• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull distribution model

검색결과 387건 처리시간 0.026초

환경성 발암물질의 용량-반응모델의 이론적 근거와 응용에 관한 연구 - 음용수 중 chloroform을 중심으로 (Scientific rationale and applicability of dose-response models for environmental carcinogens)

  • 신동천;정용;김종만;이성임;황만식
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 1996
  • This study described methods to predict human health risk associated with exposure to environmental carcinogens using animal bioassay data. Also, biological assumption for various dose-response models were reviewed. To illustrate the process of risk estimate using relevant dose-response models such as Log-normal, Mantel-Bryan, Weibull and Multistage model, we used four animal carcinogenesis bioassy data of chloroform and chloroform concentrations of tap water measured in large cities of Korea from 1987 to 1995. As a result, in the case of using average concentration in exposure data and 95% upper boud unit risk of Multistge model, excess cancer risk(RISK I) was about $1.9\times10^{-6}$, in the case of using probability distribution of cumulative exposure data and unit risks, those risks(RISK II) which were simulated by Monte-Carlo analysis were about $2.4\times10^{-6}\;and\;7.9\times10^{-5}$ at 50 and 95 percentile, respectively. Therefore risk estimated by Monte-Carlo analysis using probability distribution of input variables may be more conservative.

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초전도 변압기의 절연기반 연구 (A Study on the Insulation Basis of Hts Transformer)

  • 천현권;곽동순;윤문수;김상현
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2005년도 하계학술대회 논문집 Vol.6
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    • pp.639-642
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    • 2005
  • HTS Transformer developing is developing a power distribution and transmission class HTS transformer that is one of the 21st century superconducting frontier projects. Therefore, we prepared the model, that is Z continuous winding from Kapton insulated Cu tape for a small simulated the HTS transformer. For the development of electrical insulation design of a HTS transformer with Z continuous winding, we have been discussed insulation composition and investigated breakdown characteristics such as breakdown of liquid $N_2(LN_2)$, polymer and surface flashover on FRP and breakdown-surface combination in $LN_2$. Also we have been designed and manufactured a bobbin that has spiral slot for the Z continuous winding. The Z continuous winding mini-model from Kapton film insulated Cu tape for simulated 22.9kV class HTS transformer has been constructed using 0.1 % breakdown strength obtained by Weibull distribution. The widing model was measured their insulation characteristics such as ac (50kV, 1min) and impulse (154kV, $1.2\times50{\mu}s$ full wave, 3 times) withstand test and its excellent performance was confirmed.

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Compressive behavior of concrete under high strain rates after freeze-thaw cycles

  • Chen, Xudong;Chen, Chen;Liu, Zhiheng;Lu, Jun;Fan, Xiangqian
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2018
  • The dynamic compressive behavior of concrete after freezing and thawing tests are investigated by using the split Hopkinson pressure bar (SHPB) technique. The stress-strain curves of concrete under dynamic loading are measured and analyzed. The setting numbers of freeze-thaw cycles are 0, 25, 50, and 75 cycles. Test results show that the dynamic strength decreases and peak strain increases with the increasing of freeze-thaw cycles. Based on the Weibull distribution model, statistical damage constitutive model for dynamic stress-strain response of concrete after freeze-thaw cycles was proposed. At last, the fragmentation test of concrete subjected to dynamic loading and freeze-thaw cycles is carried out using sieving statistics. The distributions of the fragment sizes are analyzed based on fractal theory. The fractal dimensions of concrete increase with the increasing of both freeze-thaw cycle and strain rate. The relations among the fractal dimension, strain rates and freeze-thawing cycles are developed.

외국인 고용허가제 도입에 따른 효율적 노동인력 수급에 관한 연구 (A Study on Efficient Work Force Supply-Demand According to the Employment Permit System for Foreigners)

  • 김흥재;박재현;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 2007
  • The employment permit system for foreigners, which stresses introduction of foreign work force in a legal manner rather than in the position of being trainees, is anticipated to efficiently improve introduction and the overall management system of foreign work force and related difficulties such as illegal alien problems, absurdity on sending laborers overseas. In this paper, a prospective model of supply and demand of work force has been developed basing on various categories of industries and patterns about nationally practical foreign employees to look over efficient supply and demand of work force suiting employment of foreigner among foreign work force policies. To propose the prospective model, we have derived industry- and pattern-related matrixes of foreign laborers basing on Inter-Industry Analysis Method put forth by Professor Leontiyef in 1930, and through the derived matrix assessed repercussions concerning overall domestic industries and foreigner types and decided yearly weight; the capacity of supply and demand of foreign laborers can be compared through proposed statistical estimation and government estimation by combining the determined weight with yearly incomes of foreign laborers. This paper has thoroughly considered the particularity of our employment permit system for foreigners and applied the Weibull distribution and incorporated the dependence of foreign laborers during the limited period of 3 years to the industry relation analysis, ultimately proposing an efficient supply and demand method about domestic foreign work force.

최소수리보증 이후의 예방보전모형 (Preventive Maintenance Model after Minimal Repair Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.865-877
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 보증기간이 종료된 이후의 수리가 가능한 시스템에 대한 주기적인 예방보전모형을 고려하는데, 무료수리보증, 비례수리보증 그리고 혼합수리보증과 같은 세 종류의 수리보증정책을 고려한다. 이러한 세 종류의 수리보증기간이 종료된 이후의 수리가 가능한 시스템에 대한 주기적인 예방보전모형에 대하여 각각 기대순환길이, 총기대비용 그리고 단위시간당 기대비용을 유도한다. 또한 유도된 단위시간당 기대 비용을 최소화하는 최적의 예방보전정책인 최적의 예방보전주기와 예방보전횟수를 결정하는 방법에 대하여 설명한다. 끝으로 고장시간이 와이블분포를 하는 경우에 최적의 주기적 예방보전정책을 결정하여 본다.

Robust second-order rotatable designs invariably applicable for some lifetime distributions

  • Kim, Jinseog;Das, Rabindra Nath;Singh, Poonam;Lee, Youngjo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.595-610
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    • 2021
  • Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.

아까시나무 임분의 임목수확량 및 탄소저장량 추정 (Estimation of Stand Yield and Carbon Stock for Robinia pseudoacacia Stands in Korea)

  • 손영모;김소원;이선정;김정수
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제103권2호
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 아까시나무 군락에 대한 현재 생육지 분포면적의 파악과 임분수확량 및 탄소저장량을 구명하기 위하여 수행되었다. 아까시나무에 대한 분포면적은 1:5,000 임상도를 이용하여 추출하였으며, 임분수확량은 Weibull 직경분포모델을 이용하였고, 탄소저장량 및 흡수량은 임분수확량에 탄소배출계수를 적용하여 산출하였다. 임분수확량을 산출하기 위하여 임분 평균직경, 임분 흉고단면적, 최소 및 최대 직경 등 임분 생장인자에 대한 추정식을 산출하고 정확성을 검증하였다. 이 결과 모든 생장인자의 추정식이 분석에 이용할 수 있는 유의성을 가지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 임지의 생산력을 판정할 수 있는 지위지수를 도출한 바, 지위지수는 16~22 범위에 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 이들을 종합하여 임분수확표를 만들었다. 우리나라 아까시나무는 경상, 충청 및 경기도의 내륙에 주로 분포하는 것으로 나타났으며, 총 면적은 26,770 ha에 달하는 것으로 나타났다. 이를 탄소저장량으로 전환한 결과 2,517,598 tC 였으며, 연간 3.76 tC/ha를 흡수하는 것으로 계산되었다. 이는 탄소흡수량이 높은 수종으로 알려져 있는 참나무류와 유사하여, 추후 아까시나무가 기후변화 시대에 온실가스를 저장하는 수종으로서의 역할도 충분히 가능할 것이라 판단된다. 또한 본 연구에서 만든 임분수확표는 아까시나무 경영 및 관리정책에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

FOD 탐지 FMCW 레이다에서 지면 클러터 모델링 및 탐지성능에 대한 영향 분석 (Ground Clutter Modelling and Its Effect of Detection Performance in FOD FMCW Radar)

  • 송승언;김봉석;김상동;김민수;김윤섭;이종훈
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문에서는 FOD (foreign object debris) FMCW (frequency modulated continuous waveform) 레이다에 대한 지상 클러터 모델링 및 검출 성능에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 레이다 수신신호에는 FOD에 의해 반사된 신호 뿐 만 아니라 활주로 표면 및 잔디영역에 의해 반사된 신호까지 포함된다. FOD의 RCS (radar cross section)가 잔디영역의 RCS와 거의 같기 때문에 클러터 제거 알고리즘을 적용하지 않으면 FOD의 검출이 어렵다. 또한, FOD와 클러터 모두가 움직이지 않기 때문에, 대표적 클러터 제거 알고리즘인 MTI (moving target indicator) 기법의 적용이 어렵다. 따라서 클러터 맵을 이용한 클러터 제거 기법이 필요하고, 이를 위해서는 활주로 표면을 고려한 클러터 맵을 정확하게 생성하는 것이 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 신뢰도 높은 클러터 맵을 생성하기 위해 FOD가 없는 표면의 경우에만 모든 범위의 레인지 빈에 대해 각각의 비트신호를 생성하고, 생성된 비트 신호를 100번 누적하였으며 RCS 값에 웨이블 분포를 적용하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과는 생성된 클러터 맵을 FOD FMCW 레이다에 적용함으로써 FOD가 제대로 검출됨을 보인다.

고온초전도 변압기를 위한 턴간 모델의 V-t 특성 및 생존 확률 (V-t Characteristics and Survival Probability of Turn-to-Turn Models for HTS Transformer)

  • 백승명;천현권;;석복렬;김상현
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.17
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    • pp.356-362
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    • 2004
  • Using multi wrapped copper by polyimide film for HTS transformer, the breakdown and V-t characteristics of two type models for turn-to-turn, one is point contact model, the other is surface contact model, were investigated under ac and impulse voltage at 77 K. A material that is Polyimide film (Kapton) 0.025 mm thickness is used for multi wrapping of the electrode. Statistical analysis of the results using Weibull distribution to examine the wrapping number effects on V-t characteristics under at voltage as well as breakdown voltage under ac and impulse voltage in $LN_2$ was carried. Also, survival analysis was performed according to the Kaplan-Meier method. The breakdown voltages for surface contact model are lower than that of the point contact model, because the contact area of surface contact model is wider than that of point contact model. At the same time, the shape parameter of the point contact model is a little bit larger than the of the surface contact model. The time to breakdown tn is decreased as the applied voltage is increased, and the lifetime indices slightly are increased as the number of layers is increased. According to the increasing applied voltage and decreasing wrapping number, the survival probability is increased.

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가평천 어류의 서식처적합도지수 산정 (Estimation of Habitat Suitability Index of Fish Species in the Gapyeong stream)

  • 공동수;손세환;김진영;김필재;권용주;김정우;김예지;민정기;김아름
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.626-639
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    • 2017
  • Based on an ecological monitoring in a Korean stream (Gapyeong), Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) of nine fish species was developed for three physical habitat factors : current velocity, water depth and substrate. The species were chosen based on their abundance and frequency in the fish community of the Gapyeong stream. The Weibull model was used as the probability density function to analyze the distribution and number of each fish species according to the three identified physical factors, which showed good results. This HSI equation has advantages because it statistically expresses habitat preferences of fish species simply and clearly. From that, we can quantitatively deduce the central tendency and variation of environmental factors for fish distribution. The selected fish species showed different preferences for each habitat factor respectively. Although there are some exceptions, the distribution and abundance of individual species of nektonic fish (Zacco koreanus, Zacco platypus, Microphysogobio longidorsalis and Pungtungia herzi) were positively skewed to deep water and fine substrate while riffle-benthic fish (Koreocobitis rotundicaudata and Coreoleuciscus splendidus) were normally distributed at the shallow and coarse substrate zone. It seems that the species showing the positively skewed distribution to the current, Z. koreanus, Z. platypus, M. longidorsalis and P. herzi have adapted themselves to the fast current and have expanded their niche.