• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind speed estimation

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Impact by Estimation Error of Hourly Horizontal Global Solar Radiation Models on Building Energy Performance Analysis on Building Energy Performance Analysis

  • Kim, Kee Han;Oh, John Kie-Whan
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2014
  • Impact by estimation error of hourly horizontal global solar radiation in a weather file on building energy performance was investigated in this study. There are a number of weather parameters in a given weather file, such as dry-bulb, wet-bulb, dew-point temperatures; wind speed and direction; station pressure; and solar radiation. Most of them except for solar radiation can be easily obtained from weather stations located on the sites worldwide. However, most weather stations, also including the ones in South Korea, do not measure solar radiation because the measuring equipment for solar radiation is expensive and difficult to maintain. For this reason, many researchers have studied solar radiation estimation models and suggested to apply them to predict solar radiation for different weather stations in South Korea, where the solar radiation is not measured. However, only a few studies have been conducted to identify the impact caused by estimation errors of various solar radiation models on building energy performance analysis. Therefore, four different weather files using different horizontal global solar radiation data, one using measured global solar radiation, and the other three using estimated global solar radiation models, which are Cloud-cover Radiation Model (CRM), Zhang and Huang Model (ZHM), and Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM) were packed into TRY formatted weather files in this study. These were then used for office building energy simulations to compare their energy consumptions, and the results showed that there were differences in the energy consumptions due to these four different solar radiation data. Additionally, it was found that using hourly solar radiation from the estimation models, which had a similar hourly tendency with the hourly measured solar radiation, was the most important key for precise building energy simulation analysis rather than using the solar models that had the best of the monthly or yearly statistical indices.

Dynamic Thermal Rating of Transmission Line Based on Environmental Parameter Estimation

  • Sun, Zidan;Yan, Zhijie;Liang, Likai;Wei, Ran;Wang, Wei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.386-398
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    • 2019
  • The transmission capacity of transmission lines is affected by environmental parameters such as ambient temperature, wind speed, wind direction and so on. The environmental parameters can be measured by the installed measuring devices. However, it is impossible to install the environmental measuring devices throughout the line, especially considering economic cost of power grid. Taking into account the limited number of measuring devices and the distribution characteristics of environment parameters and transmission lines, this paper first studies the environmental parameter estimating method of inverse distance weighted interpolation and ordinary Kriging interpolation. Dynamic thermal rating of transmission lines based on IEEE standard and CIGRE standard thermal equivalent equation is researched and the key parameters that affect the load capacity of overhead lines is identified. Finally, the distributed thermal rating of transmission line is realized by using the data obtained from China meteorological data network. The cost of the environmental measurement device is reduced, and the accuracy of dynamic rating is improved.

CMIP5 GCMs과 추정 방법에 따른 우리나라 기준증발산량 평가 (Evaluation of Reference Evapotranspiration in South Korea according to CMIP5 GCMs and Estimation Methods)

  • 박지훈;조재필;이은정;정임국
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2017
  • The main objective of this study was to assess reference evapotranspiration based on multiple GCMs (General Circulation Models) and estimation methods. In this study, 10 GCMs based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 scenario were used to estimate reference evapotranspiration. 54 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) data were constructed by statistical downscaling techniques. The meteorological variables of precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation were produced using GCMs. For the past and future periods, we estimated reference evapotranspiration by GCMs and analyzed the statistical characteristics and analyzed its uncertainty. Five methods (BC: Blaney-Criddle, HS: Hargreaves-Samani, MK: Makkink, MS: Matt-Shuttleworth, and PM: Penman-Monteith) were selected to analyze the uncertainty by reference evapotranspiration estimation methods. We compared the uncertainty of reference evapotranspiration method by the variable expansion and analyzed which variables greatly influence reference evapotranspiration estimation. The posterior probabilities of five methods were estimated as BC: 0.1792, HS: 0.1775, MK: 0.2361, MS: 0.2054, and PM: 0.2018. The posterior probability indicated how well reference evapotranspiration estimated with 10 GCMs for five methods reflected the estimated reference evapotranspiration using the observed data. Through this study, we analyzed the overall characteristics of reference evapotranspiration according to GCMs and reference evapotranspiration estimation methods The results of this study might be used as a basic data for preparing the standard method of reference evapotranspiration to derive the water management method under climate change.

심층신경망을 이용한 활주로 가시거리 예측 모델의 고도화 (Advanced Estimation Model of Runway Visual Range using Deep Neural Network)

  • 구성관;박창환;홍석민
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2018
  • 항공기 이착륙 유무의 중요한 지표 중 하나인 활주로 가시거리는 기온, 습도 등과 같은 기상 조건에 영향을 받는다. 비행장의 활주로 이용 시 도착시점에서의 활주로 가시거리를 예측하는 것은 항공기 이용의 효율성에서 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 활주로 가시거리를 예측하기 위해 기존에 제안된 심층 신경망을 활용한 활주로 가시거리 예측 모델의 고도화를 통해 1시간 이후의 국지 비행장의 활주로 가시거리를 예측하였다. 이를 위해 예측 모델의 고도화는 입력 값으로 기상 정보(기온, 습도, 풍속, 활주로 가시거리)에 대한 시간 간격 변화와 예측 값의 선형변환을 통해 진행하였다. 제안된 방법은 과거 기상 관측 값을 바탕으로 예측 모델의 학습을 생성해 1시간 이후의 활주로 가시거리에 대한 예측을 수행하였고, 1시간 이후의 측정된 활주로 가시거리와 비교를 통해 타당성을 확인했다. 제안된 예측 모델은 예보를 제공해주지 않는 지역의 소규모 비행장에서 참고할 수 있는 활주로 가시거리 생성에 활용 할 수 있을 것이다.

Applicability of the Wind Erosion Prediction System for prediction of soil loss by wind in arable land

  • Lee, Kyo-Suk;Seo, Il-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Phil;Lim, Chul-Soon;Lee, Dong-Sung;Min, Se-Won;Jung, Hyun-Gyu;Yang, Jae-Eui;Chung, Doug-Young
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.845-857
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    • 2020
  • The precise estimation of accelerated soil wind erosion that can cause severe economic and environmental impacts still has not been achieved to date. The objectives of this investigation were to verify the applicability of a Wind Erosion Prediction System (WEPS) that expressed the soil loss as mass per area for specific areas of interest on a daily basis for a single event in arable lands. To this end, we selected and evaluated the results published by Hagen in 2004 and the soil depth converted from the mass of soil losses obtained by using the WEPS. Hagen's results obtained from the WEPS model followed the 1 : 1 line between predicted and measured value for soil losses with only less than 2 kg·m-2 whereas the values between the measured and predicted loss did not show any correlation for the given field conditions due to the initial field surface condition although the model provided reasonable estimates of soil loss. Calculated soil depths of the soil loss by wind for both the observed and predicted ones ranged from 0.004 to 3.113 cm·10 a-1 and from 0 to 2.013 cm·10 a-1, respectively. Comparison of the soil depths between the observed and predicted ones did not show any good relationship, and there was no soil loss in the predicted one while slight soil loss was measured in the observed one. Therefore, varying the essential model inputs and factors related to wind speed and soil properties are needed to accurately estimate soil loss for a given field in arable land.

기계학습법을 이용한 서리 발생 구분 추정 연구 (Study on the Estimation of Frost Occurrence Classification Using Machine Learning Methods)

  • 김용석;심교문;정명표;최인태
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 기상청 예보자료를 이용할 것을 전제로 서리가 발생하는 날과 서리가 발생하지 않는 날을 구분하는 모형을 구축하였다. 서리가 발생한 날과 서리가 발생하지 않은 날을 구분할 수 있는 기상인자로서 최저기온, 평균풍속, 평균상대습도, 평균이슬점온도로 나타났다. 기상인자별로 두 날을 비교한 결과 서리가 발생한 날이 서리가 발생하지 않은 날에 비해 최저기온, 이슬점온도, 평균풍속은 낮게 나타났고 상대습도는 높게 나타났다. 이러한 기상인자로 인공신경망, 랜덤포레스트, 서포트벡터 머신의 기계학습법을 이용한 모형을 연구한 결과 70%이상의 정확도를 나타내어 활용 가능성이 있을 것으로 판단된다.

INTRODUCTION OF J-OFURO LATENT HEAT FLUX VERSION 2

  • Kubota, Masahisa;Hiroyuki, Tomita;iwasaki, Shinsuke;Hihara, Tsutomu;Kawatsura, Ayako
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.306-309
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    • 2007
  • Japanese Ocean Flux Data Sets with Use of Remote Sensing Observations (J-OFURO) includes global ocean surface heat flux data derived from satellite data and are used in many studies related to air-sea interaction. Recently latent heat flux data version 2 was constructed in J-OFURO. In version 2 many points are improved compared with version 1. A bulk algorithm used for estimation of latent heat flux is changed from Kondo (1975) to COASRE 3.0(Fairall et al., 2005). In version 1 we used NCEP reanalysis data (Reynolds and Smith, 1994) as SST data. However, the temporal resolution of the data is weekly and considerably low. Recently there are many kinds of global SST data because we can obtain SST data using a microwave radiometer sensor such as TRMM/MI and Aqua/AMSR-E. Therefore, we compared many SST products and determined to use Merged satellite and in situ data Global Daily (MGD) SST provided by Japan Meteorological Agency. Since we use wind speed and specific humidity data derived from one DMSP/SSMI sensor in J-OFURO, we obtain two data at most one day. Therefore, there may be large sampling errors for the daily-mean value. In order to escape this problem, multi-satellite data are used in version 2. As a result we could improve temporal resolution from 3-days mean value in version 1 to daily-mean value in version 2. Also we used an Optimum Interpolation method to estimate wind speed and specific humidity data instead of a simple mean method. Finally the data period is extended to 1989-2004. In this presentation we will introduce latent heat flux data version 2 in J-OFURO and comparison results with other surface latent heat flux data such as GSSTF2 and HOAPS etc. Moreover, we will present validation results by using buoy data.

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관측망 밀도 변화가 기상변수의 공간분포에 미치는 영향: 2019 강원영동 입체적 공동관측 캠페인 (Effects of Observation Network Density Change on Spatial Distribution of Meteorological Variables: Three-Dimensional Meteorological Observation Project in the Yeongdong Region in 2019)

  • 김해민;정종혁;김현욱;박창근;김백조;김승범
    • 대기
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2020
  • We conducted a study on the impact of observation station density; this was done in order to enable the accurate estimation of spatial meteorological variables. The purpose of this study is to help operate an efficient observation network by examining distributions of temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed in a test area of a three-dimensional meteorological observation project in the Yeongdong region in 2019. For our analysis, we grouped the observation stations as follows: 41 stations (for Step 4), 34 stations (for Step 3), 17 stations (for Step 2), and 10 stations (for Step 1). Grid values were interpolated using the kriging method. We compared the spatial accuracy of the estimated meteorological grid by using station density. The effect of increased observation network density varied and was dependent on meteorological variables and weather conditions. The temperature is sufficient for the current weather observation network (featuring an average distance about 9.30 km between stations), and the relative humidity is sufficient when the average distance between stations is about 5.04 km. However, it is recommended that all observation networks, with an average distance of approximately 4.59 km between stations, be utilized for monitoring wind speed. In addition, this also enables the operation of an effective observation network through the classification of outliers.

보급형 도로환경센서 및 안개 가시거리 추정식 개발 연구 (Study on the Development of Advanced Road Environment Sensor and Estimation Formula for Fog Visibility Distance)

  • 조중호;진민수;조원범
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.50-61
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    • 2022
  • 눈, 비, 안개, 미세먼지는 차량 운전자의 시야를 방해하고 이는 안전거리 미확보와 속도 편차의 증가를 야기하여 반복적인 대형 교통사고의 원인이 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 안개, 눈, 비, 온도, 습도, 풍향, 풍속, 일사량, 기압, 미세먼지, 강수량 등 11종류를 측정할 수 있는 보급형 국산 도로환경센서를 개발하였으며, 기존에 상용되고 있는 안개 가시거리 센서로부터 측정된 가시거리와 개발 센서의 적외선 송·수신부를 통해 측정된 적외선 신호값을 비교하여, 두 측정값의 관계를 도출하였다. 기존 안개 가시거리 센서와 개발센서 측정값의 관계는 도로 안전에 직접적 영향을 미치는 500m 이하의 가시거리에서 측정된 데이터를 대상으로 도출되었다. 개발센서의 적외선 신호값과 기준 센서에서 도출된 가시거리의 비교 결과, 통계적으로 두 데이터 간 상관관계가 매우 높은 것으로 분석되었으며, 개발 센서의 적외선 신호값을 활용하여 안개 가시거리를 기준 센서와 매우 유의한 수준으로 추정할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다.

인화성액체의 폭발위험장소 설정을 위한 증발율 추정 모델 연구 (A Study on the Estimation Model of Liquid Evaporation Rate for Classification of Flammable Liquid Explosion Hazardous Area)

  • 정용재;이창준
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2018
  • In many companies handling flammable liquids, explosion-proof electrical equipment have been installed according to the Korean Industrial Standards (KS C IEC 60079-10-1). In these standards, hazardous area for explosive gas atmospheres has to be classified by the evaluation of the evaporation rate of flammable liquid leakage. The evaporation rate is an important factor to determine the zones classification and hazardous area distance. However, there is no systematic method or rule for the estimation of evaporation rate in these standards and the first principle equations of a evaporation rate are very difficult. Thus, it is really hard for industrial workplaces to employ these equations. Thus, this problem can trigger inaccurate results for evaluating evaporation range. In this study, empirical models for estimating an evaporation rate of flammable liquid have been developed to tackle this problem. Throughout the sensitivity analysis of the first principle equations, it can be found that main factors for the evaporation rate are wind speed and temperature and empirical models have to be nonlinear. Polynomial regression is employed to build empirical models. Methanol, benzene, para-xylene and toluene are selected as case studies to verify the accuracy of empirical models.