• 분석과 대안
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.71-102
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• 2020

This study analyzes the effect of demographic changes on economic growth. We use the supply-side output identity to forecast the growth potential of the Korean economy. According to the results, even based on optimistic assumptions and prospects, the economic growth rate is likely to fall drastically starting in 2020. Of course, to maintain growth potential, efforts to increase productivity are necessary. However, given the historical experience of developed countries, it is not clear whether the huge trend of demographic change can be offset by efforts to increase productivity. In the so-called '30-50 club' countries, both labor productivity and growth rate tend to fall after reaching the per capita income of $30,000. The degree of decline in the growth rate is closely related to changes in the working age population and the prime-age workforce. The results are similar when tracking the path of changes in total factor productivities of the economy. When a certain level of income is reached, the increase in total factor productivity also tends to slow down. The ripple effects of rapid changes in demographics will indeed be extensive. The negative impact is likely to be concentrated at a time when the working age population, the prime-age workforce, and the total population shrink simultaneously. Above all, it is necessary to use the government's fiscal space to block the possibility of a rapid fall in the growth rate. In addition, it is important to continuously implement various reform tasks that should be promoted, such as improving the education system and strengthening the social safety net.

• 한국인구학
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.1-18
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• 1990

This is a study which attempt to analyze changing patierns of economic active popu-lation, t o estimato- future patterns, and exa- mine vartons problems arises by changing c ire u mst ances of t he labor force market in- clunging soici al, economic ic, heathl th and demoi-graph ic aspects. We have constructed series of wotking life table which are useful in syt uiolyioig the lirocess of growth and structural change of labor force. Work i ng life tables represent ihie life eyele of econrmic' activity in hi ypothetical cohorts, that is. gen-erat i on of men Sn bject at eat' b period ot f their lives th given ra to's o mor tali it y and of par-- tici pation in economic activities. The tabloes prot' ide measorues of the alvet'age he ng t able of economically aeti \- e life. and agespecific rates of en trannee' into and retirement from the hahn' force. In const routing working life tables, age-specific activity rates and life tabole popula- titoto which represents contemporary condi-tions of moortality in Korea au'e the basic' maltoerials. We have derived the age-specific rates foorm economically active population survey, whoich were conducted by the Bureau of Statistics, Economic Planning Borard of the Korean government. Working life tables are constructed for men wtable these materi- als in the year of 1970, 1980 and 1988 by a modified Wolfbein-Wool's method. Some of the findings may be summerized as follow : 1) A central part of constructing working life table is calculation of stationary' economic active population, which represents the number of men in the stationtary population extoected to be in the labor force at each age group in the life span. The stationary economic active population by age have generally a universal pattern, where they rise sharply in the early twenties, approach its' peak in the thirties decline thereafter. at first graolually and then more rapidly at an advanced age. Korean men show the same general pa ttern of age distribution of stationary eco-- nomic active population with sharp increase hegining from the age interval of 20 to 24, reaching to maximum level at older age. The population. however, presumably, increased substantially due to increaseing school atte endance rates. Another difference exiSts in the youngest age groups, that is the activity rate in the year of 1988 is lower than that of Japan. The table shows an analysis of changes in the age distrihution of labor force between 1970, 1980 and 1988. 2) It was shown an analysis of changes in the age distribution and cause of separation from labor force. The entrance rate to labor force has increased from 18~\5 persons to 299 persons per 1000 head of stationary population between that of 1980 than that of 1988 for Korean men in 20~24 age group. The entrace rate to labor force shows a rapid entrance appearance concentrated on the 15~24 age group. The separation rate from labor force by retirment in Korea in the year of 1988 shows a great difference of the about four times as much as that of Japan. 3) The functions of table illustrate the patterns of working life of males in Korea in 1970, 1980 and 1988. The average remaining number of economically active years, e at age 15 in 1988 is 46.39 which is 2.12 years of increase compared with that of at age 15 in 1970,1980 and 1988 are 43.90,44.27 and 46.39 respectively, showing steadily increase dur- ing the past double decade the increase in the length of economically active life various age may be considered to have come both from extention of general life expectancy and from increasing entrance rate to economic activity in high age that of working is far greater in 1988 than that of 1980. The gaps between expectation of life and average remaining years of economically active widened due to rapid improvement of mortality level in Ko- rea. This observation together with the population pressure by the appearance of a group of younger population implies that constant increase of economically inactive population among older age group.

• 한국인구학
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.13-29
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• 1986

This study was carried out to calculate working life expectancy and its potential gains according to the degree of reduction in the specific causes of death. It sought to ascertain what potential gains in labor force longevity might be reasonably achieved through efforts to reduce mortality from injuries and poisoning, diseases of circulatory system, neoplasms and the other causes of death. The data were drawn from the three sources such as "The 1982 Causes of Death Statistics," "Abridged Life Table for Korea 1978~'79" and "The 1982 annual Report of Economically Active Population" issued by Economic Planning Board. Analytical tools used in this study were the cause-deleted life table and the Wolfbein Wool's working life table method. Partial life expectancy was adopted as an index of this study, This application will be widely used as a good demographic tool for analyzing the dynamics of labor force and causes of death. Some of the findings are summerized as follows. 1. Partial life expectancies from initial age 15, 25, and 45 respectively to terminal age 65 are 44.86, 35.59 and 17.41 year in life expectancy itself, 37.08, 32.83 and 15.21 year in working life expectancy, 7.78, 2.76 and 2.20 years in inactive life years. 2. Potential gains in working expectancy from initial age 15, 25 and 45 to terminal age 65 by the complete elimination of the specific causes of death are 1.36, 0.94 and 0.27 years in injuries and poisoning, 0.88, 0.83 and 0.54 years in diseases of circulatory system, 0.56, 0.54 and 0.37 years in neoplasms, 1.13, 1.02 and 0.58 years in the other causes of death. The relationship between degree of reduction in causes of death and potential gains in working life years is in direct proportion. The prime orders of reduction effectiveness in age groups by the causes of death are injuries and poisoning in age 15-24, the other causes of death in age 25-49 and diseases of circulatory system in age 50 and over. 3. If it were possible to reduce 25%, 50% and 75% in mortality condition 1978~'79, the average length of working life would be 38.08, 39.13 and 40.17 years in age 15, and 33.68, 34.57 and 35.44 years in age 25, and 15.67, 16.14 and 16.63 years in age 45.

• 한국사회복지학
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• 제57권1호
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• pp.271-297
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• 2005

본 연구는 룩셈부르크소득연구의 가구소득자료를 이용하여 1980년대 이래 서구 복지국가에서 빈곤의 실태는 어떻게 변화하고 있는가를 분석하고, 빈곤의 변화추세를 인구집단별 및 소득원별로 분해함으로써 경제사회구조 및 공적소득이전제도의 변화가 빈곤의 추세와 어떠한 관련을 맺고 있는지를 탐색하였다. 연구결과는 먼저 대부분의 서구 복지국가에서 빈곤이 심화되는 추세에 있음을 보여 준다. 이처럼 빈곤이 심화되는 추세에 있는 것은 노령층이나 편부모가구 등 전통적으로 빈곤의 위험이 높은 인구집단이 증가하고 있는 때문만은 아니다. 노령층의 경우 연금제도 등 공적소득이전의 영향으로 인해 생산연령층에 비해 빈곤상태가 낮은 수준을 보이고 있으며 시장소득의 빈곤도 점차적으로 감소하는 추세에 있다. 편부모가구는 전반적으로 생산연령층 일반가구에 비해 빈곤의 정도가 심한 편이나 빈곤의 변화추세는 노동시장정책 및 공적소득이전제도의 차이에 따라 국가별로 크게 다르게 나타난다. 서구 복지국가에서 빈곤이 심화되는 것은 무엇보다 생산연령층 인구의 빈곤, 특히 시장소득 빈곤이 심화되고 있는데서 그 원인을 찾을 수 있다. 경제의 세계화와 노동시장 유연화에 따른 실업 및 비정규직의 증가, 저임금 노동자의 증가 등 최근의 경제환경 변화가 생산연령층 인구의 빈곤을 증가시키는 요인으로 작용할 가능성이 높은데, 이에 대한 구체적이고 깊이 있는 분석과 함께 이 계층에 대한 빈곤정책이 확대될 필요가 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.66-73
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• 2019

Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the trajectory of change of diverse attention and working memory in Koreans from 4 to 40 years of age. Methods: The data of 912 subjects from 4 to 15 years of age obtained from a previous standardization study of the computerized comprehensive attention test were merged with the newly obtained data of 150 subjects aged 16 to 40 years from this study. We evaluated the various kinds of attention, in which each subtest had five indicators. Working memory, with parameters such as number of correct responses and span, was also measured. Results: Our findings indicated that attention developed as age increased, and it decreased or was maintained after a certain age. Selective and sustained attention developed rapidly in children and adolescents, until mid-teens or 20 s when it ceased development. Divided attention, however, developed up to approximately age 20. In addition, working memory developed until mid-teens or 20 s. Conclusion: We presented the standardized data on diverse kinds of attention and working memory in children, adolescents, and adults in Korea. We could recognize any patterns of change in attention and working memory with increasing age.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2021

주5일제 실시, 인구 고령화 등으로 근로 환경이 과거에 비해 크게 바뀌었지만 빈도율, 강도율, Safe T-score와 같은 산업재해지수에는 반영되지 않고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 평균수명 증가, 근로 가능연령 상향, 근로시간 단축, 재해에 의한 사망자 평균 연령 변화 등의 시계열 동향을 파악하기 위해 통계자료를 활용하였다. 통계자료의 시계열 추이 분석 결과 인구 고령화로 인해 기대수명이 83.3세로 늘어났고, 법정 근로연령 또한 65세로 증가하였다. 그리고 2001년부터 주5일제 근로시간제가 도입되면서 연간 평균 근로시간은 2008.1시간으로 줄어들었다. 따라서 현재의 산업재해지표에서 사용되고 있는 기준과는 상당한 차이가 있었으며, 이러한 차이는 산업재해지표를 활용해 재해의 발생빈도와 산업재해로 인한 근로손실일수 등을 계산하고 그 추이를 파악하는데 큰 영향을 줄 것이라 판단된다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.517-521
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• 2021

Background: This study aimed to investigate whether working long hours was related to infertility among female Korean workers, while taking age into consideration. Methods: We used data from the 2018 National Survey on Fertility and Family Health and Welfare in Korea that is a cross-sectional, nationally representative, and population-based survey. Infertility was defined as women who were not pregnant after regular unprotected intercourse for a year. Working long hours was classified as ≥52 hours, and subgroups as per age were classified on the basis of being younger or older than 40 years of age. Differences in infertility risk between the long working hour group and none were estimated in crude and fully adjusted logistic regression models with age-group stratification. Results: Of 5,909 Korean female workers, the crude and adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of infertility for working long hours were 1.295 (0.948-1.737) and 1.303 (0.921-1.809), respectively. In the subgroup of patients below 40 years of age, the crude and adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) were 1.957 (1.216-3.039) and 1.921 (1.144-3.120), whereas those aged 40 years or older had 0.994 (0.647-1.471) and 0.939 (0.560-1.501), respectively. The weighted prevalence of infertility increased as weekly working hours increased only for the younger than 40-year subgroup. Conclusions: Infertility is associated with working long hours, especially in young-aged workers. Thus, the working schedule must be structured to better suit young female workers.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.102-107
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• 2022

South Korea will soon be a super-aged society, as more than 20.6% of its population will be 65 years and older by 2025. As of 2022, 17.5% of the total population in South Korea is 65 years and older, which exceeds the set threshold for an aged society, where more than 14% of the population is 65 years and older. The proportion of older subway construction workers has increased. Aging workers and their work stress negatively impact their workability. A previous study demonstrated that the stress index measured using the uBioMacpa measurement device (Macpa stress index) had a significant correlation with work stress in South Korea. The device tests vascular health and measures stress levels via Macpa signal analysis. In this study, the pulse waves of subway construction workers were measured using uBioMacpa to identify their stress levels. The stress levels were analyzed by age, years of service, job position, employment type, and work type. Herein, these statistics could not be easily represented by a normal distribution; therefore, the Kruskal-Wallis test, a nonparametric statistical method, was used for the analysis of data. The results showed that age, job position, employment type, and working type affected the Macpa stress index and the stress levels of workers increased with age. In terms of job position, technical engineers were more stressed than other workers because of their poor working environment. In terms of employment type, daily-wage workers were more stressed than other workers. In terms of working type, tunneling, waterproofing, and construction scored the highest Macpa stress indexes without any significant difference, whereas earthworks scored the lowest. Based on the analysis of Macpa stress index, safety and health management plans were proposed to reduce the stress levels of workers. Moreover, a manual for efficient stress management must be developed for subway construction workers.

• 한국인구학
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.79-113
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• 2003

본 논문은 노령계층이 생활을 영위하는데 필요한 소득수준을 노령계층의 소득계층별로 도출해 보고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 노령계층의 소비지출이 근로연령계층에 비하여 유의미하게 차이가 있는지, 차이가 있다면 어느 정도나 차이가 있으며, 어떤 요인에 의하여 차이가 발생하는지를 분석하고자 하였다. 또한 근로연령계층의 소득수준에 대비하여 노령계층의 소비지출수준이 어느 정도인지를 분석함으로써, 노령계층의 생활을 영위하기 위하여 필요한 소득수준이 어느 정도인지를 분석코자 하였다. 특히 본 논문에서는 가구소비지출에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인인 동시에 근로연령과 노령이라는 특성상 달라지는 요인이라 할 수 있는 소득, 가구원수, 연령요인이 소비지출에 미치는 영향을 고려하여, 노령계층에게 필요한 소득수준을 소득계층별로 노령계층의 소비지출수준의 분석을 통하여 도출해 보고자 하였다. 노령계층과 근로연령계층의 소비지출간에 차이가 가장 큰 항목은 교육비이고, 교통통신비, 식료품비, 교양오락비, 피복신발비, 가구집기비, 기타소비비, 보건의료비, 주거비 순으로 나타났다. 또한, 총가구소비지출에 영향을 미치는 요인을 회귀분석한 결과, 연령이 높을수록. 소득이 높을수록. 가구원수가 많을수록 총소비지출수준이 높은 반면, 연령이 계속 증가하고(노령이 되면), 비광역시의 경우. 여성의 경우, 무직의 경우, 농어업에 종사하는 경우 총소비지출은 낮아지는 것으로 나타났다. 총가구소비지출에 영향력이 가장 큰 변수는 소득과 가구원수이며, 그 다음으로 연령인 것으로 나타났다. 또한 소득효과를 통제한 상태에서 연령효과 및 가구규모 축소효과에 의하여 부적으로 영향을 받는 소비지출은 교육비, 교통통신비, 식료품비 등 노인의 신체적 노화와 관련한 활동범위와 관련한 소프트웨어적 지출이며. 정적으로 영향을 받는 소비지출은 보건의료비였다. 또한 주거비, 가구집기비 등 하드웨어적 지출은 소득수준이 제약을 받지 않는 하에서는 연령효과 및 가구규모 축소효과로부터 중립적이었다. 본 연구결과 노인의 필요소득수준은 평균 61%수준이었다. 소득계층별로는 평균소득계층의 경우 근로연령기 소득의 60∼70% 수준이며, 저소득층의 경우는 근로연령기 소득의 90∼100% 수준이고, 고소득층의 경우는 근로연령기 소득의 50∼60% 수준으로 나타났다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.267-271
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• 2023

Background: The objective of this study is to identify the working conditions and health status of Vietnamese male migrant workers in Republic of Korea, in comparison to the Korean general population. Methods: We conducted our survey through the Migrant People Center, and we received completed questionnaires from 87 male Vietnamese migrant workers. The questionnaire employed was identical to those used in the Korean Working Conditions Survey and the 2020 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The collected data from the Vietnamese migrant workers was then compared with the Korean reference population using indirect age-standardization. Results: Vietnamese male workers demonstrated a higher prevalence of health problems including hearing problems (age-standardized prevalence ratio (aSPR) 13.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.07-20.4), skin problems (aSPR 13.49, 95% CI: 8.07-20.4), and low back pain (aSPR 8.40, 95% CI: 6.50-10.69). Elevated exposure to workplace hazards such as chemicals (aSPR 2.36, 95% CI: 1.51-3.51), organic solvents (aSPR 2.22, 95% CI: 1.44-3.28), handling of heavy objects (aSPR 1.67, 95% CI: 1.24-2.21), and high temperatures (aSPR 1.96, 95% CI: 1.46-2.57) was observed among them. Additionally, they faced a higher risk of no personal protective equipment (aSPR 2.53, 95% CI: 1.26-4.52) and a greater prevalence of unmet medical needs (aSPR 7.14, 95% CI: 4.74-10.32). Conclusion: Our findings highlight the elevated workplace hazards, health problems, and unmet medical needs among Vietnamese male workers compared to the Korean reference population. These findings underscores the urgency for enhanced scrutiny over working conditions and protective equipment provision, coupled with efforts to improve healthcare accessibility and worker education.