• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind speed error

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Wind Effect on the Distribution of Daily Minimum Temperature Across a Cold Pooling Catchment (냉기호 형성 집수역의 일 최저기온 분포에 미치는 바람효과)

  • Kim, Soo-Ock;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Dae-Jun;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.277-282
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    • 2012
  • When wind speed exceeds a certain threshold, daily minimum temperature does not drop as predicted by the geospatial model in a cold pooling catchment. A linear regression equation was derived to explain the warming effect of wind speed on daily minimum temperature by analyzing observations at a low lying location within an enclosed catchment. The equation, Y=2X+0.4 ($R^2$=0.76) where Y stands for the warming ($^{\circ}C$) and X for the mean horizontal wind speed (m/s) at 2m height, was combined to an existing model to predict daily minimum temperature across an enclosed catchment on cold pooling days. The adjusted model was applied to 3 locations submerged in a cold air pool to predict daily minimum temperature on 25 cold pooling days with the input of simulated wind speed at each location. Results showed that bias (mean error) was reduced from -1.33 to -0.37 and estimation error (RMSE) from 1.72 to 1.20, respectively, in comparison with those from the unadjusted model.

Response prediction of a 50 m guyed mast under typhoon conditions

  • Law, S.S.;Bu, J.Q.;Zhu, X.Q.;Chan, S.L.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.397-412
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the wind excited acceleration responses of a 50 m guyed mast under the action of Typhoon Dujuan. The response of the structure is reconstructed from using a full finite element model and an equivalent beam-column model. The wind load is modelled based on the measured wind speed and recommendations for high-rise structures. The nonlinear time response analysis is conducted using the Newton Raphson iteration procedure. Comparative studies on the measured and computed frequencies and acceleration responses show that the torsional vibration of the structure is significant particularly in the higher vibration modes after the first few bending modes. The equivalent model, in general, gives less accurate amplitude predictions than the full model because of the omission of torsional stiffness of the mast in the vibration analysis, but the root-mean-square value is close to the measured value in general with an error of less than 10%.

Influences of Energy Production Estimation Errors on Project Feasibility Indicators of a Wind Project and Critical Factor Analysis by AHP (풍력발전사업 에너지생산량 산정 오차가 사업성지표에 미치는 영향 및 AHP를 이용한 중요인자 분석)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Case studies are made to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of energy production estimation and project feasibility indicators such as rate of return on equity (ROE) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for three wind farm projects. It is found out that 1% improvement in the accuracy of energy production estimation may enhance the ROE by more than 0.5% in the case of P95, thanks to improved financing terms. AHP survey shows that MCP correlation of measured in situ wind data with long term wind speed distribution and hands-on experiences of flow analysis are more important than other factors for more precise annual energy production estimation.

Numerical simulation of 3-D probabilistic trajectory of plate-type wind-borne debris

  • Huang, Peng;Wang, Feng;Fu, Anmin;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.17-41
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    • 2016
  • To address the uncertainty of the flight trajectories caused by the turbulence and gustiness of the wind field over the roof and in the wake of a building, a 3-D probabilistic trajectory model of flat-type wind-borne debris is developed in this study. The core of this methodology is a 6 degree-of-freedom deterministic model, derived from the governing equations of motion of the debris, and a Monte Carlo simulation engine used to account for the uncertainty resulting from vertical and lateral gust wind velocity components. The influence of several parameters, including initial wind speed, time step, gust sampling frequency, number of Monte Carlo simulations, and the extreme gust factor, on the accuracy of the proposed model is examined. For the purpose of validation and calibration, the simulated results from the 3-D probabilistic trajectory model are compared against the available wind tunnel test data. Results show that the maximum relative error between the simulated and wind tunnel test results of the average longitudinal position is about 20%, implying that the probabilistic model provides a reliable and effective means to predict the 3-D flight of the plate-type wind-borne debris.

Estimation of Atmospheric Turbulent Fluxes by the Bulk Transfer Method over Various Surface (다양한 지표면 위에서 총체 전달 방법에 의한 대기 난류 플럭스 추정)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Kwon, Byung-Hyuk;Kang, Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1199-1211
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    • 2014
  • The momentum flux and the sensible heat flux were measured with the scintillometers and ultrasonic anemometers at 6 sites of which surface characteristics like roughness length and zero-displacement are different each other. We estimated the momentum flux and the sensible heat flux based on the bulk transfer method with the drag coefficient and the heat transfer coefficient calculated from the temperature and wind speed at two heights. The variation of bulk transfer coefficients showed a remarkable difference depending on the atmospheric stability which is less influenced by the zero-displacement than the roughness length. The estimated sensible heat fluxes were in good agreement with those measured at 3 m, showing 23.7 $Wm^{-2}$ of the root mean square error that is less than 10% of its maximum. Since the estimated momentum flux is not only effected by drag coefficient but also by wind speed square, the determination of wind speed in the bulk transfer method is critical.

A study on short-term wind power forecasting using time series models (시계열 모형을 이용한 단기 풍력발전 예측 연구)

  • Park, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1373-1383
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    • 2016
  • The wind energy industry and wind power generation have increased; consequently, the stable supply of the wind power has become an important issue. It is important to accurately predict the wind power with short-term basis in order to make a reliable planning for the power supply and demand of wind power. In this paper, we first analyzed the speed, power and the directions of the wind. The neural network and the time series models (ARMA, ARMAX, ARMA-GARCH, Holt Winters) for wind power generation forecasting were compared based on mean absolute error (MAE). For one to three hour-ahead forecast, ARMA-GARCH model was outperformed, and the neural network method showed a better performance in the six hour-ahead forecast.

Wind fragility analysis of RC chimney with temperature effects by dual response surface method

  • Datta, Gaurav;Sahoo, Avinandan;Bhattacharjya, Soumya
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2020
  • Wind fragility analysis (WFA) of concrete chimney is often executed disregarding temperature effects. But combined wind and temperature effect is the most critical limit state to define the safety of a chimney. Hence, in this study, WFA of a 70 m tall RC chimney for combined wind and temperature effects is explored. The wind force time-history is generated by spectral representation method. The safety of chimney is assessed considering limit states of stress failure in concrete and steel. A moving-least-squares method based dual response surface method (DRSM) procedure is proposed in WFA to alleviate huge computational time requirement by the conventional direct Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach. The DRSM captures the record-to-record variation of wind force time-histories and uncertainty in system parameters. The proposed DRSM approach yields fragility curves which are in close conformity with the most accurate direct MCS approach within substantially less computational time. In this regard, the error by the single-level RSM and least-squares method based DRSM can be easily noted. The WFA results indicate that over temperature difference of 150℃, the temperature stress is so pronounced that the probability of failure is very high even at 30 m/s wind speed. However, below 100℃, wind governs the design.

Structural analysis and optimization of large cooling tower subjected to wind loads based on the iteration of pressure

  • Li, Gang;Cao, Wen-Bin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.735-753
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    • 2013
  • The wind load is always the dominant load of cooling tower due to its large size, complex geometry and thin-wall structure. At present, when computing the wind-induced response of the large-scale cooling tower, the wind pressure distribution is obtained based on code regulations, wind tunnel test or computational fluid dynamic (CFD) analysis, and then is imposed on the tower structure. However, such method fails to consider the change of the wind load with the deformation of cooling tower, which may result in error of the wind load. In this paper, the analysis of the large cooling tower based on the iterative method for wind pressure is studied, in which the advantages of CFD and finite element method (FEM) are combined in order to improve the accuracy. The comparative study of the results obtained from the code regulations and iterative method is conducted. The results show that with the increase of the mean wind speed, the difference between the methods becomes bigger. On the other hand, based on the design of experiment (DOE), an approximate model is built for the optimal design of the large-scale cooling tower by a two-level optimization strategy, which makes use of code-based design method and the proposed iterative method. The results of the numerical example demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.

Analysis on Internal Airflow of a Naturally Ventilated Greenhouse using Wind Tunnel and PIV for CFD Validation (CFD 검증을 위한 풍동 및 PIV를 이용한 자연환기식 온실 내부 공기유동 분석)

  • Ha, Jung-Soo;Lee, In-Bok;Kwon, Kyeong-Seok;Ha, Tae-Hwan
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.391-400
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    • 2014
  • The number of large scale greenhouses has recently been increasing to cope with mass consumption of agricultural product. Korean government announced a new development plan for constructing greenhouse complex in reclaimed lands for the purpose of improvement in exports and activation of domestic market of agricultural product. Wind environment in the reclaimed land is totally different from that of inland area, and it can give a strong influence on ventilation performance of naturally ventilated greenhouse facilities. In this study, internal airflow analysis of naturally ventilated greenhouse built on a reclaimed land was conducted using wind tunnel and PIV for validation research. Later, the PIV measured results will be used to improve the accuracy of 3 dimensional CFD simulation in the future. Wind profile at a reclaimed land was produced using ESDU program and it was applied to the wind tunnel. The calculated error was only 5% and 0.96 of correlation coefficient, implying that the computed profiles were designed properly. From the measured results, when external wind speed changed from $1m{\cdot}s^{-1}$ to $1.5m{\cdot}s^{-1}$, air velocities inside the greenhouse which PIV measured were also increased proportionately in case of both side vent open and side-roof vent open. Considering reduced ratio of air velocity inside the greenhouse, it was measured a minimum of 40% in case of side vent and 30% in case of side-roof vent compared with external wind speed from each vent type. From the quantitative and qualitative PIV analysis, the PIV measured results indicated that there were well ventilated and stagnant areas in the greenhouse according to external wind condition as well as ventilation design.

Nonlinear Pitch and Torque Controller Design for Wind Turbine Generator Using Lyapunov Function (리아프노프 함수를 이용한 풍력 발전기 비선형 피치 및 토크 제어기 설계)

  • Kim, Guk-Sun;No, Tae-Soo;Jeon, Gyeong-Eon;Kim, Ji-Yon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.1147-1154
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a method for designing blade pitch and generator torque controllers for a wind turbine generator is presented. This method consists of two steps. First, the Lyapunov stability theory is used to obtain nonlinear control laws that can regulate the rotor speed and the power output at all operating ranges. The blade pitch controller is chosen such that it always decreases a positive definite function that represents the error in rotor speed control. Similarly, the generator torque controller always decreases a positive definite function that reflects the error in power output control. Then, the simulation-based optimization technique is used to tune the design parameters. The controller design procedure and simulation results are presented using the widely adopted two-mass model of the wind turbine.