• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull distribution analysis

검색결과 427건 처리시간 0.024초

철도 분기기 밀착검지기 Life expectancy의 유지보수 주기 결정에 관한 연구 (Study on the Maintenance Interval Decisions for Life expectancy in Railway Turnout clearance Detector)

  • 장병목;이종우
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2017
  • 철도 분기기는 철도에 가장 중요한 시스템 중 하나이며, 분기기가 이상이 발생하였을 경우에는 사고가 발생할 수 있다. 분기기의 상태를 검지하기 위해서 밀착검지기를 사용한다. 밀착검지기의 고장은 분기기의 고장으로 간주되어 열차운행에 커다란 장애가 될 수 있다. 분기기 밀착검지기의 고장 특성분석은 분기기의 운용에서 매우 중요하다. 밀착검지기의 운용특성 및 고장특성을 분석하기 위해서, 밀착검지기를 본선(A) 및 측선(B), 분기기 동작 횟수가 10회 미만(C) 및 80회 이상(D)로 분류하였다. 선정된 밀착검지기 140대를 기준으로 밀착검지기 고장특성을 분석하였다. 분기기의 고장은 제어부, 케이블 및 검지센서에 발생하였으며, 이 데이터를 운용 환경(A, B, C, D)에 따라 분류하였으며 각각의 고장밀도함수를 선정하고 모수를 추론하여 사전분포 값을 선정하였다. Bayesian추론을 이용하여 기기의 평균수명과 한계수명(Life expectancy)을 예측하여 밀착검지기 제어부에 대한 교체시점을 제시하였다.

한국산 멸종위기 무척추동물 염주알다슬기 (연체동물문, 복족강)의 물리적 서식처 특성 (Physical Habitat Characteristics of the Endangered Macroinvertebrate Koreoleptoxis nodifila (Martens, 1886) (Mollusca, Gastropoda) in South Korea)

  • 김진영;김예지;김아름;유인성;김황;공동수
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제55권2호
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2022
  • 환경부 생물측정망 ('08~'18) 조사결과를 이용하여 저서성 대형무척추동물인 멸종위기 2급 염주알다슬기 (연체동물문, 복족강)의 물리적 서식생태 특성을 분석한 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 적정 수심범위는 0.53~17.17 cm였으며, 중위값은 16.73 cm, 평균값은 21.32 cm, 최빈값은 5.17 cm였다. 둘째, 적정 유속범위는 48.40~81.03 cm s-1였으며, 중위값은 65.23 cm s-1, 평균값은 65.65 cm s-1, 최빈값은 64.77 cm s-1였다. 셋째, 적정하상입경 (𝜱m) 범위는 -4.36~-2.26이었으며, 중위값은 -3.51, 평균값은 -3.63, 최빈값은 -3.24였다. 넷째, 염주 알다슬기의 하천 내 물리적 미소서식처 특성은 여울구간의 조립질 하상으로 확인되었다.

SiON 절연층 nMOSFET의 Time Dependent Dielectric Breakdown 열화 수명 예측 모델링 개선 (Improving Lifetime Prediction Modeling for SiON Dielectric nMOSFETs with Time-Dependent Dielectric Breakdown Degradation)

  • 윤여혁
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 4세대 VNAND 공정으로 만들어진 Peri 소자의 스트레스 영역 별 time-dependent dielectric breakdown(TDDB) 열화 메커니즘을 분석하고, 기존의 수명 예측 모델보다 더 넓은 신뢰성 평가 영역에서 신속성과 정확성을 향상시킬 수 있는 수명 예측 보완 모델을 제시하였다. SiON 절연층 nMOSFET에서 5개의 Vstr 조건에 대해 각 10번의 constant voltage stress(CVS) 측정 후, stress-induced leakage current(SILC) 분석을 통해 저전계 영역에서의 전계 기반 열화 메커니즘과 고전계 영역에서의 전류 기반 열화 메커니즘이 주요함을 확인하였다. 이후 Weibull 분포로부터 time-to-failure(TF)를 추출하여 기존의 E-모델과 1/E-모델의 수명 예측 한계점을 확인하였고, 각 모델의 결합 분리 열화 상수(k)를 추출 및 결합하여 전계 및 전류 기반의 열화 메커니즘을 모두 포함하는 병렬식 상호보완 모델을 제시하였다. 최종적으로 실측한 TDDB 데이터의 수명을 예측할 시, 기존의 E-모델과 1/E-모델에 비해 넓은 전계 영역에서 각 메커니즘을 모두 반영하여 높은 스트레스에서 신속한 신뢰성 평가로 더 정확한 수명을 예측할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

Physical habitat characteristics of freshwater crayfish Cambaroides similis (Koelbel, 1892) (Arthropoda, Decapoda) in South Korea

  • Jin-Young Kim;Yong Ju Kwon;Ye Ji Kim;Yeong-Deok Han;Jung Soo Han;Chae Hui An;Yong Su Park;Dongsoo Kong
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.200-210
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    • 2023
  • Background: Cambaroides similis is an endangered candidate species living in the stream of South Korea. Freshwater crayfish is known to decline rapidly not only domestically, but also internationally. Its decline is projected to be further exacerbated due to climate change. Understanding physical characteristics of the habitat is crucial for the conservation of an organism. However, comprehensive data regarding the distribution and physical habitat characteristics of C. similis are currently unavailable in South Korea. Thus, the objective of this study was to ascertain preferred ranges for water depth, current velocity, and streambed substrate of C. similis using Weibull model. Results: In this study, C. similis was found at 59 sites across 12 regions in South Korea. Its optimal water depth preferences ranged from 11.9 cm to 30.1 cm. Its current velocity preferences ranged from 9.8 cm s-1 to 29.1 cm s-1. Its substrate preferences ranged from -5.1 𝜱m to -2.5 𝜱m. Median values of central tendency were determined as follows: water depth of 21.4 cm, current velocity of 21.2 cm s-1, and substrate of -4.1 𝜱m. Mean values of central tendency were determined as follows: water depth of 21.8 cm, current velocity of 22.0 cm s-1, and substrate of -4.4 𝜱m. Mode values of central tendency were determined as follows: water depth of 21.7 cm, current velocity of 20.1 cm s-1, and substrate of -3.7 𝜱m. Conclusions: Based on habitat suitability analysis, physical microhabitat characteristics of C. similis within a stream were identified as Run section with coarse particle substrate, low water depth, and slow current velocity. Due to high sensitivity of these habitats to environmental changes, prioritized selection and assessment of threats should be carried out as a primary step.

통계적 가설검정을 이용한 중심형 버터플라이 밸브의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Evaluation of Concentric Butterfly Valve Using Statistical Hypothesis Test)

  • 장무성;최종식;최병오;김도식
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제39권12호
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    • pp.1305-1311
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    • 2015
  • 버터플라이 밸브는 일반적으로 유량을 조절하기 위해 사되는 유량 제어 장치의 일종이다. 본 연구에서는 중심형 버터플라이 밸브의 개선 전후 제품에 대한 신뢰성 시험 데이터의 통계적 분석을 통하여 버터플라이 밸브에 대한 와이블 분포의 형상모수, 특성수명 및 $B_{10}$ 수명을 추정한다. 또한 통계적 가설검정을 이하여 개선 전후 제품의 형상모수와 척도모수에 대한 차이를 검토한다. 가설검정 결과로부터 개선 전후 제품의 형상모수는 유사하며, 척도모수는 증가함을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 분석결과는 향후 신뢰성 인증시험이나 제품에 대한 보증수명 설정에 유한 정보로 활용될 수 있다.

신뢰도 분석을 통한 고속도로 교량의 바닥판 잔존 수명 예측 (The Prediction of Remaining Life of Concrete Bridge Decks Using The Reliability Analysis)

  • 박정희;이상훈;김지원;박철우;이동현
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2011
  • 국내 고속도로의 교량은 2000년 이후 집중된 선형개량 및 신규 노선 증가 사업으로 10년 전과 비교하여 2배 이상 증가하였다. 이에 따라 유지관리 비용도 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 현재 고속도로 유지관리 예산 비중이 가장 높은 항목은 아스팔트 교면 교량의 콘크리트 바닥판 열화에 의한 보강 부분이다. 2011년 고속도로 관리교량은 약 7,800여개에 도달한 시점에서 현재 방법으로는 향후 어느 정도 바닥판 보강 예산이 필요한지 어느 시기에 증액을 하여야되는지 명확하게 추정하기 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 신뢰도 분석 방법인 와이불 분포에 의한 생존 수명 예측 기법을 적용하여 현재 고속도로 아스팔트 계열의 교면 교량의 평균 수명을 추정하였고 이를 토대로 향후 예상 보강 비용을 추정하였다.

고온초전도 변압기를 위한 턴간 모델의 V-t 특성 및 생존 확률 (V-t Characteristics and Survival Probability of Turn-to-Turn Models for HTS Transformer)

  • 백승명;천현권;;석복렬;김상현
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.17
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    • pp.356-362
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    • 2004
  • Using multi wrapped copper by polyimide film for HTS transformer, the breakdown and V-t characteristics of two type models for turn-to-turn, one is point contact model, the other is surface contact model, were investigated under ac and impulse voltage at 77 K. A material that is Polyimide film (Kapton) 0.025 mm thickness is used for multi wrapping of the electrode. Statistical analysis of the results using Weibull distribution to examine the wrapping number effects on V-t characteristics under at voltage as well as breakdown voltage under ac and impulse voltage in $LN_2$ was carried. Also, survival analysis was performed according to the Kaplan-Meier method. The breakdown voltages for surface contact model are lower than that of the point contact model, because the contact area of surface contact model is wider than that of point contact model. At the same time, the shape parameter of the point contact model is a little bit larger than the of the surface contact model. The time to breakdown tn is decreased as the applied voltage is increased, and the lifetime indices slightly are increased as the number of layers is increased. According to the increasing applied voltage and decreasing wrapping number, the survival probability is increased.

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The effect of coloring liquid dipping time on the fracture load and color of zirconia ceramics

  • Orhun, Ekren
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSE. The aims of the study were to evaluate the fracture load of zirconia core material after dipping in coloring liquid at different time intervals and to compare the color of dipped blocks with that of prefabricated shaded blocks. MATERIALS AND METHODS. 3-unit bridge frameworks were designed digitally. Sixty frameworks were fabricated using uncolored zirconia blocks by CAD/CAM and divided into 4 groups randomly (n = 15). Group 2 (G2) was subjected to coloring liquids for 2 minutes, Group 4 (G4) for 4 minutes, and Group 6 (G6) for 6 minutes. CFS group was not subjected to any coloring procedure. After coloring, color differences between the test groups and a prefabricated shaded zirconia group (CPZ, n = 15) were evaluated by using a spectrophotometer. Fracture test was conducted immediately after shade evaluation with a Testometric test device at a cross-head speed of 1 mm/sec. Statistical analysis for evaluating color and fracture load was performed by using one way ANOVA followed by Tukey HSD test ($P{\leq}.05$). Weibull analysis was conducted for distribution of fracture load. RESULTS. There was no difference in terms of fracture load and color between CFS (1176.681 N) and G2 (985.638 N) group and between CPZ (81.340) and G2 (81.140) group, respectively. Fracture load values of G4 (779.340 N) and G6 (935.491 N) groups were statistically significantly lower than that of CFS group ($P{\leq}.005$). The color values of G4 (79.340) and G6 (79.673) groups were statistically different than that of CPZ group ($P{\leq}.005$). CONCLUSION. Prolonged immersion of zirconia in coloring liquid not only negatively affected the fracture load of the zirconia being tested in the current study but also deteriorated the desired shade of the restoration.

신뢰성 분석 기반 발전설비 점검계획 수립 시스템 연구- 석탄 하역기를 중심으로 - (Study of Reliability Analysis Based Power Generation Facilities Maintenance System - Focused on Continuous Ship Unloader -)

  • 황성환;김유림;강성우
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Recently, research has continued to predict the time of failure of the facility through measurement data obtained by attaching a sensor to the facility. However, depending on the facility, it may be difficult to attach a sensor. The purpose of this study is to propose a power generation maintenance plan system based on failure record data obtained from Continuous Ship Unloader, one of the facilities that is difficult to attach sensors. Methods: This study uses data collected from 2012 to 2022 from the 'CSU-1B' model among Continuous Ship Unloader operated by Korea Midland Power Co., LTD. By fitting fault record data to the Weibull distribution, appropriate maintenance cycles and ranges for each target facility subsystem are derived. In addition, maintenance group between subsystems is selected through Euclidean distance, a metric often used for time series data similarity. Through this, a system for establishing an maintenance plan for power generation facilities is proposed. Results: The results of this study are as follows. For the 17 subsystems of the Continuous Ship Unloader, proper maintenance cycles and ranges were determined, and a total of four maintenance groups were chosen. This resulted in the creation of an power generation maintenance plan system and the establishment of an maintenance plan. Conclusion: This study is a case study of power generation facilities. We proposed a maintenance plan system for Continuous Ship Unloader among power generation facilities.

Evaluation on the Lightning Breakdown Voltages of Palm Oil and Coconut Oil under Non-Uniform Field at Small Gap Distances

  • Thien, Yee Von;Azis, Norhafiz;Jasni, Jasronita;Kadir, Mohd Zainal Abidin Ab;Yunus, Robiah;Ishak, Mohd Taufiq;Yaakub, Zaini
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.184-191
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, there are a number of studies that have been carried out to explore the alternative for Mineral Oil (MO) as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers due to the increasing tight regulation on safety and environment. Vegetable oils have been identified as suitable candidate since it is biodegradable, non-toxic and high flash/fire points which ensure more in-service safety. Among the types of vegetable oils considered for transformers application are Palm Oil (PO) and Coconut Oil (CO). This paper presents an experimental study on the lightning breakdown voltages of PO and CO under non-uniform electric field based on needle-sphere electrodes configuration at 3 small gap distances. The type of PO used in this study is Refined Bleached and Deodorized Palm Oil (RBDPO) Olein. The main focus of this study is to examine the lightning breakdown performance of RBDPO and CO under different test conditions and assess its suitability as dielectric insulating fluid in transformers. The effect of voltage polarities (positive and negative) and testing methods (rising-voltage, up-and-down and multiple-voltage) were investigated. The data obtained from all tests were analysed by Weibull distribution in order to determine the withstand voltages for each type of oils. It was found that the breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO are comparable with MO under positive lightning impulse. Under negative lightning impulse, the breakdown voltage of MO is slightly higher than RBDPO and CO. There is no significant effect of testing methods and voltage polarities on lightning breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO. Based on the statistical analysis, it is found that the breakdown voltages of RBDPO and CO at 1% probability are slightly lower than MO.