• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.993-999
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• 2004

The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage of membrane type LNG tank is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the tank. In this study, the practical procedure of fatigue life prediction by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function has been shown with the corner region of Gaz Transport Membrane type LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution that determine the stress spectrum are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The recommended value for the shape parameter of Weibull distribution for the LNG tank is 1.1 in case of using the direct calculation method proposed in this study. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution and stress block. The safe fatigue design can be achieved by using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divided into more stress blocks.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 Vol.5 No.1
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• pp.114-116
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• 2004

적층형 piezoelectric ceramic actuators를 제작하여 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 소자의 신뢰성 측정을 위하여 3kV/mm, 5kV/mm, 7kV/mm의 정류된 교류전압을 인가하였으며, 실험중 온도와 습도를 일정하게 유지하기 위하여 항온항습조안에서 실험을 실시하였다. 각 실험의 경우에 16개의 소자를 동시에 평가하였으며, 평균파괴시간을 Weibull 통계방식을 이용하여 계산하였으며, Arrhenius model, Power law model을 이용하여 사용 조건하에서 예상수명을 예측하였다.

• 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.193-200
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• 2022

본 연구에서는 소프트웨어 신뢰성 분야에서 많이 사용하는 Weibull 수명 분포((Goel-Okumoto, Rayleigh, Type-2 Gumbe)에 근거하여 유한 고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형을 소프트웨어 개발 모형에 적용한 후, 비용의 속성을 비교하여, 분석하였다. 본 연구를 위하여 소프트웨어 시스템의 정상 운용 중 검출된 고장시간 데이터를 수집하여 사용하였고, 제안된 모형의 모수 추정은 최우추정법을 적용하였으며, 비선형 방정식의 계산은 이분법을 사용하여 해결하였다. 그 결과, 첫째, 소프트웨어 개발 모형의 단위 시간당 테스팅 비용과 단일 고장을 제거하는 비용이 증가하면 비용은 증가하였지만 방출시간은 변하지 않았고, 정상적인 시스템 운용 중에 검출된 고장 수리 비용이 증가하면 비용 증가와 함께 방출 시간도 지연됨을 알 수 있었다. 둘째, 제안된 모형들을 종합적으로 비교 분석한 결과, Type-2 Gumble 모형이 Rayleigh 모형과 Goel-Okumoto 기본 모형 보다 개발비용이 적고, 방출 시간 포인트도 상대적으로 빨라서 가장 효율적인 모형임을 알 수 있었다. 셋째, 본 연구를 통하여 Weibull 분포 모형의 개발비용 속성을 새롭게 분석하였으며, 분석된 데이터는 소프트웨어 개발자들이 개발 비용과 방출 시간에 대한 속성을 탐색하는 데 필요한 설계 데이터로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.221-227
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• 2009

There are customer services jointly provided by two facilities so that each customer will complete the course made up of both facilities' sub-services. The two facilities are assumed invested respectively by an infrastructure owner and one subordinate facility owner, whose partnership is built on their capital investments. This paper presents a mathematical model of Stackelberg competition between the two facility owners to derive their optimal Nash equilibrium. In this study, each facility owner's profit is consisted of fixed revenue fractions of sold services, operating costs (including depreciation cost) and maintenance costs of her facility. The maintenance costs of one facility are incurred both by failures and deterioration due to usage. Moreover, for both facilities, failures are rectified immediately by minimal repairs and preventive maintenance is carried out at a fixed time epoch. Additional assumptions are also employed to develop the model such as customer arrivals are manipulated to follow a Poisson process, and each facility's lifetime is independently Weibull-distributed. The Stackelberg game proceeds as follows. At the first stage of decision making process, the infrastructure owner (acting as a leader) decides the allocation of revenue shares based on her self-interest. After observing the allocation of revenue shares, the subordinate facility owner determines her own optimal price of services. This paper investigates actions and reactions of the two partners in the system. Then analytical conditions are proposed to achieve a unique optimal Nash equilibrium. Finally, some suggestions for further research are discussed.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제29권7호
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• pp.921-929
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• 2005

This paper presents an accelerated life test for burnout of tungsten filament of incandescent lamp. From failure analyses of field samples, it is shown that their root causes are local heating or hot spots in the filament caused by tungsten evaporation and wire sag. Finite element analysis is performed to evaluate the effect of vibration and impact for burnout, but any points of stress concentration or structural weakness are not found in the sample. To estimate the burnout life of lamp, an accelerated life test is planned by using quality function deployment and fractional factorial design, where voltage, vibration, and temperature are selected as accelerating variables. We assumed that Weibull lifetime distribution and a generalized linear model of life-stress relationship hold through goodness of fit test and test for common shape parameter of the distribution. Using accelerated life testing software, we estimated the common shape parameter of Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship, and accelerating factor.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제53권6호
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• pp.1183-1200
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• 2015

Reinforcement corrosion can cause serious safety deterioration to aging concrete structures exposed in aggressive environments. This paper presents an approach for reliability analyses of deteriorating reinforced concrete structures affected by reinforcement corrosion on the basis of the representative symptoms identified during the deterioration process. The concrete cracking growth and rebar bond strength evolution due to reinforcement corrosion are chosen as key symptoms for the performance deterioration of concrete structures. The crack width at concrete cover surface largely depends on the corrosion penetration of rebar due to the expansive rust layer at the bond interface generated by reinforcement corrosion. The bond strength of rebar in the concrete correlates well with concrete crack width and decays steadily with crack width growth. The estimates of cracking development and bond strength deterioration are examined by experimental data available from various sources, and then matched with symptom-based lifetime Weibull model. The symptom reliability and remaining useful life are predicted from the predictive lifetime Weibull model for deteriorating concrete structures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach for forecasting the performance of concrete structures subject to reinforcement corrosion. The results show that the corrosion rate has significant impact on the reliability associated with serviceability and load bearing capacity of reinforced concrete structures during their service life.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권1호
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• pp.107-115
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• 2018

To ensure the structural integrity of nuclear power plants, it is essential to predict the lifetime of Alloy 182 weld, which is used for welding in nuclear reactors. The lifetime of Alloy 182 weld is directly related to the crack initiation time. Owing to the large time scatter in most crack initiation tests, a probabilistic model, such as the Weibull distribution, has mainly been adopted for prediction. However, since statistically more advanced methods than current typical methods may be applied, we suggest a statistical procedure for parameter estimation of the crack initiation time of Alloy 182 weld, considering right-censored data and the covariate effect. Furthermore, we suggest a procedure for uncertainty evaluation of the estimators based on the bootstrap method. The suggested statistical procedure can be applied not only to Alloy 182 weld but also to any material degradation data set including right-censored data with covariate effect.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.37-46
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• 1996

계단충격가속수명시험에서 얻은 자료를 토대로 통계적 추론을 위해 가정하는 수명분포에 대한 적합도 검정을 Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von Mises, Anderson-Darling과 같은 비모수적 검정통계량들을 이용한 검정절차를 제안하고, 각 통계량들을 검정력 측면에서 비교하고자 한다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.208-219
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• 2004

This paper considers a nonparametric estimation of lifetime distribution for ramp stress tests with stress bound under intermittent inspection. The test items are inspected only at specified time points an⊂1 so the collected observations are grouped data. Under the cumulative exposure model, two nonparametric estimation methods of estimating the lifetime distribution at use condition stress are proposed for the situation which the time transformation function relating stress to lifetime is a type of the inverse power law. Each of items is initially put on test under ramp stress and then survivors are put on test under constant stress, where all failures in the Inspection interval are assumed to occur at the midi)oint or the endpoint of that interval. Two proposed estimators of quantile from grouped data consisting of the number of items failed in each inspection interval are numerically compared with the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) based on Weibull distribution.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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• pp.1945-1947
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• 2005

This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.