• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull distribution model

Search Result 387, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

The Variations of Performance Parameters for Small Scale Hydro Power Plant with Rainfall Condition (강우상태에 의한 소수력발전소 성능변수의 변화)

  • Park, Wan-Soon;Lee, Chul-Hyung
    • New & Renewable Energy
    • /
    • v.4 no.3
    • /
    • pp.15-22
    • /
    • 2008
  • The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power (SSHP) plants due to rainfall condition have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis for rainfall conditions based on Weibull distribution show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the variation of shape and scale parameter. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site due to variation of shape parameter varied more sensitive than the case of variation of scale parameter. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

  • PDF

The Effects of Design Parameters for Small Scale Hydro Power Plant with Rainfall Condation (강우상태에 의한 소수력발전소 설계인자의 영향)

  • Park, Wan-Soon;Lee, Chul-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-49
    • /
    • 2008
  • The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to rainfall condition have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis for rainfall conditions based on Weibull distribution show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the variation of shape and scale parameter. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site due to variation of shape parameter varied more sensitive than the case of variation of scale parameter. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

An Assessment of Offshore Wind Energy Resources around Korean Peninsula (한반도해역의 해상 풍력 자원 평가)

  • Kyong, N.H.;Yoon, J.E.;Jang, M.S.;Jang, D.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.35-41
    • /
    • 2003
  • In order to investigate the offshore wind resources around Korean peninsula, the "QuikSCAT Level 3" data by ADEOS II satellite was analyzed from Jan 1 2000 to Jan 18 2003. The "SeaWinds" on the satellite is a specialize4 device for microwave scatterometery that measures near-surface wind speed and direction under all weather and cloud conditions. Wind speed are extrapolated from 10m to 60m with the exponent of 1/10 in the power law model. It has been found that the High wind energy potentials are prevailing in the South sea and Southeastern end of Korean peninsula.

A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy Based on Cost and Downtime

  • Jung, Ki-Mun;Han, Sung-Sil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.743-752
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper considers a Bayesian approach to replacement policy model with minimal repair. We use the criterion based on the expected cost and the expected downtime to determine the optimal replacement period. To do so, we obtain the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time, respectively. When the failure time is Weibull distribution with uncertain parameters, a Bayesian approach is established to formally express and update the uncertain parameters for determining an optimal maintenance policy. Especially, the overall value function suggested by Jiagn and Ji(2002) is applied to obtain the optimal replacement period. The numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

  • PDF

주기적 예방보전의 최적정책에 관한 연구

  • Na Myeong Hwan;Son Yeong Suk;Kim Mun Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.06a
    • /
    • pp.115-120
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper introduces models for preventive maintenance policies and considers periodic preventive maintenance policy with minimal repair when the failure of system occurs. It is assumed that minimal repairs do not change the failure rate of the system. The failure rate under prevention maintenance received an effect by a previously prevention maintenance and the slope of failure rate increases the model where it considered. Also the start point of failure rate under prevention maintenance considers the degradation of system and that it increases quotient, it assumed. Per unit time it bought an expectation cost from under this prevention maintenance policy. We obtain the optimal period time and the number for the periodic preventive maintenance by using Nakagawa's Algorithm, which minimizes the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, it suppose that the failure time of a system has a Weibull distribution as an example and we obtain an expected cost rate per unit time the optimal period time and the number when cost of replacement and cost of minimal repair change.

  • PDF

Bayesian Method for Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policy

  • Kim Hee Soo;Kwon Young Sub;Park Dong Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.06a
    • /
    • pp.131-137
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to determine the adaptive preventive maintenance(PM) policy for a general sequential imperfect PM model proposed by Lin, Zuo and Yam(2000) that PM not only reduces the effective age of the system but also changes the hazard rate function. Assuming that the failure times follow Weibull distribution, we adopt a Bayesian approach to update unknown parameters and determine the Bayesian optimal sequential PM policies. Finally, numerical examples of the optimal adaptive PM policy are presented for illustrative purposes.

  • PDF

Item Replacement Policy with Minimal Repair in Stepdown Warranty Model

  • Jae Joong, Kim;Won Joong, Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.18 no.33
    • /
    • pp.87-92
    • /
    • 1995
  • This paper proposes age replacement policy in stepdown warranty policy. The replacement policy is considered in case of minimally repairable items. And renewal theory is used in analyzing warranty costs. The expected cost per unit time is presented in stepdown warranty policy, free replacement, prorata and hybrid policy. In this article it is assumed that item is replaced at the age of T but the any failure is minimally repaired before the age T. At this point the expected cost per unit time is shown in customer's view point. And numerical example is explored in weibull time-to-failure distribution.

  • PDF

Preventive maintenance model following the expiration of NFRRW (비재생무료교체-수리보증이 종료된 이후의 예방보전모형)

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.775-784
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we consider the periodic preventive maintenance model for repairable system following the expiration of non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty (NFRRW). Under this preventive maintenance model, we derive the expressions for the expected cycle length, the expected total cost and the expected cost rate per unit time. Also, we determine the optimal preventive maintenance period and the optimal preventive maintenance number by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, the optimal periodic preventive maintenance policy is given for Weibull distribution case.

The Fatigue Cumulative Damage and Life Prediction of GFRP under Random Loading (랜덤하중하의 GFRP의 피로누적손상거동과 피로수명예측)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gyu;Sim, Dong-Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.20 no.12
    • /
    • pp.3892-3898
    • /
    • 1996
  • In this study, the prediction of the fatigue life as well as the extimation of the characteristics of fatigue cumulative damage on GFRP under random loading were performed. The constant amplitude tests and the ramdom loading test were carried on notched GFRP specimens with a circular hole. Random waves were generated with a micro-computer and had wide band spectra. Since it is useful that the prediction of fatigue life ot the given load sequences is based on S-N curves under constant amplitude loading, the estimation of equivalent stress is done on every random waves. The equivalent stress wasat first estimated by Miner's rule and then by the proposed model which was based on Hashin-Rotem's comulative damage theory regarding nonlinear fatigue cumulative damage behavior. The fatigue lives were predicted from each equivalent stress evaluated. And each predicted fatigue llife was compared with experimental results. The number of cycles of random loads were counted by mean-cross counting method. The reuslts showed that the fatigue life predicted by proposed model was correlated well with the experimental results in comparison with Miner's model.

An advanced technique to predict time-dependent corrosion damage of onshore, offshore, nearshore and ship structures: Part II = Application to the ship's ballast tank

  • Kim, Do Kyun;Lim, Hui Ling;Cho, Nak-Kyun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.645-656
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this study (Part II), the empirical formulation of corrosion model of a ship's ballast tank was developed to predict nonlinear time-dependent corrosion wastage based on the advanced data processing technique proposed by Part I. The detail on how to propose generalised mathematical formulation of corrosion model was precisely documented in the previous paper (Part I). The statistical scatter of corrosion data at any exposure time was investigated by the refined method and formulated based on a 2-parameter Weibull distribution which selected the best fit PDF. Throughout the nine (9) steps, empirical formulation of the ship's seawater ballast tank was successfully proposed and four (4) key step results were also obtained. The proposed method in Part I was verified and confirmed by this application of seawater ballast tank, thus making it possible to predict accurate behaviours of nonlinear timedependent corrosion. Developed procedures and obtained corrosion damage model for ship's seawater ballast tank can be used for development of engineering software.