• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind prediction

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A Numerical Simulation Study of Strong Wind Events at Jangbogo Station, Antarctica (남극 장보고기지 주변 강풍사례 모의 연구)

  • Kwon, Hataek;Kim, Shin-Woo;Lee, Solji;Park, Sang-Jong;Choi, Taejin;Jeong, Jee-Hoon;Kim, Seong-Joong;Kim, Baek-Min
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.617-633
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    • 2016
  • Jangbogo station is located in Terra Nova Bay over the East Antarctica, which is often affected by individual storms moving along nearby storm tracks and a katabatic flow from the continental interior towards the coast. A numerical simulation for two strong wind events of maximum instantaneous wind speed ($41.17m\;s^{-1}$) and daily mean wind speed ($23.92m\;s^{-1}$) at Jangbogo station are conducted using the polar-optimized version of Weather Research and Forecasting model (Polar WRF). Verifying model results from 3 km grid resolution simulation against AWS observation at Jangbogo station, the case of maximum instantaneous wind speed is relatively simulated well with high skill in wind with a bias of $-3.3m\;s^{-1}$ and standard deviation of $5.4m\;s^{-1}$. The case of maximum daily mean wind speed showed comparatively lower accuracy for the simulation of wind speed with a bias of -7.0 m/s and standard deviation of $8.6m\;s^{-1}$. From the analysis, it is revealed that the each case has different origins for strong wind. The highest maximum instantaneous wind case is caused by the approach of the strong synoptic low pressure system moving toward Terra Nova Bay from North and the other daily wind maximum speed case is mainly caused by the katabatic flow from the interiors of Terra Nova Bay towards the coast. Our evaluation suggests that the Polar WRF can be used as a useful dynamic downscaling tool for the simulation and investigation of high wind events at Jangbogo station. However, additional efforts in utilizing the high resolution terrain is required to reduce the simulation error of high wind mainly caused by katabatic flow, which is received a lot of influence of the surrounding terrain.

Performance Prediction of the Horizontal Axis wind Turbine in Arbitrary Wind Direction (임의 풍향에 있는 수평축 풍력터빈의 성능예측)

  • Yu, Neung-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.255-265
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    • 1996
  • Up to the present the study on the performance prediction of HAWT was performed mainly by assuming the axial flow. So in this paper we aimed at the fully non-axial flow of HAWT. For this purpose, we defined the wind turbine pitch angle in addition to the yaw angle to specify the arbitrary wind direction. And we adopted the Glauert method as the basic analysis method then modified this method suitably for our goal. By comparing the computational results obtained by this modified new Glauert method with the experimental results, it was proved that our method was a very efficient method. And on the basis of the reliability of this method we considered the effect of all the design parameters and presented the optimum blade geometry and the optimum operating condition to gain the best performance curve.

Sensitivity Analysis of Wind-Wave Growth Parameter during Typhoon Season in Summer for Developing an Integrated Global/Regional/Coastal Wave Prediction System (전지구·지역·국지연안 통합 파랑예측시스템 개발을 위한 여름철 태풍시기 풍파성장 파라미터 민감도 분석)

  • Oh, Youjung;Oh, Sang Meong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kang, KiRyong;Moon, Il-Ju
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2021
  • In this study, an integrated wave model from global to coastal scales was developed to improve the operational wave prediction performance of the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). In this system, the wave model was upgraded to the WaveWatch III version 6.07 with the improved parameterization of the source term. Considering the increased resolution of the wind input field and the introduction of the high-performance KMA 5th Supercomputer, the spatial resolution of global and regional wave models has been doubled compared to the operational model. The physical processes and coefficients of the wave model were optimized for the current KMA global atmospheric forecasting system, the Korean Integrated Model (KIM), which is being operated since April 2020. Based on the sensitivity experiment results, the wind-wave growth parameter (βmax) for the global wave model was determined to be 1.33 with the lowest root mean square errors (RMSE). The value of βmax showed the lowest error when applied to regional/coastal wave models for the period of the typhoon season when strong winds occur. Applying the new system to the case of August 2020, the RMSE for the 48-hour significant wave height prediction was reduced by 13.4 to 17.7% compared to the existing KMA operating model. The new integrated wave prediction system plans to replace the KMA operating model after long-term verification.

Low-Resolution Wind Mapping For Estimation of Wind Resource Potential (풍력자원 잠재량 산출을 위한 저해상도 바람지도 구축)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Jang, Moon-Seok;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.307-308
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    • 2006
  • The national goal of wind energy dissemination has to be determined rationally based on technically available wind resource potential. For a reliable and scientific estimation or wind resource potential, a wind map is requisite. This paper presents the national wind map of Korea established by numerical wind simulation. Prediction accuracy of the low-resolution wind map is Improved by nudging QuikSCAT data and is validated by comparing with marine buoy beacon and met-mast measurements. Therefore, quantification of national wind resource potential is now possible and is anticipating to be utilized as a core index for policy and strategy building of wind energy dissemination and technology development.

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Application of the Convolution Method on the Fast Prediction of the Wind-Driven Current in a Samll Bay (소규모 만에서 취송류의 신속예측을 위한 convolution 기법의 적용)

  • 최석원;조규대;윤홍주
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.299-307
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    • 1999
  • In order to fast predict the wind-driven current in a small bay, a convolution method in which the wind-driven current can be generated only with the local wind is developed and applied in the idealized bay and the idealized Sachon Bay. The accuracy of the convlution method is assessed through a series of the numerical experiements carried out in the jidealized bay and the idealized Sachon Bay. The optimum response function for the convolution method is obtained by minimizing the root man square (rms) difference between the current given by the numerical model and the current given by the convolution method. The north-south component of the response function shows simultaneous fluctuations in the wind and wind-driven current at marginal region while it shows "sea-saw" fluctuations (in which the wind and wind-driven current have opposite direction) at the central region in the idealized Sachon Bay. The present wind is strong enough to influence on the wind-driven current especially in the idealized Sachon Bay. The spatial average of the rms ratio defined as the ratio of the rms error to the rms speed is 0.05 in the idealized bay and 0.26 in the idealized Sachon Bay. The recover rate of kinetic energy(rrke) is 99% in the idealized bay and 94% in the idealized Sachon Bay. Thus, the predicted wind-driven current by the convolution model is in a good agreement with the computed one by the numerical model in the idealized bay and the idealized Sachon Bay.achon Bay.

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On the Prediction and Variation of Air Pollutants Concentration in Relation to the Meteorological Condition in Pusan Area (기상조건에 따른 부산지역 대기오염물질 농도변화와 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 정영진;이동인
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.177-190
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    • 1998
  • The concentrations of air pollutants In large cities such as Pusan area have been increased every year due to the increasing of fuels consumption at factories and by vehicles as well as the gravitation of the population. In addition to the pollution sources, time and spatial variation of air pollutants concentration and meteorological factors have a great influence on the air pollution problem. Especially , its concentration is governed by wind direction, wind speed, precipitation, solar radiation, temperature, humidity and cloud amounts, etc. In this study, we have analyzed various data of meteorological factors using typical patterns of the air pressure to investigate how the concentration of air pollutants is varied with meteorological condition. Using the relationship between meteorological factors (air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and solar radiation) and the concentration of air pollutants (SO2, O3) , experimental prediction formulas for their concentration were obtained. Therefore, these prediction formulas at each meteorological factor in a pressure pattern may be roughly used to predict the air pollutants concentration and contributed to estimate the variation of its value according to the weather condition in Pusan city.

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The Study of the Wind Resource and Energy Yield Assessment for the Wind Park Development (풍력자원해석 및 에너지예측을 통한 풍력발전단지 설계 연구)

  • Byun, Hyo-In;Ryu, Ji-Yune;Kim, Doo-Hoon
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2005
  • This study explains ther procedure that should be taken to develp a successful wind park project. It provides a guideline for the activities and studies to be done as a step by step solution. This study follows a chronological flow throughout the whole development Process. This Paper covers technical consideration, assessment of wind energy resource, wind Park siting and energy yield calculation This presented knowledge h3s been mostly gained by the experience from Youngduk wind park project. The further comparison study will be performed between the theoretical prediction and the actual yield of the Youngduk wind park.

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Assessment of Wind Resources Predictions using Commercial Codes in Complex Terrains of Korea (WAsP과 WindSIM의 풍력자원예측성 평가)

  • Lee, Won-Seon;Hwang, Yoon-Seok;Paek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.29 no.B
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2009
  • Simulations using two well-known commercial codes, WAsP and WindSIM, were performed to predict the wind resources in complex terrains of Korea. The predictions from the codes were compared with the measured data. Cross predictions were performed for two closely located measurement sites. The results from WindSIM were found to be more accurate than those from WAsP. The predictions for wind velocity and direction in five different sites of complex terrain from WAsP and WindSIM were also compared. It was found that if the self prediction of the wind velocity and direction from WAsP is close to the measured wind data, the discrepancies between WAsP results and WindSIM results are also close.

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A Study on Centralized Wind Power Forecasting Based on Time Series Models (시계열 모형을 이용한 단기 풍력 단지 출력 지역 통합 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Wi, Young-Min;Lee, Jaehee
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.918-922
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    • 2016
  • As the number of wind farms operating has increased, the interest of the central unit commitment and dispatch for wind power has increased as well. Wind power forecast is necessary for effective power system management and operation with high wind power penetrations. This paper presents the centralized wind power forecasting method, which is a forecast to combine all wind farms in the area into one, using time series models. Also, this paper proposes a prediction model modified with wind forecast error compensation. To demonstrate the improvement of wind power forecasting accuracy, the proposed method is compared with persistence model and new reference model which are commonly used as reference in wind power forecasting using Jeju Island data. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed wind power forecasting method.

Prediction of Wind Farm Noise with Atmospheric Stability (대기 안정 상태에 따른 풍력 단지 소음 전파 예측)

  • Son, Eunkuk;Lee, Seunghoon;Jeon, Minu;Lee, Soogab
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.42.2-42.2
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    • 2011
  • Noise generated from wind turbines has been predicted by numerical methods. Sound pressure level(SPL) on the turbines is predicted after aerodynamic analysis is carried out by Wind Turbine Flow, Aeroacoustics and Structure analysis (WINFAS) code. The level of each panel of acoustic sphere is determined by the sum of tonal, turbulence ingestion and airfoil self noise. With the noise source database, the acoustic sphere, SPL on the ground is calculated using the model based on acoustic ray theory. The model has been designed to consider the effects on the condition of terrain and atmosphere. The variations of SPL on the ground occur not only because of the different source level but also because of the nonuniform distributions of the sound speed along the height. Hence, the profile of an effective sound speed which is the sum of the contribution of sound speed to a temperature gradient and a wind speed variation is used by the theory based on atmospheric stability. With the integrated numerical method, the prediction of sound propagation on the wind farm is carried out with the states of the atmospheric stability.

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