUL HASAN;ABDUL QUDDOOS
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.257-281
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    • 2024
  • In real life, a decision-maker can assign multiple values for pairwise comparison with a certain confidence level. Studies incorporating multi-choice parameters in multi-criteria decision-making methods are lacking in the literature. So, In this work, an extension of the Best-Worst Method (BWM) with multi-choice pairwise comparisons and multi-choice confidence parameters has been proposed. This work incorporates an extension to the original BWM with multi-choice uncertainty and confidence level. The BWM presumes the Decision-Maker to be fully confident about preference criteria vectors best to others & others to worst. In the proposed work, we consider uncertainty by giving decision-makers freedom to have multiple choices for preference comparison and having a corresponding confidence degree for each choice. This adds one more parameter corresponding to the degree of confidence of each choice to the already existing MCDM, i.e. multi-choice BWM and yields acceptable results similar to other studies. Also, the consistency ratio remained low within the acceptable range. Two real-life case studies are presented to validate our study on proposed models.

에어로졸의 준실시간 관측에 의한 여름철 도시지역 시정 감쇄 현상의 광ㆍ화학적인 특성 분석 (Opto-Chemical Characteristics of Visibility Impairment Using Semi-Continuous Aerosol Monitoring in an Urban Area during Summertime)

  • 김경원;김영준
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.647-661
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    • 2003
  • For continuous monitoring of atmospheric visibility in the city of Kwanaju, Korea, a transmissometer system consisting of a transmitter and a receiver was installed at a distance of 1.91 km across the downtown Kwanaju. At the transmitter site an integrating nephelometer and an aethalometer were also installed to measure the scattering and absorption coefficients of the atmosphere, respectively. At the receiver site. an URG PM$_{2.5}$ cyclone sampler and an URG-VAPS (Versatile Air Pollutant Sampler) with three filter packs and two denuders were used to collect both PM$_{2.5}$ and PM$_{10}$ samples at a 2-hour or 12-hour sampling interval for aerosol chemical analysis. Sulfate, organic mass by carbon (OMC), nitrate, elemental carbon (EC) components of fine aerosol were the major contributors to visibility impairment. Diurnal variation of visibility during best-case days showed rapid improvement in the morning hours, while it was delayed until afternoon during the worst-case days. Aerosol mass concentration of each aerosol component for the worst-case was calculated to be 11.2 times larger than the best-case for (NH$_4$)$_2$SO$_4$(NHSO), 19.0 times for NH$_4$NO$_3$ (NHNO), 2.2 times for OMC, respectively. Also result shows that elemental carbon and fine soil (FS) were 3.7 and 2.2 times more than those of best-case. respectively- Sum of total contributions of wet NHSO and NHNO to light extinction was calculated to be 301 Mm$^{-1}$ for the worst-case. However, sum of contributions by dry NHSO and NHNO was calculated to be 123 Mm$^{-1}$ for the best case. Mass extinction efficiencies of fine and coarse particles were calculated to be 5.8$\pm$0.3 $m^2$/g and 1.8$\pm$0.1 $m^2$/g, respectively.ely.

Estimating Worst Case Flood and Inundation Damages under Climate Change

  • Kim, Sunmin;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Nakakita, Eiichi
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.189-189
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    • 2016
  • To generate information that contributes to climate change risk management, it is important to perform a precise assessment on the impact in diverse aspects. Considering this academic necessity, Japanese government launched continuous research project for the climate change impact assessment, and one of the representative project is Program for Risk Information on Climate Change (Sousei Program), Theme D; Precise Impact Assessment on Climate Change (FY2012 ~ FY2016). In this research program, quantitative impact assessments have been doing from a variety of perspectives including natural hazards, water resources, and ecosystems and biodiversity. Especially for the natural hazards aspect, a comprehensive impact assessment has been carried out with the worst-case scenario of typhoons, which cause the most serious weather-related damage in Japan, concerning the frequency and scale of the typhoons as well as accompanying disasters by heavy rainfall, strong winds, high tides, high waves, and landslides. In this presentation, a framework of comprehensive impact assessment with the worst-case scenario under the climate change condition is introduced based on a case study of Theme D in Sousei program There are approx. 25 typhoons annually and around 10 of those approach or make landfall in Japan. The number of typhoons may not change increase in the future, but it is known that a small alteration in the path of a typhoon can have an extremely large impact on the amount of rain and wind Japan receives, and as a result, cause immense damage. Specifically, it is important to assess the impact of a complex disaster including precipitation, strong winds, river overflows, and high tide inundation, simulating how different the damage of Isewan Typhoon (T5915) in 1959 would have been if the typhoon had taken a different path, or how powerful or how much damage it would cause if Isewan Typhoon occurs again in the future when the sea surface water temperature has risen due to climate changes (Pseudo global warming experiment). The research group also predict and assess how the frequency of "100-years return period" disasters and worst-case damage will change in the coming century. As a final goal in this research activity, the natural disaster impact assessment will extend not only Japan but also major rivers in Southeast Asia, with a special focus on floods and inundations.

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실시간 시스템용 낸드 플래시 메모리를 위한 로그 버퍼 관리 기법 (Log Buffer Management Scheme for NAND Flash Memory in Real-Time Systems)

  • 조현진;하병민;신동군;엄영익
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.463-475
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    • 2009
  • 플래시 메모리는 일관된 성능, 저전력 및 내구성 등의 특징으로 인해 실시간 시스템에 적합한 저장장치로 주목 받고 있다. 하지만 플래시 메모리는 무효화된 페이지의 가비지 컬렉션 수행을 위한 정체 시간(blocking time)을 필요로 하는데, 기존의 플래시 메모리 관리 기법에서는 가비지 컬렉션을 위한 최대 정체 시간(worst case blocking time)과 최소 정체 시간(best case blocking time)의 차가 크다는 문제점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 KAST라 불리는 FTL(Flash Translation Layer)을 제안하며, 제안 시스템에서 사용자는 가비지 컬렉션에 따른 최대 정체 시간을 설정할 수 있도록 한다. 실험을 통해 KAST는 사용자가 설정한 시간 내 가비지 컬렉션을 완료하며, 기존 FTL 보다 10~15% 성능 향상을 보임을 확인한다.

해석적 방법을 이용한 Worst Hot 조건에서 질량변화의 여부에 따른 발사시 열해석

  • 김희경;최준민;현범석
    • 항공우주기술
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2004
  • 발사단계 중 fairing jettison에서 separation에 이르는 과정에서 위성체의 부품박스가 가지는 온도를 worst hot 조건에 대하여 해석적 방법을 이용하여 구하였다. Fairing jettison 이후에 위성체에 가해지는 외부 열환경과 박스 자체 내부에서의 발열, 박스 자체의 온도에 의한 방사열을 고려하여, 하나의 질량으로 가정할 수 있는 박스에 대한 온도 지배방정식을 해석해가 존재하는 1차 상미분 방정식으로 단순할 수 있었다. 특히, 고려하는 박스의 질량의 변화여부에 따라 해석해가 다른 지배방정식이 유도되었고, 각 경우에 대하여도 단순화된 식 내의 상수항의 조건에 따라 서로 다른 해석해가 존재하였다. 또한, 유도된 해석해를 실제 위성체인 STSAT-1의 worst hot 발사 조건에 대하여 적용하여 위성체 상단에 부착한 부품 박스의 온도를 예측하여 보았고, 이를 통하여 해석해의 유용성을 검증하였다.

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Customer Order Scheduling Problem on Parallel Machines with Identical Order Size

  • Yang, Jae-Hwan
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.47-77
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    • 2007
  • This paper considers a scheduling problem where a customer orders multiple products(jobs) from a production facility. The objective is to minimize the sum of the order(batch) completion times. While a machine can process only one job at a time, multiple machines can simultaneously process jobs in a batch. Although each job has a unique processing time, we consider the case where batch processing times are identical. This simplification allows us to develop heuristics with improved performance bounds. This problem was motivated by a real world problem encountered by foreign electronics manufacturers. We first establish the complexity of the problem. For the two parallel machine case, we introduce two simple but intuitive heuristics, and find their worst case relative error bounds. One bound is tight and the other bound goes to 1 as the number of orders goes to infinity. However, neither heuristic is superior for all instances. We extend one of the heuristics to an arbitrary number of parallel machines. For a fixed number of parallel machines, we find a worst case bound which goes to 1 as the number of orders goes to infinity. Then, a tighter bound is found for the three parallel machine case. Finally, the heuristics are empirically evaluated.